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  • Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/16

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, December 16

    Good Luck on day # 350 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Top six picks for Week 15 in Westgate Super Contest:

    6) Oakland -6.5 (711)- L

    5) Minnesota -2.5 (728)- W

    4) Seattle -6.5 (754)- L

    3) New England -9.5 (773)- W

    2) Buffalo +2.5 (1,127)- W

    1) LA Rams -1 (1,139)- L

    2019 record: 48-38-3


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

    Eagles 37, Redskins 27:
    — Late entrant for bad beat of the decade: Eagles scored a defensive TD off a botched lateral as time ran out to cover the spread.
    — In two games vs Redskins TY, Philly converted 22 of 33 third down plays.
    — Eagles outscored last two opponents 47-13 in second half/OT.

    — Redskins lost their last six games with Philly; they led both series games at halftime TY.
    — Washington is 6-9 ATS in last 15 games as a home underdog, 2-4 TY.
    — NFL road teams are 123-93-7 ATS this season.

    Buccaneers 38, Lions 17:
    — Winston threw for 458 yards (308 in 1st half) and four TD’s.
    — Tampa Bay won four of its last five games.
    — Buccaneers are scoring 33.5 ppg in games with 2 or fewer turnovers (5-3).

    — Detroit lost its last seven games; they’re 1-7-1 ATS in last nine games; why is Matt Patricia an NFL head coach?
    — Lions in first half: 6 drives, 27 plays, 61 yards, 3 points.
    — Over is 8-4 in Detroit’s last dozen games.

    Packers 21, Bears 13:
    — Bears lost 20 of their last 24 games against the Packers.
    — Six of Bears’ last eight games stayed under.
    — Total of 47 points were scored in two games between these rivals.

    — Packers are 25-15-2 ATS in last 42 games as a home favorite, 5-3 TY
    — Green Bay won field position last three weeks, by 12-13-12 yards.
    — Packers’ last five drives: 18 plays, nine yards, one first down.

    Patriots 34, Bengals 13:
    — Patriots scored a defensive TD; their TD drives were 75-43-40 yards.
    — NE is 18-12 ATS in last 30 games as a road favorite, 4-3 TY.
    — New England (8-1) cashed the “first TD of the day” prop bet at SouthPoint.

    — Bengals had ball 7 times in 2nd half: 4 INT’s, 2 punts, a FG.
    — Yardage was 315-291 Cincy, but when you’re -5 in turnovers, you lose.
    — Patriots ran ball for 175 yards, their most of season by 30 yards.

    Texans 24, Titans 21:
    — Houston takes over first place in AFC South.
    — Texans won field position by 18 yards in this game.
    — Last four weeks, Houston converted 23-46 third down plays.

    — Titans in first half: 33 plays, 196 yards, zero points.
    — Titans in second half: 32 plays, 247 yards, three TD’s.
    — Teams meet again in Week 17, in Houston.

    Seahawks 30, Panthers 24:
    — Seattle won six of its last seven games.
    — Seahawks’ first three drives: 22 plays, 230 yards, three TD’s.
    — Seattle averaged 9.4 yards/pass attempt, won field position by nine yards.

    — Panthers lost their 6th game in a row.
    — Carolina scored twice in last 4:53 to push the spread.
    — Over is 8-2 in Panthers’ last ten games.

    Chiefs 23, Broncos 3:
    — Denver was outscored 50-9 in two games vs Chiefs TY.
    — Broncos lost their last eight games against KC.
    — Denver is 7-3 ATS in last 10 games; they scored 6-3-3 points in the losses.

    — Chiefs’ first five drives on a snowy day: 45 plays, 355 yards, 23 points.
    — Denver’s first five drives: 30 plays, 114 yards, three points.
    — Chiefs won/covered their last four games, allowing 4 TD’s on foes’ last 39 drives.

    Giants 36, Dolphins 20:
    — Miami had two trips to New Jersey, game in Foxboro in weeks 14-17.
    — Four of Dolphins’ last five games went over.
    — Miami scored only three points in two trips to red zone.

    — Giants scored four TD’s on seven drives that started less than 75 yards from goal line.
    — Big Blue snaps their nine-game losing streak.
    — Giants averaged 9.1 yards/pass attempt in Eli Manning’s last home game.

    Jaguars 20. Raiders 16:
    — Jaguars led this game for 0:31, but it was the last 0:31.
    — Jaguars’ first 6 drives: 23 plays, 81 yards, 2 first downs, 3 points.
    — Jaguars’ last 3 drives: 32 plays, 203 yards, 15 first downs, 17 points.

    — Oakland’s first 6 drives: 48 plays, 278 yards, 17 first downs, 16 points.
    — Oakland’s last 4 drives: 28 plays, 144 yards, 10 first downs, no points.
    — Raiders lost their last four games, outscored 136-49.

    Cardinals 38, Browns 24:
    — Cleveland was actually favored to win AFC North this season.
    — Browns lost their last five road games.
    — Arizona RB Drake ran ball for 137 yards, four TD’s.

    — Arizona snaps its six-game losing streak.
    — Over last 11 years, Cardinals are 23-16-1 ATS as a home underdog, 4-3 TY.
    — Arizona averaged 8.8 yards/pass attempt, their 2nd-best mark this season.

    Falcons 29, 49ers 22:
    — Atlanta scored winning TD with 0:02 left, then scored another TD on ensuing kickoff as time ran out, putting the game over the total, a horrific beat if you had the under.
    — Falcons won four of last six games SU, covered five of last seven games.
    — Atlanta is 5-2 when it scores 24+ points, 0-7 when it doesn’t

    — 49ers’ loss puts Seattle back atop NFC West; they play in Week 17.
    — SF allowed 25+ points in five of last seven games, after allowing an average of 11 ppg in first seven games.
    — 49ers scored two TD’s, but one of them was on a 1-yard drive after a fumbled punt.

    Cowboys 44, Rams 21:
    — Rams are two games out of the last playoff spot with two games left.
    — LA rushed ball 14 times for 22 yards; no bueno.
    — Rams split their last four games, with losses by 45-6/44-21 scores.

    — Dallas ran ball for 263 yards, outgained LA 475-289.
    — Cowboys are tied for first with Eagles; they meet in Philly next week.
    — Dallas had two TD drives of 90+ yards, which doesn’t happen much.

    Vikings 39, Chargers 10:
    — Minnesota won eight of its last ten games.
    — Vikings are 13-6 ATS in last 19 games as a road favorite, 3-0 TY.
    — Seven of their last nine games went over the total.

    — LA trailed 12-10 right before half; Rivers fumbled a shotgun snap, got hit, and Vikings ran it in for the TD that broke the game open.
    — Chargers had ball 11 times, committed seven turnovers.
    — Bolts are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games.

    Bills 17, Steelers 10:
    — Buffalo is in playoffs for 2nd time in last three years.
    — Bills are 21-12-4 ATS in last 37 games as a road underdog.
    — Six of their last seven games went under the total.

    — Steelers lose for only 2nd time in last nine games.
    — Pitt/Tennessee are tied for 2nd Wild Card slot with two weeks left.
    — Steelers are 7-11 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite, 1-3 TY.

    Comment


    • #3
      65OTTAWA -66 FLORIDA
      OTTAWA is 12-8 ATS (7.5 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

      67NASHVILLE -68 NY RANGERS
      NASHVILLE is 6-12 ATS (-12.4 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

      69WASHINGTON -70 COLUMBUS
      WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS (8.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

      71COLORADO -72 ST LOUIS
      COLORADO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) off a home win by 2 goals or more in the current season.

      73EDMONTON -74 DALLAS
      DALLAS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.




      NHL

      Monday, December 16


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Columbus Blue Jackets
      Columbus is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
      Columbus is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Columbus's last 20 games at home
      Columbus is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
      Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Washington
      Columbus is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
      Columbus is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
      Washington Capitals
      Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
      The total has gone OVER in 17 of Washington's last 25 games
      Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
      Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Columbus
      Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
      Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus

      Florida Panthers
      Florida is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games
      Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games at home
      Florida is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
      Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
      Florida is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
      Ottawa Senators
      Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Ottawa is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games
      Ottawa is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
      Ottawa is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games on the road
      Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida
      Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida
      Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida

      New York Rangers
      NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Rangers's last 11 games
      NY Rangers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
      NY Rangers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games at home
      NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
      NY Rangers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Nashville
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 6 games when playing Nashville
      NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 9 games when playing at home against Nashville
      Nashville Predators
      Nashville is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
      Nashville is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 7 games
      Nashville is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
      Nashville is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nashville's last 12 games on the road
      Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
      Nashville is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
      Nashville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nashville's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers

      St. Louis Blues
      St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
      St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
      St. Louis is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
      St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
      St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
      St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Colorado
      St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
      St. Louis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Louis's last 12 games when playing at home against Colorado
      Colorado Avalanche
      Colorado is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
      Colorado is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games
      Colorado is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
      Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games on the road
      Colorado is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
      Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
      Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
      Colorado is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 12 games when playing on the road against St. Louis

      Dallas Stars
      Dallas is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 games
      Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
      Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
      Dallas is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games at home
      Dallas is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
      Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
      Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Edmonton
      Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
      Edmonton Oilers
      Edmonton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
      Edmonton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
      Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Edmonton is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
      Edmonton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing Dallas
      Edmonton is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-16-2019, 12:48 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Monday, December 16


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OTTAWA (14-17-0-2, 30 pts.) at FLORIDA (15-12-0-5, 35 pts.) - 12/16/2019, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OTTAWA is 3-22 ATS (+43.4 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
        FLORIDA is 187-213 ATS (-60.4 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
        FLORIDA is 206-187 ATS (-5.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OTTAWA is 3-5 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
        FLORIDA is 5-3-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NASHVILLE (14-12-0-5, 33 pts.) at NY RANGERS (16-12-0-4, 36 pts.) - 12/16/2019, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NASHVILLE is 14-17 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
        NASHVILLE is 1-7 ATS (-6.9 Units) in road games in December games over the last 2 seasons.
        NASHVILLE is 14-17 ATS (-12.8 Units) first half of the season this season.
        NASHVILLE is 17-22 ATS (-17.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
        NASHVILLE is 293-232 ATS (+26.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
        NASHVILLE is 218-186 ATS (+28.8 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
        NY RANGERS are 103-126 ATS (-41.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
        NY RANGERS are 85-93 ATS (-55.1 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.
        NY RANGERS are 125-156 ATS (-99.0 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NY RANGERS is 3-2 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
        NY RANGERS is 3-2-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WASHINGTON (24-5-0-5, 53 pts.) at COLUMBUS (12-14-0-6, 30 pts.) - 12/16/2019, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WASHINGTON is 24-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
        WASHINGTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
        WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in December games over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 24-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
        WASHINGTON is 19-11 ATS (+30.6 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 6-1 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WASHINGTON is 8-7-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
        8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        COLORADO (21-8-0-3, 45 pts.) at ST LOUIS (20-8-0-6, 46 pts.) - 12/16/2019, 8:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ST LOUIS is 49-30 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        COLORADO is 21-11 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
        COLORADO is 10-4 ATS (+14.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
        COLORADO is 21-11 ATS (+8.8 Units) first half of the season this season.
        COLORADO is 267-229 ATS (+26.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
        COLORADO is 60-55 ATS (+121.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
        COLORADO is 200-173 ATS (+374.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ST LOUIS is 8-2 (+5.9 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        ST LOUIS is 8-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        EDMONTON (18-13-0-4, 40 pts.) at DALLAS (19-11-0-4, 42 pts.) - 12/16/2019, 8:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        EDMONTON is 18-14 ATS (+36.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DALLAS is 5-2 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
        DALLAS is 5-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-16-2019, 12:49 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Dunkel

          Monday, December 16



          Ottawa @ Florida

          Game 65-66
          December 16, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Ottawa
          11.526
          Florida
          10.503
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Ottawa
          by 1
          5
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Florida
          -200
          6 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Ottawa
          (+170); Under

          Nashville @ NY Rangers


          Game 67-68
          December 16, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Nashville
          10.318
          NY Rangers
          11.698
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          NY Rangers
          by 1 1/2
          5
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Nashville
          -135
          6
          Dunkel Pick:
          NY Rangers
          (+115); Under

          Washington @ Columbus


          Game 69-70
          December 16, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Washington
          11.534
          Columbus
          10.126
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Washington
          by 1 1/2
          7
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Washington
          -160
          6
          Dunkel Pick:
          Washington
          (-160); Over

          Colorado @ St. Louis


          Game 71-72
          December 16, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Colorado
          10.078
          St. Louis
          11.453
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          St. Louis
          by 1 1/2
          6
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          St. Louis
          -115
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          St. Louis
          (-115); Over

          Edmonton @ Dallas


          Game 73-74
          December 16, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Edmonton
          9.494
          Dallas
          11.318
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Dallas
          by 2
          4
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Dallas
          -180
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Dallas
          (-180); Under
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-16-2019, 12:49 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            by: Josh Inglis


            STRUGGLING ALL-STAR

            The Nashville Predators and, more specifically, goaltender Pekka Rinne are in a slump. The veteran goalie gave up four more goals on Saturday which brings his total to 29 goals allowed in his last eight games. On Monday, Rinne and the Preds will travel to the Big Apple to take on the New York Rangers.

            The Rangers averaged nearly four goals a game over their most recent four-game road trip as their power play went 4-for-12 as well. New York also sits fourth in the league in expected goals since December 8.

            Nashville has recently been playing better than usual on it's penalty kill, as it has killed off its last seven penalties, but still sits 24th in the league at 77.5 percent. The Preds are due to give up a PP tally or two and the young guys from New York might oblige. Take the Rangers’ team total Over 2.5.


            A BOLT OF OVER

            The Ottawa Senators have hit the Over in six of their last eight games as their scoring chance shooting percentage sits fifth-best in December. They have also allowed their opponents to score three or more goals in six of their last eight, making Tuesday’s match against the Tampa Bay Lighting a great spot for an Over.

            The Lightning may be the most disappointing team this year as they sit fifth in the Atlantic Division. The Bolts are just 2-5 SU at home in their last seven but the goal-light operator has been busy at the Amalie Arena as Tampa has hit the Over nine times in its last twelve home games.

            Tampa Bay has the second-best power play in the league and could get ample opportunity to prove themselves against the Senators’ who are averaging nearly four minor penalties a game in December. Take the Over 6.5 on this Tuesday matchup.


            STINGY NETMINDERS

            The Carolina Hurricanes have not allowed a regulation goal in over 130 minutes of hockey — a streak that spans three games. On Wednesday, they will square off with the Winnipeg Jets who bounced back Sunday night with a win after losing to the lowly Red Wings on Saturday.

            Wednesday night’s tilt has the looks of a low-scoring affair. Both Carolina and Winnipeg sit in the Top-6 in goals against on the season but have been even stingier in December. Combined, the Jets and Canes have allowed just 22 goals in their 11 games this month.

            Winnipeg is 4-9-2 O/U at home this year and are 2-5-1 O/U in its last eight while the Hurricanes are 2-9 O/U in their last 11 and 7-9 O/U on the road this year. Hit the Under 5.5 on Tuesday and if it opens at 6, give it a double-tap.


            SNOWSTORM HEADED TO CHICAGO

            The Colorado Avalanche will take their four-game road winning streak into St. Louis on Monday and then to Chicago on Wednesday. Colorado’s offense is back to full health and has been getting scoring production from its Top-9 forwards. That's bad news for the Blackhawks who have allowed their opponents to score four or more goals in seven of their last nine and are 2-4 ATS in their last six.

            Colorado has been one of the league's best traveling teams this year and are 11-6 SU on the road and are averaging 3.4 goals a game while playing better defensive hockey than any other club over their last 10 games.

            With how hot (and deep) the offense has been of late as well as the stellar play from goalie Pavel Francouz, we are going to ride the Avalanche -1.5 Puck Line on Wednesday night.


            GOALIE PROFILE: SEMYON VARLAMOV, NEW YORK ISLANDERS

            Nobody thought that Semyon Varlamov would be 11-3-2 with a 2.24 goals against and a .928 save percentage halfway through December, but here we are. The Russian netminder finds himself among the league leaders in most goalie stats and has been a winner in each of his last four starts.

            On Tuesday, the Islanders will host the Nashville Predators who will have to do something most teams haven’t been able to do this year, which is score goals in Long Island. Varlamov and the Islanders have not allowed an opponent to score more than two goals at home in six of their last eight. New York has just shut it down defensively this month and allows the fewest goals against at home.

            We feel that the Islanders’ ML is the right play here, but if it is outpriced (below -140) we have no problems taking the Under 2.5 on the Predators’ team total.


            INJURY UPDATE: F JARED SPURGEON, MINNESOTA WILD

            The Minnesota Wild have climbed up the Western Conference standings of late having picked up the second-most points in the West over their last 10 games. Things could be getting even better with the return of defenseman Jared Spurgeon this week.

            Spurgeon has been out since December 3 and was second on the team in average ice time at 23:15 a game. Getting the D-man back for Tuesday’s contest against the Vegas Golden Knights could be a big boost for the Wild’s special teams as Spurgeon plays on the top penalty-killing unit and the second power-play unit. The Wild ML should be a great value with Minnesota playing on the road.


            HAT TRICK TRENDS

            • The Colorado Avalanche have the league’s best away record on first-period Overs. The Avs are 14-3 O/U first-period totals on the road and will head to St. Louis on Monday to take on the Blues who are 4-2 O/U first-period totals in their last six.

            • Under bettors had a great week last week as the Unders in 26 of the 44 games (59%). There are fewer totals of 6.5 these days as the league has seen the Under trend take over. Monday’s opening lines listed zero games at 6.5. The Washington at Columbus total of 6 is looking like our favorite for the Under.

            • On Tuesday, the Ottawa Senators will face the Lightning in what will be the tail end of a back-to-back. The Sens should be big underdogs, especially on the road. Ottawa is 5-5 SU in their last 10 games when being a +150 underdog or higher.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-16-2019, 12:50 PM.

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