The system plays went 3-1, including a big underdog (Rangers at Canes) and a moderate dog (Jackets at Coyotes).
We won 3.71 units, which now puts us in profit territory! Attaboy!
RECORD:
Bets won = 14
Bets lost = 14
Profit = +$1.99 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
5 STARS = Red Wings (at +220 or 3.20) vs Bruins
4 STARS = Canucks (at +110 or 2.10) at Jets
Once again we are going after a long shot. Detroit's pick meets the criteria of a season-high 4 betting systems at a time. It won't be easy at all, so let's cross our fingers!
AWESOME!! The 5-star pick, was which a long shot, did win! The Red Wings did pull off a nice upset against the Bruins last Friday.
RECORD:
Bets won = 15
Bets lost = 15
Profit = +$3.19 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
4 STARS = Coyotes (at +165 or 2.65) at Capitals
1 STAR = Senators (at +208 or 3.08) at Hurricanes
The Ottawa pick is based on "The Blowout" betting system:
Bet a team that blew out its previous opponent by a margin of 3+ goals. The team we bet must be on the road and its money line must be greater than 2.05 (which essentially means they must be underdogs).
This betting angle generated gains of 60.49 units over 818 bets through a 9-year span.
Dammit! Our unbelievable good streak ended last night.
The Red Wings were just 2 minutes away from pulling off the upset in L.A., but the Kings tied the game late in the 3rd period before getting the W in overtime.
Let's get back on our feet quickly!
RECORD:
Bets won = 19
Bets lost = 18
Profit = +$5.77 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
2 STARS = Blue Jackets (at +117 or 2.17) vs Blues
2 STARS = Senators (at +128 or 2.28) vs Flyers
Both picks are based on "The Snapped Winning Streak" betting system.
I'm posting the Saturday picks in advance since I won't have time to do it then (we are Friday late afternoon at the time of writing).
The system picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
4 STARS = Jets (at +188 or 2.88) at Lightning
4 STARS = Flames (at -105 or 1.95) at Coyotes
2 STARS = Hurricanes (at -116 or 1.86) at Wild
The Friday night games might add more system plays for Saturday depending on how they play out, but as of now those are 3 picks that we are definitely taking (since the teams involved are not playing Friday night).
We knew a losing streak was bound to happen, eventually. Let's hope it does not last very long!
RECORD:
Bets won = 23
Bets lost = 23
Profit = +$5.96 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
5 STARS = Blues (at +106 or 2.06) vs Lightning
2 STARS = Flyers (at +120 or 2.20) at Panthers
2 STARS = Islanders (at +113 or 2.13) at Penguins
2 STARS = Blue Jackets (at +107 or 2.07) vs Canadiens
2 STARS = Canucks (at +130 or 2.30) at Stars
2 STARS = Maple Leafs (at +131 or 2.31) at Golden Knights
2 STARS = Oilers (at +123 or 2.23) at Sharks
1 STAR = Jets (at +166 or 2.66) at Predators
The Blues pick is based on three betting systems: "The Big Upset", "The Snapped Winning Streak" and "The Cold Teams Matchup".
Here are the details of "The Big Upset" strategy:
"Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds greater than 2.70 in decimal format (i.e. +170 in American format). If Team B's next game is against a different opponent called Team C, bet Team C is its money line is greater than 1.667 in decimal format (i.e. -150 in American format, to avoid betting big favorites which did not prove to be profitable)."
This strategy led to 27.81-unit gains via 600 bets over a nine-year span. Not my favoritable betting angle, but still tracking it.
Tampa's last game was a 4-3 loss to Winnipeg, where the Jets' money line was 2.88. For this reason, we are going to bet AGAINST the Lightning tonight (since St. Louis is NOT a big favorite today).
5 wins and 3 losses last night. Considering all 8 picks were on underdogs, we made a nice 3.15 unit profit.
RECORD:
Bets won = 28
Bets lost = 26
Profit = +$9.11 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Only one pick today (odds from Bookmaker):
1 STAR = Rangers (at +158 or 2.58) vs Capitals
The pick is based on "The Porous Defense" betting angle:
"Suppose a team allows 4+ goals in each of its past two games. Bet them tonight if they are playing at home with a money line greater than 2.05 (i.e. +105 in American format)."
Using this system over a nine-year period led to 27.64-unit gains via 267 bets.
The Rangers have allowed 4 and 9 goals in their last two meetings, respectively. Since they are indeed home underdogs, we are backing them tonight at MSG.
Nice hit with the Rangers upsetting the top team in the league last night, yet another rewarding betting day!
RECORD:
Bets won = 29
Bets lost = 26
Profit = +$10.69 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Today's picks are:
5 STARS = Red Wings (at +151 or 2.51) at Blue Jackets
4 STARS = Sabres (at +192 or 2.92) at Bruins
4 STARS = Flyers (at +144 or 2.44) at Hurricanes
4 STARS = Maple Leafs (at +103 or 2.03) at Coyotes
2 STARS = Flames (at +135 or 2.35) at Blues
The Detroit pick is rated 5 stars because it meets the criteria of three different betting angles: "The Scoring Drought", "The Stingy Goalies" and "The Cold Team versus Hot Team matchup".
This pick is based on "The Big Upset" betting system, which goes like this:
"Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds greater than 2.70 (i.e. +170 in American format). If Team B's next game is against Team D whose money line is greater than 1.667 (i.e. -150 in American format), bet Team D."
The latter part allows us to avoid betting big favorites; past data suggest they are not good value bets under such circumstances.
Over a nine-year period, this strategy yielded a profit of 27.81 units via 600 bets.
It is not one of my favorite betting angles for a few reasons, which is why such picks are rated just 1 star. This season thus far: +4.04 from 18 bets.
Montreal was the victim of a fairly big upset in their last game; the Rangers beat them despite 2.98 odds. According to the criteria above, we are therefore betting against them tonight.
2 STARS = Golden Knights (at +117 or 2.17) at Predators
2 STARS = Jets (at +125 or 2.25) at Sharks
1 STAR = Ducks (at +127 or 2.27) at Coyotes
The Blues pick is based on three betting systems at a time, including "The Cold Team vs Hot Team Matchup", which goes like this:
"Bet a road team coming off 2+ straight LOSSES when facing a home team coming off 2+ straight WINS. Bet only if the road team's money line is greater than 2.25 in decimal format."
Over a nine-year period, this strategy yielded a profit of 42.69 units via 428 bets.
In this case, St. Louis is undergoing a two-game losing skid, while Tampa is riding a three-game winning streak. Since the odds on the Blues are indeed larger than 2.25, we are betting them tonight!
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