Announcement

**Udog** · 01-14-2019, 08:39 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

— Xavier 70, Butler 69— Bulldogs lost last two games, by one point each.

— Oregon State 79, UCLA 66— Beavers start out 3-0 in Pac-12 play.

— New England is in the AFC title game for the 8th year in a row.

— Last five years, home team is 10-0 SU in conference title games.

— Four highest-scoring teams in the NFL this year are the four teams left playing.

— Underdogs are 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight #1-#2 seed matchups in conference title games.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

13) If you had your choice of any QB ever in his prime to play for your team; a real team, not a fantasy team, who would you choose?

12) If the Cardinals decide to trade QB Josh Rosen and take Oklahoma QB Kyler Murray with the first pick in April’s NFL draft, which teams would be open to trading for Rosen?

My guesses: Miami and Oakland, maybe Jacksonville.

11) It must suck living in Los Angeles, never anything to do (sarcasm alert). Saturday, the Clippers played Detroit at home, the NHL’s Kings hosted Pittsburgh and the Rams played Dallas in an NFL playoff game.

Sunday, the Lakers hosted Cleveland, and I’m leaving out all the college sports taking place in the area (Long Beach St, Fullerton and LMU were all home Saturday).

10) Movie trivia: Do you remember the 1977 movie One on One, where Robby Benson plays a hotshot college basketball player? The actor who played Coach Smith in that movie was GD Spradlin, who also played the Tom Landry-like character in North Dallas Forty.

Turns out that in real life, Spradlin was an oil man who managed John F Kennedy’s Presidential campaign in Oklahoma in 1960. Go figure.

9) Stanford RB Bryce Love tore his ACL in their regular season finale, which helps explain why he sat out the Sun Bowl— the knee was operated on December 18.

The current bowl system has a growing problem; star players who are already projected to go to the NFL will sit these games out, for this very reason.

8) Baseball doings:
— Mets gave 2B Jed Lowrie $20M for two years.
— Bronx gave 2B DJ LeMahieu $24M for two years.

7) From Josh Applebaum of Action Network:

“Parlays provide a 30% hold for sportsbooks. Every other major sport averages a hold of 5%. They’re a massive moneymaker for the house. Nothing wrong with the occasional parlay, but individual bets are a much smarter long-term strategy”

6) Jets are expected to hire Gregg Williams as their new DC, which is an excellent hire.

Steve Sarkisian turned down the Arizona Cardinals and went back to Alabama to be their OC, which tells me that his ultimate goal is be a college head coach again.

5) The CEO of Disney made $65.7M last year; that seems excessive.

NBC told Megan Kelly to take a hike, but she gets all of her $69M contract, which has about $30M left on it. Ms Kelly’s exit was ignited last fall after she defended Halloween costumes that incorporate blackface. What a country.

4) Thursday night, the Spurs beat Oklahoma City 154-147 in double OT:
— It was the first 300-point NBA game since December 7, 2006
— Spurs made 16-19 (84.2%) from the arc, an NBA record (with 15+ attempts)
— Russell Westbrook was first player with 24+ points, 24+ assists in a game since Magic Johnson on January 9, 1990.

3) Patriots 41, Chargers 28— Kansas City opened as a 3-point favorite in AFC title game. New England lost last three times they played AFC title game on road. Last time Patriots won an NFC title game on road was in 2004, last time they won any road playoff game was 2006.

This will be the first time in 70 games that a Tom Brady-led team is an underdog.

Sunday’s game was 38-7 at one point, so final score is misleading; Nantz/Romo emptied their bag of filler material, talking about everything except the PGA Tour, which might’ve been more interesting than some of the stuff they did talk about.

2) Saints 20, Eagles 14— Philly led 14-0 early, but Saints scored on a drive extended by a fake punt, and they controlled the game from that point on. New Orleans outgained the Eagles 420-250; Philly has a very interesting offseason ahead of it. What to do about Nick Foles?

Saints’ WR Michael Thomas is really good; he was the 6th WR taken (47th player overall) in the 2016 NFL Draft, which is why the draft is so damn interesting. Inexact science.

1) Somewhere in this great country, there is a gambler who had Seton Hall (-4) Thursday and Maryland (-5) Friday. Both sides lost vs the spread on last-second 3-pointers; gambling is difficult, and in cases like these two games, it can be cruel.

**Udog** · 01-14-2019, 09:08 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, January 14

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COLORADO (20-17-0-8, 48 pts.) at TORONTO (28-14-0-2, 58 pts.) - 1/14/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 20-25 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 10-42 ATS (+83.3 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 90-77 ATS (+173.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
COLORADO is 254-217 ATS (+26.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
COLORADO is 31-21 ATS (+56.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 39-41 ATS (+100.2 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
TORONTO is 6-11 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 398-405 ATS (-21.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-1 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 3-1-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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MINNESOTA (22-19-0-3, 47 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (16-23-0-6, 38 pts.) - 1/14/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 28-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-29 ATS (-55.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-13 ATS (-6.2 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.4 Units)

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ST LOUIS (19-20-0-4, 42 pts.) at WASHINGTON (27-12-0-5, 59 pts.) - 1/14/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 93-58 ATS (+155.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 45-28 ATS (+3.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 39-19 ATS (+12.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 20-5 ATS (+12.9 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 33-23 ATS (+58.0 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 23-13 ATS (+36.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-1 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.3 Units)

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CHICAGO (16-22-0-9, 41 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (17-20-0-7, 41 pts.) - 1/14/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 49-81 ATS (-40.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 16-35 ATS (-22.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-20 ATS (+28.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 364-368 ATS (-148.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 3-11 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 2-2 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 2-2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

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MONTREAL (24-17-0-5, 53 pts.) at BOSTON (26-15-0-4, 56 pts.) - 1/14/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 9-27 ATS (+40.4 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 25-52 ATS (+80.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 17-43 ATS (+65.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 3-22 ATS (+30.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 14-4 ATS (+8.1 Units) after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 277-238 ATS (-99.4 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-3 (+4.6 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-3-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.6 Units)

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BUFFALO (23-16-0-6, 52 pts.) at EDMONTON (21-21-0-3, 45 pts.) - 1/14/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 11-6 ATS (+18.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
BUFFALO is 242-241 ATS (+509.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
EDMONTON is 15-28 ATS (-17.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 4-0 (+5.9 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-0-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)

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**Udog** · 01-14-2019, 09:12 AM

NHL

Monday, January 14

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Trend Report
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Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games on the road
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
Chicago is 4-10-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey Devils
New Jersey is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
New Jersey is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games
New Jersey is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games at home
New Jersey is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
New Jersey is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Chicago

Minnesota Wild
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games
Minnesota is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Minnesota is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
Colorado is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Toronto is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Colorado
Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado

St. Louis Blues
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Washington
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Capitals
Washington is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against St. Louis

Montreal Canadiens
Montreal is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games
Montreal is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Montreal is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Montreal is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Boston
Montreal is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Montreal is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Bruins
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Boston is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
Boston is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal

Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 13-1 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Edmonton is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Edmonton is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Buffalo

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**Udog** · 01-14-2019, 01:13 PM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, January 14

Colorado @ Toronto

Game 73-74
January 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
11.163
Toronto
12.513
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-180
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-180); Under

Minnesota @ Philadelphia

Game 75-76
January 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
11.147
Philadelphia
8.614
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-120); Under

St. Louis @ Washington

Game 77-78
January 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
11.820
Washington
11.093
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+155); Under

Chicago @ New Jersey

Game 79-80
January 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
10.165
New Jersey
11.245
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Jersey
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Jersey
-160
6
Dunkel Pick:
New Jersey
(-160); Over

Montreal @ Boston

Game 81-82
January 14, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
9.791
Boston
11.817
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-180
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-180); Under

Buffalo @ Edmonton

Game 83-84
January 14, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
11.149
Edmonton
12.151
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-125); Over

**Udog** · 01-14-2019, 01:45 PM

Go against this trend in Pens-Sharks game and this week's NHL predictions and picks
Monty Andrews

The Pittsburgh Penguins and the San Jose Sharks are two of the highest scoring teams in the NHL but the Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings between these sides.

The Colorado Avalanche are going through their worst stretch of the season – but past trends suggest the Avs might be able to turn things around as they visit Toronto to kick off an interesting week of hockey action. There are plenty of great matchups on the early-week schedule, including a showdown between two of the league's hottest teams in San Jose, and an Eastern Conference series that has been one-sided lately. Here are the top games and betting tips to monitor over the next few days.

No home team advantage here

A midseason swoon has the Colorado Avalanche scrambling to remain in the Western Conference playoff picture entering Monday's showdown with the powerhouse Maple Leafs. The Avs are a miserable 3-10-3 SU over their past 16 games to tumble all the way down to 28th in overall money earned at -10.30 units. But the road team has dominated this matchup in the post-lockout era, winning 11 of the previous 15 encounters. The teams have combined for six or more goals in six of their past seven meetings, as well, so bettors should consider the Over.

Good Luck, Goalies

Two of the highest-scoring clubs in the NHL will do battle Tuesday night at SAP Center as the Pittsburgh Penguins visit the San Jose Sharks. The Penguins rank fourth in the league in goals per game at 3.56, a fraction ahead of fifth-place San Jose (3.55). And both sides have been even more prolific in January, ranking first (4.67) and third (4.50), respectively, entering the week. That being said, the Pens and Sharks have scored more than five combined goals just twice in their previous eight meetings – but can you really ignore the video-game numbers these teams are putting up?

Jekyll and Habs

The Montreal Canadiens have been truly consistent in their inconsistency when matching up against the Florida Panthers, making it difficult to predict which version will show up for Tuesday's encounter between the two teams at Bell Centre. The Canadiens have won four of the previous seven meetings with the Panthers, and scored a whopping 20 goals in those victories. But Montreal was a completely different team in the three defeats, failing to score in any of them. We like the latter iteration to show up Tuesday night, with the Canadiens entering the week with a league-low 10 goals so far this month.

Philly Chilly vs. Bruins

The Philadelphia Flyers have sunk to the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings – and things likely won't get any better for them Wednesday night as they host the surging Boston Bruins. Philadelphia has been the worst value play in the league to date (more on that later), and has lost five of its previous six encounters with the Bruins, who come into the week having won nine of their previous 12 games overall. Goal scoring has been a major problem for the Flyers in that span, as they've finished with two or fewer goals on four occasions while being shut out twice.

Goalie Profile: Henrik Lundqvist, New York Rangers

One of the greatest goaltenders of the 21st Century might be nearing the end of his sensational career – at least if his recent struggles are any indication. Henrik Lundqvist has been unspeakably bad for the better part of a month, allowing four or more goals in eight of his previous 11 games. Things are so bad for the Swedish superstar that the Rangers opted to give him a "mental break" over the weekend.

Injury Update: Victor Hedman, Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning have been fortunate from a health perspective this season – but they're holding their breath after losing star defenseman Victor Hedman to injury over the weekend. Hedman left Sunday's 5-1 loss to the New York Islanders after colliding with an official; he didn't return, but head coach Jon Cooper said after the game that Hedman didn't go through the league's concussion protocol. Hedman has 29 points in 39 games this season with the Lightning, who are 5-2-0 SU and 4-2-1 O/U in the seven games Hedman has missed in 2018-19.

Hat Trick Trends

Is it better goaltending or wasted offensive chances? Whatever the case, non-overtime games have been a boon for Under bettors of late, cashing at nearly a 60-percent clip over the previous seven days (25 of 42). The Under has been converted in 57.4 percent of non-OT contests over the past month.

If you do want to take your chance on an Over play, you can't do much better than choosing games featuring Chris Rooney. The veteran referee has 24-13 O/U record in the 37 games he has officiated this season, good for a massive +10.72-unit surplus. Teams are averaging nearly 6 1/2 goals per game in Rooney's assignments.

There's quite a battle going on for the worst value team in the NHL. And while the Flyers (-15.16) own top spot entering the week, they're facing a significant challenge from the Panthers, who sit at -15.10. Four other teams are also at -10 or worse on the season: New Jersey (-10.05), Chicago (-10.22), Colorado (-10.30) and Los Angeles (-10.46).

**Udog** · 01-14-2019, 01:48 PM

Good news Leafs fans. Goaltender Frederik Andersen (groin) will return to the crease on Monday night against Colorado.
Anderson last played Dec. 22 and Toronto was 4-4 in his absence.
COL +165 TOR -185
Total: 6

Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/14

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/14

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