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Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/29

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  • Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/29

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, April 29

    Good Luck on day # 119 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    SPORTS MATCHUPS

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Westgate SuperBook posted NFL win totals for 2019:

    — New England 11, over -$150

    — New Orleans 10.5

    — Kansas City 10.5, under -$120

    — Los Angeles Rams 10.5, under -$120

    — Philadelphia 9.5, over -$150

    — Indianapolis 9.5, over -$140


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend……..

    13) There have already been 20 picks traded in the 2020 NFL Draft.

    12) This was the first time since 1962 that no Nebraska players were drafted.

    11) Warriors 104, Rockets 100— James Harden was 5-12 inside arc, 4-16 on arc, 13-14 on line; Houston was +3 in the 39:00 he was on the floor. As a team, Rockets took 47 3-pointers (14-47), only 2-pointers.

    10) Baseball injuries:
    — Christian Yelich left Sunday’s game with lower back discomfort.
    — Robinson Cano got hit on the hand, left the same game; x-rays were negative.
    — Fernando Tatis Jr (hamstring) left the Padres game in the 10th inning.

    9) Going into Sunday’s games, Mets pitchers led NL in strikeouts, but were last in ERA.

    Only twice has a team led the league in pitching strikeouts but were last in ERA for a full season; the 1958 Dodgers and the 2007 Devil Rays. Both teams made it to the World Series the year after this happened.

    8) It is April 29 but if you’re a Mets fan, it is not too early to worry:
    — Jacob deGrom’s ERA in five starts: 4.85
    — Noah Syndergaard’s ERA in six starts: 6.35

    7) Eight of Met rookie Pete Alonso’s nine HR’s have come against relief pitchers.

    6) Milwaukee’s Brandon Woodruff is only lefty-hitting pitcher ever to homer in a postseason game against a lefty pitcher. He homered off of Clayton Kershaw in LY’s playoffs.

    5) Buffalo Bills open this season with consecutive games in the Meadowlands, against the Jets in Week 1, then the Giants in Week 2.

    4) Former Jaguars/Raiders coach Jack del Rio did a solid job in the studio on the NFL Network telecast of the draft this weekend. Looks like a positive addition to their broadcast team.

    3) Jerry Stackhouse is Vanderbilt’s new basketball coach; he signed Scotty Pippen Jr this week. Young Pippen committed to Vandy back when Bryce Drew was the Commodores’ coach, and he officially signed his letter of intent with Vandy this week.

    2) Butler poaches 7-foot grad transfer Derrik Smits from Valparaiso; he is the son of former NBA player Rik Smits. Wasn’t so long ago that Butler/Valparaiso were both Horizon League teams (2012)- the last year they were in the same league, Valpo finished three games ahead of Butler in the Horizon.

    Seven years later, Butler is in the Big East, Valpo is in the Missouri Valley.

    1) Cardinals’ pitching prospect Alex Reyes punched a wall after a recent AAA start and broke the left pinky on his non-throwing hand. Reyes is expected to miss three weeks.

    Comment


    • #3
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-29-2019, 10:52 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        61St Louis -62 Dallas
        ST LOUIS are 14-7 ATS (11.7 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the current season.




        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Monday, April 29


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ST LOUIS (50-30-0-10, 110 pts.) at DALLAS (48-34-0-8, 104 pts.) - 4/29/2019, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ST LOUIS is 35-18 ATS (+9.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
        ST LOUIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
        ST LOUIS is 29-19 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        ST LOUIS is 17-7 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
        DALLAS is 28-42 ATS (+73.2 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
        DALLAS is 33-45 ATS (-21.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DALLAS is 8-7 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
        DALLAS is 8-7-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NHL

        Monday, April 29


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        St. Louis Blues
        St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
        St. Louis is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
        St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
        St. Louis is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
        St. Louis is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Dallas
        St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
        Dallas Stars
        Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 14 games at home
        Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
        Dallas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
        Dallas is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against St. Louis
        Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-29-2019, 10:53 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Dunkel

          Monday, April 29



          St. Louis @ Dallas

          Game 61-62
          April 29, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          St. Louis
          12.082
          Dallas
          11.273
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          St. Louis
          by 1
          3
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Dallas
          -120
          5
          Dunkel Pick:
          St. Louis
          (+100); Under
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-29-2019, 10:54 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            Blues vs Stars NHL betting picks and predictions: Find third-period profits with this prop
            Monty Andrews

            Dallas rebounded from a 3-2 defeat in Game 1 by jumping out to a 3-1 first period lead in Game 2 and hanging on for a 4-2 victory. But don't expect the Blues to go quietly.

            The Dallas Stars used a road split in their first-round series with Nashville to propel themselves to a six-game victory. They hope to do the same in Round 2 as they host the St. Louis Blues in Game 3 of their best-of-seven Western Conference semifinal.

            Dallas rebounded from a 3-2 defeat in Game 1 by jumping out to a 3-1 first period lead in Game 2 and hanging on for a 4-2 victory. But don't expect the Blues to go quietly. They're unbeaten on the road in the Stanley Cup playoffs, defeating the Jets three times in Winnipeg en route to a six-game first-round triumph.

            We break down the best bets for the NHL odds for Game 3 between the Blues and Stars Monday night – from quick-paying props to the moneyline and Over/Under.

            St. Louis Blues vs. Dallas Stars (-115, 5)

            QUICK-HITTER


            Both teams have played eight games in the postseason. The Stars have seen a total of 13 first-period goals scored in their playoff contests, while the Blues have been part of 12 goals in the opening period. That makes for a difficult first-period totals bet, with both sides sitting right near the 1.5 first-period goals-per-game threshold.

            But with the Stars scoring seven of their eight first-period goals in just two of those games, we like these teams to keep things low-scoring in the opening 20 minutes of Game 3. Rather than going with the Under 1.5 (-170), we suggest the "exactly one goal" prop. The chances are good that someone will score.

            PREDICTION: Exactly one first-period goal scored (+160)


            PERIOD BET

            The Blues and their opponents have saved the best for last throughout the majority of their Stanley Cup playoff run. Consider St. Louis' total goal distribution by period so far in the playoffs: 12 in the first period, 10 in the second and 20 in the third. And while the Stars' second period has been the most prolific of all, they've allowed more goals in the final period (six) than either of the first two.

            Both teams also saw opponents score more third-period goals during the regular season than either of the first or second frames – all of which we're using to say that the third is a great choice as the highest-scoring period of Game 3.

            PREDICTION: Highest-scoring period: Period 3 (+225)


            TEAM/PLAYER BET

            Some guys seem to thrive when playing on the road and Vladimir Tarasenko is near the top of the list among forwards still toiling in the Stanley Cup playoffs. Tarasenko finished tied for sixth in the NHL in away goals during the regular season (21) despite finishing tied for 30th in overall goals (33).

            He's also one of the hottest players in this series, having racked up four goals in eight postseason games after finishing the regular season with seven points over his final four contests. At decent odds to score anytime in Game 3, Tarasenko is a must-play option for those favoring the Blues.

            PREDICTION: Vladimir Tarasenko anytime goal (+230)


            FULL-GAME TOTAL

            It's no surprise that the Game 3 total is sitting at five goals after the teams combined for 11 goals in the first two games in St. Louis. And that might tempt some bettors to consider the Over, but there are two strong trends at work that should keep this game on the Under 5 side.

            Dallas boasted the lowest home goals-against average during the regular season at 2.24, while the Blues were one of three teams (Calgary and the New York Islanders were the others) to post the lowest road GAA in the league (2.39). Look for goals to be at a premium in what should be a closely contested Game 3.

            PREDICTION: Under 5 (-120)


            FULL-GAME SIDE

            This one is a near-toss-up in oddsmakers' eyes, and with good reason. Both sides are 5-3 in the postseason, have one win apiece in this series and are separated by just one goal through two games. But we like the Stars to prevail in this one on the strength of home-ice advantage and superior special teams.

            Dallas is scoring on 19.2 percent of its power-play chances while putting up a 95.5-percent penalty kill success rate. And while the Blues are operating at 23.1 percent efficiency with the man advantage, their penalty kill rate of 77.8 percent is trouble. This one should be close, but we like the hosts to prevail.

            PREDICTION: Dallas -115

            Comment


            • #7
              Preview: Blues (45-28) at Stars (43-32)
              Date: April 29, 2019 8:00 PM EDT


              The St. Louis Blues will try to regain home-ice advantage when they visit the Dallas Stars for Game 3 of their Western Conference second-round series on Monday night.

              The Stars won Game 2 in St. Louis 4-2 on Saturday to even the best-of-seven series at 1-1.

              "It's going to be tight," Blues coach Craig Berube said the loss. "Both teams play good defensive hockey, both goalies are playing well."

              Ben Bishop of the Stars and Jordan Binnington of the Blues were the only two NHL goalies to allow an average of fewer than two goals per game during the regular season.

              Binnington, who didn't become the No. 1 goalie in St. Louis until early January, led the league with a 1.89 goals-against average, while Bishop was second at 1.98.

              Bishop had the top save percentage in the NHL during the regular season at .934 and Binnington was tied for fourth at .927.

              Binnington outplayed Bishop in a 3-2 win in Game 1 on Thursday, but Bishop came back with 32 saves in Game 2, a strong bounce-back performance after he stopped only 17 of 20 shots in the opener.

              "Every game is a new game," said Bishop, who is 26-16 in his postseason career with a 2.08 GAA and .929 save percentage. "That's the way that I've done it in my career in the playoffs. I try not to get caught up in the past."

              As strong as Binnington was during the regular season, he wasn't particularly sharp in his three regular-season starts against Dallas, posting an .879 save percentage and 2.76 GAA.

              "They're a highly offensive team and they've got some skill, so they can capitalize on their chances," Binnington said.

              Dallas forward Jamie Benn has a goal and an assist so far in the series. He scored five goals in four regular-season games against St. Louis this season as well.

              This is Benn's fifth playoff series in 10 seasons with this Stars and he's never made it out of the second round.

              Dallas rookie Roope Hintz scored two goals in Game 2 to give him four in these playoffs, tying the franchise record for the most goals by a rookie in a single postseason. Niko Kapanen scored four goals for Dallas during the 2003 playoffs.

              Blues defenseman Colton Parayko said the Stars' combination of size and speed has been difficult to counter.

              "They do a good job of getting up ice," Parayko said. "I think just advancing it past them and making sure that we get in the zone cleanly, but obviously that's easier said than done. We'll take a look at the video and kind of go from there."

              Berube said the Blues needs to be better in a number of areas if they hope to take a 2-1 series lead.

              "We've got to do a better job of little things, like in the breakout, better execution, and face-offs," Berube said. "That will help for sure."

              Stars coach Jim Montgomery knows there's still a long series ahead with more ups and downs to come.

              "The thing that our group has shown is that we're resilient," Montgomery said. "We always come back with a better effort."

              --Field Level Media

              ***************************

              SERIES AT A GLANCE

              GAME 1
              Stars at Blues
              Thu, Apr 25 Final 2 to 3
              Recaps

              GAME 2
              Stars at Blues
              Sat, Apr 27 Final 4 to 2
              Recaps

              GAME 3
              Blues at Stars
              Mon, Apr 29 - 8:00PM EDT

              GAME 4
              Blues at Stars
              Wed, May 1 - 9:30PM EDT

              GAME 5
              Stars at Blues
              Fri, May 3 - 9:30PM EDT

              Comment

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