Announcement

**Udog** · 10-08-2019, 08:26 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Interesting spreads for this week’s college football:

— Oklahoma (-10) vs Texas

— Iowa State (-9.5) @ West Virginia

— Washington State @ Arizona State (-2.5)

— Washington (-5.5) @ Arizona

— Cincinnati (-7) @ Houston

— Penn State (-3.5) @ Iowa

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

13) 49ers 31, Browns 3— Monday at the Mirage Casino here in Las Vegas, someone wagered $120K to win $52K on the 49ers’ money line in this game. Good night for that guy.

— Mayfield completed 8-22 passes for 100 yards; a WR did drop an easy TD that turned into an INT when game was 14-3, but still, he had a miserable night.
— Total yardage was 446-180; luckily for TV networks, only one more primetime game for the overrated Browns.

12) Patrick Mahomes tweaked his ankle Sunday night when one of his own linemen stepped on the ankle while he was pass blocking.

Colts’ defense blitzed on 41.9% of Kansas City’s dropbacks, and they were effective.

11) Redskins fired coach Jay Gruden early Monday morning, which won’t help anything; he was 35-49-1 in Washington, with one playoff appearance.

Washington’ problem is that their owner is horrendous and he meddles; here are the Redskins’ head coaches since Daniel Snyder bought the ball club in 1999:

1994-2000: Norv Turner 50-60-1
2001: Marty Schottenheimer 8-8
2002-03: Steve Spurrier 12-20
2004-07: Joe Gibbs 31-36
2008-09: Jm Zorn 12-20
2010-13: Mike Shanahan 24-41
2014-19: Jay Gruden 35-49-1

Bill Callahan is the Redskins’ interim coach; he also replaced Jon Gruden as the Raiders’ coach when Gruden jumped to the Buccaneers.

10) Steelers kicked off to start overtime Sunday, which is very unusual, since a TD on the first possession ends the game. Ravens punted on their first drive, so it didn’t come into play, and Mike Tomlin was celebrating like they won the game when Baltimore punted, but Steelers fumbled and lost the game anyway.

Will be interesting to see how the Pittsburgh media deals with Tomlin if he has his first losing season as a head coach- they’re 1-4 right now, with the 3rd-string QB starting for a while.

9) Oregon State executed a drop kick/onside kick against UCLA Saturday; was pretty cool to see, and it worked like a charm. Beavers led 21-0 before first quarter was half over.

8) With Devlin Hodges expected to start at QB for the Steelers in LA Sunday, Paxton Lynch, a former 1st round draft pick of the Broncos, is going to be Hodges’ backup.

7) Quote of the Day, part II:
“I (bleep)ing love this!!!!”
Younger guy sitting in front of me the other night in the Aria sportsbook; he was just sitting there taking in all the action, when a couple of his bets won, he started yelling. Good stuff.

6) Blue Ribbon Basketball’s preseason top 6 teams:
Michigan State, Kentucky, Kansas, Duke, Florida, Louisville

5) Tampa Bay 10, Astros 3— Rays drew 32,251 for a 1:00 playoff game, and the TV guys were raving about what a great crowd it was. These teams play Game 4 at 4;30 tomorrow, will be interesting to see what they draw for that game.

4) Cardinals 5, Braves 4 (10)— Molina tied game with an 8th inning single, then won it with a sac fly in the 10th. Decisive Game 5 is Wednesday in Atlanta.

3) Tennessee Titans cut kicker Cairo Santos Monday, after he went 0-4 on field goals in their ugly 14-7 home loss to Buffalo Sunday; they’re expected to sign former Bears’ K Cody Parkey to replace Santos.

2) Kansas Jayhawks fired their offensive coordinator Sunday after only six games; you wonder what thats all about. The new OC has a small-college background- the NAIA team he coached LY averaged 55 ppg and 540.3 yards/game.

Jayhawks rank 101st nationally in scoring, 102nd in yards gained, 104th in passing and 116th in first downs per game.

Remember that college assistant coaches are equal parts tacticians/recruiters; players win games, and Kansas is obviously behind its Big X opponents in talent level.

1) Michael D. Smith posted this on Twitter Sunday:

2004 draft class ranked by career passing yards:
56,545 Ben Roethlisberger
56,537 Eli Manning
56,121 Philip Rivers
24,887 Matt Schaub
6,271 JP Losman
2,370 Luke McCown
929 Jim Sorgi
718 Craig Krenzel
342 John Navarre
195 Cody Pickett
136 Matt Mauck
53 Larry Fitzgerald

**Udog** · 10-08-2019, 08:27 AM

1WINNIPEG -2 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 6-12 ATS (-7.2 Units) off a home win against a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

3DALLAS -4 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 63-27 ATS (33.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

5EDMONTON -6 NY ISLANDERS
EDMONTON is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) after a division game in the last 3 seasons.

7CAROLINA -8 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) off a close home win by 1 goal in the last 3 seasons.

9ANAHEIM -10 DETROIT
DETROIT is 13-5 ATS (7.5 Units) at home when the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.

11SAN JOSE -12 NASHVILLE
SAN JOSE is 92-59 ATS (27.1 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.

13LOS ANGELES -14 CALGARY
LOS ANGELES are 94-89 ATS (-3.9 Units) in road games after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game since 1996.

15BOSTON -16 VEGAS
BOSTON is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 10-08-2019, 08:31 AM

NHL

Tuesday, October 8

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Trend Report
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Florida Panthers
Florida is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Florida's last 12 games
Florida is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Carolina
Florida is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Carolina
Florida is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games when playing at home against Carolina
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Carolina is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 9 games
Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 10 games on the road
Carolina is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Florida
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Florida
Carolina is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing on the road against Florida

New York Islanders
NY Islanders is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Islanders is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 9 games
NY Islanders is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Islanders's last 18 games when playing Edmonton
NY Islanders is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 9 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Edmonton's last 18 games when playing NY Islanders
Edmonton is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders

Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Winnipeg is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Winnipeg is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

Washington Capitals
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games when playing at home against Dallas
Dallas Stars
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas's last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington

Detroit Red Wings
Detroit is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Detroit is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Anaheim
Detroit is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Detroit is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Anaheim
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Anaheim's last 9 games
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Anaheim is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games on the road
Anaheim is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
Anaheim is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Anaheim is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Detroit

Nashville Predators
Nashville is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
Nashville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games
Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games at home
Nashville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing San Jose
Nashville is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Jose
Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose
San Jose Sharks
San Jose is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
San Jose is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games
San Jose is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
San Jose is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Nashville
San Jose is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Nashville
San Jose is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville

Calgary Flames
Calgary is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Calgary is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games at home
Calgary is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Los Angeles is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
Los Angeles is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Los Angeles's last 19 games on the road
Los Angeles is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Calgary
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary

Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games
Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Vegas is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vegas's last 9 games at home
Boston Bruins
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games on the road

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**Udog** · 10-08-2019, 09:26 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 8

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WINNIPEG (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/8/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 32-24 ATS (+62.9 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 45-43 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 13-18 ATS (-13.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 31-33 ATS (-16.1 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-1-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

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DALLAS (0-3-0-0, 0 pts.) at WASHINGTON (2-0-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/8/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 26-39 ATS (-19.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 119-80 ATS (+28.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 222-244 ATS (+517.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

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EDMONTON (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/8/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 106-185 ATS (+315.1 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
EDMONTON is 19-38 ATS (+60.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 53-39 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 73-102 ATS (-48.0 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-1 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-1-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

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CAROLINA (3-0-0-0, 6 pts.) at FLORIDA (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/8/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 143-236 ATS (+427.1 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
CAROLINA is 13-24 ATS (-14.5 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 27-56 ATS (+89.9 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
FLORIDA is 115-173 ATS (+316.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 5-1 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 5-1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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ANAHEIM (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) at DETROIT (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/8/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 13-5 ATS (+20.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-14 ATS (+36.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 125-147 ATS (-120.0 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

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SAN JOSE (0-3-0-0, 0 pts.) at NASHVILLE (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/8/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 92-59 ATS (+25.4 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 3-3-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) at CALGARY (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/8/2019, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-3-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)

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BOSTON (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) at VEGAS (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/8/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 51-30 ATS (-1.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
VEGAS is 19-4 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 218-170 ATS (+47.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
BOSTON is 22-7 ATS (+12.0 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 28-10 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 45-28 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.
BOSTON is 12-2 ATS (+9.5 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 219-244 ATS (+520.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.1 Units)

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**Udog** · 10-08-2019, 10:12 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 8

Winnipeg @ Pittsburgh

Game 1-2
October 8, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
10.336
Pittsburgh
12.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-160
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-160); Over

Dallas @ Washington

Game 3-4
October 8, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
12.107
Washington
10.614
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-155
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+135); Over

Edmonton @ NY Islanders

Game 5-6
October 8, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
11.227
NY Islanders
12.631
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-160
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-160); Under

Carolina @ Florida

Game 7-8
October 8, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
10.793
Florida
12.415
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
-130
6
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-130); Under

Anaheim @ Detroit

Game 9-10
October 8, 2019 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
10.679
Detroit
12.167
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-115); Over

San Jose @ Nashville

Game 11-12
October 8, 2019 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
10.787
Nashville
9.124
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-170
6
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(+150); Over

Los Angeles @ Calgary

Game 13-14
October 8, 2019 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
9.493
Calgary
11.534
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-200
6
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-200); Under

Boston @ Vegas

Game 15-16
October 8, 2019 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
11.280
Vegas
12.625
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-145
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-145); Under

**Udog** · 10-08-2019, 12:37 PM

by: Monty Andrews

SUCKING IN THE STEEL CITY

You could forgive the Winnipeg Jets for wanting to skip their trip to Pittsburgh as they tangle with the Penguins on Tuesday night. The Winnipeg franchise has been downright abysmal in Pittsburgh in recent history, winning just four of their previous 31 visits overall.

As you might have guessed with two of the NHL's most prolific teams involved, their recent encounters have been high-scoring for the most part; the teams are averaging 6.7 goals per game in their last six meetings and have combined for seven more tallies in four of those games. The Pittsburgh-Over parlay should have some appeal here.

DUCKING THE TREND

It's rare to see an NHL matchup that feels like a sure-fire Under play – but that's where the Anaheim Ducks and Detroit Red Wings might find themselves Tuesday night at Little Caesars Arena if past trends are any indication. The Ducks and Wings have scored five or fewer goals in four of their previous five head-to-head meetings while averaging just four combined goals per game over that span.

Furthermore, Anaheim is coming off a 2018-19 campaign in which it averaged the fewest road goals in the NHL (2.17), while Detroit finished 25th out of 31 teams in home scoring (2.83 goals per game).

HASN'T DONE JACK

Jack Eichel has improved his goal total in each of the previous two seasons and should threaten the 30-goal mark this year – but that doesn't necessarily make him a strong goal prop choice as the Buffalo Sabres host the Montreal Canadiens on Wednesday.

Eichel has faced the Canadiens more than any other team in his four-year NHL career – and Montreal has kept him largely at bay, holding him to just one goal in 16 career meetings. But while Eichel is almost certainly a fade candidate on the goal prop, he's still a decent bet to record a point, having put up nine assists in those 16 games vs. the Canadiens.

GOALIE PROFILE: MARTIN JONES, SAN JOSE SHARKS

Jones will almost certainly be happy to not see the Vegas Golden Knights for a while after being victimized for eight goals in two games against Vegas to open the season. And while two bad games isn't likely to send Jones to the bench for the long term, it'll be important for him to be better this week as the winless Sharks gear up for early-week road tests against Nashville and Chicago.

The Predators game, in particular, will be a good litmus test for Jones, who is 4-6-2 with a 3.39 goals-against average and an .879 save percentage all-time against Nashville.

INJURY UPDATES: F EVGENI MALKIN, PITTSBURGH PENGUINS

Pittsburgh fans are holding their breath after watching Malkin leave Saturday's 7-2 victory over the Columbus Blue Jackets with an undisclosed injury. The 33-year-old headed to the locker room and didn't return after tripping into the boards over the weekend. Malkin has one goal in two games this season, and an extended absence would leave a hole in the Pittsburgh offense despite the Penguins trouncing the Blue Jackets following Malkin's departure.

Malkin was limited to 68 games last season; the Penguins were 6-5-3 SU while averaging just 2.36 goals in the 14 games he missed.

HAT TRICK TRENDS

• Bettors looking for a totals edge early in the season haven't been able to find much of one, with oddsmakers looking like wizards so far. Sixteen games have gone Over the total so far, while the other 16 have gone Under. Overtime/shootout games are 4-2 O/U through the opening week, while non-OT games are 12-14 O/U.

• Home favorites have enjoyed a significant edge through the opening week of the 2019-20 regular season. Home faves are a blistering 18-3-4 so far, good for a 72-percent success rate that is sure to normalize soon. Home teams overall have won 63.6 percent of the time; road favorites have also been decent so far, going 5-2-1 SU.

• It might be the early stages of the campaign, but Ian Walsh is the referee to target if you're craving an Over play. Walsh has officiated three games so far, and has seen a whopping 25 goals scored in those contests; his 8.33 goals-per-game average is the highest of any referee to have worked at least three games.

Announcement

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/8

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/8

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