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Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/4

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  • Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/4

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, November 4

    Good Luck on day # 308 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Top six picks for Week 9 in Westgate Super Contest:

    6) Colts -1 (929)- L
    5) Buccaneers +6 (1,031)- T
    4) Vikings +2.5 (1,104)- L
    3) Patriots -3 (1,130)- L
    2) Packers -3.5 (1,251)- L
    1) Browns -3 (1,,257)- L

    2019 record: 25-27-2


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up Week 9 in the NFL…..

    49ers 28, Cardinals 25
    — San Francisco won field position by ten yards.
    — 49ers converted 11-17 3rd down plays, Arizona 2-8.
    — Niners are 8-0, have their first meeting with Seattle next week.

    — Cardinals are 18-57 on 3rd down in their losses, 29-63 in wins/tie.
    — Before this, Arizona had beaten the 49ers eight games in a row.
    — Cardinals are 22-14-1 ATS in last 37 games as a home underdog.

    Texans 26, Jaguars 3:
    — Season series has now been swept last nine years.
    — Houston ran ball for 216 yards, won field position by 11 yards.
    — Texans are 14-4 ATS in pre-bye games, winning/covering last five.

    — Jaguars are +8 in turnovers in their wins,-10 in losses.
    — Jax dropped back to pass 51 times, ran ball only 15 times, un-Jaguar-like.
    — Losing side scored 12 of fewer points in last six series games.

    Bills 24, Redskins 9:
    — Last three games, Washington has no TD’s on 23 drives. None. Zero.
    — Redskins converted 12 of last 58 third down plays. No bueno.
    — With this loss, QB’s making their NFL debut are 8-1 ATS this year.

    — Buffalo’s three first half drives: 31 plays, 159 yards, 17 points.
    — Bills are 6-2, visits Browns/Dolphins next two weeks; time to make hay?
    — Home teams won all six 1:00 games SU Sunday, which is unusual.

    Panthers 30, Titans 20:
    — Titans are 4-0 scoring 23+ points, 0-5 when they don’t.
    — Tennessee outgained Carolina 431-370, missed FG’s of 42-55-43 yards.
    — Titans are 11-22 ATS in last 33 games as a road underdog, 1-3 TY.

    — Carolina was +2 in turnovers, won field position by 17 yards.
    — Panthers won five of six games with Kyle Allen at QB.
    — Carolina has converted only 14 of last 54 third down plays.

    Eagles 22, Bears 14:
    — First half yardage: Eagles 202, Chicago 9.
    — Bears are 7-11 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog.
    — Chicago lost its last four games overall, allowing 24.8 ppg.

    — Eagles outgained Chicago 373-164 for the game.
    — Philly converted 8-18 third down plays, Bears only 2-10.
    — Eagles beat Chicago for 5th time in row, including LY’s playoffs.

    Chiefs 26, Vikings 23:
    — Vikings had their 4-game winning streak snapped.
    — Minnesota went 3/out on six of their 12 drives.
    — Vikings lost last trips to Arrowhead, all by 5 or fewer points.

    — Butker made 44-yard FG with 2:30 left, a 44-yarder at gun for the win.
    — Chiefs scored only two TD’s; one was a 91-yard TD run.
    — KC snaps an uncharacteristic 3-game home losing skid.

    Dolphins 26, Jets 18:
    — Jets drove 75 yards for a TD on first possession, their only TD of the day.
    — NYJ has been outscored 110-53 in losing all four road games
    — Jets are 3-6-1 ATS in last ten games as a road favorite.

    — Miami gets its first win of season in eight tries.
    — Dolphins outscored last four opponents 48-45 in first half.
    — Miami won four in row over the Jets, are 7-4 ATS in last 11 games as a series underdog.

    Steelers 26, Colts 24:
    — Vinatieri missed a 42-yard FG with 1:11 left that proved fatal; he also missed a PAT.
    — QB Brissett hurt his knee early on; Hoyer was 17-26/168 with three TD’s in relief.
    — Colts covered all four of their road games this season.

    — Fitzpatrick had a 96-yard pick-6 2:21 before halftime, Steelers’ first TD.
    — Steelers won four of last five games after an 0-3 start.
    — Villanueva recovered a Rudolph fumble in end zone for a safety, saving Pitt five points.

    Raiders 31, Lions 24:
    — Detroit had ball on Oakland 1-yard line in last minute, couldn’t score.
    — Stafford threw for 406 yards in a losing cause.
    — Detroit allowed 122 points in last four games; they’ve held only one team (LAC) under 23

    — Renfrow caught winning 9-yard TD pass with 2:04 left to play.
    — Five of last six Oakland games went over the total.
    — There were 16 plays of 20+ yards in this game, three more than any game this week.

    Seahawks 40, Buccaneers 34 OT:
    — Buccaneers led this game 21-7 late in 2nd quarter.
    — Evans caught 12 balls for 180 yards and a TD.
    — Tampa Bay scores 32.8 ppg in games with 0 or 1 turnover, 22 ppg in the others.

    — Seattle’s last seven drives: 42 plays, 366 yards, 26 points.
    — Lockett caught 13 balls for 152 yards and two TD’s.
    — Seahawks won five of their last six games; Wilson is the MVP so far.

    Broncos 24, Browns 19:
    — Browns scored 16 points on five trips to red zone; not good.
    — Cleveland gave up TD plays of 21-75-30 yards; Denver had zero snaps in red zone.
    — Since 2013, Browns are 1-4 ATS as a road favorite.

    — Three QB’s named Allen started Sunday; they all won their game.
    — QB’s making their NFL debut are 9-1 ATS this season (5-4-1 SU).
    — Broncos are 9-5 ATS in last 14 games as a home underdog.

    Chargers 26, Packers 11:
    — Chargers outrushed Green Bay, 159-45.
    — Packers on three first half drives: 18 plays, 35 yards, zero points.
    — Green Bay had only one play of 20+ yards, least of any team this week.

    — Chargers scored on six of first seven drives, missed a FG on 8th drive.
    — Badgley made four of five FG’s in his first game this season.
    — LA averaged 9.4 yards/pass attempt, Packers only 3.7.

    Ravens 37, Patriots 20:
    — Patriot defense had allowed four TD’s on 96 drives coming in; they allowed four TD’s on eight drives in this game.
    — Average total in last four series games is 54.8.
    — San Francisco is the last unbeaten team; they play Seattle next week.

    — Lamar Jackson is now 12-3 as an NFL starter.
    — Baltimore scored a defensive TD with 12:21 left in third quarter to break game open.
    — Ravens are 14-4 ATS in last 18 post-bye games, 6-3 in last nine as a home underdog; they’ve scored 23+ points in every game this year.

    Comment


    • #3
      65OTTAWA -66 NY RANGERS
      NY RANGERS are 32-43 ATS (-26.8 Units) when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) in the first half of the season since 1996.

      67PITTSBURGH -68 BOSTON
      PITTSBURGH is 11-23 ATS (-16.7 Units) in road games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the last 3 seasons.

      69NASHVILLE -70 DETROIT
      NASHVILLE is 0-9 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

      71ARIZONA -72 EDMONTON
      ARIZONA is 13-3 ATS (14.6 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons




      NHL

      Monday, November 4


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Boston Bruins
      Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
      Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
      Boston is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing Pittsburgh
      The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh
      Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
      Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
      Pittsburgh Penguins
      Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
      Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 15 games on the road
      Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
      Pittsburgh is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing Boston
      The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing Boston
      Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
      Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston

      New York Rangers
      NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      NY Rangers is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 6 games
      NY Rangers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
      NY Rangers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing Ottawa
      NY Rangers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
      NY Rangers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Rangers's last 12 games when playing at home against Ottawa
      Ottawa Senators
      Ottawa is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
      Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games on the road
      Ottawa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
      Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
      Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
      Ottawa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ottawa's last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers

      Detroit Red Wings
      Detroit is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
      Detroit is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
      Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
      Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
      Detroit is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Nashville
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Nashville
      Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville
      Nashville Predators
      Nashville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
      Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games
      Nashville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Nashville's last 15 games on the road
      Nashville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
      Nashville is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing Detroit
      Nashville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit

      Edmonton Oilers
      Edmonton is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games
      Edmonton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games at home
      Edmonton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
      Edmonton is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Arizona
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Arizona
      Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
      Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
      Edmonton is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Arizona
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona
      Arizona Coyotes
      Arizona is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
      Arizona is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Arizona's last 21 games
      Arizona is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
      Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games on the road
      Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
      Arizona is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Edmonton
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
      Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
      Arizona is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
      Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing on the road against Edmonton


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-04-2019, 02:45 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Dunkel

        Monday, November 4



        Ottawa @ NY Rangers

        Game 65-66
        November 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Ottawa
        10.736
        NY Rangers
        12.847
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        NY Rangers
        by 2
        8
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        NY Rangers
        -180
        6 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        NY Rangers
        (-180); Over

        Pittsburgh @ Boston


        Game 67-68
        November 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Pittsburgh
        11.842
        Boston
        10.997
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Pittsburgh
        by 1
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Boston
        -165
        6
        Dunkel Pick:
        Pittsburgh
        (+145); Over

        Nashville @ Detroit


        Game 69-70
        November 4, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Nashville
        12.293
        Detroit
        8.710
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Nashville
        by 3 1/2
        5
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Nashville
        -185
        6
        Dunkel Pick:
        Nashville
        (-185); Under

        Arizona @ Edmonton


        Game 71-72
        November 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Arizona
        11.333
        Edmonton
        12.685
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Edmonton
        by 1 1/2
        4
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Edmonton
        -120
        5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Edmonton
        (-120); Under
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-04-2019, 02:45 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Long Sheet

          Monday, November 4


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          OTTAWA (3-8-0-1, 7 pts.) at NY RANGERS (5-5-0-1, 11 pts.) - 11/4/2019, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NY RANGERS are 19-8 ATS (+10.3 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
          NY RANGERS are 98-122 ATS (-42.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
          NY RANGERS are 84-92 ATS (-55.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          OTTAWA is 4-3 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
          OTTAWA is 4-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
          6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.2 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          PITTSBURGH (8-5-0-1, 17 pts.) at BOSTON (10-1-0-2, 22 pts.) - 11/4/2019, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          PITTSBURGH is 4-11 ATS (-11.9 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
          BOSTON is 18-3 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BOSTON is 3-3 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
          BOSTON is 3-3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NASHVILLE (8-4-0-2, 18 pts.) at DETROIT (4-10-0-1, 9 pts.) - 11/4/2019, 7:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NASHVILLE is 7-13 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
          NASHVILLE is 13-15 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          NASHVILLE is 28-12 ATS (+13.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 3 seasons.
          NASHVILLE is 289-227 ATS (+29.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
          NASHVILLE is 217-183 ATS (+31.8 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
          DETROIT is 6-22 ATS (+37.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
          DETROIT is 7-27 ATS (+46.3 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DETROIT is 4-1 (+6.6 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
          DETROIT is 4-1-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ARIZONA (8-4-0-1, 17 pts.) at EDMONTON (10-4-0-1, 21 pts.) - 11/4/2019, 9:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ARIZONA is 16-13 ATS (+35.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
          ARIZONA is 10-5 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          EDMONTON is 49-69 ATS (-38.7 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          EDMONTON is 5-3 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
          EDMONTON is 5-3-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
          6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-04-2019, 02:46 PM.

          Comment

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