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Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/20

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  • Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/20

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, March 20

    Good Luck on day # 79 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Some more prop bets for the NCAA Tournament:

    — Wins by Gonzaga 3.5. Over +$130, Under -$160

    — Wins by Kentucky 2.5 Over -$125, Under +$105

    — Wins by Virginia 3.5 Over +$120, Under -$150

    — Wins by Duke 3.5 Over -$190, Under +$160

    — Wins by Michigan 2.5 Over +$115, Under -$145

    — Wins by Michigan State 2.5 Over -$140, Under +$110


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……

    13) Mike Trout signed a 12-year, $430M deal with the Angels; thats $35,833,333 per year, if you’re scoring at home. Big day for baseball players and their agents.

    The business of baseball myst be good; Artie Moreno bought the Angels for $184M in April, 2003; 16 years later, he pays one guy more than double that.

    12) Question is, was this a good day for Angel fans? Halos are also paying Albert Pujols another $87M over the next three seasons. Neither one of those guys pitches, and pitching wins.

    11) Oakland A’s entire payroll last year was $65,985,833; now Trout/Pujols will be making $63.8M combined this year. Oakland won 17 more games than the Angels last year.

    10) St Joe’s fired coach Phil Martelli Tuesday after 24 years with the school; Hawks were 28-8 three short years ago, but then DeAndre’ Bembry left school a year early and things weren’t the same- St Joe’s went 41-55 the last three years, 20-34 in the A-14.

    St Joe’s brought in a new athletic director last year, and new AD’s usually don’t care too much about what happened before they got there, so now the Hawks are looking for a new coach. Martelli made the NCAA’s seven times in 24 years at St Joe’s; we live in a fickle society.

    9) Freshman Joel Ntambwe is transferring from UNLV, which is terrible news for Rebel fans and the new UNLV coach, whoever that turns out to be. Ntambwe averaged 11.8 ppg and 5.5 rpg this year- he shot 38.6% behind the arc. Really good player.

    8) FDU 82, Prairie View 76— Prairie View made 8-12 on arc in first half, led 41-34 at the break; they made 15-29 on arc for the game, but FDU’s PG Jenkins scored 20 second half points and the Knights move on to play Gonzaga in Salt Lake City Thursday. Fun game to watch.

    7) Belmont 81, Temple 70— Belmont plays like the old Pete Carril/Princeton teams; they shoot the 3’s, they make backdoor cuts, they’re a unique team to play against.

    6) #8-seed in the NBA’s Western Conference are the Clippers, who are 41-30; a 41-30 team would be the 6th seed in the East.

    5) Rams signed Blake Bortles as their new backup QB; Bortles has started 73 NFL games, and was the Jaguars’ QB when they made the playoffs in 2017.

    4) I don’t understand why people bet on spring training baseball games; no one cares who wins, the pitchers might actually be working on one pitch and may stay away from his best stuff, but lines are posted every day, subs we’ve rarely heard of play the last half of the game and money changes hands. Go figure.

    3) Wofford is a 3-point favorite over a Seton Hall team that went 9-9 in the Big East; that alone should get coach Mike Young into the top 3 in national Coach of the Year voting.

    2) Damon Jones played 12 years in the NBA and was later an assistant coach with the Cavaliers when they won the 2016 NBA title. In his playing days, Jones played for 10 different teams in his dozen years in the league. This is a guy who should write a book.

    1) Former NBA star Walt (Clyde) Frazier is 73 years old now: he is a New York City icon who led the Knicks to two NBA titles in the 70’s, and to this day he works Knicks’ games on MSG Network. He generally isn’t very controversial, but he does speak the truth.

    Sunday afternoon, when the Knicks played the Lakers, Frazier was critical of Lebron James because Lebron was sitting away from his teammates on the bench during a timeout near the end of a game the Lakers wound up losing by a point. Candid comments; good stuff.

    Monday night during the Knicks-Raptors game, Frazier told Mike Breen that he was surprised his comments got so much attention, but criticism is unusual to hear in these politically correct times, and it was great to hear, because it was warranted.

    Bonus List of 13: College basketball prop bets

    13) Will Auburn make the Sweet 16: No -$130, Yes even

    12) Will Texas Tech make the Sweet 16: Yes -$180, No +$150

    11) Will Buffalo make the Sweet 16: Yes +$220, No -$300

    10) Will Villanova make the Sweet 16: Yes +$170, No -$200

    9) Will Houston make the Sweet 16: Yes -$115, No -$115

    8) Will Virginia Tech make the Sweet 16: Yes -$145, No +$115

    7) Will Iowa State make the Sweet 16: Yes +$160, No -$190

    6) Will Marquette make the Sweet 16: Yes +$230, No -$310

    5) Will Purdue make the Sweet 16: Yes -$135, No +$105

    4) #1-seeds to make Final Four: over/under 1.5: Over -$190, Under +$160

    3) Will a Big 14 team win the national title? Yes +$325, No -$450

    2) Will a #2-seed win the national title? Yes +$325, No -$450

    1) Will a #1 seed win the national title? Yes -$170, No +$140

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Wednesday, March 20


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TORONTO (43-25-0-5, 91 pts.) at BUFFALO (31-32-0-9, 71 pts.) - 3/20/2019, 7:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      TORONTO is 17-17 ATS (-13.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
      TORONTO is 406-414 ATS (-125.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
      TORONTO is 197-216 ATS (-75.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
      BUFFALO is 297-277 ATS (+0.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
      BUFFALO is 226-242 ATS (+530.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
      TORONTO is 12-4 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      TORONTO is 8-4-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
      9 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.7 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TAMPA BAY (56-13-0-4, 116 pts.) at WASHINGTON (43-23-0-7, 93 pts.) - 3/20/2019, 7:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WASHINGTON is 109-71 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 18-6 ATS (+9.3 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 44-26 ATS (+4.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 25-6 ATS (+16.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 57-40 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 33-24 ATS (+4.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      TAMPA BAY is 56-17 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all games this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 24-8 ATS (+12.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 22-6 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 34-11 ATS (+13.5 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 27-10 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 246-243 ATS (+512.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WASHINGTON is 7-7 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
      WASHINGTON is 7-7-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)

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      OTTAWA (25-41-0-6, 56 pts.) at VANCOUVER (31-32-0-10, 72 pts.) - 3/20/2019, 10:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      VANCOUVER is 248-255 ATS (-128.7 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
      VANCOUVER is 394-380 ATS (-43.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
      VANCOUVER is 103-95 ATS (-70.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      OTTAWA is 3-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
      OTTAWA is 3-2-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      WINNIPEG (43-25-0-4, 90 pts.) at ANAHEIM (30-35-0-9, 69 pts.) - 3/20/2019, 10:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WINNIPEG is 13-18 ATS (-11.5 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
      ANAHEIM is 568-467 ATS (-112.5 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
      ANAHEIM is 260-214 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
      ANAHEIM is 287-222 ATS (+61.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
      ANAHEIM is 278-253 ATS (+573.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
      WINNIPEG is 104-68 ATS (+19.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      ANAHEIM is 0-5 ATS (+6.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WINNIPEG is 5-3 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
      WINNIPEG is 5-3-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NHL

      Wednesday, March 20


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Toronto Maple Leafs
      Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
      Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 12 games
      Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
      Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
      Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing Buffalo
      Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
      Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
      Toronto is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
      Buffalo Sabres
      Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
      Buffalo is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's last 12 games
      Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
      Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing Toronto
      Buffalo is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
      Buffalo is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Toronto
      Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

      Tampa Bay Lightning
      Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
      Tampa Bay is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Washington
      Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
      Tampa Bay is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Washington
      Washington Capitals
      Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
      Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
      Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games at home
      Washington is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Tampa Bay
      Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
      Washington is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

      Winnipeg Jets
      Winnipeg is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
      Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 9 games
      Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 12 games on the road
      Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
      Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
      Winnipeg is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Anaheim
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Anaheim
      Winnipeg is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
      Anaheim Ducks
      Anaheim is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
      Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
      Anaheim is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
      Anaheim is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games at home
      Anaheim is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
      Anaheim is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Winnipeg
      Anaheim is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
      Anaheim is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

      Ottawa Senators
      Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
      Ottawa is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
      Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Ottawa is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games on the road
      Ottawa is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing Vancouver
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
      Ottawa is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
      Vancouver Canucks
      Vancouver is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
      Vancouver is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vancouver's last 8 games
      Vancouver is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games at home
      Vancouver is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing Ottawa
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
      Vancouver is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Ottawa


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      21Toronto -22 Buffalo
      BUFFALO is 5-18 ATS (-14.3 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

      23Tampa Bay -24 Washington
      TAMPA BAY is 31-5 ATS (22.3 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game in the current season.

      25Ottawa -26 Vancouver
      OTTAWA is 10-28 ATS (-17 Units) against poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

      27Winnipeg -28 Anaheim
      ANAHEIM is 6-15 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-20-2019, 01:56 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Dunkel

        Wednesday, March 20



        Winnipeg @ Anaheim

        Game 27-28
        March 20, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Winnipeg
        12.037
        Anaheim
        11.171
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Winnipeg
        by 1
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Winnipeg
        -150
        6
        Dunkel Pick:
        Winnipeg
        (-150); Over

        Ottawa @ Vancouver


        Game 25-26
        March 20, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Ottawa
        11.578
        Vancouver
        10.467
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Ottawa
        by 1
        5
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Vancouver
        -175
        6
        Dunkel Pick:
        Ottawa
        (+155); Under

        Tampa Bay @ Washington


        Game 23-24
        March 20, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Tampa Bay
        12.056
        Washington
        12.952
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Washington
        by 1
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Tampa Bay
        -140
        6 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Washington
        (+120); Over

        Toronto @ Buffalo


        Game 21-22
        March 20, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Toronto
        9.452
        Buffalo
        10.800
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Buffalo
        by 1 1/2
        5
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Toronto
        -150
        6 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Buffalo
        (+130); Under
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-20-2019, 01:57 PM.

        Comment

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