Announcement

**Udog** · 03-27-2019, 07:48 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Odds to win the college basketball national title:

2-1— Duke

7-2— Gonzaga, Virginia

4-1— North Carolina

10-1— Michigan

12-1— Michigan State

18-1— Kentucky, Tennessee

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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) Bad news for the Arizona Diamondbacks; Steven Souza Jr. has an ACL tear, LCL tear, partial PCL tear, and posterior lateral capsule tear in his left knee. He is done for this season.

12) Milwaukee’s Mike Moustakas led off the bottom of the 2nd vs Toronto Tuesday by bunting to third base for an easy hit against the shift. What pitcher will be the first one to snap over giving up hits to batters who are smart enough to just bunt the ball where no one is?

You know some pitchers have to hate the shift, especially when it doesn’t help them.

11) Dodgers shifted against Angels’ 2B David Fletcher early Monday night, but he just poked a grounder thru the right side for an easy hit. Fletcher has no power, but he does control the bat well; it is bleeping stupid to over-shift against him. This is analytics gone wild.

10) Random stat of the day; in his last 11 NCAA tournament games, Rick Barnes’ teams are 1-9-1 against the spread. Since 2002, Barnes is 3-2 SU in Sweet 16 games; his last one was in 2008.

9) Bruce Pearl’s comment about his Auburn team playing North Carolina this week:

“Take the over.”

Over in this game is 164, which is pretty steep.

8) Coaching carousel:
— BYU told coach Dave Rose to take a hike after 14 years with the Cougars.
— Arkansas fired coach Mike Anderson after eight years.
— Nebraska fired Tim Miles; his likely replacement is Fred Hoiberg.
— Washington State hired San Francisco coach Kyle Smith.
— Cal Poly hired former Riverside CC coach/Fullerton assistant John Smith.
— UMKC hired former Wright State coach Billy Donlon.
— Mercer is going to hire Purdue assistant Greg Gary.
— Former Tex-Arlington coach Scott Cross is back in Sun Belt; he is the new coach at Troy.

7) That means four of 14 SEC coaching jobs are open; considering that seven SEC teams made the NCAA’s, then South Carolina, Georgia, Missouri are only teams not to make NCAA’s that didn’t fire their coach. Georgia’s coach has been there one year, Missouri’s two years.

6) One thing that bugs me about the NBA; why does the team’s star always HAVE TO take the last shot? Portland had the ball at the end of the first OT Monday night in a tie game and the Nets double-teamed Damian Lillard and he never passed the ball, taking a 35-footer. Why?

5) Watched Dodgers-Angels exhibition game Monday night and it is weird watching the Angels and seeing someone other than Mike Scioscia managing the team.

4) Guy in Ohio named Gregg Nigl has a perfect bracket thru the first two rounds, so he deserves to be congratulated. Well done sir!!!

3) Jason deGrom signed a 5-year, $137,5M extension with the Mets.

2) Portland C Jusuf Nurkic suffered a compound fractures to the tibia and fibula of his lower left leg in the second OT of the Nets-Blazers game Monday night. The injury was so gruesome, guys on the Nets who were near Nurkic when he fell ran away from the area.

1) Some day soon, when they make a movie about Michael Avenatti and the last year or so of his life, it is going to be a weird and fast-moving story. Avenatti has been all over TV for the last year or so, but now he is in big legal trouble in California, charged with wire fraud and extortion.

Just seems like sometimes people get famous quickly and the fame is addictive and it makes them do nutty things. Being obscure isn’t such a bad thing.

**Udog** · 03-27-2019, 08:37 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 27

Toronto @ Philadelphia

Game 43-44
March 27, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
9.528
Philadelphia
10.429
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-150
7
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+130); Under

NY Rangers @ Boston

Game 45-46
March 27, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
9.303
Boston
12.656
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-360
6
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-360); Over

Dallas @ Calgary

Game 67-68
March 27, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
10.966
Calgary
11.868
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-160
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-160); Under

Vegas @ Colorado

Game 49-50
March 27, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
11.697
Colorado
10.968
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-120); Under

NHL

Wednesday, March 27

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Trend Report
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Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Toronto's last 16 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

New York Rangers
NY Rangers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Rangers is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
NY Rangers is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
NY Rangers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Rangers is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 7 games on the road
NY Rangers is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
NY Rangers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 9 games when playing Boston
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Bruins
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
Boston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games at home
Boston is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing NY Rangers
Boston is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing NY Rangers
Boston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

Dallas Stars
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 12 games
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 15 games on the road
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Calgary
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Flames
Calgary is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Calgary is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Calgary is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Calgary is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Calgary is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 10 games when playing at home against Dallas

Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games
Vegas is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games at home
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Vegas

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

43Toronto -44 Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA is 19-9 ATS (12 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

45Ny Rangers -46 Boston
NY RANGERS are 5-31 ATS (-21.6 Units) against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

47Dallas -48 Calgary
DALLAS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

49Vegas -50 Colorado
COLORADO is 6-18 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the current season.

**Udog** · 03-27-2019, 10:11 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 27

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TORONTO (45-25-0-6, 96 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (36-32-0-8, 80 pts.) - 3/27/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 19-18 ATS (-14.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 10-19 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 408-415 ATS (-127.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TORONTO is 199-217 ATS (-77.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 50-39 ATS (-2.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-20 ATS (+31.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-4 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

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NY RANGERS (29-33-0-13, 71 pts.) at BOSTON (46-21-0-9, 101 pts.) - 3/27/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 26-56 ATS (+90.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 3-24 ATS (+38.0 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-1 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 12-1 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 135-132 ATS (+288.9 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
BOSTON is 289-242 ATS (-102.8 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 55-60 ATS (-30.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 229-177 ATS (-43.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
BOSTON is 111-89 ATS (-62.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 7-1 (+8.6 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 7-1-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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DALLAS (39-31-0-6, 84 pts.) at CALGARY (47-22-0-7, 101 pts.) - 3/27/2019, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 26-51 ATS (+84.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 24-41 ATS (-27.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-44 ATS (-23.6 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-12 ATS (+4.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CALGARY is 10-16 ATS (-11.2 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 10-23 ATS (+34.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-2 (+4.8 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-2-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)

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VEGAS (42-28-0-6, 90 pts.) at COLORADO (34-29-0-13, 81 pts.) - 3/27/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 107-72 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 21-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 34-42 ATS (-53.3 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 3-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.2 Units)

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Announcement

Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/27

Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/27

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