Announcement

**Udog** · 10-02-2019, 07:29 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Interesting college football spreads this weekend:

— Oregon State @ UCLA (-5.5)

— Iowa @ Michigan (-3.5)

— Northwestern @ Nebraska (-3.5)

— Air Force (-3) @ Navy

— TCU @ Iowa State (-3.5)

— Auburn (-3) @ Florida

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Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: NFL stats after four weeks……

13) Best red zone offenses:
Seattle 6.25 ppp, Cowboys 6.08, Ravens 6.07

Worst red zone offenses:
Dolphins 2.67, Bengals 3.00, Raiders 3.62

12) Best offenses on drives that start 75+ yards from goal line:
Ravens 3.76 ppp, Chiefs 3.19, Chargers 2.88

Worst offenses on drives that start 75+ yards from goal line:
Jets 0.37, Dolphins 0.52, Bucs 0.88

11) Best red zone defenses:
Patriots 2.50, 49ers 2.88, Steelers 3.57, Chiefs 3.76

Worst red zone defenses:
Browns 6.60, Dolphins 6.16, Colts 5.67, Saints 5.57

10) Best defenses on drives that start 75+ yards from goal line:
49ers 0.38, Patriots 0.39, Bills 0.77, Bears 0.84

Worst defenses on drives that start 75+ yards from goal line:
Dolphins 3.05, Cardinals 3.03, Chiefs 2.67, Falcons 2.56

9) QB’s with most passing yards:
Mahomes KC 1,510, Ryan Atl 1,325, Goff LAR/Rivers LAC 1,254

8) QB’s with most touchdown passes:
10— Brissett-Jackson-Mahomes
9— Prescott-Stafford-Wentz-Winston
8— Ryan-Wilson

7) RB’s with most rushing yards:
McCaffrey 411, Cook 410, Fournette 404, Chubb 398

6) Players with most receiving yards:
KAllen 452, Kupp 388, Godwin 386, Adams 378

Teams that scored the most points:
135— Chiefs/Ravens
123— Buccaneers
122— Patriots
117— Rams

5) Offenses with most plays of 20+ yards:
Chiefs 27, Chargers/Ravens 23, Lions 22, Falcons 21

4) Offenses that have gained most yards/game:
Ravens 482.5, Chiefs 474.8, Cowboys 425.2, 49ers 421.0

3) Defenses that allowed fewest yards/game:
Patriots 243.0, Bills 280.8, 49ers 283.3, Panthers 287.5

2) Best net punting average:
Redskins 48.5, Giants 46.8, Cardinals/Saints/Eagles 44.8.

1) Best turnover ratios:
+6— Bears/Patriots
+5— Titans
+4— Packers/Jets/Steelers

Worst turnover ratios:
-7— Dolphins
-5— Falcons/Giants/Broncos/Bengals
-3— Panthers/Rams/Redskins

**Udog** · 10-02-2019, 07:34 AM

3WASHINGTON -4 ST LOUIS
WASHINGTON is 26-16 ATS (8.4 Units) at home when the total is 5.5 in the last 3 seasons.

7SAN JOSE -8 VEGAS
VEGAS are 28-9 ATS (18.1 Units) in home games first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 2

Ottawa @ Toronto

Game 1-2
October 2, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
9.099
Toronto
10.564
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-290
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-290); Under

Washington @ St. Louis

Game 5-6
October 2, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
10.762
St. Louis
14.467
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 3 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-140); Over

Vancouver @ Edmonton

Game 5-6
October 2, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
11.652
Edmonton
10.575
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(+115); Under

San Jose @ Vegas

Game 7-8
October 2, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
11.276
Vegas
9.659
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-165
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(+145); Under

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 2

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OTTAWA (29-47-0-6, 64 pts.) at TORONTO (49-32-0-8, 106 pts.) - 10/2/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-3 (+6.4 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 5-3-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.1 Units)

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WASHINGTON (51-30-0-8, 110 pts.) at ST LOUIS (61-36-0-11, 133 pts.) - 10/2/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 283-201 ATS (+37.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 117-79 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-16 ATS (+9.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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VANCOUVER (35-36-0-11, 81 pts.) at EDMONTON (35-38-0-9, 79 pts.) - 10/2/2019, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 4-4 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-4-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)

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SAN JOSE (56-36-0-10, 122 pts.) at VEGAS (46-34-0-9, 101 pts.) - 10/2/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 49-30 ATS (-2.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
VEGAS is 46-43 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 12-9 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 12-9-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
14 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.4 Units)

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NHL

Wednesday, October 2

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Trend Report
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Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Montreal
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Montreal is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 13 games
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Montreal is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games on the road
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Carolina
Montreal is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina

New York Rangers
NY Rangers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Rangers is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
NY Rangers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
Winnipeg is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers

Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 14 games
Pittsburgh is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
Buffalo is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Buffalo is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing Pittsburgh
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Buffalo is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Tampa Bay's last 17 games
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Florida
Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Florida
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Tampa Bay's last 20 games when playing at home against Florida
Florida Panthers
Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida's last 10 games
Florida is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Florida is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games on the road
Florida is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
Florida is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Florida is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Florida's last 20 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

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**Udog** · 10-02-2019, 07:35 AM

by: Monte Andrews

MAPLE LEAFS FOREVER

For a team that still hasn't won a first-round playoff series since 2004, the Toronto Maple Leafs sure do get favorable treatment in the futures odds department. Toronto, which kicks off the season Wednesday against visiting Ottawa, is the No. 2 favorite to win the Stanley Cup at +900, behind only Tampa Bay (+750) – and while there's plenty of reason to optimism behind the high-powered (and high-priced) trio of John Tavares, Mitch Marner and Auston Matthews, bettors might be skittish to invest in a team that has lost in the first round three straight times. Better value: the Over on Toronto's regular-season point total, set at 102.5 (-115).

TIME FOR AN ENCORE

How do the Lightning follow up on an NHL record-tying 62-win season? Past history suggests that Tampa Bay is in for another successful season, at least from a points perspective. Fans would love to see the team overcome its stunning first-round knockout at the hands of the Columbus Blue Jackets, but bettors will be focused on a futures point total that sits at 108.5, the highest of any team in the league. Nine teams recorded 120+ points in a season prior to Tampa racking up 128 a season ago – and those teams averaged 114 points the following season. The Over (-115) looks like a strong option.

OUTLOOK: NOT SO GOOD

The Anaheim Ducks enter the season with high hopes and low expectations – but can they reach their Vegas point total of 80.5? In addition to boasting one of the least impressive offensive attacks in the league going into the season, the Ducks will need to find a way to stay healthier this season after seeing just three players appear in more than 70 games in 2018-19. And then there's this: Anaheim finished with 20 one-goal victories (out of 35 total), tied for the third-most in the NHL. If their one-goal success rate of .541 normalizes even slightly, the Ducks will be hard-pressed to avoid going Under their point threshold (-115).

READY TO GO

Patrik Laine will be in the Winnipeg Jets lineup for their season opener against the host New York Rangers – and he's ready to fill the net with pucks. Laine, who signed a two-year bridge deal with the team late last week, has put together back-to-back 30-goal seasons to open his NHL career but went through a dreadful slump last season in which he scored just two goals in a 28-game span from mid-December to late February. But Laine will be the most dangerous goal-scorer on either end of the ice against the Rangers, and is a great prop play to score a goal anytime.

GOALIE PROFILE: BEN BISHOP, DALLAS STARS

It still seems like Bishop doesn't get the credit he deserves, even after what was arguably the best season of his career. Bishop is coming off a sensational campaign in which he led all qualified netminders in save percentage (.934) while finishing second in goals-against average (1.98) – and yet he still finished a distant second in the Vezina Trophy voting to Tampa Andrei Vasilevskiy, who no doubt benefited from the Lightning's record-breaking season. Bishop is a great value play as the No. 3 favorite to win this year's top goaltender award (+750), provided he can stay healthy.

INJURY UPDATE: CONNOR MCDAVID, EDMONTON OILERS

McDavid will start the season, but it might take a while for him to return to peak game form. He suffered a serious leg injury in late March and is only now returning to action, scoring one goal in two preseason games while showing plenty of rust in the process. And while you probably aren't going to fade his Hart Trophy odds any more than if he were completely healthy to open the season – he's the +350 favorite despite playing on an Oilers team that managed just 74 points last season – it might be worth betting against Edmonton in the early going, beginning with Wednesday's encounter with visiting Vancouver (+120).

HAT TRICK TRENDS

• Looking for a fun opening night prop play? Consider that the San Jose Sharks led the NHL with 102 first-period goals last season, while the rival Vegas Golden Knights had just 74. We like the Sharks to lead after 20 minutes in Vegas.

• The Bruins (35-44-3 O/U) and Stars (24-50-8) were two of the top Under options last season. They tangle Wednesday in their season opener in Texas, and with little changing from a personnel perspective on either side, we like the Under play here.

• The Washington Capitals have one of the more challenging schedules to open the year, with nine of their first 14 games coming on the road. It might be worth waiting on their Stanley Cup futures – currently at +1800 – until after this stretch.

Announcement

Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/2

Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/2

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