Announcement

**Udog** · 10-21-2019, 07:15 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top six picks for Week 7 in Westgate Super Contest:

6) Saints, +3.5 (860)- W

5) Vikings,, -1 (873)- W

4) Colts, -1 (965)- W

3) 49ers, -9.5 (989)- L

2) Rams, -3 (1,073)- W

1) Giants, -3 (1,076)- L

2019 record: 23-18-1

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

Colts 30, Texans 23:
— Texans started two drives in Indy territory, only kicked FG on both.
— On their last four drives, Watson threw two INT’s, Colts also got a safety.
— Average total in Texans’ last three games: 64.3.

— Colts’ first two drives of 2nd half: 20 plays, 149 yards, two TD’s.
— Brissett threw for 326 yards; Indy converted 8-16 third down plays.
— Colts are 11-3-1 ATS in last 15 post-bye games.

Bills 31 Dolphins 21:
— Miami led 14-9 at halftime; they’re more competitive with Fitzpatrick at QB.
— Fitzpatrick threw an INT in red zone on first drive of 3rd quarter; not good.
— Miami outgained Bills 381-305, converted 7-13 on 3rd down, was -2 in turnovers.

— Buffalo’s first three drives: 26 plays, 148 yards, three FG’s.
— Bills in second half: 22 plays, 147 yards, two TD’s.
— Buffalo ran an onside kick back for the last TD of the game with 1:38 left.

Packers 42, Raiders 24:
— Oakland was in red zone six times, came up empty on three of them.
— Carr averaged 10.6 yards/pass attempt, but lost a fumble near the goal line.
— Raiders are 4-14-1 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog

— Rodgers was 25-31/429 passing, averaging 13.2 yards/attempt.
— Packers’ first six drives: 43 plays, 424 yards, five touchdowns.
— Packers are 13-9-1 ATS in last 23 games as a home favorite, 13-8-1 in last 22 games vs AFC teams.

Jaguars 27, Bengals 17:
— Jaguars won despite scoring one TD on six drives to the red zone.
— Jacksonville is +6 in turnovers in its three wins, -7 in its four losses.
— Minshew completed less than half his passes for 2nd week in row.

— Bengals’ first five drives: 18 plays, 38 yards, five punts.
— Cincy is -8 in turnovers TY; they turned ball over four times, just in 2nd half.
— AFC North teams are 7-10 ATS outside the division, 0-8 at home.

Cardinals 27, Giants 21:
— Edmonds ran ball for 126 yards, had three TD runs of 20+ yards.
— Cardinals are 7-3-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog, 3-0 TY.
— Arizona won its last three games, after an 0-3-1 start.

— Big Blue is 1-4-1 ATS in last six games as a home favorite.
— Giants’ second TD scored on a blocked punt.
— Home side lost five of last six series games; Arizona won its last three visits here.

Vikings 42, Lions 30:
— Cook ran ball for 142 yards, two touchdowns.
— Minnesota gained 490-447-513 TY the last three games.
— Vikings won four of their last five trips to the Motor City.

— Vikings’ first four drives: 32 plays, 255 yards, 21 points.
— Detroit has been outscored 93-59 in second half this season.
— Lions are 7-15-1 ATS in last 23 games as a home underdog.

Rams 37, Falcons 10:
— LA was 8-16 on 3rd down, after being 7-31 in previous three games.
— Rams had successful fake punt on drive where FG made score 13-3.
— NFC West teams are 10-1 ATS in non-divisional road games.

— Ryan was sacked five times; Falcons have five sacks the whole season.
— Atlanta lost its last five games; have to think a coaching change is close.
— Ryan hurt his foot late in game; foot was in a boot after the game.

49ers 9, Redskins 0:
— Game was played in a rainy quagmire, was scoreless at halftime.
— In their last three games, 49ers allowed one TD on 29 drives, with six takeaways.
— Kyle Shanahan gave his dad a game ball;; Redskins fired Mike Shanahan in 2013.

— Game was scoreless until 5:38 mark of 3rd quarter; 49ers kicked three FG’s, all less than 30 yards.
— Washington ran 41 plays, 49ers 62; Keenum threw only 12 passes (9-12/77)
— In Callahan’s two games as HC, Redskins ran ball 59 times, threw it 37.

Titans 23, Chargers 20:
— Chargers had ball on Titans’ one-yard line in last 0:30, couldn’t run ball in.
— All five of LA’s losses this season are by seven or fewer points.
— Chargers ran ball for only 51.6 yards/game the last five weeks.

— Tennessee averaged 9.6 yards/pass attempt, their best mark of season.
— Tannehill is the Titans’ 13th starting QB since 2005.
— Both teams converted 6-11 third down plays in this game.

Ravens 30, Seahawks 16:
— Ravens scored two defensive TD’s, ran ball for 199 yards.

— Baltimore is running ball for 204+ yards/game this year.
— Jackson is now 11-3 SU as an NFL starter.

— Seahawks are 4-11-1 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite
— In their two losses, Seattle allowed three defensive TD’s and a punt return TD.
— Both QB’s completed less than half their passes.

Saints 36, Bears 25:
— In his career, Bridgewater is 16-2 ATS as an underdog.
— New Orleans won field position by 14 yards, outgained Bears, 424-252
— Saints are 17-8-1 ATS in last 26 games as a road dog, 3-1 TY.

— Bears threw 54 passes, ran ball seven times; no bueno.
— Chicago is 4-13-1 ATS in last 18 post-bye games, 0-6 in last six.
— Bears recovered consecutive onside kicks in 4th quarter; that doesn’t happen much.

Cowboys 37, Eagles 10:
— Eagles lost fumbles on first two drives; Dallas had TD drives of 45-14 yards.
— Only team Philly held under 24 points TY was Jets when they started #3 QB.
— Eagles allowed 20+ first half points in five of seven games.

— Dallas ran ball for 189 yards, converted 8-14 third down plays.
— Cowboys are 12-8-1 ATS in last 21 games as a home favorite.
— Maher is first kicker ever to make three FG’s of 60+ yards.

**Udog** · 10-21-2019, 07:47 AM

33VEGAS -34 PHILADELPHIA
VEGAS are 2-10 ATS (-11.8 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving <= 89.5% of shots against over the last 2 seasons.

35COLUMBUS -36 TORONTO
COLUMBUS are 18-4 ATS (14.3 Units) in road games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

37COLORADO -38 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 4-11 ATS (-13.3 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons.

39OTTAWA -40 DALLAS
OTTAWA is 107-93 ATS (26.3 Units) in road games against good power play killing teams - opp score on <14.5% of chances since 1996.

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, October 21

Vegas @ Philadelphia

Game 33-34
October 21, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
11.970
Philadelphia
9.023
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 3
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-125
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-125); Under

Columbus @ Toronto

Game 35-36
October 21, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
11.640
Toronto
10.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-190
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(+165); Over

Colorado @ St. Louis

Game 37-38
October 21, 2019 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
13.575
St. Louis
10.305
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-130
6
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+110); Over

Ottawa @ Dallas

Game 39-40
October 21, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
9.205
Dallas
11.584
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-220
6
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-220); Under

NHL

Monday, October 21

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Trend Report
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Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Philadelphia is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Philadelphia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 15 games at home
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Vegas is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Vegas's last 11 games on the road

Toronto Maple Leafs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games at home
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Columbus
Toronto is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Columbus
Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Columbus is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games
Columbus is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Columbus is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Columbus is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Columbus's last 21 games on the road
Columbus is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Columbus is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Columbus is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Columbus is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto

St. Louis Blues
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games at home
St. Louis is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Colorado
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of St. Louis's last 11 games when playing at home against Colorado
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 11 games when playing on the road against St. Louis

Dallas Stars
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Ottawa is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games on the road
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas

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**Udog** · 10-21-2019, 08:33 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, October 21

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VEGAS (6-3-0-0, 12 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (2-3-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/21/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 55-33 ATS (+15.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-12 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

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COLUMBUS (3-3-0-2, 8 pts.) at TORONTO (5-3-0-1, 11 pts.) - 10/21/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 23-15 ATS (+38.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 25-22 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 155-156 ATS (-75.2 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
TORONTO is 26-23 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-3 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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COLORADO (7-0-0-1, 15 pts.) at ST LOUIS (3-2-0-3, 9 pts.) - 10/21/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 41-27 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 100-88 ATS (+197.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
COLORADO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) first half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 262-226 ATS (+25.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 7-2 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 7-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.2 Units)

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OTTAWA (1-5-0-1, 3 pts.) at DALLAS (2-7-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/21/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 28-43 ATS (-21.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 149-133 ATS (-84.0 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-1 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 3-1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/21

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/21

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