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Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/30

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  • Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/30

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, January 30

    Good Luck on day # 30 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    — Virginia 66, NC State 65 OT— Cavaliers escape Raleigh with a win.

    — Michigan 65, Ohio State 49— Buckeyes lost six of their last seven games.

    — Alabama 83, Mississippi State 79— Teams combined to shoot 4-34 on arc.

    — Wisconsin 62, Nebraska 51— Cornhuskers lost six of their last eight games.

    — Clemson 82, Pittsburgh 69— Tigers led by 28 at halftime.

    — Texas 73, Kansas 63— Jayhawks split their last eight games, lost last four of last five road games.


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……..

    13) Over the last ten years, of the 40 teams that made the Final Four, 39 of them were in the top 50 in country in defensive efficiency; VCU in 2011 was the exception.

    Last three years, all 12 Final Four teams were in the top 30 in defensive efficiency, and 11 of those were in the top 20.

    What I’m saying is this: When I fill out my bracket, I’m noting each team’s defensive efficiency next to their name, and will use that to help advance teams on my bracket.

    Villanova is #83 in defensive efficiency this year; the last three years, the Wildcats were 5th, 11th, 12th- big difference.

    12) Playing a fast tempo hasn’t been a trait of many Finals Four teams; only 8 of the last 40 Final Four teams were in the top 100 that year in tempo.

    11) Talent means more than experience. Last four years, only 2 of 16 Final Four teams were in the top 100 in experience.

    10) ESPN announced the end of Baseball Tonight, their nightly in-season highlight show.

    Not really sure what direction ESPN is heading in here; there is already an NBA Network- they dropped the NHL a few years ago, their daytime programming is terrible. If you’re paying Mike Greenberg and Stephen A Smith serious money to babble on during the day but drop Baseball Tonight, its almost like you want to become a running joke.

    9) Les Miles is in a new movie. This could be excellent.

    Kansas’ new football coach has a role in a movie about the Challenger shuttle disaster with an unoriginal title: “The Challenger Disaster”. Miles plays one of the NASA chiefs.

    My one memory of the Challenger mishap 33 years ago; my parents got a new TV that day, and when they turned it on for the first time, a replay of the Challenger exploding was the first thing we saw. Sad day.

    8) Anthony Davis wants off the New Orleans Pelicans, because no NBA stars are content with being really, really rich, unless they can be placed on an already-contending team, too.

    If the Pelicans do not trade Davis, he can’t get a max contract, but he’d still be really, really rich, and also the Pelicans would take a huge loss, personnel-wise. The question, what can they get in a trade for Davis?

    7) USC hired North Texas OC Graham Harrell as its new offensive coordinator/QB coach; Harrell replaces Kliff Kingsbury, who he also replaced as Texas Tech’s QB back in his playing days. Kingsbury left USC after only 34 days, to become head coach of the Arizona Cardinals.

    6) Toronto Blue Jays signed former Philly/Padre SS Freddy Galvis to a $4M, one-year deal with a club option for 2020.

    5) At halftime buzzer of their game Saturday, kid on Hofstra made a shot from behind the opposite foul line; they measured the shot Monday, and it was officially 82 feet. Quite a toss.

    4) Looks like Redskins’ QB Alex Smith is out for all of 2019 after breaking his leg, so seeing how Smith will be 35 in May and 36 in May 2020, seems like Washington will be looking a for a new QB this spring.

    3) Three people I’d like to meet someday:
    — Steve Martin, the great comedian
    — Bill James, the father of baseball Sabermetrics
    — A’s equipment manager Steve Vucinich, who has worked for the A’s for over 50 years.

    2) Monday morning in Texas, thousands of people streamed into the Central Texas State Veterans Cemetery in Killeen to pay their final respects to Air Force veteran Joseph Walker, after it was reported that Mr Walker was going to be buried with no family present.

    It was posted on Facebook that Mr Walker was going to be buried with no family/friends there, but what wound up happening instead was roughly 5,000 cars coming to thank Mr Walker for his service to our country— he served from 1964-68.

    1) Doug Sirmons is a college basketball referee; here is his schedule from Jan 19-28. College basketball refs make a lot of money, and unlike NBA players, they’re obviously not averse to back-to-backs. Plus, they earn a lot of airline/rental car miles.

    January 19: Kansas @ West Virginia
    January 20: Duquesne @ George Washington
    January 21: Marshall @ Western Kentucky
    January 22: Texas Tech @ Kansas
    January 23: Texas @ TCU
    January 24: Tulsa @ Cincinnati
    January 26: West Virginia @ Tennessee
    January 27: Central Florida @ Memphis
    January 28: Duke @ Notre Dame
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-30-2019, 01:25 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Wednesday, January 30


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      TAMPA BAY (37-10-0-2, 76 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (26-17-0-6, 58 pts.) - 1/30/2019, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      TAMPA BAY is 37-12 ATS (+16.3 Units) in all games this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 17-3 ATS (+12.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 59-23 ATS (+22.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
      TAMPA BAY is 53-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      TAMPA BAY is 237-240 ATS (+504.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
      PITTSBURGH is 8-12 ATS (-12.4 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PITTSBURGH is 4-3 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
      PITTSBURGH is 4-3-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.1 Units)

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      BUFFALO (25-18-0-6, 56 pts.) at DALLAS (24-21-0-4, 52 pts.) - 1/30/2019, 8:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      BUFFALO is 4-22 ATS (+40.1 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
      DALLAS is 36-50 ATS (-25.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      DALLAS is 19-36 ATS (-23.7 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
      DALLAS is 27-38 ATS (-20.3 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      DALLAS is 3-1 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
      DALLAS is 3-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

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      NHL

      Wednesday, January 30


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      Trend Report
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      Tampa Bay Lightning
      Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
      Tampa Bay is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
      Tampa Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games on the road
      Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
      Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
      Tampa Bay is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
      Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
      Pittsburgh Penguins
      Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
      Pittsburgh is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
      Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
      Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
      Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
      Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
      Pittsburgh is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
      Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

      Buffalo Sabres
      Buffalo is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
      Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
      Buffalo is 16-2 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
      Buffalo is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
      Buffalo is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
      Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
      Dallas Stars
      Dallas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
      Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
      Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
      Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
      Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo


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      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-30-2019, 01:27 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Dunkel

        Wednesday, January 30



        Tampa Bay @ Pittsburgh

        Game 1-2
        January 30, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Tampa Bay
        11.608
        Pittsburgh
        10.317
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Tampa Bay
        by 1 1/2
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Tampa Bay
        -115
        6 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Tampa Bay
        (-115); Over

        Buffalo @ Dallas


        Game 3-4
        January 30, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Buffalo
        13.153
        Dallas
        11.540
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Buffalo
        by 1 1/2
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Dallas
        -170
        5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Buffalo
        (+150); Over
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-30-2019, 01:28 PM.

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