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  • Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/16

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, April 16

    Good Luck on day # 106 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Since 2001, longest streaks of consecutive games reaching base:

    63— Orlando Cabrera

    57— Barry Bonds

    56— Ryan Klesko

    53— Alex Rodriguez

    52— Shin-Soo Choo, Kevin Millar

    50— Gary Sheffield


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

    13) You never know about team chemistry, what goes on behind closed doors.

    Last week, Marquette G Markus Howard announced he was coming back for his senior year, which was surprising, considering the kid had skipped his senior year of HS to begin college when he was 17 years old. But you figured it was very good news for Marquette.

    Yesterday, brothers Sam/Joey Hauser announced they’re in the transfer portal, and will be leaving Marquette, which was really almost shocking news. As Darren MacGavin said in The Natural, “Something is amiss”

    You don’t have to be Columbo to come to the conclusion that the Hauser brothers didn’t enjoy playing basketball with Markus Howard.

    12) Fred Hoiberg is the new coach at Nebraska; in 2011, he quickly upgraded Iowa State’s program by bringing in transfers. Nebraska is the early favorite to land the Hauser brothers.

    11) In his last two starts, hitters swung at 103 of Jacob deGrom’s pitches:
    — 24 misses (23.3%)
    — 52 foul balls (50.5%)
    — 27 balls in play, with 13 of those hits (.481). Not good.

    Last year and in his first two starts this year, hitters swung at 1,725 of deGrom’s pitches:
    — 504 misses (29.2%),
    — 645 foul balls (37.4%)
    — 533 balls in play, with 188 of those hits (.353) Very good.

    Something to track moving forward; he’s having trouble putting hitters away.

    10) The gambler who won $1.19M betting on Eldrick Woods at The Masters? The guy is from Wisconsin; apparently it was the first-ever sports bet.

    First sports bet he ever makes and its for $85,000? Wow.

    9) Non-sports question: Why would someone pay $500,000 so their kid could get into a college? I don’t care if it is USC, Harvard, DeVry University or Ouachita Baptist; whats the point?

    If the kid isn’t smart enough to get in the school in the first place, how will they do enough work to get a diploma? Or does the $500K cover that, too? Too many weasels in the world today.

    8) Rockies 5, Padres 2— Colorado scored a run in 2nd inning for first time this season; they still haven’t scored in the first inning.

    Under is 21-5-3 in Colorado’s last 29 road games.

    7) Baseball injuries:
    — Rockies put C Chris Iannetta (lat strain) on the IL.
    — Phillies put P David Robertson (elbow) on the IL.
    — Angels put P Tyler Skaggs (ankle) on the IL.
    — Braves put P Jonny Venters (calf) on the IL.

    6) Clippers 135, Warriors 131- Golden State blew a 31-point lead, may have lost DeMarcus Cousins with a torn quad muscle. Series is even, 1-1.

    Sidebar to Clippers-Warriors series is that Doc Rivers’ daughter is engaged to Portland G Seth Curry, who is Steph Curry’s brother.

    5) Brewers 10, Cardinals 7— In five games vs St Louis this season, Christian Yelich has seven homers, 15 RBI.

    4) AA Arkansas Travelers didn’t get a hit Sunday, but they beat Tulsa 1-0 in 10 innings.

    Starting this year in extra innings in minor league games, innings start with a runner on 2nd base, an incredibly stupid innovation; the run Arkansas scored came in on a bases loaded walk.

    I’d rather see tie games than have innings start with a runner on second base.

    3) Sacramento Kings fired coach Dave Joerger last week; turns out Joerger wanted the Kings to draft Luka Doncic instead of Marvin Bagley Jr. Maybe Joerger should be the Kings’ GM.

    2) RIP to coach John MacLeod, who passed away over the weekend at age 81.

    When I was in college, I wrote several letters to coaches around the country, asking how they used statistics (what is called analytics today) in their coaching. Thats how I put myself thru college, as a student manager of the basketball team— we did some interesting stuff with stats.

    MacLeod was one of the few people who took the time to answer me, and I always appreciated that. RIP, sir.

    1) They ran the Boston Marathon Monday; running 26 miles (and 365 yards) seems excessive to me. Hell, if I drive my car 26 miles I’m looking for a Wendy’s or a McDonald’s. But more power to the people who are way tougher than me. Hope you all had fun.

    Comment


    • #3
      37Tampa Bay -38 Columbus
      TAMPA BAY is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) off a road loss in the current season.

      39Ny Islanders -40 Pittsburgh
      NY ISLANDERS are 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

      41Winnipeg -42 St Louis
      ST LOUIS are 17-3 ATS (14.9 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

      43San Jose -44 Vegas
      VEGAS are 1-7 ATS (-8.5 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving <= 89.5% of shots against in the current season.




      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Tuesday, April 16


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TAMPA BAY (62-19-0-4, 128 pts.) at COLUMBUS (50-31-0-4, 104 pts.) - 4/16/2019, 7:08 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      COLUMBUS is 34-13 ATS (+17.9 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
      TAMPA BAY is 62-23 ATS (+19.1 Units) in all games this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 29-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 15-5 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road games when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.
      TAMPA BAY is 9-2 ATS (+11.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
      TAMPA BAY is 67-36 ATS (+18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      TAMPA BAY is 251-249 ATS (+521.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      COLUMBUS is 6-6 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
      COLUMBUS is 6-6-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NY ISLANDERS (51-27-0-7, 109 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (44-28-0-13, 101 pts.) - 4/16/2019, 7:38 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NY ISLANDERS are 53-86 ATS (-34.6 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
      NY ISLANDERS are 51-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) in all games this season.
      NY ISLANDERS are 13-7 ATS (+20.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
      NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 ATS (+9.0 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
      NY ISLANDERS are 30-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
      NY ISLANDERS are 21-10 ATS (+31.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
      NY ISLANDERS are 21-9 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a division game this season.
      PITTSBURGH is 44-41 ATS (+91.5 Units) in all games this season.
      PITTSBURGH is 1-5 ATS (-8.1 Units) in April games this season.
      PITTSBURGH is 13-17 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a division game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      NY ISLANDERS is 8-7 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
      NY ISLANDERS is 8-7-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.3 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      WINNIPEG (48-32-0-5, 101 pts.) at ST LOUIS (47-29-0-9, 103 pts.) - 4/16/2019, 9:38 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WINNIPEG is 12-16 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
      ST LOUIS is 32-16 ATS (+5.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
      ST LOUIS is 26-17 ATS (+2.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      ST LOUIS is 14-5 ATS (+19.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
      WINNIPEG is 18-8 ATS (+27.4 Units) in road games in April games since 1996.
      WINNIPEG is 31-24 ATS (+61.8 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
      WINNIPEG is 16-11 ATS (+30.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WINNIPEG is 11-5 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
      WINNIPEG is 11-5-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
      8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SAN JOSE (47-29-0-9, 103 pts.) at VEGAS (45-33-0-7, 97 pts.) - 4/16/2019, 10:38 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SAN JOSE is 47-38 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games this season.
      SAN JOSE is 15-16 ATS (-11.9 Units) after a division game this season.
      VEGAS is 48-23 ATS (+17.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      VEGAS is 46-24 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
      VEGAS is 55-40 ATS (-0.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      SAN JOSE is 62-46 ATS (+113.9 Units) in road games in April games since 1996.
      SAN JOSE is 91-57 ATS (+26.1 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
      SAN JOSE is 29-23 ATS (+59.0 Units) in road games in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
      SAN JOSE is 225-240 ATS (+507.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
      VEGAS is 45-40 ATS (-3.2 Units) in all games this season.
      VEGAS is 22-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
      VEGAS is 13-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      VEGAS is 11-6 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
      VEGAS is 11-6-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
      12 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.6 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NHL

      Tuesday, April 16


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Tampa Bay Lightning
      Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
      Tampa Bay is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
      Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 16 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
      Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
      Tampa Bay is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games on the road
      Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Columbus
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Columbus
      Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
      Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Columbus
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Columbus
      Columbus Blue Jackets
      Columbus is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
      Columbus is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Columbus's last 20 games
      Columbus is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
      Columbus is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
      Columbus is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
      Columbus is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
      Columbus is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

      New York Islanders
      NY Islanders is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
      NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games
      NY Islanders is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      NY Islanders is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
      NY Islanders is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Pittsburgh
      NY Islanders is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
      NY Islanders is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
      NY Islanders is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
      Pittsburgh Penguins
      Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
      Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games
      Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
      Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
      Pittsburgh is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing NY Islanders
      Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Islanders
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games when playing NY Islanders
      Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
      Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

      Winnipeg Jets
      Winnipeg is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games
      Winnipeg is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games on the road
      Winnipeg is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games when playing St. Louis
      Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
      Winnipeg is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing St. Louis
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
      Winnipeg is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
      Winnipeg is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
      St. Louis Blues
      St. Louis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
      St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
      St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 12 of St. Louis's last 18 games at home
      St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
      St. Louis is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Winnipeg
      St. Louis is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Winnipeg
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
      St. Louis is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
      St. Louis is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

      San Jose Sharks
      San Jose is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games
      San Jose is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games
      San Jose is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      San Jose is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
      San Jose is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Vegas
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Vegas
      San Jose is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Vegas
      San Jose is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Vegas
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing on the road against Vegas
      Vegas Golden Knights
      Vegas is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games
      Vegas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games at home
      Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
      Vegas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Jose
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing San Jose
      Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose
      Vegas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Jose
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-16-2019, 01:43 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Dunkel

        Tuesday, April 16



        Tampa Bay @ Columbus

        Game 37-38
        April 16, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Tampa Bay
        11.261
        Columbus
        13.067
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Columbus
        by 2
        8
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Tampa Bay
        -140
        6
        Dunkel Pick:
        Columbus
        (+120); Over

        NY Islanders @ Pittsburgh


        Game 39-40
        April 16, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        NY Islanders
        12.878
        Pittsburgh
        10.702
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        NY Islanders
        by 2
        4
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Pittsburgh
        -170
        5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        NY Islanders
        (+150); Under

        Winnipeg @ St. Louis


        Game 41-42
        April 16, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Winnipeg
        10.280
        St. Louis
        11.796
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        St. Louis
        by 1 1/2
        5
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        St. Louis
        -150
        5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        St. Louis
        (-150); Under

        San Jose @ Vegas


        Game 43-44
        April 16, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        San Jose
        9.306
        Vegas
        10.693
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Vegas
        by 1 1/2
        9
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Vegas
        -160
        6 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Vegas
        (-160); Over
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-16-2019, 01:44 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL Stanley Cup playoffs best bets and prop predictions: Blue Jackets on the verge of betting history
          Monty Andrews

          Can the Columbus Blue Jackets complete the most improbable four-game sweep in NHL playoff history? They'll certainly try their best as they host the record-setting Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 4 of their first-round series Wednesday night.

          The Lightning racked up 62 regular season wins (and were -340 favorites to win this series) but are down 3-0 in this one – though oddsmakers aren't quite ready to write off the Presidents' Trophy winners quite yet. Here are the top NHL trends and best bets for the Stanley Cup playoffs to monitor as the first round chugs along:

          TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING AT COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS

          Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay -140/Columbus +120
          Over/Under: 6 goals
          Start Time: 7 p.m. ET, Nationwide Arena, Columbus, Ohio
          Series: Columbus leads 3-0

          The Blue Jackets have been on fire since falling behind 3-0 in the first period of Game 1, having outscored the Lightning by an absurd 12-2 margin over the previous eight periods. But while Columbus has been a defensive juggernaut since that fateful first period in their series opener, Tampa Bay is slowly becoming stronger on the defensive end itself, and will almost certainly need to channel the back-end dominance that saw it allow the seventh-fewest goals during the regular season. The teams are 24-9-1 to the Under in their last 34 meetings, and are a good bet to extend that trend Tuesday.


          NEW YORK ISLANDERS AT PITTSBURGH PENGUINS

          Moneyline Odds: New York +145/Pittsburgh -165
          Over/Under: 5.5 goals
          Start Time: 7:30 p.m. ET, PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
          Series: New York leads 3-0

          Speaking of strong totals plays, the Islanders and Penguins share the lowest Over/Under NHL odds of the night, but even that might not be low enough to dissuade Under bettors. Coming off a 4-1 win in Pittsburgh in Game 3 to come within a game of a sweep, the Islanders are now 20-6-2 to the Under in their past 28 road games dating back to the early portion of the regular season. And the Penguins are right there with them, having gone 5-1-1 to the Under in their past seven home games. The Under 5.5 offers a modest -135 payout, but if you feel adventurous, the Under 4.5 alternate total is set at +200.


          WINNIPEG JETS AT ST. LOUIS BLUES

          Moneyline Odds: Winnipeg +130/St. Louis -150
          Over/Under: 5.5 goals
          Start Time: 9:30 p.m. ET, Enterprise Center, St. Louis
          Series: St. Louis leads 2-1

          The Jets and Blues both ranked in the Top 10 in first-period goals during the regular season but you wouldn't know it through the first three games of their opening-round Western Conference playoff series. The Central Division rivals have combined for 19 goals so far, but only four of those have come in the opening 20 minutes. And while it makes some sense given that the Blues allowed the fourth-fewest first-period goals during the season, Winnipeg only ranked in the middle of the pack in opening-period defense. Bettors should take a nice, long look at the Under 1.5 on the first-period total in Game 4 (-120).


          SAN JOSE SHARKS AT VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS

          Moneyline Odds: San Jose +135/Vegas -155
          Over/Under: 6.5 goals
          Start Time: 10:30 p.m. ET, T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
          Series: Vegas leads 2-1

          If the Sharks have any hope of evening this series – and eventually prevailing – they'll need to find a way to slow down the Golden Knights' most dangerous line. Paul Stastny, Mark Stone and Max Pacioretty rank 1-2-3 in the NHL in playoff scoring, having combined for a whopping 22 points – 12 of them coming in Sunday's 6-3 victory over San Jose in Game 3. Stone had a hat trick and added two assists, while Stastny added two goals and three helpers. Consider goal props for both Stone and Stastny while they remain red-hot, and don't forget about Pacioretty, who has six points in three games.

          Comment


          • #6
            NHL Playoffs Betting Stats - Tuesday, April 16, 2019

            Favorites Moneyline: 9-14 SU
            Favorites Puckline: 6-17 ATS
            Home Teams: 13-11 SU

            Over/Under: 10-12-2

            Comment

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