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  • Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/3

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, February 3

    Good Luck on day # 34 of 2020!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Six of the teams who force the most turnovers:
    1
    2) Loyola-Chicago

    11) Kansas State

    8) South Florida

    7) VCU

    5) Florida State

    3) UNC-Greensboro


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

    13) Chiefs 31, 49ers 20— With 7:00 left to play, San Francisco led 20-10 and looked a lot like a winner; then the Chiefs scored three TD’s in a 5:01 span and Andy Reid has his first Super Bowl title after 221 wins as an NFL coach. Good for him.

    12) Think about the fine line between winning and losing in the NFL; last time a team won the Super Bowl without having s first round bye was seven years ago, when the Ravens won the title as a 4-seed from the AFC.

    Only reason Kansas City had a bye in the playoffs this year was because New England lost as a 17-point home favorite in Week 17 against the Dolphins. Otherwise, Chiefs probably would’ve had to win a road game to make the Super Bowl.

    11) Three years ago, Atlanta led New England 28-3 in Super Bowl LI, with 3:00 left in the third quarter; they lost the game 34-28 in overtime. Kyle Shanahan was Atlanta’s OC that day.

    So with 7:00 left to play Sunday, Shanahan’s 49ers led 20-10 and looked like a champ, but once again his team fell apart down the stretch and lost a memorable game.

    Going to be a long winter in Santa Clara.

    10) Odds and ends from the Super Bowl:
    — Chiefs ran 75 plays, 49ers 54.
    — 49ers’ last four drives: 17 plays, 49 yards, three first downs, no points.
    — Chiefs’ last three drives before taking a knee at the end: 19 plays, 190 yards, 21 points.

    9) I usually do my taxes during the Super Bowl, because a lot fewer people are online then, but I did my taxes Friday, so I went out to have dinner and watch the game.

    Had dinner before the game, then wanted to order some dessert at halftime, but the female bartender was so enamored with Jennifer Lopez and Shakira performing on TV, that wasn’t happening. Unless you count the free popcorn, which is very good.

    Very popular halftime performance; I’m amazed they got the stage and all the people off the field so quickly so that the game could actually resume. Impressive.

    8) Best commercial for me was Bill Murray’s Groundhog Day Jeep ad, where he reprised his role as Phil, the TV reporter who re-lives the same day, over and over again. Watching Murray play whack-a-mole while the horrified groundhog looked on was excellent.

    7) Upsets:
    — Green Bay (+5) 92, Wright State 89
    — Niagara (+3) 75, Quinnipiac 59
    — Georgetown (+2) 73, St John’s 72

    6) Georgetown 73, St John’s 72— Red Storm led by 17 with with 16:04 left; they blew the game, lost for 8th time in last ten games, losing to a Georgetown team playing without one of its best players, Mac McClung.

    5) Green Bay 92, Wright State 89— Green Bay was 28-43 on foul line; Wright was 21-28, and lost for only second time in their last 14 games. Raiders’ lead over Northern Kentucky atop the Horizon League is down to a game.

    4) Saint Peter’s 85, Siena 80— Peacocks outscored Siena 30-16 on foul line; they trailed by nine late in first half. Saints lost despite making 12-25 on arc; they’re 1-10 on the road, 9-0 at home.

    3) Iowa 72, Illinois 65— This was a high-level game where Iowa C Luka Garza made all the difference, as Hawkeyes outscored Illinois 17-6 over the final 5:26. Garza scored 25 points and had 10 rebounds.

    After the game, Iowa head coach Fran McCaffery and Illinois assistant coaches got into a heated exchange in the handshake line. After a few words back and forth, McCaffery called off the handshake line, and told his players to head back to the locker room.

    The teams meet again March 8 in Champaign, right before the Big 14 tournament.

    2) Pistons 128, Nuggets 123 OT— Denver led 44-30 after the first quarter, but Detroit’s bench outscored the Nuggets’ subs 62-26.

    1) I’d like to wish Happy Birthday to my cousin KL Wheat, who had a birthday Sunday; he is a smart guy, a good friend and a Hall of Fame high school track coach. He also saved me a ton of money because a long time ago, I hung around with him and his friends at the racetrack and I realized that I KNOW VERY LITTLE about horse racing, so I shouldn’t bet on it. Thanks!!!

    Comment


    • #3
      67DALLAS -68 NY RANGERS
      DALLAS are 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

      69FLORIDA -70 TORONTO
      TORONTO is 3-8 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

      71PHILADELPHIA -72 DETROIT
      DETROIT is 5-28 ATS (-20.9 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.




      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Monday, February 3


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      DALLAS (29-18-0-4, 62 pts.) at NY RANGERS (25-21-0-4, 54 pts.) - 2/3/2020, 7:08 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DALLAS is 35-48 ATS (-22.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
      NY RANGERS are 254-258 ATS (-109.4 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
      NY RANGERS are 218-257 ATS (-140.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      DALLAS is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
      DALLAS is 3-1-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.0 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      FLORIDA (28-17-0-5, 61 pts.) at TORONTO (28-17-0-7, 63 pts.) - 2/3/2020, 7:08 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      FLORIDA is 5-4 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      FLORIDA is 5-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PHILADELPHIA (28-17-0-7, 63 pts.) at DETROIT (12-37-0-4, 28 pts.) - 2/3/2020, 7:38 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PHILADELPHIA is 267-286 ATS (-100.6 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
      PHILADELPHIA is 449-397 ATS (-124.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
      PHILADELPHIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
      DETROIT is 12-41 ATS (-45.4 Units) in all games this season.
      DETROIT is 10-33 ATS (+59.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
      DETROIT is 7-29 ATS (+66.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
      DETROIT is 4-23 ATS (+46.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
      DETROIT is 3-19 ATS (+37.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHILADELPHIA is 6-1 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
      PHILADELPHIA is 6-1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NHL

      Monday, February 3


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      New York Rangers
      NY Rangers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
      NY Rangers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
      NY Rangers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 10 games at home
      NY Rangers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing Dallas
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
      Dallas Stars
      Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
      Dallas is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games
      Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
      Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers

      Toronto Maple Leafs
      Toronto is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
      Toronto is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games
      Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
      Toronto is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Florida
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Florida
      Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida
      Florida Panthers
      Florida is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
      Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 8 games
      Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games on the road
      Florida is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Toronto
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Toronto
      Florida is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto

      Detroit Red Wings
      Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
      Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
      Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
      Detroit is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Philadelphia
      Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
      Detroit is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
      Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
      Philadelphia Flyers
      Philadelphia is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
      Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
      Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Philadelphia is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
      Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
      Philadelphia is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Detroit
      Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
      Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
      Philadelphia is 6-17-1 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Detroit
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Dunkel

        Monday, February 3



        Florida @ Toronto

        Game 69-70
        February 3, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Florida
        11.512
        Toronto
        10.535
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Florida
        by 1
        5
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Toronto
        -170
        6 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Florida
        (+150); Under

        Dallas @ NY Rangers


        Game 67-68
        February 3, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Dallas
        10.340
        NY Rangers
        11.510
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        NY Rangers
        by 1
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Dallas
        -140
        5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        NY Rangers
        (+120); Over

        Philadelphia @ Detroit


        Game 71-72
        February 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Philadelphia
        11.795
        Detroit
        8.729
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Philadelphia
        by 3
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Philadelphia
        -230
        6
        Dunkel Pick:
        Philadelphia
        (-230); Over
        Last edited by Udog; 02-03-2020, 08:57 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL betting picks and odds: Blackhawks' quick starts are the best bet of the week
          Josh Inglis

          Welcome to post-football sports betting, where leagues like the NHL suddenly find new bettors combing the nightly odds for action. If you're a seasoned player of pucks or brand new to the NHL betting odds, we get you ready for the next three days of action on the ice. Check out our best bets, need-to-know notes, and favorite NHL picks and predictions, including a red-hot road underdog moneyline bet Tuesday night.

          ATLANTIC BATTLE

          The biggest game on Monday has the Atlantic Division’s third and fourth-place teams facing off when Toronto visits Florida and tries to maintain its hold on the division’s No. 3 seed. Over the last 10 games, the Panthers have scored the second most goals in the East but will need someone else to pick up the scoring slack with their leading-scoring center Alex Barkov out of order. Barkov exited Saturday’s game with an apparent knee injury.

          The Panthers whipped the Maple Leafs before the All-Star break 8-4 - a game that the Leafs haven’t forgotten and also one in which Barkov collected three points. Toronto has come out of the break hot, winning its first three games since the mid-season hiatus while Florida is coming off a goalless performance in Montreal on Saturday. Grab the Leafs on the moneyline.


          BACKING THE DOG ON TUESDAY

          The Chicago Blackhawks are winners of four straight on the road and head to Minnesota to take on the Wild Tuesday night. The Wild’s first game after their 10 days off was a forgettable performance, losing 6-1 at home to the Bruins in a game in which they allowed three powerplay goals.

          Chicago has had success against the Wild winning the last four matchups with the most recent a 5-3 victory on December 15. Chicago sits three points out of the final playoff spot in the West and will be worth the price of admission as a proable moneyline underdog Tuesday. The Blackhawks have won their last three games as pups, paying out +120. +170 and +155.


          STRIKING OIL IN THE DESERT

          The last time the Arizona Coyotes won a game the date was January 14. Since then, the Yotes have dropped five in a row including their three games after the All-Star break. Defense hasn’t been its strong suit either, as Arizona has allowed its opponent to score three or more goals in each of its last nine games. Tuesday night they welcome the Edmonton Oilers, who have scored 15 goals in their three games since the All-Star break.

          Conor McDavid & Co. lead the league in goals since January 1 at 4.5 per game, capitalizing on their scoring chances with a league-high shooting percentage of 19.65 percent. Edmonton is also 4-1 SU in its last five road games and has won the last three matchups in Arizona. Take the visiting team on the moneyline.


          GETTING OVER THE HUMP DAY

          Hump day gives us two offenses that are scoring more than three goals a game in the new year and are combining to hit the Over at 65 percent in 2020. The Leafs offense is always a treat to watch when you’re tailing the Over as the Buds have seen totals below 6.5 goals just five times in their last 21 games. Their goalie, Frederick Andersen, has also been aiding the Overs, allowing three or more goals in 10 of his last 13 games.

          Helping the Rangers' offense has been the play of their special teams. Since the calendar turned to 2020, New York has the league’s second-best powerplay attack at over 30 percent. We're taking the Over 6.5 on this mid-week matchup.


          GOALIE PROFILE: CAREY PRICE, MONTREAL CANADIENS

          The Habs goalie has looked good out of the break, winning two of his four starts including a 4-0 shutout of January’s best offense: the Florida Panthers. On Tuesday, Price and Canadiens will take on the New Jersey Devils, who have lost two of their three games since the break.

          Over his career, the Montreal goalie has a goals against average of 2.49 versus the Devils with a .910 save percentage. We like Price to keep the Habs in the game against a struggling Devils team in what should be a plus-money moneyline for the visiting team.


          INJURY UPDATE: D SHAYNE GOSTIBEHERE, PHILADELPHIA FLYERS

          The Flyers should get a boost to their blueline this week and perhaps as early as Monday with the return of defenseman Shayne Gostibehere. The young blueliner doesn’t play huge minutes (about 18 per game), but the rearguard does average over two minutes of powerplay time per game which is the second most on the team by a defenseman.

          Having Gostisbehere could help the Flyers powerplay which is scoring at only 20 percent with the defenseman on the shelf. Their Monday opponent, the Detroit Red Wings, are in the bottom half in the league in penalties taken of late and own the 29th-ranked penalty kill since January 1. Goals could come Philly’s way this week and be aware of their totals as they will also be without their goalie Carter Hart.


          HAT TRICK TRENDS

          • The Edmonton Oilers are 5-1-2 O/U in their last eight games and are leading the league in goals per game in 2020. On Tuesday, they travel to Arizona, which is giving up 3.8 goals per game since January 15 and is usually fitted with a total of 5.5 goals. Edmonton is 8-4 O/U on totals of 5.5 this year.

          • The Chicago Blackhawks have the best first-period Over record spanning the last 10 games at 8-2 O/U. They travel to Minnesota on Tuesday and take on the Wild who are 6-4 O/U in first-period totals in their last 10.

          • Since the All-Star break, away underdogs have been straight cashing. The traveling dogs are 17-5 SU (77 percent) over the last week and are 19-3 ATS on the +1.5 as well.

          Comment

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