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Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/30

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  • Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/30

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, April 30

    Good Luck on day # 120 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    SPORTS MATCHUPS

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Westgate SuperBook posted NFL win totals for 2019:

    — Arizona Cardinals, 5

    — Atlanta Falcons, 8.5

    — Baltimore Ravens, 8.5, over -$120

    — Buffalo Bills, 6.5, over -$160

    — Carolina Panthers, 8, under -$120

    — Chicago Bears, 9, under -$120


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

    13) 76ers 94, Raptors 89- Kawhi Leonard was 13-24 from floor; rest of Toronto’s team was 20-67 (29.9%). Series is tied, 1-1.

    12) Ben Simmons is a weird player; I think he’s one of the five best passers I’ve ever seen, but it almost seems like he defiantly refuses to become a shooting threat.

    In this game, Simmons played 44:00, was 3-6 from floor. No foul shots, no 3’s. He had seven rebounds, five assists. Someone who has the ball as much as Simmons does takes six shots in 44:00? Very unusual.

    11) Nuggets 121, Trailblazers 113— Jokic had 37 points, nine rebounds, six assists as Denver takes the first game of this series. Nuggets are 41-5 at home this season.

    10) Today’s unusual stat from Dan Hayes: Max Kepler’s 10-pitch walk in the 1st inning vs Justin Verlander Monday night was the 76th time Verlander has thrown 10 pitches in a plate appearance among the 11,497 batters (0.6%) he has faced in his great career.

    9) Tennessee basketball coach Rick Barnes parlayed his dalliance with UCLA into a 5-year, $26M contract extension with the Vols.

    8) Texas Tech basketball coach Chris Beard signed a six-year contract that will pay him $4.575M annually, through the 2024-25 season. His annual salary is now 4th-highest in the country, behind John Calipari, Mike Krzyzewski and Barnes.

    7) Baseball injuries:
    — Giants put P Derek Holland (finger) on the IL.
    — Braves put P Chad Sobotka (abdomen) on the IL.
    — A’s put 1B/OF Mark Canha (wrist) on the IL.
    — Brewers put P Aaron Wilkerson (foot) on the IL.

    6) New England Patriots ranked 25th in NFL LY with a 53.8% touchback rate on kickoffs, so it is possible that the punter they traded up to draft in the 5th round will also be used as a kickoff guy, seeing how PK Stephen Gostkowski is 35 now. Field position is important.

    5) James Harden led the NBA in foul shots attempted in five of the last seven years, and finished 2nd/3rd the other two seasons.

    4) Blues 4, Stars 3— St Louis wins a road game, is up 2-1 in this series.

    3) Giants 3, Dodgers 2— Evan Longoria’s bases loaded double in the 7th inning was the game-winning hit.

    2) Reds 5, Mets 4— Jesse Winker’s 9th-inning homer decided this one. It was the first hit that Mets’ closer Edwin Diaz allowed to a lefty batter this season.

    1) I’d be curious to know how much NFL teams value if a prospect played for a winning program in college. I’m not 100% sold that playing on a winning team is that big a deal; sometimes your deficiencies can be hidden if you’re surrounded by superior athletes.

    But I’d be more interested in how NFL teams feel than how I think about it.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-30-2019, 12:24 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-30-2019, 12:26 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        67Boston -68 Columbus
        COLUMBUS are 41-24 ATS (15.6 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

        69San Jose -70 Colorado
        SAN JOSE is 22-30 ATS (-11 Units) revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less in the last 3 seasons.




        NHL
        Dunkel

        Tuesday, April 30



        Boston @ Columbus

        Game 67-68
        April 30, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Boston
        11.278
        Columbus
        12.888
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Columbus
        by 1 1/2
        6
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Columbus
        -115
        5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Columbus
        (-115); Over

        San Jose @ Colorado


        Game 69-70
        April 30, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        San Jose
        10.569
        Colorado
        12.100
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Colorado
        by 1 1/2
        5
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Colorado
        -120
        6
        Dunkel Pick:
        Colorado
        (-120); Under





        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Tuesday, April 30


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BOSTON (54-28-0-9, 117 pts.) at COLUMBUS (52-31-0-5, 109 pts.) - 4/30/2019, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BOSTON is 59-62 ATS (-28.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
        COLUMBUS is 52-36 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
        COLUMBUS is 7-2 ATS (+3.9 Units) in April games this season.
        BOSTON is 212-168 ATS (+43.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
        BOSTON is 12-3 ATS (+7.8 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
        BOSTON is 24-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        BOSTON is 6-5 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
        BOSTON is 6-5-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
        8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.4 Units)

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        SAN JOSE (51-31-0-9, 111 pts.) at COLORADO (43-32-0-14, 100 pts.) - 4/30/2019, 10:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        COLORADO is 33-17 ATS (+50.7 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        SAN JOSE is 137-90 ATS (+22.7 Units) in April games since 1996.
        SAN JOSE is 91-58 ATS (+25.1 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
        COLORADO is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SAN JOSE is 7-3 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        SAN JOSE is 7-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.0 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NHL

        Tuesday, April 30


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
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        Boston Bruins
        Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games
        Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games on the road
        Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
        Boston is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Columbus
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 12 games when playing Columbus
        Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
        Columbus Blue Jackets
        Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
        Columbus is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
        Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
        Columbus is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Boston
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Columbus's last 12 games when playing Boston
        Columbus is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

        San Jose Sharks
        San Jose is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games
        San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games
        San Jose is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
        San Jose is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games on the road
        San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Colorado
        San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
        Colorado Avalanche
        Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        Colorado is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
        Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing San Jose
        Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose


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        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-30-2019, 12:26 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL Stanley Cup playoffs best bets and prop predictions: Sharks have Over bettors in a feeding frenzy
          Monty Andrews

          The Sharks (3.44) and Avalanche (3.29) now rank third and fourth, respectively, in goals per game during the postseason.

          The Columbus Blue Jackets and Colorado Avalanche both earned road splits in their respective Stanley Cup playoff series and return to friendly confines looking to take advantage of home ice. But while Columbus and Colorado find themselves in the proverbial drivers' seat heading into Game 3, the Boston Bruins and San Jose Sharks were higher-seeded teams during the regular season for a reason.

          Here are the top betting trends and best bets for Tuesday's NHL Stanley Cup playoffs odds:

          BOSTON BRUINS AT COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS

          Moneyline Odds: Boston +105/Columbus -125
          Over/Under: 5.5 goals
          Series Price: Series tied 1-1 (Boston -120/Columbus -115)
          Start Time: 7 p.m. ET, Nationwide Arena, Columbus, Ohio

          Every year, there's always one series that ends up producing a handful of overtime games and this is shaping up to be that series, with these teams having already gone to OT twice. Each side has produced a 3-2 victory in extra time, and there's little separating these teams in their recent head-to-head series. Six of their last nine meetings have been decided by a goal, with five of them decided after 60 minutes and Columbus owning a slim 5-4 edge in the win column. With the regulation tie set at +280, bettors might want to consider a flyer this long-shot play.

          One other trend worth considering: the host side has been the superior first-period play for several years now. The home team has led after 20 minutes in each of the first two games of the series, and is 11-2-7 in the opening period in the previous 20 games between the Eastern Conference adversaries. And if that wasn't enough, the hosts are outscoring the visitors by a 28-13 margin over that stretch. With the opening-period draw at +160 and the Columbus -0.5 first-period line at +170, you could conceivably wager both and come out ahead as long as Boston doesn't lead after 20 minutes.


          SAN JOSE SHARKS AT COLORADO AVALANCHE

          Moneyline Odds: San Jose +110/Colorado -130
          Over/Under: 6 goals
          Series Price: Series tied 1-1 (San Jose -128/Colorado -108)
          Start Time: 10 p.m. ET, Pepsi Center, Denver, Colo.

          Why abandon a rock-solid trend? These teams can't seem to stop putting the puck in the net, as evidenced by the 14 goals they've combined to produce through the first two games of their best-of-seven. That's now three consecutive games of seven or more goals between the teams, as well as in nine in their past 12 meetings. The Sharks (3.44) and Avalanche (3.29) now rank third and fourth, respectively, in goals per game during the postseason, and have combined for more than 70 shots per game on average. Look for these teams to continue their high-scoring ways in Game 3 and take the Over 6 play at -120.

          As for which player prop to favor in Game 3, there are many decent options to choose from but one Colorado forward stands out above the rest. Mikko Rantanen has been sensational so far in the postseason, racking up 11 points through seven games to sit just one off the playoff lead. And Rantanen was one of the most dangerous forwards in the league on home ice this season, sitting just outside the Top 10 with 20 home goals in just 36 games at Pepsi Center. We like Rantanen at +145 to score anytime in Game 3. And, if you're feeling particularly frisky, he's listed at +900 to score twice or more.

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