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NHL Picks 2019-2020 by Professor MJ

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  • #61
    NHL System Picks for Monday January 20

    RECORD:
    • Bets won = 78
    • Bets lost = 86
    • Profit = +15.05 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)



    Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

    • 3 STARS = RedWings (@ +337 or 4.37 odds, at Avalanche)
    • 2 STARS = Wild (@ -105 or 1.95 odds, vs Panthers)



    The Detroit pick is based on "The Scoring Drought" and "The Cold Team vs Hot Team Matchup" betting strategies.

    Meanwhile, the Minnesota pick is backed by "The Hot Scorers" angle.

    Best of luck!

    Professor MJ

    Comment


    • #62
      NHL System Picks for Tuesday January 21

      We lost both plays last night.

      Let's rebound!

      RECORD:
      • Bets won = 78
      • Bets lost = 88
      • Profit = +13.05 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)



      Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

      • 2 STARS = Jets (@ +165 or 2.65 odds, at Hurricanes)
      • 1 STAR = Panthers (@ +108 or 2.08 odds, at Blackhawks)



      The Winnipeg pick is based on "The Scoring Drought" betting strategy.

      Here are the details of this angle:

      "Suppose a team has lost its past two games by scoring a maximum of 3 goals in each contest. Bet them tonight if they are on the road with a money line greater than 1.80 (i.e. -125 in American format)."

      This betting angle, over a nine-year period, generated a profit of 90.53 units through 1656 bets (ROI = +5.5%).

      For example, the Jets lost their past two games by 5-2 and 7-1 scores. Since they are road underdogs, we are betting them tonight.

      Best of luck!

      Professor MJ

      Comment


      • #63
        NHL System Picks for Wednesday January 22

        We made a very tiny profit last night.

        Today is the last day before the All-Star Break, and we have a couple of strong plays!

        RECORD:
        • Bets won = 79
        • Bets lost = 89
        • Profit = +13.13 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)



        Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

        • 5 STARS = Jets (@ +160 or 2.60 odds, at Blue Jackets)
        • 4 STARS = Red Wings (@ +230 or 3.30 odds, at Wild)



        The Winnipeg pick is based on "The Scoring Drought", "The Stingy Goalies" and "The Cold Team vs Hot Team Matchup" betting strategies.

        Notice that the Jackets have allowed just 3 goals over their past 5 games (including three shutouts), which is amazing! As a contrarian, we are betting against them.

        As for Detroit, we backing them because of "The Scoring Drought" and also "The Cold Teams Matchup" angles.

        The latter occurs pretty rarely. It has two different sets of criteria for betting. One of them is:

        "Bet a road team coming off a losking skid of length 5+ when facing a home team that has lost exactly 1 straight game. Bet only if the road team has odds greater than 2.50 (i.e. +150 in American format)."

        This system led to a 34.56-unit profit via just 44 bets over nine seasons. The 78.5% ROI is obviously astounding (), but we're talking about a small sample size.

        Still, the rationale behind the strategy makes sense to me (again, as a contrarian) so I personally like it.

        See you after the All-Star break!

        Professor MJ

        Comment


        • #64
          NHL System Picks for Monday February 10

          RECORD:
          • Bets won = 79
          • Bets lost = 91
          • Profit = +11.13 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)



          Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

          • 2 STARS = Coyotes (@ +121 or 2.21 odds, at Canadiens)
          • 2 STARS = Panthers (@ +122 or 2.22 odds, at Flyers)
          • 2 STARS = Lightning (@ -140 or 1.71 odds, at Blue Jackets)



          The Coyotes and Panthers picks are both based on "The Scoring Drought" strategy.

          Here are the details of this betting angle:

          "Suppose a team has lost its past two games by scoring a maximum of 3 goals in each contest. Bet them tonight if they are on the road with a money line greater than 1.80 (i.e. -125 in American format)."

          This betting angle, over a nine-year period, generated a profit of 90.53 units through 1656 bets (ROI = +5.5%).

          For example, the Panthers lost their past two games by 3-2 and 7-2 scores. Since they are road underdogs, we are betting them tonight.

          Best of luck folks!

          Professor MJ

          Comment


          • #65
            NHL System Picks for Tuesday February 11

            We had a profitable return to action yesterday by winning two picks out of three (profit = +0.92 unit).

            RECORD:
            • Bets won = 81
            • Bets lost = 92
            • Profit = +12.05 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)



            Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

            • 5 STARS = Rangers (@ 2.18 odds, at Jets)
            • 5 STARS = Senators (@ 3.40 odds, at Avalanche)
            • 2 STARS = Golden Knights (@ 1.69 odds, at Wild)
            • 2 STARS = Blackhawks (@ 2.06 odds, at Oilers)
            • 1 STAR = Flyers (@ 2.18 odds, at Islanders)



            The Senators pick is based on "The Scoring Drought", "The Stingy Goalies" and "The Cold Team vs Hot Team Matchup" betting strategies.

            Here are the details behind the latter strategy:

            "Bet a road team coming off 2+ straight LOSSES when facing a home team coming off 2+ straight WINS. Bet only if the road team's money line is greater than 2.25 in decimal format."

            Over a nine-year period, this strategy yielded a profit of 42.69 units via 428 bets.

            In this case, Ottawa is undergoing a five-game losing skid, while Colorado is riding a four-game winning streak. Since the odds on the Sens are indeed larger than 2.25, we are betting them tonight!

            Best of luck!

            Professor MJ

            Comment


            • #66
              NHL System Picks for Wednesday February 12

              Bad night yesterday, as we lost 2.82 units. Let's get back on our feet quickly!

              RECORD:
              • Bets won = 82
              • Bets lost = 96
              • Profit = +9.23 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)



              Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

              • 2 STARS = Blackhawks (@ +133 or 2.33 odds, at Canucks)
              • 1 STAR = Canadiens (@ +185 or 2.85 odds, at Bruins)



              The Montreal pick is backed by "The Big Upset" strategy:

              "Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds greater than 2.70 in decimal format (i.e. +170 in American format). If Team B's next game is against a different opponent called Team C, bet Team C if its money line is greater than 1.667 in decimal format (i.e. -150 in American format, to avoid betting big favorites which did not prove to be profitable)."

              Boston's last game was a 3-1 loss in Detroit, a huge upset. For this reason, we are going to bet AGAINST the Bruins tonight (since Montreal is NOT a big favorite today).

              Have a nice day!

              Professor MJ

              Comment


              • #67
                NHL System Picks for Thursday February 13

                RECORD:
                • Bets won = 82
                • Bets lost = 98
                • Profit = +7.23 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)



                Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

                • 4 STARS = Washington Capitals (@ 2.21 odds, at Avalanche)
                • 4 STARS = Edmonton Oilers (@ 2.70 odds, at Lightning)
                • 2 STARS = Blue Jackets (@ 1.91 odds, at Sabres)
                • 2 STARS = Senators (@ 2.21 odds, vs Coyotes)
                • 2 STARS = Blues (@ 2.34 odds, at Golden Knights)
                • 1 STAR = Stars (@ 2.22 odds, at Maple Leafs)
                • 1 STAR = Rangers (@ 2.27 odds, at Wild)



                The Senators pick is backed by "The Cold Teams Matchup" strategy. It has two different sets of criteria for betting. Here is the one that applies to tonight's matchup:

                "Bet a home underdog if it has lost at least 3 straight games and facing a team that has lost 1-2 game(s) in a row."

                This system led to 44.95-unit gains over a nine-year period (through 141 bets).

                Ottawa is indeed a home underdog and they have lost 6 straight games, while Arizona has lost one game in a row. According to the criteria above, we are backing the Sens tonight!

                Cheers!

                Professor MJ

                Comment


                • #68
                  NHL System Picks for Friday February 14

                  4-3 last night for a 1.91-unit profit. Let's keep it up!

                  RECORD:
                  • Bets won = 86
                  • Bets lost = 101
                  • Profit = +9.14 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)



                  Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

                  • 2 STARS = Canadiens (@ +165 or 2.65 odds, at Penguins)
                  • 2 STARS = Sharks (@ +130 or 2.30 odds, at Jets)
                  • 1 STAR = Blue Jackets (@ -145 or 1.69 odds, vs Rangers)
                  • 1 STAR = Devils (@ +230 or 3.30 odds, at Hurricanes)



                  Happy Valentine's day everyone!

                  Professor MJ

                  Comment


                  • #69
                    NHL System Picks for Monday February 17

                    Hey folks, I hope you had a nice weekend!

                    RECORD:
                    • Bets won = 87
                    • Bets lost = 104
                    • Profit = +7.35 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)



                    Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

                    • 2 STARS = Islanders (@ +118 or 2.18 odds, at Coyotes)
                    • 1 STAR = Ducks (@ +170 or 2.70 odds, at Flames)
                    • 1 STAR = Lightning (@ -114 or 1.88 odds, at Avalanche)



                    Have a nice week fellows!

                    Professor MJ

                    Comment


                    • #70
                      NHL System Picks for Tuesday February 18

                      We are going through a slump , but thank God we had room for error.

                      It's time to rebound!

                      RECORD:
                      • Bets won = 88
                      • Bets lost = 106
                      • Profit = +6.23 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)



                      Today's lone pick based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

                      • 2 STARS = Blue Jackets (@ +131 or 2.31 odds, at Flyers)


                      This play is backed by "The Scoring Drought" strategy, whose details have been unveiled in a recent post.

                      Note: the Hurricanes meet the criteria for betting under "The Stingy Goalies" system. However, "The Big Upset" betting angle recommends betting their opponent, Nashville. Therefore, we are staying away from this matchup.

                      Cheers!

                      Professor MJ

                      Comment


                      • #71
                        NHL System Picks for Wednesday February 19

                        On January 17th, our cumulative gain had attained +16.05 units.

                        Since then, the system plays have gone through a slump and are now down to a +5.23-unit profit.

                        Let's cross our fingers that the skid is going to stop very soon!

                        RECORD:
                        • Bets won = 88
                        • Bets lost = 107
                        • Profit = +5.23 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)



                        Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

                        • 2 STARS = Blackhawks (@ -129 or 1.78 odds, vs Rangers)
                        • 2 STARS = Coyotes (@ +144 or 2.44 odds, at Stars)



                        Both picks are based on "The Snapped Winning Streak" betting angle. Here is how it goes:

                        "Bet against a team whose winning streak of length 3+ was just snapped in their previous game. Bet only if your team's money line is greater than 1.667 (i.e. -150 in American format)."

                        This betting strategy used over a nine-year period led to gains of $87.34 through 1045 bets.

                        In this case, both the Rangers and the Stars just got their four-game winning streak snapped, so we are fading them tonight.

                        Note: the Wild meet the criteria for betting under "The Scoring Drought" system. However, "The Big Upset" betting angle recommends betting their opponent, Vancouver. Therefore, we are staying away from this matchup.

                        Cheers!

                        Professor MJ

                        Comment


                        • #72
                          NHL System Picks for Thursday February 20

                          The bad slump continued last night with a couple of lost picks.

                          The cumulative winnings just keep shrinking, but let's try to stay in positive territory!

                          RECORD:
                          • Bets won = 88
                          • Bets lost = 109
                          • Profit = +3.23 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)



                          Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

                          • 2 STARS = Maple Leafs (@ -110 or 1.91 odds, vs Penguins)
                          • 1 STAR = Flyers (@ +108 or 2.08 odds, at Blue Jackets)



                          The Toronto pick is backed by "The Hot Scorers" betting angle:

                          "Suppose a team has scored 4+ goals in each of its past 3 games. Bet AGAINST that team if they are on the road tonight."

                          This system yielded a profit of 45.08 units via 332 bets over a nine-year period.

                          Now, the Pens have scored 5, 5 and 4 goals in their three most recent matchups. Considering they are the visiting team tonight, we are fading them.

                          Gooooood luck, hockey fans!

                          Professor MJ

                          Comment


                          • #73
                            NHL System Picks for Friday February 21

                            There we go! A perfect 2-0 last night to break out of a slump.

                            Let's build some momentum!

                            RECORD:
                            • Bets won = 90
                            • Bets lost = 109
                            • Profit = +5.22 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)



                            Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

                            • 2 STARS = Blackhawks (@ +110 or 2.10 odds, vs Predators)
                            • 1 STAR = Rangers (@ +143 or 2.43 odds, at Hurricanes)
                            • 1 STAR = Flames (@ +120 or 2.20 odds, vs Bruins)
                            • 1 STAR = Ducks (@ +144 or 2.44 odds, vs Avalanche)



                            The Calgary and Anaheim picks are both based on "The Porous Defense" betting angle:

                            "Suppose a team allows 4+ goals in each of its past two games. Bet them tonight if they are home underdogs."

                            Using this system over a nine-year period led to 27.64-unit gains via 267 bets.

                            The Flames have allowed 4 and 8 goals in their last two meetings, while the Ducks have surrendered 4 and 6 goals. Since they are indeed home underdogs, we are backing them tonight.

                            My birthday this weekend!

                            I'll talk to you again next Monday!

                            Professor MJ

                            Comment


                            • #74
                              NHL System Picks for Tuesday February 25

                              RECORD:
                              • Bets won = 92
                              • Bets lost = 111
                              • Profit = +5.75 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)



                              Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

                              • 5 STARS = Sharks (@ +176 or 2.76 odds, at Flyers)
                              • 2 STARS = Flames (@ +185 or 2.85 odds, at Bruins)
                              • 2 STARS = Jets (@ +175 or 2.75 odds, at Capitals)
                              • 2 STARS = Blackhawks (@ +175 or 2.75 odds, at Blues)
                              • 1 STAR = RedWings (@ +114 or 2.14 odds, vs Devils)



                              The San Jose pick is based on the following three strategies: "The Scoring Drought", "The Stingy Goalies" and "The Cold vs Hot Teams Matchup."

                              Have a nice day!!

                              Professor MJ

                              Comment


                              • #75
                                NHL System Picks for Wednesday February 26

                                We picked 5 underdogs last night, including 4 with big odds. All we needed was a couple of wins.

                                In the early games, the Flames upset the Bruins 5-2. Things were looking up!

                                However, all four remaining picks lost, including the Jets in a shootout (and the Hawks blowing a 3-1 lead).

                                Overall, we ended up losing 2.15 units.

                                RECORD:
                                • Bets won = 93
                                • Bets lost = 115
                                • Profit = +3.60 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)



                                Today's lone pick based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

                                • 4 STARS = Sabres (@ +185 or 2.85 odds, at Avalanche)


                                This pick is based on the following two betting strategies: "The Stingy Goalies" and "The Hot Teams Matchup."

                                Here are the details about the latter:

                                "Bet a road team coming off 1-2 straight win(s) when facing a home team coming off 3+ straight wins."

                                This system yielded a profit of 66.87 units via 483 bets over a nine-year period.

                                According to this betting strategy, since the Sabres have won two games in a row and the Avs are riding a three-game winning streak, we're going to back Buffalo.

                                Good luck!

                                Professor MJ

                                Comment

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