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Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/18

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  • Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/18

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, April 18

    Good Luck on day # 108 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    SPORTS MATCHUPS

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    — Rays 8, Orioles 1— Tampa Bay has won 14 of its first 18 games.

    — Cubs 6, Marlins 0— Miami is 4-15 and sinking fast.

    — Indians 1, Mariners 0— Seattle started season 13-2, has now lost six in a row.

    — A’s 2, Astros 1— Oakland beats its division rival for first time in five tries.

    — Royals 4, White Sox 3 (10)— Tim Anderson homered, tossed his bat, then got drilled his next time up and the benches emptied. Go figure.

    — Pacers (+7.5) were up 2 with 0:51 left in Boston, and not only lost….they didn’t cover the spread, losing 99-91.

    Week 1 NFL spreads

    Packers @ Bears (-3.5, 46)
    Falcons @ Vikings (-4.5, 47.5)
    Redskins @ Eagles (-8, 46.5)
    Bills @ Jets (-3.5, 38.5)
    Ravens (-3.5, 37) @ Dolphins
    49ers @ Buccaneers (-2.5, 49)
    Chiefs (-5.5, 52.5) @ Jaguars
    Titans @ Browns (-5, 45)
    Rams (-2.5, 51) @ Panthers
    Lions @ Cardinals (even, 49)
    Bengals @ Seahawks (-7.5, 43.5)
    Colts @ Chargers (-3.5, 48)
    Giants @ Cowboys (-7.5, 46.5)
    Steelers @ Patriots (-6, 51.5)
    Texans @ Saints (-7.5, 53.5)
    Broncos @ Raiders (-2.5, 43)


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Quick comments on the 2019 NFL schedule

    13) 100th season of the NFL starts with league’s oldest rivals (Packers/Bears) opening the season with a Thursday night game in Chicago September 5.

    12) Monday night doubleheader in Week 1: Texans @ Saints, Broncos @ Raiders.

    11) Cleveland Browns have four primetime games:
    — Week 2, at Jets (Monday night)
    — Week 3, Rams (Sunday night)
    — Week 5, at 49ers (Monday night)
    — Week 11, Steelers (Thursday night)

    10) Reunion games:
    — Bears @ Raiders, Week 5 (Khalil Mack against his old team)
    — Redskins @ Vikings, Week 8 (Kirk Cousins against his old team)

    9) Teams that open with two straight home games:
    Panthers-Dolphins-Jets-Raiders

    Teams that open with two straight road games:
    Bills-Colts-Chiefs-49ers

    8) Teams that finish with two straight home games:
    Broncos-Vikings-Patriots-Seahawks-Buccaneers.

    Teams that finish with two straight road games:
    Cardinals-Packers-Saints-Raiders-Steelers.

    7) Thanksgiving Day games:
    Bears-Lions, Bills-Cowboys, Saints-Falcons

    6) Pittsburgh plays five of its last seven games on road; they play Cleveland twice in three weeks, in Weeks 11, 13.

    5) Teams with three straight weeks on road:
    — Eagles, Week 6-8. This appears to be the only one in the whole league. Am guessing Philly brass won’t be happy with this.

    4) Miami plays one road game in the first six weeks; they have four home games and a bye, with only road game in in Week 3 at Dallas.

    3) Divisional games in Week 1:
    Packers-Bears, Bills-Jets, Giants-Cowboys, Broncos-Raiders, Redskins-Eagles

    2) Earliest byes: Jets, 49ers in Week 4.
    Latest byes: Cardinals, Chiefs, Chargers, Vikings in Week 12.

    1) No Thursday night game in Week 16-17.

    Comment


    • #3
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-18-2019, 01:06 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        51Washington -52 Carolina
        WASHINGTON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.

        53St Louis -54 Winnipeg
        ST LOUIS are 17-4 ATS (13.3 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

        57Vegas -58 San Jose
        VEGAS are 4-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game in the current season.




        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Thursday, April 18


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WASHINGTON (50-27-0-8, 108 pts.) at CAROLINA (47-30-0-8, 102 pts.) - 4/18/2019, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CAROLINA is 31-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
        WASHINGTON is 116-76 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 54-38 ATS (+97.6 Units) in road games in April games since 1996.
        WASHINGTON is 68-46 ATS (+2.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 31-14 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 46-25 ATS (+9.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 9-3 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games after a division game this season.
        WASHINGTON is 45-28 ATS (+6.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 24-8 ATS (+12.8 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 63-43 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 39-27 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        CAROLINA is 24-35 ATS (-19.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        CAROLINA is 32-61 ATS (+117.9 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WASHINGTON is 11-4 (+5.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        WASHINGTON is 11-4-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ST LOUIS (47-29-0-10, 104 pts.) at WINNIPEG (49-32-0-5, 103 pts.) - 4/18/2019, 8:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WINNIPEG is 28-9 ATS (+16.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
        WINNIPEG is 30-16 ATS (+8.3 Units) in April games since 1996.
        ST LOUIS is 32-17 ATS (+7.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
        ST LOUIS is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) in road games in the first round of the playoffs over the last 3 seasons.
        ST LOUIS is 26-18 ATS (+44.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        ST LOUIS is 14-6 ATS (+20.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WINNIPEG is 12-5 (+6.7 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
        WINNIPEG is 12-5-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
        8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-1.4 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        VEGAS (46-33-0-7, 99 pts.) at SAN JOSE (47-30-0-9, 103 pts.) - 4/18/2019, 10:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        VEGAS is 46-40 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games this season.
        VEGAS is 49-23 ATS (+15.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        VEGAS is 47-24 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
        VEGAS is 56-40 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        SAN JOSE is 47-39 ATS (-0.9 Units) in all games this season.
        SAN JOSE is 15-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after a division game this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        VEGAS is 12-6 (+6.0 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
        VEGAS is 12-6-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
        12 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.6 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NHL

        Thursday, April 18


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Washington Capitals
        Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
        Washington is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games on the road
        Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
        Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Carolina
        Washington is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Carolina
        Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against Carolina
        Carolina Hurricanes
        Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
        Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
        Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
        Carolina is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Washington
        Carolina is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
        Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington

        St. Louis Blues
        St. Louis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
        St. Louis is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
        St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
        St. Louis is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Winnipeg
        St. Louis is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing Winnipeg
        St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
        St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
        Winnipeg Jets
        Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
        Winnipeg is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
        Winnipeg is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games when playing St. Louis
        Winnipeg is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing St. Louis
        Winnipeg is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
        Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis

        Vegas Golden Knights
        Vegas is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games
        Vegas is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
        Vegas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games on the road
        Vegas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
        Vegas is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing San Jose
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing San Jose
        Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
        San Jose Sharks
        San Jose is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 games
        San Jose is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games
        San Jose is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
        San Jose is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Vegas
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing Vegas
        San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vegas
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing at home against Vegas


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-18-2019, 01:07 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Dunkel

          Thursday, April 18



          Washington @ Carolina

          Game 51-52
          April 18, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Washington
          10.052
          Carolina
          12.119
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Carolina
          by 2
          8
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Carolina
          -125
          6
          Dunkel Pick:
          Carolina
          (-125); Over

          St. Louis @ Winnipeg


          Game 53-54
          April 18, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          St. Louis
          10.199
          Winnipeg
          11.677
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Winnipeg
          by 1 1/2
          5
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Winnipeg
          -125
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Winnipeg
          (-125); Under

          Vegas @ San Jose


          Game 57-58
          April 18, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Vegas
          11.295
          San Jose
          8.704
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Vegas
          by 2 1/2
          8
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          San Jose
          -120
          6
          Dunkel Pick:
          Vegas
          (+100); Over
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-18-2019, 01:08 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NHL Stanley Cup playoffs best bets and prop predictions: Sharks need to bite early
            Monty Andrews

            San Jose tied Tampa Bay for the most first-period goals in the league during the regular season (102), and will need to get off to a quick start in this one to counter Vegas' terrific top line.

            Only one team can clinch a spot in the second round of the Stanley Cup playoffs Thursday night – and it's the defending Western Conference champions from Vegas, who are looking to eliminate the San Jose Sharks from postseason contention for the second year in a row. San Jose's only shot at staying alive? Shutting down the hottest line in hockey – and that could be easier said than done. Here are the top betting trends and tips for Thursday's three-game Stanley Cup playoff schedule:

            WASHINGTON CAPITALS AT CAROLINA HURRICANES

            Moneyline Odds: Washington +105/Carolina -125
            Over/Under: 6 goals
            Series Price: Carolina +280/Washington -455
            Start Time: 7 p.m. ET, PNC Arena, Raleigh, N.C.

            The Hurricanes reached the postseason in part due to their success in limiting opposing scoring over the final 40 minutes – and that has carried over into their playoff encounter with the Capitals. Carolina was one of only eight teams to allow fewer than 80 goals in both the second and third periods during the season, and is outscoring Washington 8-2 over the final two frames in this series. Look to the Hurricanes as a strong option to score the final goal in Game 4 (-130).


            ST. LOUIS BLUES AT WINNIPEG JETS

            Moneyline Odds: St. Louis +105/Winnipeg -125
            Over/Under: 5.5 goals
            Series Price: St. Louis -120/Winnipeg -120
            Start Time: 8:30 p.m. ET, Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg, Man.

            The Blues and Jets love to save the best for last. With the series tied at two wins apiece heading into Thursday's Game 5, it's notable that 10 of the 22 goals in the best-of-seven have come in the final frame. That certainly aligns with both teams' general regular-season patterns: The Jets scored more goals in the third (102) than any other period, while both teams allowed more goals in Period 3 than in either of the first two. Consider taking the final period as the highest-scoring stanza in Game 5 (+225).


            VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS AT SAN JOSE SHARKS

            Moneyline Odds: Vegas -105/San Jose -115
            Over/Under: 6 goals
            Series Price: Vegas -1667/San Jose +650
            Start Time: 10 p.m. ET, SAP Center, San Jose, Calif.

            These teams haven't been shy about mixing it up: The Sharks and Golden Knights rank first and third, respectively, in total power-play time in the postseason, and combined for a whopping 20 power plays in the first two games in San Jose. It's no surprise, then, that they've scored nine total man-advantage goals to date. Also worth consideration: The Sharks were blanked four times during the regular season, and averaged 4.5 goals in their next game (they fell 5-0 in Game 4). We like the O6 here (-125).

            The Sharks and Golden Knights have been especially prolific in the opening period of their first four games, scoring a whopping 12 goals – six of which came in a wild 5-3 Vegas victory in Game 2. San Jose tied Tampa Bay for the most first-period goals in the league during the regular season (102), and will need to get off to a quick start in this one to counter Vegas' terrific triumvirate of Mark Stone, Paul Stastny and Max Pacioretty. We recommend going with the O2.5 on the first-period total at a tempting +205.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-18-2019, 01:08 PM.

            Comment

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