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**Udog** · 11-11-2019, 07:21 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top six picks for Week 10 in Westgate Super Contest:

6) Cardinals +4.5 (794)- W

5) Bills +3 (848)- T

4) Cowboys -3 (863)- L

3) Rams -3.5 (1,083)- L

2) Seahawks +6.5 (1,115)-

1) Chiefs -3.5 (1,750)- L

2019 record: 26-30-3

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

Titans 35, Chiefs 32:
— Mahomes threw for 446 yards in his return from injury.
— Chiefs lost four of their last six games.
— Tennessee ran ball 26 times for 225 yards; Henry had a 68-yard TD run.

— Titans are 5-0 when they score 23+ points, 0-5 when they do not.
— Tennessee won its last three home games by total of 10 points.
— All four Tannehill starts went over the total.

Browns 19, Bills 16:
— Buffalo missed 52-yard FG that would’ve tied game; they also missed a 34-yarder.
— Bills are 5-0 when they score 17+ points, 0-3 when they don’t.
— Seven of nine Buffalo games stayed under the total.

— Browns drove 82 yards on 10 plays for winning TD with 1:44 left.
— Cleveland won for first time in four home games.
— Browns outrushed Bills 147-84; they’re 5-11-1 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite.

Buccaneers 30, Cardinals 27:
— Cardinals covered five of their last six games.
— Seven of 10 Arizona games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
— NFC West road underdogs are 8-1 ATS outside their division.

— Tampa Bay drove 64 yards in six plays for winning TD with 1:44 left.
— Bucs converted 7-15 third down plays, Arizona 1-10.
— Tampa Bay is 4-16-1 ATS in its last 21 games as a home favorite

Jets 34, Giants 27:
— In their last four games, Giants allowed four TD’s on defense/special teams.
— Four of Giants’ last five games went over the total.
— NFC East non-divisional favorites are 3-9 ATS.

— Jets’ safety Adams scored defensive TD, taking ball out of QB Jones’ hands and running it in for a score.
— Total yardage was 294-267 Jets; lot of points for so few yards.
— Jets’ first two drives: 22 plays, 121 yards, two touchdowns.

Falcons 26, Saints 9:
— Atlanta snaps their six-game losing skid, gets first road win.
— Falcons are 2-9 ATS now in last 11 games a road underdog, 1-3 TY
— Atlanta covered seven of last nine post-bye games.

— Loss ends Saints’ 6-game winning streak.
— Brees was sacked 6 times; Falcons came into game with only 7 sacks.
— New Orleans committed 12 penalties for 90 yards, 6 of which gave Atlanta a first down.

Ravens 49, Bengals 13:
— Baltimore had two defensive TD’s, has five in their last three games.
— Ravens won their last five games, scoring 30.0 ppg.
— Baltimore’s first three drives: 24 plays, 230 yards, three TD’s.

— Ravens’ defense outscored Bengals’ offense, 14-13.
— In their last two games, Cincy allowed 12.0/11.0 yards/ pass attempt.
— Bengals covered once in their last six post-bye games.

Packers 24, Panthers 16:
— Green Bay defense stopped McCaffrey at goal line on the last play.
— Carolina is 4-0 when they score 30+ points, 0-4 when they do not.
— NFC South road underdogs are 5-8 ATS outside the division.

— Jones ran ball 13 times for 93 yards, three TD’s.
— Rodgers threw for 233 yards, no TD’s; Packers converted 4-9 on 3rd down.
— Next week is Green Bay’s bye week, latest one they’ve ever had.

Bears 20, Lions 13:
— Lions’ QB Stafford (back) missed his first start in 136 games.
— Detroit is 3-5-1, with four losses by 7 or less points.
— Backup QB Driskel was 27-46/269 in his 6th career start (1-5).

— Chicago’s first four drives: 15 plays, 25 yards, four punts.
— Bears converted only 2 of 12 third down plays, Lions 7-18.
— Win snaps Chicago’s four-game losing skid.

Dolphins 16, Colts 12:
— Miami has now led their last four games at halftime, winning last two.
— Dolphins covered their last five games.
— Six of last eight Miami games stayed under the total.

— Hoyer threw INT in end zone first series of game, setting tone for day.
— Hoyer completed only 18-39 passes, converted 5-13 third down plays.
— Both teams averaged under 5.0 yards/pass attempt, in a dome.

Steelers 17, Rams 12:
— Rams scored a defensive TD 0:14 into the game, their only TD of the day.
— Rams on 3rd down: in wins, 35-73 (47.9%), losses 8-45 (17.8%)
— LA’s last four games stayed under the total.

— Steelers won their last four games after a 1-4 start.
— Pitt is 10-4-1 ATS in last 15 games as a home underdog, 3-0 TY
— Defenses scored 16 of the 29 points in this game.

Vikings 28, Cowboys 24:
— Minnesota won five of its last six games.
— Vikings ran ball for 153 yards, Dallas only 50 yards.
— Both teams converted more than 50% on 3rd down (Minn 8-14/Dallas 9-15)

— Cowboys scored 31+ points in all five of their wins, 10-24-22-24 in their losses.
— Four of last five Dallas games went over the total.
— NFC East teams are 9-16 ATS outside the division, 3-4 as HF.

**Udog** · 11-11-2019, 07:25 AM

15ARIZONA -16 WASHINGTON
ARIZONA is 14-3 ATS (15.6 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons.

17OTTAWA -18 CAROLINA
OTTAWA is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

NHL

Monday, November 11

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Trend Report
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Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Carolina is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games at home
Carolina is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Carolina is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
Ottawa is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Ottawa is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Ottawa is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina

Washington Capitals
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 12 games
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Arizona
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Coyotes
Arizona is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games
Arizona is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona's last 13 games on the road
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing Washington
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington

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**Udog** · 11-11-2019, 08:48 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, November 11

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ARIZONA (9-6-0-2, 20 pts.) at WASHINGTON (13-2-0-3, 29 pts.) - 11/11/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 130-84 ATS (+232.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 37-19 ATS (+12.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 68-50 ATS (-2.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 104-70 ATS (+16.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
ARIZONA is 25-24 ATS (+58.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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OTTAWA (6-9-0-1, 13 pts.) at CAROLINA (9-7-0-1, 19 pts.) - 11/11/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 2-18 ATS (+35.5 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 25-30 ATS (-19.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 1-5 ATS (-7.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
CAROLINA is 0-5 ATS (-8.3 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
CAROLINA is 217-184 ATS (-4.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 5-2 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 5-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

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**Udog** · 11-11-2019, 11:42 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, November 11

Arizona @ Washington

Game 15-16
November 11, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
10.246
Washington
13.559
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-180
6
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-180); Over

Ottawa @ Carolina

Game 17-18
November 11, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
11.531
Carolina
9.149
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-240
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+200); Over

**Udog** · 11-11-2019, 11:43 AM

Capitals cashing in on Overs, and the NHL best bets you need to make this week
Josh Inglis

We're now more than a month into the NHL season and some strong trends are starting to form, including the Washington Capitals emerging as the best Over bet in the league. We ride that bet and bring you some of our other favorite wagers and predictions as we break down the hockey odds in our early week NHL betting primer.

SENS CLIMBING CELLAR

The Ottawa Senators (3-2 SU, 2-3 O/U last five) are making a move to escape the Eastern Conference basement. The Sens had a difficult schedule that saw them play five games in eight days but managed to grab three wins, covering the -1.5 twice. To add, Ottawa hasn’t lost in back-to-back games since October 21, a span of eight games.

The Sens will travel to Carolina to take on the struggling Hurricanes on Monday. Carolina has dropped four straight games, being outscored 15 to 7 which includes a 4-1 loss to Ottawa last Saturday. Petr Mrazek should get the start in goal for the Hurricanes. The goalie has allowed three goals or more in 5 of his last seven starts. Grab the Sen’s plus-money ML +200.

CAPS ARE OVER THE TOP

The Washington Capitals have been an over-machine in the early part of the 2019-20 season. Heading into the start of this week, the Capitals are 13-3-1 O/U which is by far the best mark in the league. Washington plays Monday (Arizona), Wednesday (Flyers), Friday (Canadiens) and Saturday (Bruins).

With the heavy schedule, the Caps will likely split starts between Braden Holtby and Ilya Samsonov. Holtby has allowed less than three goals in a game just twice over his last seven while his last Under was back on October 5. Samsonov’s last four games have seen totals of six, 11, seven and nine goals.

We are riding the Over for each of Washington’s four games this week.

NO PLACE LIKE SIN CITY

The Vegas Knights (2-3 SU, 2-3 O/U last five) wrapped up a four-game, six-night road trip on Sunday and will finally get back to T-Mobile Arena Wednesday night when they’ll take on the Chicago Blackhawks (3-2 SU, 2-3 O/U). The Knights haven’t been playing their best hockey lately but a trip home to face the West’s worst road team in the Blackhawks should help right the ship.

The Blackhawks have yet to win in regulation on the road this year and have just one win in seven games. A lot of their struggles can be blamed on their scoring woes. They are potting just 2.50 goals per game which is the fourth-worst mark in the league. That number gets even worse on the road as Chicago is burying just 1.86 goals a game as the visitor.

Take the Golden Knights in regulation (3-way).

WINGS WANDER OUT WEST

Robby Fabbri has found a new home in Detroit as the Red Wings (2-3 SU, 1-5 O/U last five) traded for the forward last week. The move showed immediate returns as he sniped two power play goals in his first game — a 4-2 win over the Bruins. However, the excitement may not last long as the Wings take their seven-game road losing streak to Anaheim on Tuesday.

The Ducks have held their opponents to an average of 1.83 goals in their six wins at home this year. That's bad news for Detroit as they are averaging 1.29 goals per game over their ugly road losing streak. With the Red Wings having scored two or fewer goals in 10 of their last 15 games, take their team total Under 2.5.

GOALIE PROFILE: FREDERIK ANDERSEN, TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS

Freddy Andersen has put his early-season struggles behind him. Last week the netminder picked up five of a possible six points in three games while stopping 91 of 95 shots. He has a 2.22 goals against average and a .929 save percentage over the last four weeks.

The Leafs are on the road for seven of their next eight with their next stop in New York to face the Islanders on Wednesday. The Islanders have won 11 of their last 12 but have been doing it with the defense more than their offense. New York is scoring 3.0 goals per game, while allowing 1.3 goals against over their last five.

With Freddy having a decent 2.69 GAA after three or more days of rest, this will be a great spot for the Under 6 for the Wednesday night matchup. Nassau will be rocking as the home crowd is still bitter at John Tavares — who will stroll into his former place of employment wearing the “C” for the Leafs.

INJURY UPDATE: F MITCH MARNER, TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS

Mitch Marner left Saturday’s game with a lower-body injury and didn’t return. He also didn’t travel with the team to Chicago for Sunday’s 5-4 loss. The talented winger will now be out up to four weeks as the team reported on Sunday night.

This may have the biggest effect on Toronto’s power play where Marner was responsible for a lot of zone entries. The Leafs were an anemic 3-for-34 over their last 10 games heading into Sunday’s game with the man advantage. Losing Mitch will almost certainly hurt those already depressing numbers. Facing the Islanders’ seventh-best penalty kill on Wednesday also won’t help the matter.

We liked the Under 6 as mentioned above and we will also double down on the Leafs team total Under 3.5.

HAT TRICK TRENDS

• The New Jersey Devils are 7-1 O/U at home this year and will face the Ottawa Senators (3-3 O/U away) Wednesday night. The Vegas Knights are also 7-1 O/U at home and will face a Blackhawks team Wednesday that is coming off a nine-goal game on Sunday.

If you’re an Under person, the best matchup early in the week looks like the Edmonton Oilers at the San Jose Sharks on Tuesday night. The Sharks are 4-5-1 O/U at home this year while the Oilers are one of the more frequent Under road teams as they are 3-7 O/U on the road this year.

• Last weekend, we hit our +345 three-team 1P Over parlay by following some basic first-period trends. Here is another go for Tuesday night’s slate: The Boston Bruins and Florida Panthers are a combined 14-6 O/U on first-period totals in their last 10. The Columbus Blue Jackets at the Montreal Canadiens (15-5 O/U 1P last 10), and the Arizona Coyotes at the St. Louis Blues (15-5 O/U 1P last 10) round out this three-teamer.

• Over the last four weeks, home teams are winning at 53 percent on Mondays, 61 percent on Tuesdays and 62.5 percent on Wednesdays. The Under has been hitting with more frequency over the last month as well, especially early in the week. The Under is hitting at 53 percent on Mondays, 70 percent on Tuesdays and 44 percent on Wednesdays over the last four weeks.

Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/11

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/11

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