Announcement

**Udog** · 04-13-2019, 12:02 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Some of the better matchups for the Big East-Big X challenge next season:

— Kansas @ Villanova

— Seton Hall @ Iowa State

— Oklahoma @ Creighton

— West Virginia @ St John’s

— Butler @ Baylor

— Xavier @ TCU

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

13) Marquette guard Markus Howard will play his senior year at Marquette instead of testing the waters in the NBA, which is surprising.

Howard is from Arizona, but transferred to Findlay Prep in Las Vegas after his sophomore season in HS, then skipped his senior year altogether to go to Marquette, at age 17. When you do that, you’re pretty much accelerating the clock for when you can play in the NBA.

For a player like this to stay four years in college is very unusual.

12) Then there is Kevin Porter Jr, who declared for the draft after scoring 9.5 ppg in 21 games (4 starts) as a freshman at USC. He played 22.1 mpg, missed 11 of the Trojans’ 33 games, shot 41.2% on the arc, 52.2% on foul line. This is a player who is listed as a top 15 talent in the draft, but what about this past season indicates that? He started four games for a 16-17 USC team.

11) Louisville poached St. Joseph’s G Lamarr Kimble as a grad transfer, a big pickup.

10) Lakers fired Luke Walton Friday; can’t be lot of fun hanging around there these days. Walton is expected to land in Sacramento as the Kings’ new coach.

Tyronn Lue is expected to get the Lakers’ job; no shock considering he coached Lebron James in Cleveland.

9) Toronto Raptors’ forward OG Anunoby had an emergency appendectomy, is expected to miss at least two weeks.

8) Random stat: Raptors have played in 15 NBA playoff series; they lost the first game of those series 13 times, going 3-12 vs spread overall.

7) July 31, 2018, the Pirates traded Tyler Glasnow, Austin Meadows and a minor leaguer to Tampa Bay, for Chris Archer.

Archer is a good pitcher, but Glasnow allowed one run in 17 IP in his first three starts, and now Meadows has knocked in 15 runs in Tampa Bay’s first 13 games.

Rays have played seven games on this road trip; they’ve scored in top of the first inning in every game.

6) Interesting fact from Anthony Castrovince: 154 position players retired with only one career plate appearance in the major leagues; 16 of them got a hit. Only five of them are still alive.

5) Baseball season is 16 days old; Bronx Bombers already have 12 players on the IL.

4) Cardinals’ OF Harrison Bader was hit by a pitch with bases loaded twice Wednesday, first time that happened since 2005 (Reed Johnson, Toronto).

3) NFL Draft is two weeks away; some notes:
— Most picks: Giants, Patriots, 12 each
— Fewest picks; Seattle (4).
— Multiple 1st round picks: Oakland 3, Packers/Giants (2).
— No 1st round pick: Dallas-Browns-Saints-Bears.

2) Kid who scored 15.8 ppg LY for Bucknell will go to Kentucky next year as a grad transfer. Stuff like this is why there were fewer first round upsets in NCAA’s this year. The better players in the low major conference have big eyes, hoping to play a season getting on national TV a lot.

1) Not that the NBA playoffs are boring, but since 1988, there have been 136 playoff series where the underdog was +$500 or higher; of those 136 series, the favorite won 129 of them.

Does anyone think there is a team that can beat the Warriors best-of-7, unless Golden State gets at least two starters hurt? Nah, me either.

**Udog** · 04-13-2019, 12:03 AM

61Carolina -62 Washington
CAROLINA is 14-6 ATS (8.1 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

63Dallas -64 Nashville
DALLAS are 31-25 ATS (6.5 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

65Toronto -66 Boston
TORONTO is 18-19 ATS (-16.2 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

67Colorado -68 Calgary
CALGARY is 10-17 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.

NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 13

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CAROLINA (46-30-0-7, 99 pts.) at WASHINGTON (49-26-0-8, 106 pts.) - 4/13/2019, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 23-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 32-48 ATS (+83.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 115-75 ATS (+195.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 67-45 ATS (+0.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 45-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 45-23 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 62-42 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 38-26 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 30-15 ATS (+9.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
CAROLINA is 19-10 ATS (+30.6 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 9-15 ATS (-17.6 Units) in home games when leading in a playoff series since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 10-3 (+5.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 10-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

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DALLAS (44-32-0-7, 95 pts.) at NASHVILLE (47-30-0-6, 100 pts.) - 4/13/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 286-222 ATS (+514.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 59-34 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 219-240 ATS (+509.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 9-6 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 9-6-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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TORONTO (47-28-0-8, 102 pts.) at BOSTON (49-25-0-9, 107 pts.) - 4/13/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 21-23 ATS (-19.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 10-20 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 14-7 ATS (+21.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 290-245 ATS (-156.2 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 36-43 ATS (-31.8 Units) in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 35-36 ATS (-14.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 12-8 (+5.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 12-8-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

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COLORADO (38-31-0-14, 90 pts.) at CALGARY (51-25-0-7, 109 pts.) - 4/13/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 38-45 ATS (-15.6 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 16-53 ATS (+102.1 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 11-17 ATS (-9.3 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 9-1 (+8.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 9-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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**Udog** · 04-13-2019, 08:51 AM

NHL

Saturday, April 13

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Trend Report
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Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 9 games
Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Washington
Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Carolina is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Capitals
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Carolina
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Carolina
Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina

Dallas Stars
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas's last 19 games
Dallas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Dallas's last 23 games on the road
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
Dallas is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Nashville
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville Predators
Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Nashville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Nashville's last 13 games
Nashville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Nashville is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Dallas
Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Bruins
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games
Boston is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Boston is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games at home
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Colorado is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 12 games
Colorado is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games on the road
Colorado is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Calgary
Colorado is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Calgary
Colorado is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Flames
Calgary is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Calgary's last 12 games
Calgary is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Calgary is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games at home
Calgary is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Colorado
Calgary is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Colorado
Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

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**Udog** · 04-13-2019, 09:02 AM

NHL Stanley Cup playoffs best bets and prop predictions: Flames to keep up third period dominance
Monty Andrews

Calgary was virtually unbeatable in the third period during the regular season, boasting an unimaginable +54 goal differential in the frame.

Two home teams look to seize 2-0 leads in their respective best-of-seven Stanley Cup series, while two others look to avoid going down 2-0 before hitting the road.

It's Day 4 of the NHL postseason, and the Boston Bruins and Nashville Predators already find themselves in must-win mode in their respective series against the Toronto Maple Leafs and Dallas Stars. Here are the top betting trends and tips to monitor as the first-round action continues:

CAROLINA HURRICANES AT WASHINGTON CAPITALS

Moneyline Odds: Carolina +140/Washington -160
Over/Under: 5.5 goals
Start Time: 3 p.m. ET, Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.

The Capitals' 4-2 triumph over the Hurricanes in Game 1 extended their recent home dominance over Carolina, a stretch in which Washington has won nine of 11 games while holding the Hurricanes to two or fewer goals on eight occasions. And each of the Capitals' previous five wins over Carolina have come by multiple goals – so if you're leaning toward the defending Stanley Cup champions to extend that trend, you should consider taking the hosts on the puckline at +160.

DALLAS STARS AT NASHVILLE PREDATORS

Moneyline Odds: Dallas +135/Nashville -155
Over/Under: 5 goals
Start Time: 6 p.m. ET, Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tenn.

A first-period goal is a rarity for both the Dallas Stars and Nashville Predators – but bettors shouldn't let the Game 1 result sour them on what could be a profitable early prop. Both teams ranked at the bottom of the league in first-period goals in the regular season, and will be looking to continue their strong defensive play having ranked second and third in the NHL in fewest goals against. Look for the teams to go under the first-period goal total in what could be a low-scoring Game 2.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS AT BOSTON BRUINS

Moneyline Odds: Toronto +125/Boston -145
Over/Under: 6 goals
Start Time: 8 p.m. ET, TD Garden, Boston, Mass.

The Toronto Maple Leafs had no trouble with a three-goal lead in their latest game encounter with the Boston Bruins, cruising to a 4-1 victory to seize control of their best-of-seven series. And while it's too early to push the panic button, it is noteworthy that the Bruins have now lost four consecutive games as a favorite. But with the Leafs having dropped six in a row following a victory and six of their past eight games in Boston, we like the Bruins to bounce back in a big way in Game 2.

COLORADO AVALANCHE AT CALGARY FLAMES

Moneyline Odds: Colorado +190/Calgary -230
Over/Under: 6 goals
Start Time: 10:30 p.m. ET, Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, Alta.

The Flames were their usual dominant selves in the final 20 minutes of their series-opening 4-0 win over Colorado, scoring twice to bolster the lead they built with a pair of second-period tallies. Calgary was virtually unbeatable in the third period during the regular season, boasting an unimaginable +54 goal differential in the frame. And with Colorado ranking fourth in the NHL with 103 third-period goals, it's no stretch to go with the third as the highest-scoring period in this game.

**Udog** · 04-13-2019, 10:41 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, April 13

Carolina @ Washington

Game 61-62
April 13, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
10.686
Washington
11.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-155
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-155); Under

Dallas @ Nashville

Game 63-64
April 13, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
12.686
Nashville
11.424
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-150
5
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+130); Over

Toronto @ Boston

Game 65-66
April 13, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
11.382
Boston
9.915
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-145
6
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+125); Over

Colorado @ Calgary

Game 67-68
April 13, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
9.474
Calgary
10.845
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-240
6
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-240); Under

Announcement

Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/13

Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/13

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