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**Udog** · 10-11-2019, 08:29 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Odds to win the NBA title this year:

3-1— Lakers

4-1— Clippers

5-1— Bucks

8-1— Warriors, Rockets, 76ers

12-1— Jazz

15-1— Celtics, Nuggets

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

13) Astros 6, Rays 1— Clock strikes midnight for the Cinderella Rays, who took Houston to the brink in this series, but Astros scored four runs in the first inning and that was that. ALCS will be New York-Houston, which should be very interesting.

12) Astros’ ace Gerrit Cole had struck out at least one batter in 73 consecutive innings before he didn’t get a strikeout in the third inning last night; not only is that the longest such streak in the majors since 1961, the next highest streak was only 40 (Pedro Martinez, 1999).

11) Patriots 35, Giants 14— New England scored TD’s on a blocked punt and a fumble return; Giants also scored a TD on a fumble return. Game was 21-14 with 9:00 to play.

Total yardage was 427-213 NE; Giants had 10 first downs, four turnovers (-2).

10) South Point Casino in Las Vegas has interesting prop bets; what college team scores the first TD of the day, and then which team scores the most points.

Favorites for first TD:
7-1: Georgia, Oklahoma, Toledo
8-1: Indiana, Michigan

Favorite to score the most points Saturday: Louisiana Tech 8-1

9) Steph Curry scored 40 points in an exhibition game Thursday; Golden State has a much different roster as they open their new arena this fall- no Klay Thompson, Durant is gone, so there will be nights where Curry will have to go off for the Warriors to win.

8) Villanova/Seton Hall are the favorites to win Big East basketball this winter.

UCLA is picked to finish 8th in the Pac-12, which seems weird to type.

7) Over last 12 years, unbeaten NFL teams who are an underdog from Week 6 on are 7-6 ATS. 49ers fit that bill Sunday.

6) Pittsburgh Steelers apparently had a full-contract practice Wednesday, with the team 1-4 and sinking fast; that is unusual in the NFL. Looks like their #3 QB gets his first NFL start against the Chargers Sunday, in a game between two struggling franchises.

5) Phillies fired manager Gabe Kapler after two mediocre seasons where his players went in the tank on him in September both years. Oddly, the Phillies fired both trainers and their pitching coach, but invited all the other coaches back for next season.

If a new manager doesn’t get to pick his own coaches, that usually signals a bad job.

4) No idea why, but the last three years, San Jose State’s leading scorer has transferred out of the program all three years, which is why the Spartans are 9-45 in Mountain West games during that time.

Over the last 22 years, San Jose State has never won half its conference games, though they were 17-16 overall in 2010-11. Seems like a school in California should have at least some success.

3) UL-Monroe 24, Texas State 14— 3-3 WarHawks clinched the win/covered the spread with a TD with 1:46 left; Texas State completed 20-39 passes, but for only 92 yards.

2) 30 or so years ago, had some problems with my teeth and as a result I gave up Snickers bars, switching to the softer Three Musketeers candy bars.

This week, I had my first Snickers bars since then; they still taste great!!!

1) One of the best parts of coming to Las Vegas is meeting new people/making new friends, from all over the country. Thursday was a good day/night for that, making new friends from Ohio, New Jersey, Georgia and a few who live here in the desert. Overall, an excellent day.

**Udog** · 10-11-2019, 08:34 AM

51ANAHEIM -52 COLUMBUS
COLUMBUS are 3-10 ATS (-8 Units) in home games after playing 2 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.

53FLORIDA -54 BUFFALO
FLORIDA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after 2 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

55NY ISLANDERS -56 CAROLINA
BARRY TROTZ is 13-5 ATS (7.5 Units) in road games vs. division opponents (Coach of NY ISLANDERS)

55NY ISLANDERS -56 CAROLINA
NY ISLANDERS are 13-5 ATS (7.5 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

NHL

Friday, October 11

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Trend Report
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Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Florida
Buffalo is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Florida
Buffalo is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
Florida Panthers
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Florida's last 13 games
Florida is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games on the road
Florida is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo
Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo
Florida is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Columbus is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
Columbus is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 9 games
Columbus is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing Anaheim
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing at home against Anaheim
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games
Anaheim is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Anaheim is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Anaheim's last 7 games on the road
Anaheim is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing Columbus
Anaheim is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus

Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 10 games
Carolina is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games at home
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
New York Islanders
NY Islanders is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Islanders is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of NY Islanders's last 25 games
NY Islanders is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of NY Islanders's last 22 games on the road
NY Islanders is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
NY Islanders is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina

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**Udog** · 10-11-2019, 10:53 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Friday, October 11

Anaheim @ Columbus

Game 51-52
October 11, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
10.228
Columbus
11.609
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(-150); Over

Florida @ Buffalo

Game 53-54
October 11, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
10.517
Buffalo
12.954
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
-110
6
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-110); Over

NY Islanders @ Carolina

Game 55-56
October 11, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
10.496
Carolina
13.691
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-175
6
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-175); Over

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, October 11

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ANAHEIM (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) at COLUMBUS (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/11/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 3-1 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 3-1-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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FLORIDA (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) at BUFFALO (3-0-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/11/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 7-1 (+5.8 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 7-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) at CAROLINA (4-0-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/11/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 53-40 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 22-15 ATS (+38.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 213-181 ATS (-54.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 7-5-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.6 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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**Udog** · 10-11-2019, 10:55 AM

by: Monty Andrews

RATTLING SABRES

The Buffalo Sabres look every bit like a team ready to end a lengthy playoff drought – and Over bettors are reaping the benefits as the Sabres prepare to host the Florida Panthers on Friday night. Buffalo has won three of four to open the season and has been putting the puck in the net at a furious pace, having scored 18 goals through its first four games; that's a major reason why the Sabres are 3-1 O/U in that span.

With the Panthers having lost two of three to kick off the 2019-20 campaign while allowing 14 goals in those contests, there might be some value in the Buffalo/Over combo play.

TOO TIRED TO SCORE

It's hard to look at Saturday's encounter between the New Jersey Devils and host Boston Bruins and not wonder if fatigue might come into play on both sides of the ice. The Devils will be playing their third game in four nights in their third different city after facing the Flyers in Philadelphia and hosting the Edmonton Oilers earlier in the week.

Things might be even tougher for the Bruins, who finally play their home opener after kicking off the campaign with road encounters in Dallas, Arizona, Vegas and Colorado. Don't be surprised to see goals come at a premium in this one.

RUDE VISITORS

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Ottawa Senators are on complete opposite ends of the competition spectrum – and there's another trend working in their favor as they trek to the Canadian capital for a Saturday meeting of 1992 expansion cousins. Not only have the Lightning won two straight and three of the past four meetings between the teams, the visitor has gone 5-1 SU in the past six head-to-head encounters dating back to February 2018.

Not only that, but these teams have combined to score seven or more goals in seven of their last eight tilts – so the Tampa/Over result and total is very much in play here.

SPEAKING OF GOALS

The Calgary Flames and San Jose Sharks don't waste any time getting on the scoresheet when they face off against each other. The Pacific Division rivals renew hostilities Sunday night having combined for an incredible 28 goals in their previous three regular-season meetings.

In particular, the first period has been a goal-fest of absurd proportions, with the teams scoring a combined 12 goals in the opening 20 minutes of those three contests. And that's no fluke; the teams have combined for three or more first-period goals in five of their last seven encounters overall, so consider the Over on the first-period total.

GOALIE PROFILE: CARTER HART, PHILADELPHIA FLYERS

Might the Flyers finally have their franchise goaltender after decades of frustration and futility? That's certainly the hope, as Hart has Philadelphia off to a great start (entering Thursday night) with wins in each of his first two games to start the season.

Even more impressively, the 21-year-old has posted a sparkling 1.50 goals-against average to go along with a .946 save percentage and a shutout of the New Jersey Devils. The Flyers have given him plenty of offense so far – scoring eight times in their first two games – but if he continues to play this well, he won't need it.

INJURY UPDATE: D JOSH MORRISSEY, WINNIPEG JETS

The Jets hope to have Morrissey back in the lineup soon after he was a late scratch for Tuesday's game against the Pittsburgh Penguins. Morrissey suffered an upper-body injury during warm-ups Sunday night, and was given the green light to return in Pittsburgh but didn't feel ready.

he Jets ultimately didn't need him – they pulled out a 4-1 win over the Penguins – but a longer absence could make things difficult for the Winnipeg defense corps. And that could make the Jets an even stronger Over play moving forward, especially with the high-flying Penguins heading to Manitoba for a Sunday rematch.

HAT TRICK TRENDS

• A flurry of goals have made the Over the prevailing trend through the opening week of the NHL season. Overs have converted 25 times compared to just 20 Unders – and extra-time games have been the biggest catalyst, as you might expect, with overtime and shootout games going a red-hot 8-2 O/U.

• While it isn't all that surprising that road favorites are winning at a decent clip, the more shocking thing might be that there haven't been that many away faves at all. A whopping 37 of the 46 games played through Wednesday night have seen the home team favored; those teams are converting at a 62.2 percent clip, with road faves coming in at 66.7 percent.

Announcement

Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/11

Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/11

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