Da Bum's 2019-2020 NHL Picks/News/Trends/Best Bets - Thru The Stanley Cup !

[StarDust Bum]

1FLORIDA -2 NEW JERSEY
FLORIDA is 3-21 ATS (-20.1 Units) in road games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

3ST LOUIS -4 NY ISLANDERS
ST LOUIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons.

5MINNESOTA -6 OTTAWA
OTTAWA is 116-105 ATS (0.5 Units) at home when the total is >=6 since 1996.

7ANAHEIM -8 BOSTON
BOSTON is 20-5 ATS (14.5 Units) after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons.

9DALLAS -10 BUFFALO
DALLAS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

9DALLAS -10 BUFFALO
Jim Montgomery is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread (Coach of DALLAS)

11COLORADO -12 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 102-59 ATS (36 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the last 3 seasons.

13EDMONTON -14 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 10-28 ATS (-19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, OCTOBER 14
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DAL at BUF 03:00 PM
BUF +102
U 5.5

COL at WAS 05:00 PM
COL +110
O 6.0

EDM at CHI 08:30 PM
EDM +103
U 6.5

[StarDust Bum]

nhl october best bets and opinions based on 5 units ( like base dogs and totals only )

date....................w-l-t....................%................units

10/14/2019............5-1-0.............83.33%.............+20.60
10/13/2019............1-5-0.............16.67%..............-21.10
10/12/2019............9-8-0.............52.94%..............+3.45
10/11/2019............2-3-0.............40.00%...............-4.95
10/10/2019............8-6-1.............57.14%..............+8.60
10/09/2019............1-4-0.............20.00%...............-16.00
10/08/2019............8-5-0..............61.53%..............+17.75
10/07/2019............3-1-0..............75.00%..............+10.75
10/06/2019............2-3-0..............40.00%.................-5.95
10/05/2019............8-9-0..............47.06%.................-2.55
10/04/2019............5-3-0..............62.50%.............+10.90
10/03/2019............2-9-0..............18.18%..............-37.50
10/02/2019............3-3-0..............50.00%...............+0.65


totals................57-60-1...............48.71%...............-16.35


best bets

date...........................ats................ .units...................o/u...............units.................totals


10/14/2019................2 - 1...............+5.60....................3 - 0.............+15.00...............+20.60
10/13/2019................1 - 2...............-4,60.....................1 - 2..............-6.00..................-10.60
10/12/2019................2 - 3...............-4.05.....................6 - 6..............-3.00..................-7.05
10/11/2019................2 - 0...............+11.55..................0 - 3..............-16.50.................-4.95
10/10/2019................2 - 1...............+0.60....................6 - 4..............+8.00.................+8.60
10/09/2019................1 - 1...............+2.60....................1 - 1...............-0.50.................+2.10
10/08/2019................4 - 1...............+20.70..................4 - 4...............-2.00.................+18.70
10/07/2019................1 - 1...............+0.75....................2 - 0...............+10.00..............+10.75
10/06/2019................0 - 1................-5.00....................2 - 1...............+4.50...................-0.50
10/05/2019................1 - 3................-4.55....................7 - 5...............+7.50..................+2.95
10/04/2019................2 - 1...............+6.90....................3 - 2...............+4.00................+10.90
10/03/2019................0 - 4...............-20.00....................2 - 5...............-17.50................-37.50
10/02/2019................1 - 1...............+1.65....................2 - 2...............-1.00...................+0.65


totals......................15 - 20..............+12.15...................39 - 35............+2.50..................+14.65

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s 6-pack

Interesting college football games on this week’s card:

— Florida State @ Wake Forest (-2)

— NC State (-2.5) @ Boston College

— Oregon (-3) @ Washington

— Arizona @ USC (-9)

— Florida (-5) @ South Carolina

— Baylor @ Oklahoma State (-3.5)


Quote of the Day
“To achieve great things, two things are needed; a plan, and not quite enough time.”
Leonard Bernstein

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Aaron Rodgers play his college football?

Monday’s quiz
Luxor is the Las Vegas casino that is shaped like a pyramid.

Sunday’s quiz
Mike Leach was the football coach at Texas Tech before moving to Washington State.

********************

Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Watching the Rams’ ugly performance in Sunday’s loss to San Francisco, it dawned on me that I should research how other teams have done the year after losing the Super Bowl.

From 2001-08, only one of eight Super Bowl losers made the playoffs again the next year, but from 2009-18, nine of ten teams did make the playoffs, even going 6-3 SU in their first playoff game that second season. Only one of those teams (NE 2018) got back to the Super Bowl.

We’ve talked a lot here about how competitive the NFL is, and lot of small things have to go in your favor for a team to have success; I’m guessing the schedule makers are also less forgiving to the conference champs. Success is fragile, that much we know.

12) I’ll say this; enjoy success while you can. Detroit Lions won three NFL titles in the 50’s, but have never made it to a Super Bowl, and haven’t won a playoff game since 1991.

11) If I was an NFL coach and my 3rd-string QB was making his first NFL start, I’d want my Hall of Fame QB (who is currently hurt) to go on that road trip, to help mentor the rookie QB.

But Ben Roethlisberger didn’t go to LA this weekend; coach Tomlin simply said “Injured players don’t make road trips”

10) San Diego is the 8th-largest city in America; why did the Chargers leave there? It makes no sense to me; what happens if they don’t sell a decent amount of tickets in the new LA dome next year? Can they go back to San Diego?

Can’t be much fun for the Charger players, when fans at their “home” games are mostly rooting for the other team.

9) Underdogs went 9-3 ATS Sunday; gambling is difficult.

8) Jay Gruden said over the weekend that coaches without final say over his team’s roster have to manage different staff and roster dynamics; “That’s the hardest part of coaching in the National Football League, in my opinion.”

That from a guy who just got fired, so he would know.

7) Back when I was in college 40 or so years ago, I got mononucleosis and was off the grid for 2-3 weeks; can’t remember how much weight I lost, but I do remember that I was 168 scrawny pounds when I went back to school, having probably lost around 20 pounds. Many moons ago, and if you know me, there was no problem regaining all that weight.

Was surprised to read that Sam Darnold only lost three or four pounds during his bout with mono. Protein shakes must do the trick; he played really well against Dallas Sunday.

6) One thing the NFL need to fix is how over-officiated their games are; former refs are TV stars now, pass interference instant replay is a joke (they almost never overturn a PI call/non-call), there is a flag thrown on most every kick return. Stop throwing so many flags!!!!

One thing bugs me a lot; stop calling taunting penalties!!! Or if you call them, just throw a flag, call it on both sides as a warning for guys to STFU, and move on. Coaches will tell guys to shut up and the game can go on. No one pays to watch the officials.

When Carson Wentz blew his knee out two years ago, it happened on a drive that should’ve ended three plays earlier, but the ref called a taunting penalty on a DB after a failed third down play. Eagles would’ve kicked a FG had the taunting penalty not been called, and Wentz wouldn’t have gotten hurt.

5) Quarterbacks and guys who run with/catch the ball get all the credit, but if your offensive line isn’t strong, your offense has no chance, especially if the QB isn’t mobile. When an OL struggles, people are quick to point fingers, but they’re reluctant to give credit in the good times.

4) Couple of quick NFL trends:
— Chiefs covered 11 of their last 13 AFC West road games.
— Last 12 times Tennessee failed to cover consecutive games, they went 11-1 ATS in the third game.

3) NFL TV ratings are up 6% so far this season.

2) Philip Rivers’ career record against the spread:
— As a favorite: 64-71-3
— As an underdog or pick ‘em: 41-31-3

1) Packers 23, Lions 22
— Detroit got inside Packers’ 10-yard line on first three drives, scored 13 points.
— Lions are 2-2-1 despite a +6 turnover ratio.
— Loss ends Detroit’s 4-game series win streak.

— Green Bay won despite a minus-3 turnover ratio (0-3).
— Packers outgained Detroit 447-229, but scored only 13 points on four red zone drives.
— Lions lost despite a 12-yard advantage in field position.

[StarDust Bum]

In the Crease - Week 3
Joe Williams

Streaky Teams

Wins and Losses Streak Over/Under Streak
Buffalo 5-0-1 past six games overall Anaheim Under 5-1 past six games
Carolina 5-1-0 past six games overall Arizona Under 4-0 past four games
Colorado 5-0-0 past five games overall Los Angeles Over 5-0 past five games
Edmonton 5-1-0 past six games overall Montreal Over 4-0-1 past five games
New Jersey 0-4-2 past six games overall Nashville Over 5-0 past five games

West Coast Fair

The Carolina Hurricanes opened the season with a 5-0-0 record in their first five games for the first time in franchise history. They won their fifth game by a 5-2 score against the New York Islanders this past Friday, but fell 3-2 at home in the second end of a back-to-back against the Columbus Blue Jackets. Now, they'll head out on the road for an early-season west-coast swing.

If you ever wondered why it seems the Hurricanes are always on a lengthy road trip to begin the season, it's due to the North Carolina State Fair. PNC Arena and Carter-Finley Stadium, where N.C. State football plays, are right next to the state fairgrounds. The parking for the state fair uses the lots for Carter-Finley and PNC Arena, so the Hurricanes are on the road in the middle of October every season. They head to Los Angeles on Tuesday, San Jose on Wednesday and Anaheim on Friday before traveling to Columbus on Oct. 24 after six days off. Their next home game isn't until Oct. 26, a matinee battle against the Chicago Blackhawks.

Looking Ahead

Tuesday, Oct. 15

Tampa Bay at Montreal: The Lightning head to Bell Centre as slight road favories. They are ice-cold, going 0-5 over the past five as a road favorite, including a stunning loss at Ottawa over the weekend. The home team has come away with victories in four of the past five meetings in this series, with the 'under' cashing in four of the past five. That's a stark contrast to what's been happening for Montreal overall, as the 'over' is 4-0-1 in their five games overall, including 1-0-1 in two home outings. In fact, the Canadiens are averaging 4.3 goals per game while yielding 4.3 goals per outing.

Arizona at Winnipeg: The Coyotes and Jets meet in Winnipeg. The 'under' has connected in all four games for Arizona so far, as they have scratched out seven goals while allowing a total of seven. Four of the goals scored came in their win against Vegas on Oct. 10, so it's been mostly a power outage for the Coyotes on offense. In their two road games the Coyotes are 0-1-1, losing at Anaheim on Oct. 3 and Colorado on Oct. 12. The Jets started out on the road, splitting four games in the New York City area, and one game at Pittsburgh. They are coming off a 7-2 beatdown at the hands of the Penguins, as G Laurent Brossoit took one for the team. G Connor Hellebuyck will be in between the pipes against the 'Yotes.

Philadelphia at Calgary: The Flyers are on the second of a their three-game western Canada swing after falling 3-2 in Vancouver in a shootout on Saturday. The Flames have yet to hit their stride offensively, scoring three or fewer goals in all six games so far, while coughing up three or more goals in four of their six affairs. They're back home for the first time since Oct. 8, as they look to treat the home fans to a better result than the 4-3 overtime loss they saw against Los Angeles in the Saddledome last time out. The 'over' has connected in five of the past seven meetings in this series.

Wednesday, Oct. 16

Toronto at Washington: The road team has connected in five of the past seven meetings in this series, so Toronto has that going for them. However, they have won just six of the past 20 in this series. Alex Ovechkin and the Caps just seem to have their number, and the favorite has connected in 20 of the past 28 in this series. They might be catching the Capitals in a good spot, however, as they have dropped four of the past five, including two in regulation and two in overtime. The last time out Washington was doubled up by Colorado on Monday by a 6-3 score. The 'over' is 3-1 in the past four for the Caps.

Buffalo at Anaheim: The Sabres head out to 'The Pond' to battle the Ducks. Buffalo will be looking to snap a four-game skid against Pacific Division foes. Anaheim has been solid when favored, winning four in a row. However, facing the Eastern Conference hasn't been kind to them lately, going 6-15 in the past 21. The road team has won five of the past six meetings in this series, too, while the 'dog has barked in four of the past five meetings. That might mean it's a good idea to fade Anaheim, with Buffalo a solid value on the road.

Thursday, Oct. 17

N.Y. Rangers at New Jersey: The Devils are looking to avenge a 6-4 loss in Newark against the Panthers, 6-4. They'll face a familiar foe in the Rangers. The Blueshirts won three of the four regular-season meetings in this series last year, although New Jersey won 4-2 in the last meeting on April 1, no foolin'. The home team has won six of the past seven in this series between NYC Metro rivals. The Rangers have been so-so in their three games to date. However, the power play has been clicking, hitting at a 33.3 percent clip to rank fourth during the early going. The penalty kill ranks 13th at 83.3 percent.

Nashville at Arizona: The Predators skate into the desert to face the Coyotes, and Arizona actually won this season series 2-1 in 2018-19. The Preds avoided the season sweep with a 5-2 win in the Music City last Feb. 5, but Arizona won 3-0 in Nashville on Nov. 29 and 2-1 at home on Nov. 15 in the only meeting in the Valley of the Sun. The Coyotes have actually won five of the past six against the Predators in Glendale dating back to the 2014-15 when the Predators swept the three-game season series. Nashville has struggled early on, ranking 25th on the power play at 16.2 percent while going 18th on the penalty kill at 80.8 percent.

[StarDust Bum]

15MINNESOTA -16 TORONTO
MINNESOTA is 14-6 ATS (13 Units) in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

17TAMPA BAY -18 MONTREAL
TAMPA BAY is 34-6 ATS (23.3 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

19ARIZONA -20 WINNIPEG
ARIZONA is 34-96 ATS (-45.4 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1996.

21PHILADELPHIA -22 CALGARY
PHILADELPHIA is 15-26 ATS (-16.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

23NASHVILLE -24 VEGAS
VEGAS are 2-9 ATS (-10.5 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving <= 89.5% of shots against over the last 2 seasons.

25DETROIT -26 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 187-196 ATS (-28.6 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days since 1996.

27CAROLINA -28 LOS ANGELES
LOS ANGELES are 14-28 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NHL

Tuesday, October 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Montreal Canadiens
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games
Montreal is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Montreal is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games at home
Montreal is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Montreal is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Montreal is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Montreal is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games
Toronto is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Toronto is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toronto's last 14 games when playing Minnesota
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Minnesota's last 14 games when playing Toronto
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto

Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Winnipeg is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Winnipeg is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Coyotes
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Arizona's last 12 games
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg

Calgary Flames
Calgary is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Calgary is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Calgary is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 11 games at home
Calgary is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Calgary
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary

Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vancouver's last 9 games
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games at home
Vancouver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Red Wings
Detroit is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
Detroit is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Vancouver
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Vancouver

Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Vegas is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vegas's last 11 games at home
Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing Nashville
Nashville Predators
Nashville is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Nashville's last 12 games on the road
Nashville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Vegas

Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
Los Angeles is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games at home
Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Carolina
Los Angeles is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 11 games on the road
Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 15


Minnesota @ Toronto

Game 15-16
October 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
10.071
Toronto
12.489
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-200
6
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-200); Under

Tampa Bay @ Montreal

Game 17-18
October 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
11.788
Montreal
10.147
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-140
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-140); Over

Arizona @ Winnipeg

Game 19-20
October 15, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
11.373
Winnipeg
9.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-130
6
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+110); Over

Philadelphia @ Calgary

Game 21-22
October 15, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
10.624
Calgary
9.180
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-150
6
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+130); Under

Detroit @ Vancouver

Game 25-26
October 15, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
9.995
Vancouver
12.385
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver
-150
6
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(-150); Under

Nashville @ Vegas

Game 23-24
October 15, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nashville
9.507
Vegas
12.805
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-135
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-135); Over

Carolina @ Los Angeles

Game 27-28
October 15, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
10.591
Los Angeles
11.962
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-155
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+135); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (1-4-0-0, 2 pts.) at TORONTO (3-2-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/15/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) at MONTREAL (2-1-0-2, 6 pts.) - 10/15/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 413-431 ATS (-132.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 188-215 ATS (-75.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 64-27 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 33-12 ATS (+13.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 23-6 ATS (+13.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 6-2-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (1-2-0-1, 3 pts.) at WINNIPEG (4-3-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/15/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 27-57 ATS (+100.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 31-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-1 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (2-0-0-1, 5 pts.) at CALGARY (2-3-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/15/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 436-388 ATS (-125.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-26 ATS (-16.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-6 ATS (+20.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-1 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NASHVILLE (3-2-0-0, 6 pts.) at VEGAS (4-2-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/15/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 47-91 ATS (+147.5 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
VEGAS is 53-32 ATS (-2.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
VEGAS is 19-5 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 26-12 ATS (+11.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 3-3 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 3-3-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (3-2-0-0, 6 pts.) at VANCOUVER (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/15/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 125-148 ATS (-81.6 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 2-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (5-1-0-0, 10 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (2-3-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/15/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 144-236 ATS (+428.0 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
CAROLINA is 77-138 ATS (+243.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
CAROLINA is 28-13 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 26-55 ATS (+83.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 2-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.3 Units)

[StarDust Bum]

by: Monty Andrews


ONE-SIDED RIVALRY

The Winnipeg Jets have shown no mercy on the Arizona Coyotes as they prepare to host the franchise that used to carry their name in a Tuesday night encounter. The Jets (2.0) have won 14 of the previous 18 meetings between the teams since the start of the 2014-15 season, including a 4-2 triumph in their previous showdown on April 7.

The Jets have another trend working in their favor in this one: the home team has prevailed in 10 of the last 13 games between the clubs. The Coyotes enter the week going 4-0 to the Under, having seen just 14 total goals scored in their first four games.


OVER AND ABOVE

Bettors who took the Over on the period totals between the Colorado Avalanche and Pittsburgh Penguins last season might still be counting their winnings. Two of the most dangerous offensive teams in the league face off Wednesday night in Pennsylvania in the first of two regular-season meetings – and fans and bettors alike can only hope this year's games turn out a lot like last year's.

Each team secured a 6-3 home victory against the other, and five of the six periods in those two games featured three or more goals scored. Live betting the Over on a period goal total could be a worthwhile option in this one.


LOADING UP

The odds might be the lowest of any player props you'll encounter this week – but it could pay handsomely to consider a trio of Edmonton Oilers skaters for Wednesday's home encounter with the Philadelphia Flyers. Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl and James Neal should all offer terrible payouts on the points prop, with McDavid and Draisaitl entering the week ranked 1-2 in league scoring and Neal having potted seven goals through the first five games.

With the Flyers playing in Calgary the night before and the Oilers enjoying home-ice advantage, all three are terrific plays on either their goal or point props.


NARROW VICTORIES

You have to give it to the New Jersey Devils and New York Rangers: when they square off, things are tense right up to the final minute of play. The Metropolitan Division (and geographical) rivals renew acquaintances Thursday night at Prudential Center in Newark having split their previous eight meetings overall.

Even more incredibly, six of those seven games were decided by a goal while three went to extra time. There are a couple of different directions bettors can go here; either by taking one team or the other to prevail via a one-goal margin, or to pick Yes on the extra-time prop.


GOALIE PROFILE: JONATHAN QUICK, LOS ANGELES KINGS

Could this be the end of Quick as a competent NHL netminder? It sure looks like it through the early stages of the season, with Quick ranking dead last among qualifies netminders in goals-against average (6.43) and save percentage (.793) entering the week.

Don't be surprised to see a lot more of Jack Campbell, who has won both of his starts while boasting much more respectable – though not exactly elite – statistics (3.48 GAA, .885 SV%) Until one of these guys hits his stride, the Over will continue to be a strong play in Kings games, with Los Angeles coming into the week a perfect 5-0 O/U.


INJURY UPDATE: D NIKLAS HJALMARSSON, ARIZONA COYOTES

We have one more reason to like the Jets in Tuesday night's encounter with the visiting Coyotes. Defenseman Niklas Hjalmarsson suffered a cracked fibula last weekend and is expected to be lost for up to three months.

It's a devastating injury for the Coyotes, who have been one of the more defensively sound teams in the NHL – having given up just seven goals through their first four games of the season. But while an injury to a key defenseman might improve that team's Over chances the majority of the time, we still like the Coyotes as an Under play given that they've also scored just seven goals in four games entering the week.


HAT TRICK TRENDS

• Home ice wasn't much of an advantage at all last week. Home teams won less than half their games over the previous seven days, converting only 47.7 percent of the time (21-18-5). Things were just as dismal for home favorites, who won outright at a surprisingly low 47.1-percent pace (16-13-5) overall.

• Over bettors who haven't been deterred by all those 6s and 6.5s have been rewarded handsomely so far, with the Over cashing 40 times compared to the Under at 35 conversions entering the new week. Last week saw 24 games end Over the total, with 19 games coming in below the number; extra-time games were actually 5-6 O/U for the week.

• Four teams accustomed to being near the bottom of the league standings in recent years have been the best value bets of the season in the early going. The unbeaten Edmonton Oilers lead the way at +4.95 units overall, with the Buffalo Sabres coming into the week at No. 2 (+3.46). Detroit rounds out the top three (+3.37) with Carolina ranked fourth (+3.22).

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 15
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TB at MON 07:00 PM
MON +122
U 6.5

MIN at TOR 07:00 PM
O 6.5

ARI at WIN 08:00 PM
ARI +110
O 6.0

PHI at CAL 09:00 PM
PHI +132
O 6.0

DET at VAN 10:00 PM
U 6.0

NAS at VEG 10:00 PM
U 6.5

CAR at LA 10:30 PM
U 6.5

[StarDust Bum]

Vasilevskiy leads Lightning past Habs
October 15, 2019
By The Associated Press

MONTREAL (AP) Andrei Vasilevskiy made 33 saves to help the Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montreal Canadiens 3-1 on Tuesday night in the fifth game of a six-game road trip.

Braydon Coburn, Steven Stamkos and Tyler Johnson scored for the Lightning (3-2-1), who were coming off a 4-2 loss to the Ottawa Senators. Nikita Kucherov added two assists.

The 25-year-old Vasilevskiy improved to 8-1-2 in his career against Montreal.

Jeff Petry scored the lone goal for the Canadiens (2-2-2) while Carey Price stopped 19-of-22 shots in defeat.

The Canadiens came into the matchup with the league's fourth-best offense, scoring four goals per game, but they could only get one past Vasilevskiy.

MAPLE LEAFS 4, WILD 2

TORONTO (AP) - Mitch Marner had a goal and two assists and Toronto overcame a slow start and beat Minnesota.

Andreas Johnsson had a goal and an assist, and Auston Matthews and John Tavares also scored for Toronto. Frederik Andersen made 27 saves.

Maple Leafs defenseman Morgan Rielly added four assists in the second period, tying a franchise record for assists in a period of a regular-season game set by Rick Vaive on March 12, 1984.

Luke Kunin and Gerald Mayhew scored for Minnesota. Devan Dubnyk stopped 30 shots for the Wild, who were coming off a 2-0 win at Ottawa on Monday.

COYOTES 4, JETS 2

WINNIPEG, Manitoba (AP) - Christian Dvorak scored a pair of goals and Arizona beat Winnipeg.

The Coyotes had lost 10 straight games in Winnipeg, since the Jets franchise moved from Atlanta in 2011.

Nick Schmaltz had a goal and two assists for Arizona and Conor Garland also scored. Oliver Ekman-Larsson finished with two assists. Darcy Kuemper made 38 saves for the Coyotes.

Mark Scheifele had a goal and an assist and extended his point streak to five games with his team-leading fourth goal of the season for Winnipeg. Kyle Connor also scored for Winnipeg, and Josh Morrissey had a pair of assists. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 31 shots for the Jets.

FLAMES 3, FLYERS 1

CALGARY, Alberta (AP) - Michael Frolik scored in his 800th NHL game and Calgary beat Philadelphia.

Frolik scored the 154th goal of his 13-season career, fifth as a member of the Flames.

Andrew Mangiapane also scored, and Elias Lindholm added an empty-net goal for Calgary, which snapped a two-game losing skid.

David Rittich made 21 saves and improved to 3-2 on the season.

Defenseman Matt Niskanen scored for the Flyers. Brian Elliott made 35 saves in his first start of the season.

PREDATORS 5, KNIGHTS 2

CANUCKS 5, RED WINGS 1

HURRICANES 2, KINGS 0

[StarDust Bum]

nhl october best bets and opinions based on 5 units ( like base dogs and totals only )

date....................w-l-t....................%................units


10/15/2019............3-5-2.............37.50%.............-11.00
10/14/2019............5-1-0.............83.33%.............+20.60
10/13/2019............1-5-0.............16.67%..............-21.10
10/12/2019............9-8-0.............52.94%..............+3.45
10/11/2019............2-3-0.............40.00%...............-4.95
10/10/2019............8-6-1.............57.14%..............+8.60
10/09/2019............1-4-0.............20.00%...............-16.00
10/08/2019............8-5-0..............61.53%..............+17.75
10/07/2019............3-1-0..............75.00%..............+10.75
10/06/2019............2-3-0..............40.00%.................-5.95
10/05/2019............8-9-0..............47.06%.................-2.55
10/04/2019............5-3-0..............62.50%.............+10.90
10/03/2019............2-9-0..............18.18%..............-37.50
10/02/2019............3-3-0..............50.00%...............+0.65


totals................60-65-1...............48.00%...............-27.35


best bets

date...........................ats................ .units...................o/u...............units.................totals


10/15/2019................1 - 2...............-4.50.....................2 - 3.............-6.50..................-11.00
10/14/2019................2 - 1...............+5.60....................3 - 0.............+15.00...............+20.60
10/13/2019................1 - 2...............-4,60.....................1 - 2..............-6.00..................-10.60
10/12/2019................2 - 3...............-4.05.....................6 - 6..............-3.00..................-7.05
10/11/2019................2 - 0...............+11.55..................0 - 3..............-16.50.................-4.95
10/10/2019................2 - 1...............+0.60....................6 - 4..............+8.00.................+8.60
10/09/2019................1 - 1...............+2.60....................1 - 1...............-0.50.................+2.10
10/08/2019................4 - 1...............+20.70..................4 - 4...............-2.00.................+18.70
10/07/2019................1 - 1...............+0.75....................2 - 0...............+10.00..............+10.75
10/06/2019................0 - 1................-5.00....................2 - 1...............+4.50...................-0.50
10/05/2019................1 - 3................-4.55....................7 - 5...............+7.50..................+2.95
10/04/2019................2 - 1...............+6.90....................3 - 2...............+4.00................+10.90
10/03/2019................0 - 4...............-20.00....................2 - 5...............-17.50................-37.50
10/02/2019................1 - 1...............+1.65....................2 - 2...............-1.00...................+0.65


totals......................16 - 22..............+7.65...................41 - 38............-4.00..................+3.65

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Interesting college football games on this week’s card:

— UCLA @ Stanford (-6.5)

— Indiana (-6) @ Maryland

— Boise State (-6.5) @ BYU

— TCU (-3.5) @ Kansas Sate

— Texas A&M (-6.5) @ Ole Miss

— Tulane @ Memphis (-4.5)


**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……

13) Washington 7, St Louis 4— At one point in May, the Nationals were 19-31, 8.5 games out of first place, only 1.5 games ahead of the woeful Marlins. Manager Dave Martinez seemed certain to be fired, but now he is here, managing the first Wild Card team to make a World Series since Giants/Royals in 2014.

12) Sitting on the airplane coming home last night, and find out the Rams cleaned house a little Tuesday; starting CB Aqib Talib was put on the IR, the other starting CB Marcus Peters got traded to the Ravens for a reserve LB.

Later LA acquired a reserve lineman from the Browns, and they traded a couple of #1 picks to the Jaguars for disgruntled star CB Jalen Ramsey, who hopefully now will be gruntled.

11) Rams took QB Jared Goff in the first round of the 2016 draft; here are their 1st round picks since then:

2017: Traded to Tennessee to help get the pick they used to take Goff.
2018: Traded to New England for WR Brandin Cooks.
2019: Traded to Atlanta for multiple lower picks.
2020-21: Traded to Jacksonville for Jalen Ramsey.

10) Now that I’m back from my excellent vacation to Las Vegas, a story from my 2nd night there; I’m leaving the person’s name out, because it isn’t relevant or right, but this was kind of fun.

I’m sitting at the Vdara hotel bar, shooting the breeze with some guy from Sacramento who owns a lot of buildings and is apparently wealthy; his very attractive wife is sitting next to him, laughing at his quips as he tells me in detail how he met her a few years ago, they fell in love, they both dumped their spouses, and finally got married a few months ago. Alrighty then.

A couple of women sit at the bar near us, and Mr Sacramento starts bantering with them; the women are old high school friends from Florida who are having a reunion. Mr Sacramento asks them if they’re from Canada; I’m not sure why.

At one point, one of the two women asks us, “Any of you baseball fans?” I say that I am, and she points to her friend— “This is Player X’s mom”. Player X is a major league player who happened to have been on my fantasy team the last couple years.

I quickly impress Mrs X by blurting out some useless info about her son, then tell her I traded him in April, before his best hot streak of the season. She mocked me for trading her son, but we became buddies and talked baseball and other stuff for the next hour or so.

Unfortunately for me she is married and a nice lady, so it ended there, but it made me laugh at myself. Also, the two guys I got for her son are both OK players, the pitcher I got is a good prospect.

Originally called that a quick story, but had to delete the word quick. Moving right along……

9) Win for me; flew home during a Presidential debate, so I missed it. Also missed couple of playoff games, but followed along on Twitter on the airplane. Politicians? Not so much.

8) NFL underdogs are 55-35-1 ATS so far this season, 40-20-1 on the road.

7) From AdamJT: Dallas Cowboys are the only NFL team that hasn’t started a drive in its opponent’s territory so far this season. The other 31 teams have started an average of 5.9 drives in opponents’ territory, and four teams have started 10+.

6) Tennessee Titans will start Ryan Tannehill at QB Sunday against the struggling Chargers, benching Marcus Mariota; if my favorite NFL team had Tannehill/Mariota at QB, I wouldn’t be a happy human.

Tannehill was a wide receiver until his junior year at Texas A&M; maybe he should play for the Bengals, since it was Mike Sherman who made Tannehill a QB, and Bengals’ coach Zac Taylor is Sherman’s son-in-law.

5) First college basketball game on CBS College Sports November 5: Utah @ Nevada, which is a pretty good game for opening night, Steve Alford’s first game coaching the Wolf Pack.

4) Phil Mickelson is ranked #47 in the world this week; he hasn’t been ranked outside the top-50 in the World Golf Rankings since November 28, 1993.

3) Major League Baseball plans to open a 17,000-square-foot flagship retail store in Manhattan next summer, at 50th St and 6th Ave; what took them so long?

2) Cardinals’ manager Mike Shildt mentioned the other day how data exists showing that the average fly ball was traveling 4.5 fewer feet during the playoffs, as opposed to the regular season.

1) Washington winning the NLCS leaves the Seattle Mariners as the only major league team that has never played in a World Series.

[StarDust Bum]

29TORONTO -30 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 23-7 ATS (15.3 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

31COLORADO -32 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 4-10 ATS (-7 Units) after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

33DALLAS -34 COLUMBUS
DALLAS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

33DALLAS -34 COLUMBUS
Jim Montgomery is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread (Coach of DALLAS)

35PHILADELPHIA -36 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

37BUFFALO -38 ANAHEIM
ANAHEIM is 75-48 ATS (30.4 Units) in home games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game since 1996.

39CAROLINA -40 SAN JOSE
CAROLINA is 161-225 ATS (-86.5 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.