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**Udog** · 05-07-2019, 07:39 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Some college football over/under win totals from New Jersey books:

— Alabama 11, under -$121

— Clemson 11, over -$139

— Georgia 10.5, over -$182

— Oklahoma 10, over -$148

— Ohio State 10, under -$121

— Boise State 10, under -$118

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

13) From metsblog.com:
”These baseballs suck. They’re more slick and the seams are more smooth and hard to grip.”

That is a major league relief pitcher, talking about this year’s batch of baseballs.

Noah Syndergaard told reporters last week that gripping a baseball on a cold night has felt like trying to throw an ice cube.

From Robert Arthur, who provides pitch-tracking information in every ballpark:
”As baseballs become more aerodynamic, they travel further given a certain initial velocity. A deep fly ball that might have been caught at the warning track can instead (with just a three percent change in drag) go into the first row of the stands (for a home run).”

So if you’re wondering why home runs are on the increase again, this is part of why.

12) Hollywood producer Jerry Bruckheimer will be a minority owner of the new Seattle team in the NHL, which will begin play in the fall of 2021.

Bruckheimer produced the CSI shows, Without a Trace as well as numerous movies, like Top Gun and Beverly Hills Cop.

11) Of the 32 teams in the NFL, 15 will have a play-caller this season who is in his first full year calling plays for that team.

10) Sunday afternoon against the Giants, Eugenio Suarez, Jesse Winker and Derek Dietrich of the Reds hit back-to-back-to-back homers on three straight pitches off Jeff Samardzija.

Last team to do this was the Dodgers on June 12, 2007: Wilson Betemit, Matt Kemp and Hong-Chih Kuo all homered off the Mets’ John Maine.

9) This year the Reds are celebrating their team’s 150th anniversary; they’re wearing 15 different sets of throwback uniforms this season, to commemorate various eras in their long history. Sunday’s uniforms were actually dark blue, with red lettering.

8) Max Homa won the Wells Fargo golf tournament this past weekend; coming into the week, Homa was ranked 417th in the world. Now he is a millionaire and exempt on tour for the next 2.5 years, so a big four days for him. Golf is a really, really competitive sport.

7) Baseball injuries:
— Red Sox put P David Price (elbow) on IL.
— Nationals put 1B Matt Adams (shoulder) on IL.
— Mets put P Jason Vargas (hamstring) on IL.

6) When the Red Sox go to the White House Thursday to be honored for winning the World Series, manager Alex Cora, who is from Puerto Rico, won’t be there. He isn’t happy how the government responded to Hurricane Maria last year:

“Although the government of the United States has helped, there is still a long way to go, that is OUR reality. I have continually used my voice so that we Puerto Ricans are not forgotten and my absence is not different. Therefore, at this moment, I do not feel comfortable celebrating in the White House.”

David Price, Mookie Betts and Rafael Devers will also be no-shows Thursday.

5) How has Brewers’ CF Lorenzo Cain never won a Gold Glove? Guy plays a great centerfield. He made another great catch against the Mets Sunday, crashing into the fence in right-center but hanging onto the ball.

4) Interesting trade in our fantasy league Sunday night; this is a 16-team dynasty league, where you keep your roster from year-to-year.

Team A traded Mike Trout, Max Scherzer and Robbie Ray. In return, they got Yordan Alvarez, Keston Hiura and Brendan Rodgers, three of the best minor league prospects, all at the AAA level. Was really surprised to see Trout get dealt; wonder if the Angels will ever do that?

Team A is the defending champ in our league but is 0-4-1 so far this season, so they decided to build for the future; time will tell who won this trade.

3) I wasted a decent amount of space this spring writing about the AAF, so I won’t be writing a lot about the XFL until it proves it has staying power, but the XFL did sign a TV deal with ABC and FOX this week. All 43 games will be shown somewhere on network TV next spring.

2) College basketball transfer portal:
— Clemson poached grad transfer Curran Scott (8.9 ppg LY) from Tulsa.
— UNLV F Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua jumps from UNLV to Baylor.

1) Oakland A’s on Sundays so far this season:
— W2-1 vs Angels.
— L9-8 @ Houston— Led 8-6 in 8th inning.
— L8-7 @ Texas— Led 7-4 in 8th inning.
— L5-4 vs Toronto— Blue Jays swept series in Oakland.
— L5-4 @ Toronto (11)— Led 4-1 in the 11th.
— L5-3 @ Pittsburgh (13)— Led 3-1 in the 13th.

**Udog** · 05-07-2019, 07:41 AM

**Udog** · 05-07-2019, 07:43 AM

Tuesday's Game 7 Notes

The 2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs will have another Game 7 on Tuesday as the Dallas Stars and St. Louis Blues meet from the Enterprise Center.

The road team has gone 4-2 through the first six games of this best-of-seven series.

St. Louis opened as a minus-140 favorite for Game 7 while Dallas is a plus-120 underdog.

The 'over/under' was installed at 5 for Tuesday and the 'over' has gone 3-2-1 through the first six games, with two outcomes ending with five combined goals.

Bettors might be leaning to the visitor in this spot knowing St. Louis has gone 2-4 at home in this year's playoffs and that includes a pair of losses to the Stars.

Dallas is 4-2 on the road in the playoffs, going 2-1 in the first round versus Nashville and 2-1 in this series.

Recent Game 7 History

These teams met in a Game 7 of the 2016 NHL Playoffs and St. Louis blasted Dallas 6-1 at the American Airlines Center.

Dallas (5-7 All-Time Record)
2016 Second Round - Dallas 1 vs. St. Louis 6

Prior to this game, the last Game 7 for the Stars took place in 2007.

St. Louis (8-8 All-Time Record)
2016 Second Round - St. Louis 6 at Dallas 1
2016 First Round - St. Louis 3 vs. Chicago 2

NHL Game 7 Playoff History (2012-2019)

Including the three games from the 2019 first round, there have been 173 all-time Game 7’s in the NHL Playoffs and the home squad owns a 100-73 (57.8%) record.

Last year, road teams went 2-1 in Game 7's and the visitors scored 14 goals in those games which led to a 2-1 'over' mark.

The 'over' is 3-0 in three Game 7's this season.

2019
Toronto 1 at Boston 5
Vegas 4 at San Jose 5 (OT)
Carolina 4 at Washington 3 (OT)

2018
Washington Capitals 4 at Tampa Bay Lightning 0
Winnipeg Jets 5 at Nashville Predators 1
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 at Boston Bruins 7

2017
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 at Washington Capitals 0
Edmonton Oilers 1 at Anaheim Ducks 2

2016
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 at Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Nashville Predators 0 at San Jose Sharks 5
St. Louis Blues 6 at Dallas Stars 1
Nashville Predators 2 at Anaheim Ducks 1
Chicago Blackhawks 2 at St. Louis Blues 3

2015
Tampa Bay Lightning 2 at New York Rangers 0
Chicago Blackhawks 5 at Anaheim Ducks 3
New York Rangers 2 at Washington Capitals 1
Tampa Bay Lightning 2 at Detroit Red Wings 0
Washington Capitals 2 at New York Islanders 1

2014
Los Angeles Kings 5 at Chicago Blackhawks 4 (OT)
Los Angeles Kings 6 at Anaheim Ducks 2
Montreal Canadiens 3 at Boston Bruins 1
New York Rangers 2 at Pittsburgh Penguins 1
Philadelphia Flyers 3 at New York Rangers 4
Minnesota Wild 5 at Colorado Avalanche 4
Los Angeles Kings 5 at San Jose Sharks 1

2013
New York Rangers 5 at Washington Capitals 0
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 at Boston Bruins 5 (OT)
Detroit Red Wings 3 at Anaheim Ducks 2
Detroit Red Wings 1 at Chicago Blackhawks 2 (OT)
San Jose Sharks 1 at Los Angeles Kings 2

2012
Ottawa Senators 1 at New York Rangers 2
Washington Capitals 2 at Boston Bruins 1 (OT)
New Jersey Devils 3 at Florida Panthers 2 (2OT)
Washington Capitals 1 at New York Rangers 2

**Udog** · 05-07-2019, 07:46 AM

23Dallas -24 St Louis
DALLAS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games in the current season.

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, May 7

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DALLAS (50-36-0-8, 108 pts.) at ST LOUIS (52-32-0-10, 114 pts.) - 5/7/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 37-20 ATS (+7.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 31-21 ATS (+3.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 19-9 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 9-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 12-7 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
DALLAS is 30-18 ATS (+10.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 261-169 ATS (+59.8 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 232-156 ATS (+40.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 222-242 ATS (+515.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 16-22 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 10-9 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 10-9-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

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NHL

Tuesday, May 7

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Trend Report
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Dallas Stars
Dallas is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Dallas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
Dallas is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing St. Louis
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis Blues
St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
St. Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of St. Louis's last 23 games at home
St. Louis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
St. Louis is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Dallas
St. Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

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**Udog** · 05-07-2019, 08:18 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, May 7

Dallas @ St. Louis

Game 23-24
May 7, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
10.925
St. Louis
12.431
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-135
5
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-135); Over

**Udog** · 05-07-2019, 01:41 PM

Stars vs Blues NHL betting picks and predictions: Bet on Blues to slam the door on Stars in the third
Monty Andrews

It has come to this for the Dallas Stars and St. Louis Blues: win and advance to the Western Conference final. Lose and go home for the summer.

We break down all the angles for the NHL betting odds and give you our best bets and prop predictions for tonight's Game 7 showdown - from kick-hitting plays to the moneyline and total:

DALLAS STARS AT ST. LOUIS BLUES (-135, 5)

QUICK-HITTER

The opening period has been a great Over option so far in the series, with these teams combining for two or more goals in four of their first six games. That trend extends to the regular season, with the teams scoring two or more total first-period goals in six of their previous nine meetings overall. There are few other first-period trends that stand out to this extent: the home team and road team have both led twice after the first period through the first six games, with two contests tied after 20 minutes. Look for both teams to generate scoring chances early, making the first-period Over 1.5 a solid option.

PREDICTION: Over 1.5 first-period goals (+140)

PERIOD BET

While the opening frame has seen plenty of excitement, the second period in this series has been a big, dull dud. The teams have combined to score just seven total goals in the middle 20 minutes so far this series, with only two games producing more than one successful score. The Blues, in particular, have struggled to produce much offense in the middle frame, scoring just six goals through their first 12 postseason contests. Bettors can go in a couple of different ways here, but we like rolling with the one second-period goal scored at decent odds given how the series has played out.

PREDICTION: One second-period goal (+180)

TEAM/PLAYER BET

Our last NHL betting preview took some major risks, and while we've rolled with some ambitious plays up above, this prop is more on the safe side. The Blues have been an incredibly prolific third-period team so far in the Stanley Cup playoffs, with 18 of their 32 goals coming in the final 20 minutes of regulation. They've outscored the Stars by an 8-4 margin in the third period of this series, and have kept Dallas off the scoresheet over the final 20 minutes in each of the past three games. St. Louis has been the superior late-game team, and is in good position to keep that run going Tuesday.

PREDICTION: Team to score last: St. Louis (-140)

FULL-GAME SIDE

Anything can happen in a Game 7, which makes handicapping the game result difficult. But if we're looking at recent form, it's hard to go against the Blues. They were beaten by sensational goaltending in a Game 5 result that probably should have gone in their favor, then made their shots count in a 4-1 Game 6 victory in which Dallas starting netminder Ben Bishop was knocked out of the game. Look for the Stars to bounce back Tuesday night, but with the Blues having limited Dallas to just 50 total shots in the past two games, they've been the superior team at both ends of the ice. We like the home side to prevail.

PREDICTION: St. Louis -135

FULL-GAME TOTAL

We hit the total right on the head in Game 6, and this contest should be in that five-goal neighborhood yet again. The teams are averaging just over five total goals per game both in this series and in their Stanley Cup playoff runs, and have played three one-goal games to date. And it gets better: Dallas is averaging 2.83 goals scored on the road and 2.17 goals against so far in the postseason (total: 5), while the Blues have averaged 2.17 goals scored and 3.00 goals against at home (total: 5.17). For a potentially great payoff, it's worth it for bettors considering the push for a second straight game.

PREDICTION: Exactly 5 goals (+500)

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Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/7

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/7

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