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Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/22

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  • Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/22

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, November 22

    Good Luck on day # 326 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    College hoop teams getting highest %age of their points on 3-pointers:

    — North Florida 53.8%

    — Virginia Tech 51%

    — Villanova 50%

    — Bowling Green 46.8%

    — TCU, Illinois-Chicago 46%

    — Binghamton 45.9%


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here….

    13) Texans 20, Colts 17— Houston takes over first place in AFC South; they outgained the Colts by 100 yards (396-296). Indy threw ball for only 121 yards, even though Houston’s secondary is banged-up. Colts converted 9-15 3rd down plays, but fall to 6-5.

    12) Disappointing but hardly surprising that major league baseball may want to implement a plan to shrink minor league baseball, by as many as 100 teams.

    MLB enjoys an exemption from federal antitrust law that has lasted since the Supreme Court’s decision in the 1922 case Federal Baseball Club v. National League; that exemption could be used as leverage by Congress against shrinking the minor leagues.

    Minor league baseball is affordable fun in lot of smaller towns around the country, and also provides a decent amount of jobs; would be sad if the greed of major league owners eliminated those jobs, and eliminated fun for lot of people in smaller towns.

    11) Speaking of the minor leagues, the Class A Rancho Cucamonga Quakes will be giving away a Cody Bellinger/Mike Trout “double MVP bobblehead” at a 2020 home game this summer; the Quakes are only team both Bellinger/Trout have played for.

    10) Chicago White Sox signed C Yasmani Grandal to a 4-year, $73M contract.

    9) Rough night for the Pac-12:
    — Omaha 85, Washington State 77
    — Coastal Carolina 79, Utah 57
    — Duke 87, California 52
    — Arizona 71, South Dakota State 64
    — Stanford 80, William & Mary 50
    — UCLA xx, Hofstra xx

    8) Bucks 137, Trailblazers 129— Portland is a disappointing 5-10. Antetokounmpo scored 24 points, had 19 rebounds, 15 assists for the Bucks.

    7) Notre Dame 64, Toledo 59 OT— Rockets were 7-point underdogs; they blew a 5-point lead in the last minute of regulation. Irish hit a 3-pointer at buzzer to force OT.

    Willie Jackson had 11 points, 20 rebounds for the Rockets.

    6) On November 21, 1976, the classic movie Rocky was released; it cost $1M to make, and grossed $225M worldwide. It was nominated for 10 Academy Awards- for better or worse, they’ve made seven sequels.

    5) The football field in the new dome the Rams/Chargers will play in starting next year will be 100 feet below ground level, and is at the center of a construction site three times the size of Disneyland. It will wind up costing over $5B; thats billion, with a B.

    4) Charlotte Hornets’ Devonte Graham is the 4th player in NBA history to make 50+ 3’s and dish out 100+ assists in his team’s first 15 games of the season.

    3) Georgetown 82, Texas 66— Patrick Ewing’s Hoyas play Duke tonight on the court where Ewing called home during his stellar NBA career. Texas led this game by 5 at the half.

    2) Western Carolina 96, Jacksonville 94 2OT— Catamounts were down 15 at the half, get their first road win in three tries. Tough loss for Artis Gilmore’s alma mater.

    1) RIP Fred Cox, 80, the Vikings’ all-time leading scorer and the inventor of the Nerf football. Cox finished his career with 1,365 points and led the Vikings in scoring 11 years in a row.

    Cox became a chiropractor after his kicking days were done.

    Comment


    • #3
      27NEW JERSEY -28 PITTSBURGH
      NEW JERSEY is 51-44 ATS (2.6 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

      29NY RANGERS -30 OTTAWA
      OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS (9.3 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game in the current season.




      NHL

      Friday, November 22


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      Trend Report
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      Pittsburgh Penguins
      Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
      Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
      Pittsburgh is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games at home
      Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games at home
      Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
      Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
      Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey
      Pittsburgh is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against New Jersey
      Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey
      New Jersey Devils
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games
      New Jersey is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      New Jersey is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      New Jersey is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
      New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
      New Jersey is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
      New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
      New Jersey is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
      New Jersey is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

      Ottawa Senators
      Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games
      Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
      Ottawa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
      Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
      Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
      Ottawa is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ottawa's last 10 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
      New York Rangers
      NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
      NY Rangers is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 6 games on the road
      NY Rangers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
      NY Rangers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
      NY Rangers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
      NY Rangers is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 10 games when playing on the road against Ottawa


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      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-22-2019, 12:13 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Friday, November 22


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        NEW JERSEY (7-9-0-4, 18 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (11-7-0-4, 26 pts.) - 11/22/2019, 7:05 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEW JERSEY is 7-2 (+8.1 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
        NEW JERSEY is 7-2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

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        NY RANGERS (9-8-0-2, 20 pts.) at OTTAWA (10-11-0-1, 21 pts.) - 11/22/2019, 7:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OTTAWA is 7-4 ATS (+12.2 Units) in November games this season.
        OTTAWA is 8-3 ATS (+12.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
        NY RANGERS are 23-12 ATS (+36.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
        NY RANGERS are 149-139 ATS (+298.4 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
        OTTAWA is 121-106 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OTTAWA is 5-3 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
        OTTAWA is 5-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.1 Units)

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        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-22-2019, 12:14 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          by: Josh Inglis


          HACKY SACK

          The New York Giants and the Chicago Bears have been allowing 8.4 sacks combined over the last three weeks. However, both these teams have struggled to take down opposing QBs this year as they sit in the bottom half in the league in sacks per game at nearly five takedowns combined. This last stat may give us some value in a total-sacks prop that won’t be set too high thanks to the Bears’ and Giants’ sacks per game rate.

          Daniel Jones has been sacked 22 times in his last four games because the Giants have been pass-happy of late, averaging 39 passes a game since Week seven. Mitch Trubisky will have a short leash that could work in our favor. The Bears QB has been sacked nine times in his last two home games and if Mitch gives way to Chase Daniel, that could be money in the bank. The Bears’ backup was sacked twice in four dropbacks last week while getting taken down four more times in 30 pass attempts in his only other start this year.

          We are 6-1 on our weekly sack plays and will be taking the Over 5.5 sacks in the Giants-Bears matchup Sunday.


          SKIPPING LEG DAY

          Bears’ kicker Eddy Pineiro has zero trust from his coaching staff as Matt Nagy decided to go for it on 4th and nine from their opponents 31-yard line in a 0-0 game. Over their last three games, Nagy’s Bears have attempted just 0.7 FGs.

          The Giants are dead last in field goal attempts this season and are kicking a whopping one three-point attempt per game. New York’s kicker Aldrick Rosas is 8-for-10 this year with a long of just thirty-six yards.

          Chicago will be breezy Sunday with winds expected in the double digits, further helping our lean on this kicking prop. Take the Under 44.5 yards longest field goal scored.


          DRISKEL DRUMMING UP RUSHES

          Jeff Driskel will start again for the Lions Sunday against Washington as Matthew Stafford may have to sit out the rest of the season with Detroit out of playoff contention. The word on Driskel’s rushing ability is not widely known yet but the Lions’ starter rushed for 51 yards on eight carries and had a rushing TD for good measure last week.

          Driskel is not afraid to take off and run as the 26-year-old QB has averaged 4.5 carries over his seven career starts. The Washington is allowing a completion rate of 71 percent which may stop Driskel from taking off as much but we still like his rushing prospects for Sunday and will take the Over on any number below 23 yards.


          TAKE THESE BROKEN WENTZ

          The Philadelphia Eagles receiving core is a mess. Last week they gave 88 percent of the snaps to Jordan Mathews who had just signed two weeks ago and now Nelson Agholor appears questionable for Sunday’s game against the Seattle Seahawks.

          They could have Alshon Jeffrey back this week, but this is a run-first offense and with Jordan Howard likely back this week after missing Week 11, we don’t see Carson Wentz and the offense airing things out against Seattle. The Eagles are 24th in the league in passing yards per game at 215 and 28th over their last three games at 185 yards.

          We are jumping on the Under 241.5 passing yards for Carson Wentz, a number he has not eclipsed in four-straight games.


          HOME FAVS LEADING THE WAY

          Over the last 30 days, home favorites have been winning SU at 73 percent clip and last week they hit at 78 percent. This week, home teams are favored in nine of the 13 games. Our two favorite home favorite MLs this week are the Atlanta Falcons and the New England Patriots. Parlayed together, this two-teamer pays out an even +100.

          New England has won 16-straight games at home and is allowing just 11 points per game at Gillette stadium this year. The offense hasn’t looked great, but this is a defense-first team that could give the Cowboys some problems as they have only beat the Redskins, the Giants and the Lions on the road this year while losing to the Jets and Saints.

          Atlanta has run off two consecutive wins versus divisional opponents and picked off Kyle Allen four times last week. They also haven’t allowed a touchdown in 10 quarters of football. They could really force Bruce Arians to sit Jameis Winston if the Dirty Birds get to the Bucs’ QB early.

          Take the Pats ML and Falcons ML for a +100 payout.

          Comment

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