Announcement

**Udog** · 05-02-2019, 07:16 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the Wells Fargo PGA event this week:

6-1: Rory McIlroy

10-1: Jason Day

12-1: Justin Rose, Rickie Fowler

18-1: Hideki Matsuyama, Tony Finau

20-1: Webb Simpson

22-1: Sergio Garcia

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

13) Cleveland Browns haven’t made the NFL playoffs since 2002; they’re -$120 to make the playoffs this season, with a rookie head coach and a 2nd-year QB. That would take a pretty big leap of faith on my part, to wager on the Browns to make the 2019 playoffs.

12) Rookie QB Dwayne Haskins will wear number 7 with the Redskins, the first person to do that since Joe Theismann retired 34 years ago.

11) Royals swept a doubleheader from Tampa Bay Wednesday, 3-2/8-2; Whit Merrrifield led off bottom of the 1st inning in both games with a double. He is the first player in major leagues to do this since Scott Podsednik, in 2005 for the White Sox.

10) Part of why the Miami Marlins are terrible:
— Chris Paddack was traded for Fernando Rodney
— Domingo Germán was traded for Martin Prado
— Luis Castillo was traded for Dan Straily

They traded three really good young pitchers for older, marginal players. Then they traded Yelich, Ozuna, Stanton and didn’t get much of a return for them. Astoundingly inept.

9) Morning line favorite Omaha Beach has been scratched from the Kentucky Derby with a trapped epiglottis, which apparently is a breathing problem. Game Winner (4-1) now appears to the favorite for Saturday’s race.

8) Chicago Bears hired Brad Childress as senior offensive assistant, which helps explain why he quit as head coach of the AAF team in Atlanta, which turned out to be a good move by him, since the league folded before their first season ended.

7) Baseball injuries:
— Mets put P Jeurys Familia (shoulder) on the IL.
— Indians will put P Corey Kluber (forearm) on IL.

6) Game 2 of Rockets-Warriors was Tuesday, Game 3 isn’t till Saturday; chance for coaches to make whatever adjustments need to be made. Chance for James Harden’s eye to heal, and for Steph Curry’s left hand to feel a little better- he dislocated a finger in Tuesday’s game.

5) ESPN the Magazine is shutting down this fall; they tried very hard to be different, and they were different, but in a bad way. Too many articles on stuff not many people care about.

4) College basketball transfer portal:
— Former Vandy/Notre Dame F Matt Ryan is transferring to Chattanooga. He is a career 36.5% shooter on the arc who shot only 32.8% for Vandy LY.
— Georgia poaches grad transfer Donnell Gresham from Northeastern.

3) San Diego Padres finished April with a 17-13 record, first time since 2010 that they finished the first month of the season with a winning record.

2) Indians’ ace Corey Kluber got hit by a line drive last night, broke his right forearm and is out for a long time, a huge blow to Cleveland’s chances this season.

1) This from Ryan Spaeder:

In 2005, Braves’ C Brian McCann hit a sac fly against Paul Quantrill; Dave Roberts (now the Dodgers’ manager) caught the fly ball for San Diego.

Tuesday night, 5,001 days later, McCann flew out against Cal Quantrill, Paul’s son. also against the Padres.

**Udog** · 05-02-2019, 07:48 AM

**Udog** · 05-02-2019, 07:53 AM

75Boston -76 Columbus
COLUMBUS are 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) as a # 4 seed in the playoffs in the current season.

77San Jose -78 Colorado
COLORADO is 24-32 ATS (-17.5 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 2

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (54-29-0-9, 117 pts.) at COLUMBUS (53-31-0-5, 111 pts.) - 5/2/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 59-63 ATS (-30.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 53-36 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 212-169 ATS (+42.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
BOSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.4 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 6-6-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE (52-31-0-9, 113 pts.) at COLORADO (43-33-0-14, 100 pts.) - 5/2/2019, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 8-3 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 8-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NHL

Thursday, May 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston Bruins
Boston is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games on the road
Boston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 13 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Columbus
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Columbus is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games
Columbus is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Columbus is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Columbus is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Columbus's last 13 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Boston
Columbus is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

San Jose Sharks
San Jose is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
San Jose is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Jose's last 11 games
San Jose is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games on the road
San Jose is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games when playing Colorado
San Jose is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Colorado is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Colorado is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing San Jose
Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing at home against San Jose

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 05-02-2019, 09:23 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, May 2

Boston @ Columbus

Game 75-76
May 2, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
12.213
Columbus
13.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(-120); Under

San Jose @ Colorado

Game 77-78
May 2, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
10.323
Colorado
11.346
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-125); Under

**Udog** · 05-02-2019, 02:07 PM

NHL Stanley Cup playoffs best bets and prop predictions: Sharks, Avalanche won't stop scoring
Monty Andrews

The Sharks and Avalanche have now combined to score six or more goals in 17 of their previous 21 meetings overall, including all six encounters this season.

Will the Columbus Blue Jackets and San Jose Sharks seize 3-1 leads in their respective Stanley Cup second-round playoff series? Or will the Boston Bruins and Colorado Avalanche draw even in the best-of-seven? The Blue Jackets are in great shape with a 2-1 series lead and the home-ice edge in Game 4, while the Sharks have a slightly more difficult task ahead as road underdogs at Pepsi Center. Here are the top betting trends and tips ahead of Thursday's two-game playoff schedule:

BOSTON BRUINS AT COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS

Moneyline Odds: Boston +105/Columbus -125
Over/Under: 5.5 goals
Series Price: Columbus -270/Boston +185
Start Time: 7 p.m. ET, Nationwide Arena, Columbus, Ohio

That hook on the total is significant when you consider that the teams combined for five goals in each of the first two games of this series before slogging through a three-goal defensive struggle in the Blue Jackets' 2-1 victory Tuesday night. And with only eight of the 13 goals in the series coming at 5-on-5 – and with series traditionally seeing fewer penalties as they go on – you can expect more strong defensive play from both sides Thursday night, putting the U5.5 squarely in play (-125).

While Game 3 was the first of the series to be decided in regulation, it was still a one-goal affair – and as we pointed out in this space last time out, this has become a significant trend between these teams. They've seen seven of their past 10 head-to-head encounters decided by one goal, with five of them going to extra time. With neither side willing to budge on defense and 5-on-5 goals remaining at a premium for each team, we like either the Boston (+280) or Columbus (+240) one-goal victory margin.

SAN JOSE SHARKS AT COLORADO AVALANCHE

Moneyline Odds: San Jose +105/Colorado -125
Over/Under: 6 goals
Series Price: Colorado +205/San Jose -303
Start Time: 10 p.m. ET, Pepsi Center, Denver, Colo.

At some point, you simply have to accept that the Sharks and Avalanche are going to score plenty of goals whenever they face off. These teams settled for a P6 in the Sharks' 4-2 triumph over Colorado in Game 3; the teams have now combined to score six or more goals in 17 of their previous 21 meetings overall, including all six encounters this season. And with five of those games producing at least seven total goals, it's hard to get away from the O6 (-120) as the superior option in Game 4.

This is essentially a must-win game for Colorado – and while our suggestion of Mikko Rantanen for an anytime goal didn't pan out Tuesday, we're coming back to it here. Rantanen finished with five shot attempts in Game 3, including three shots on goal. He was among the top dozen skaters in the league in home goal-scoring during the regular season, and went more than three games without a goal (his current streak) just four times in 2018-19. We like Rantanen to score anytime at +145.

Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/2

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/2

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment