Announcement

**Udog** · 10-07-2019, 07:33 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top six picks for Week 5 in Westgate Super Contest:

6) Ravens -3 (757)- T

5) Packers +3.5 (781)- W

4) Patriots +15.5 (783)- W

3) Buccaneers +3.5 (800)- L

2) Vikings -5.5 (951)- W

1) Bears -5.5 (1,299)- L

2019 record: 16-13-1

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Ravens 26, Steelers 23 OT:
— Ravens tied game on a FG with 0:10 left, won it on a FG in OT.
— Lamar Jackson’s passing numbers were ordinary, but he also ran for 70 yards.
— Ravens’ first 3 drives: 27 plays, 140 yards, 17 points.
Baltimore’s last 9 drives: 50 plays, 144 yards, 9 points.

— Pitt QB Rudolph got knocked out; rookie Hodges was 7-9/68 in his NFL debut.
— Steelers started 3 drives in Raven territory: FG-FG-FG.
— Pitt still hasn’t run the ball for more than 81 yards in a game this year; they’ve converted only 15-53 third down plays.

Raiders 24, Bears 21:
— Oakland led 17-0 at the half, needed a 97-yard TD drive to win, scoring GW TD with 1:57 left.
— Total yardage was 398-236 Raiders; they lost a fumble on the Bears’ 1-yard line.
— Raiders are now 10-17-2 ATS in last 29 games as a underdog.

— Chicago’s 1st five drives: 19 plays, 29 yards, zero points.
— Chicago’s last five drives: 29 plays, 204 yards, 21 points.
— Bears flew to England Friday, Raiders on Sunday nite; did that matter?

Cardinals 26, Bengals 23:
— Arizona gained 514 yards: 266 running, 248 throwing.
— Murray threw for 253 yards, ran for 93 more; he is this generation’s Michael Vick.
— Cardinals drove 62 yards in six plays, kicked GW 31-yard FG at the gun.

— Bengals trailed 23-9 with 5:00 left, tied game with 2:00 left on a 42-yard pass.
— Last four games, Cincy has been outscored 61-19 in first half.
— Bengals are 4-9 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.

Panthers 34, Jaguars 27:
— Jaguars gained 507 yards but lost, losing three fumbles (-3 TO’s)
— Minshew threw for 374 yards, averaged 7.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Jaguars’ last five drives: 40 plays, 264 yards, but only 10 points.

— McCaffrey had 25 touches for 237 yards, three TD’s.
— Carolina is 3-0 with Kyle Allen starting QB; what happens when Newton gets healthy?
— Panthers scored a defensive TD early in 2nd quarter to go ahead, 21-7.

Vikings 28, Giants 10:
— Minnesota scored two TD’s, four FG’s; they punted once.
— Vikings ran ball for 211 yards, outgained Giants 490-211.
— Minnesota is 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as a road favorite.

— Giants covered once in their last eight games as a home underdog.
— Big Blue was 8-16 on 3rd down, are 22-42 in Jones’ three starts.
— Vikings had 12 penalties for 112 yards; Giants five for 45.

Patriots 33, Redskins 7:
— New England has allowed two TD’s on 61 drives; four of their five wins are by 16+ points.
— Patriots held Washington to 75 passing yards.
— Over last 20 years. favorites are 6-2 ATS in Week 5 games if an unbeaten team plays a winless team.

— Redskins had a 65-yard TD run, gained 155 yards on their other 52 plays.
— Washington converted once on their 11 third down plays.
— Last three games, Redskins were outscored 57-13 in the first half.

Eagles 31, Jets 6:
— Jets are 7-13-2 ATS in last 22 games as a road dog, 1-1 this year.
— When NYJ offense was on field, they were outscored 14-6 by Eagle defense.
— Jets lost nine of last 11 post-bye games (3-8 ATS).
— Jets are impossible to evaluate until Darnold gets healthy

— Eagles had ten sacks, held Jets to 1.7 yards/pass attempt.
— This was only 3rd cover for Philly in last 11 games as a home favorite.
— Eagles are first team this year not to allow a play of 20+ yards in a game.

Saints 31, Buccaneers 24:
— Bucs were held to 252 TY, after they gained 499-464 the last two games.
— Fourth time in five games Tampa Bay allowed 31+ points.
— Winston was sacked six times, averaged only 4.8 yards/pass attempt.

— Saints outgained Bucs 457-252, averaged 9.6 yards/pass attempt.
— NO is 13-21-1 ATS in last 35 games as a home favorite.
— Saints are now 3-0 in Bridgewater’s starts.

Texans 53, Falcons 32:
— Scores like this get coaches fired; Falcons are 8-13 SU in their last 21 games.
— Atlanta actually led this game 17-16 at halftime.
— Falcons are 1-9 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog, 0-13 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC opponents.

— Fuller caught 14 balls for 217 yards, three TD’s; he was started in only 11% of ESPN fantasy leagues this week.
— Watson threw for 426 yards, averaged 12.9 yards/pass attempt.
— Houston scored 37 2nd half points, converted 10-13 3rd down plays.

Bills 14, Titans 7:
— Buffalo is 4-1, would be the #1 Wild Card if the playoffs started today (they don’t).
— Only second win for Bills in their last six visits to Nashville.
— Under McDermott, Buffalo is 9-6-1 ATS as a road underdog, 7-4-1 in games wth spread of 3 or fewer points.

— Tennessee was 0-4 on field goals, which was a problem.
— Mariota threw one TD pass that was called back; he ran over the line before he threw.
— Under Vrabel, Tennessee is 1-4 ATS as a home favorite.

Broncos 20, Chargers 13:
— Denver’s first two drives: 12 plays, 156 yards, 14 points.
— Denver’s last nine drives: 45 plays, 164 yards, six points.
— Broncos held Chargers to 35 yards on 16 running plays.

— Chargers didn’t score an offensive TD; their only TD was a punt return.
— LA had ball in red zone four times, scored total of only three points.
— Chargers are 2-8 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite, 0-3 this year.

Packers 34, Cowboys 24:
— Green Bay led this game 31-3 in third quarter, then hung on for dear life.
— Packers won both their road games, quality wins at Chicago/Dallas.
— Green Bay won eight of last nine series games, winning last four visits here, scoring 34+ points in all four games.

— Dallas outgained Packers 563-335, but was -3 (0-3) in turnovers.
— Prescott threw for 463 yards; Cooper caught 11 balls for 226 yards.
— Dallas is still 5-3-1 ATS in its last nine games as a home favorite.

Colts 19, Chiefs 13
— Indy ran ball for 180 yards, ran 74 plays, to 57 for Chiefs.
— Colts covered six of last eight games as a road underdog.
— Colts have now won eight of last ten visits to Arrowhead.

— Chiefs ran the ball for only 36 yards on 14 carries.
— KC’s last seven drives: 35 plays, 150 yards, three points.
— Mahomes tweaked his ankle, was hobbling in the second half.

**Udog** · 10-07-2019, 07:37 AM

83ST LOUIS -84 TORONTO
ST LOUIS are 21-10 ATS (17.5 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

85BUFFALO -86 COLUMBUS
BUFFALO is 5-17 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, October 7

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ST LOUIS (1-0-0-1, 3 pts.) at TORONTO (2-0-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/7/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 50-60 ATS (+149.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 283-202 ATS (+28.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 40-26 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 154-155 ATS (-53.6 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-0 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 4-0-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

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BUFFALO (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) at COLUMBUS (0-2-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/7/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 5-17 ATS (+28.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 4-2 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 4-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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NHL

Monday, October 7

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Trend Report
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Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Columbus is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 8 games
Columbus is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Columbus is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games at home
Columbus is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Columbus is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Columbus is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Columbus's last 11 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games
Buffalo is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Columbus
Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Buffalo's last 11 games when playing on the road against Columbus

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Toronto is 2-12-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against St. Louis
St. Louis Blues
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Toronto
St. Louis is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Toronto

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**Udog** · 10-07-2019, 10:08 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, October 7

St. Louis @ Toronto

Game 83-84
October 7, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
11.234
Toronto
12.757
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-130
6
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-130); Under

Buffalo @ Columbus

Game 85-86
October 7, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
12.979
Columbus
9.244
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 3 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+100); Under

Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/7

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/7

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