Announcement

**Udog** · 12-09-2019, 08:31 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top six picks for Week 14 in Westgate Super Contest:

6) Bills (747) +5.5- L

5) Saints (787) -2.5- L

4) Chiefs (803) +3- W

3) 49ers (809) +2.5- W

2) Bengals (895) +8.5- W

1) Rams (899) even- W

2019 record: 45-36-3

**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

49ers 48, Saints 46:
— 49ers’ first five drives: 22 plays, 296 yards, four TD’s.
— Niners are 12-7 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog, 5-0 TY.
— 49ers drove 63 yards in seven plays, kicked GW 30-yard GW FG at the gun.

— Saints’ first four drives: 32 plays, 240 yards, four TD’s.
— Game went over the total in the 2nd quarter.
— Saints are 10-15 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite, 2-4 TY.

Broncos 38, Texans 24:
— Broncos ran 63 plays; only eight were on 3rd down.
— Rookie QB Lock was 22-27/309 passing, with three TD’s.
— Broncos are now 5-4 in last nine games, after an 0-4 start.

— Texans beat New England LW; gambling is hard.
— Houston is 7-12 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite, 1-5 TY
— Denver led 31-3 at halftime; this score makes no sense..

Ravens 24, Bills 17:
— Lamar Jackson is now 17-3 as an NFL starter,
— Baltimore won its last nine games, covering six of last seven.
— Both teams went well under their rushing averages (118-104, Balt).

— Buffalo averaged only 2.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Teams had a combined 42 net passing yards in first half.
— Teams combined to convert only 7-28 third down plays.

Packers 20, Redskins 15:
— Redskins’ first four drives: 16 plays, 32 yards, 2 first downs, 0 points.
— Redskins’ last six drives: 44 plays, 246 yards, 16 first downs, 15 points.
— Washington is 15-10 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog, 4-2 TY.

— Green Bay is 24-15-2 ATS in last 41 games as a home favorite, 4-3 TY
— Four of Packers’ last five games stayed under the total.
— Green Bay had 12-yard advantage in field position.

Browns 27, Bengals 19:
— Cincy outgained Browns 451-333, running 20 more plays than Cleveland.
— Bengals scored one TD, three FG’s on five trips to red zone.
— Under is 6-1-1 in Cincinnati’s last eight games

— Cleveland won four of its last five games.
— Browns had six plays of 20+ yards; four of them came on 3rd down.
— Cleveland’s first TD came on a pick-6 when they trailed 3-0.

Falcons 40, Panthers 20:
— Guess it wasn’t Ron Rivera’s fault.
— Carolina turned ball over four times (-4), converted 3-10 on 3rd down.
— Panthers lost field position battle by 18 yards.

— Ryan broke the game open with a 93-yard TD pass to Zaccheaus in 3rd quarter, making score 27-10.
— Falcons in 2nd half: 6 drives: 30 plays, 207 yards, three TD’s, two FG’s.
— Koo kicked four FG’s, recovered a fumble on a kickoff.

Vikings 20, Lions 7:
— Predictable result for rookie QB making first NFL road start.
— Detroit lost its sixth game in a row.
— Under Patricia, Lions are 6-4-1 ATS as a road underdog, 2-2-1 TY.

— Vikings sacked Blough five times, held Detroit to 3.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Minnesota converted 23 of last 40 third down plays.
— Under Zimmer, Vikings are 25-9-2 ATS as a home favorite, 3-2-1 TY.

Jets 22, Dolphins 21:
— Miami covered seven of its last nine games.
— Dolphins had ball ten times, kicked seven FG’s, missed an 8th try.
— 15 points on six trips to the red zone is no bueno.

— Ficken kicked a 44-yard FG at the gun for the win.
— Darnold drove Jets 51-49 yards for FG’s on Jets’ last two drives.
— Jets won four of last five games overall.

Buccaneers 38, Colts 35:
— Colts lost five of last six games after a 5-2 start.
— All six Indy road games have been decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Not too many NFL teams lose with a +3 turnover ratio.

— Wnston threw for 456 yards, four TD’s, three INT’s.
— Buccaneers have turned ball over 32 times in 13 games (-10).
— This game was over the total at halftime; over is 10-3 in Bucs’ games.

Chargers 45, Jaguars 10:
— Chargers had ball nine times, scored six touchdowns.
— LA averaged 11.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Chargers ran 58 plays, only 8 of them on third down.

— Jaguars lost last five games, allowing 34.8 ppg, with all five losses by 17+ points.
— It is fair to say that Jacksonville has packed it in for the season.
— Jaguars lost for 7th time in last eight meetings with Chargers.

Chiefs 23, Patriots 16:
— Chiefs won four of last five games, clinch AFC West title.
— Under Reid, Kansas City is 15-8 ATS as a road underdog
— Penalty yards: Chiefs 136, Patriots 25

— Patriots lost 2nd game in row, converting 2-12 on third down.
— New England is #2-seed in AFC; they’re 0-3 vs #1-3-4 seeds.
— Under is 9-4 in Patriot games this season.

Steelers 23, Cardinals 17:
— Steelers won seven of last eight games after a 1-4 start.
— Pittsburgh is 3-0 with 3rd-string QB Hodges starting.
— Under is 9-2 in Steelers’ last ten games.

— Arizona lost its last six games, but covered six of last nine.
— Cardinals scored only 10 points in three trips to red zone.
— Total yardage was 275-236 Steelers; only five plays of 20+ yards.

Titans 42, Raiders 21:
— Tennessee won six of its last seven games after a 2-4 start.
— Titans converted 8-11 third down plays, gained 552 yards on 59 plays.
— Tannehill averaged 14.5 yards/pass attempt— his resurgence is one of the big stories in the league this season.

— Raiders in first half: 4 drives: 29 plays, 194 yards, 12 first downs, 21 points.
— Raiders in second half: 6 drives: 31 plays, 163 yards, 10 first downs, 0 points.
— Oakland gave up a defensive TD for third week in a row.

Rams 28, Seahawks 12:
— This was Seattle’s first road loss this season.
— Seahawks’ only TD scored n a pick-6 early in third quarter.
— 49ers move back on top of NFC West standings.

— Rams outgained Seattle 455-308; their best performance in long time.
— Seven of Rams’ last eight games went under the total.
— Gurley/Higbee/Woods are first trio of teammates to all gain 100+ yards from scrimmage in consecutive weeks since the 2000 Vikings.

**Udog** · 12-09-2019, 08:37 AM

33COLUMBUS -34 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games in the current season.

35NY ISLANDERS -36 TAMPA BAY
NY ISLANDERS are 12-2 ATS (10.5 Units) against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game in the current season.

37BOSTON -38 OTTAWA
BOSTON is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

39CALGARY -40 COLORADO
COLORADO is 14-5 ATS (10.1 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

NHL

Monday, December 9

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Trend Report
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Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
Tampa Bay is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing NY Islanders
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
New York Islanders
NY Islanders is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Islanders is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 8 games
NY Islanders is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games on the road
NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Islanders is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Islanders is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
NY Islanders is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

Washington Capitals
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Washington's last 25 games
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Columbus
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Columbus
Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Columbus is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 7 games
Columbus is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Columbus is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games on the road
Columbus is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Washington
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington

Ottawa Senators
Ottawa is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Ottawa is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Boston
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Boston
Ottawa is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Boston
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Boston Bruins
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 19-6 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games on the road
Boston is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Ottawa
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Boston is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa

Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
Calgary Flames
Calgary is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games
Calgary is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Calgary is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 8 games on the road
Calgary is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Calgary is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Calgary is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Calgary is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado

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**Udog** · 12-09-2019, 09:44 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, December 9

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COLUMBUS (11-14-0-4, 26 pts.) at WASHINGTON (22-4-0-5, 49 pts.) - 12/9/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 22-9 ATS (+32.3 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 22-8 ATS (+9.3 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 22-9 ATS (+9.4 Units) first half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 134-85 ATS (+33.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-6 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-6-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-1.1 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (19-7-0-2, 40 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (14-10-0-3, 31 pts.) - 12/9/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 15-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 73-32 ATS (+14.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 51-18 ATS (+20.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 19-9 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 19-9 ATS (+7.9 Units) first half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 4-9 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 4-9 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 3-4 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 4-3-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

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BOSTON (20-4-0-6, 46 pts.) at OTTAWA (12-17-0-1, 25 pts.) - 12/9/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 25-24 ATS (+62.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 10-4 ATS (+16.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-2 ATS (+10.5 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 10-0 (+10.0 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 10-0-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

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CALGARY (15-12-0-4, 34 pts.) at COLORADO (19-8-0-2, 40 pts.) - 12/9/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 19-10 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 19-10 ATS (+30.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 266-228 ATS (-27.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
CALGARY is 72-64 ATS (+147.9 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
COLORADO is 98-93 ATS (-87.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 7-6 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 7-6-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

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**Udog** · 12-09-2019, 10:17 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, December 9

NY Islanders @ Tampa Bay

Game 35-36
December 9, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
11.721
Tampa Bay
10.439
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-185
6
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(+160); Over

Columbus @ Washington

Game 33-34
December 9, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
9.793
Washington
13.228
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-240
6
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-240); Under

Boston @ Ottawa

Game 37-38
December 9, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
10.908
Ottawa
11.749
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-190
6
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+165); Over

Calgary @ Colorado

Game 39-40
December 9, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
11.271
Colorado
13.905
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-165
6
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-165); Under

**Udog** · 12-09-2019, 11:27 AM

by: Josh Inglis

FLAMES WON’T MELT THIS AVALANCHE

On Monday,the second-place team in the Western Conference, the Colorado Avalanche, will host the Calgary Flames who will be on the front-end of a back-to-back road trip. The Avs offense is at full strength with its top-line finally back together after nearly a monthapart due to injuries.

The reunion is bad news for the league as Colorado has ripped off six straight wins and have outscored its opponents 26-10 since November 27.

Calgary has been playing good hockey of late, having won its last four, but those wins came against the Sabres (2), Kings and Senators while the Flames are scoring just 2.1 goals over thei last 10.

Avs’ starting goalie Philipp Grubauer is questionable after leaving Saturday’s game, but backup Pavel Francouz is no slouch and has won his last three games, holding opponents to just four goals on 92 shots.

Colorado is 7-1 ATS at home in its last eight wins this year. We are stacking this game and playing the Avalanche 3-way ML (-105) as well as the -1.5 for +170.

WILD FOR THE OVER

Since starting goalie Devan Dubnyk went down with an injury on November 17, the Minnesota Wild have allowed the third-most goals in the league. Minny is 3-0-2 O/U in its last five thanks to scoring three or more goals in each of its home games where they average 3.8 goals a game.

The Anaheim Ducks will travel to Minnesota on Tuesday for the second game of a two-game road trip before heading back to California. The Ducks have been playing some loose hockey on the road this year as they are 6-2 O/U in their last eight road games as their penalty kill is getting scored on nearly 40 percent of the time since mid-November — the worst-mark in the league.

We expect the Wild to start backup Kappo Kahkonen who is only 23 and has played just two games in the league. The rookie is due for a poor performance after two solid starts to begin his career and teams having more tape on him. Take the Over 6 and we will pound it if it opens at 5.5.

DETROIT SAD WINGS

The Winnipeg Jets will welcome the Detroit Red Wings to the Bell MTS Place (terrible name) with open arms on Tuesday as the Wings are riding a laughable 11-game losing streak. Over this shameful streak that began on November 14, Detroit’s opponents are scoring an average of 4.4 goals a game and have scored four or more in nine of the 11 games.

Things won’t get better for Detroit as they could be without their leading scorer in Tyler Bertuzzi who is playing close to 20 minutes a game but left Saturday’s game with an injury.

We are taking the Jets -1.5 as Detroit is 0-7 ATS in its last seven.

POOR PLAY POWERS OVER

On Wednesday, we turn our attention to two Eastern Conference teams who sit 13th and 14th in points over their last 10 games. The Montreal Canadiens have recently brought up rookie goalie Cayden Primeau after waiving backup Keith Kinklaid.

The move is an effort to spark something from the club as the Canadiens sit on the outskirts of a playoff spot and are tied for the league lead in goals allowed over their last 10. Although the Habs are just 1-4 O/U in their last five games as of Monday, they are 4-1-1 O/U in their previous six contests at home.

The Ottawa Senators have rewarded Over backers when they travel as the 14th-place Sens are 4-1 O/U in their last five road contests. This will also be their seventh road game in an eight-game stretch.

Making matters worse for Ottawa is the fact that its starting goalie Craig Andersen, who just returned from injury, was lifted from Saturday’s game against Philadelphia with another injury and his status is up in the air. We are banging the Over 6.5 on this Canadian hump day contest.

GOALIE PROFILE: TRISTAN JARRY, PITTSBURGH PENGUINS

Tristan Jarry has stopped all 61 shots he has faced over his last two starts and hasn’t allowed a goal in nearly 140 minutes of action. The Pens have also won five of his last six starts as the 24-year-old netminder is becoming one of a handful of bright young goaltenders in the league. Incredibly, Jarry has allowed more than two goals in just two of his 11 games this year and sits first in goals against (1.81) and save percentage (.943).

The Montreal Canadiens will try their best to solve Jarry on Tuesday and will probably have to do so at even strength. Montreal’s power play is in the bottom-10 over the last three weeks at 15 percent which is slightly better than its 28th-ranked penalty kill.

We are riding the hottest goalie in the league and will take the Pens 3-way ML on Tuesday night.

INJURY UPDATE: F PATRICE BERGERON, BOSTON BRUINS

The best could get better this week as the No. 1 team in the East, the Boston Bruins, may get the services of their top center in Patrice Bergeron. The two-way pivot has been out since Nov 26 and could suit up Monday versus the Ottawa Senators or Wednesday against the Washington Capitals. The Bruins went 5-2 SU without the centerman but have dropped their last two games and now head out on a four-game road trip along the East coast.

Getting Bergeron back will help in shaping out all four lines and especially the team’s power play. The Bruins’ PP scored at 17 percent without Bergeron but was the best in the league at 32 percent with him on the ice. Look for the Bruins to top their team total of 3.5 on Monday and Wednesday if Bergeron does rejoin the team.

HAT TRICK TRENDS

• Through 14 home games, the Washington Capitals have been an Over machine going 11-2-1 O/U at Capital One Arena this year. On Monday, the Metropolitan’s best will entertain the Columbus Blue Jackets with the Over set at 6. The Caps are 8-2-1 O/U on totals of six and the Blue Jackets are 7-7-1 on totals of six.

• The L.A. Kings are surprisingly the only team in the league hitting first-period Overs at 80 percent in their last 10. The Kings will host the New York Rangers on Tuesday night. New York is 8-4 O/U on the road in first-period totals and is 6-4 O/U in its last 10.

• Away favorites went a cool 6-7 ATS last week which hasn’t happened often this year as away favorites are 34-76 (31%) over the course of the season. Away teams hit at over 57 percent in the last seven days going 26-19 which is almost bang on to their season mark of 56.59 percent. On Monday, the Boston Bruins are the only away favorite with their Puck Line (-1.5) at +135.

Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/9

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/9

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