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Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/12

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  • Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/12

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, November 12

    Good Luck on day #316 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Top 6 picks in Week 10 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

    1) Eagles -6.5 (1,401)- L

    2) Falcons -4 (1,244)- L

    3) Seahawks +9.5 (1,078)- W

    4) Patriots -6.5 (935)- L

    5) Chargers -9.5 (919)- W

    6) Bengals +5.5 (795)- L

    Season record: 32-25-3


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

    Cowboys 27, Eagles 20— Home side has now lost nine of last 11 series games; Dallas won five of last six visits here. With seven weeks left in the season, Redskins have a 2-game lead in the NFC East. Cowboys are 4-0 when they score 20+ points, 0-5 when they don’t; they ran ball for 171 yards in first game with their new OL coach. Eagles are 0-4 as home favorites this year.

    Rams 36, Seahawks 31— About 20 Rams players/coaches had to evacuate their homes this week because of the wild fires; the team didn’t practice on Friday, but did enough here to move to 9-1. Seattle ran the ball for 273 yards; they’re only NFL team that runs the ball more than they throw it. Costly win for the Rams; looks like WR Cooper Kupp tore his ACL.

    I wasn’t going to mention this if the Rams lost, but since they won, hopefully the NFL will grade referee John Hussey very poorly for this game- he gave Seattle their third TD by throwing a flag on Rams’ DE Fowler when Fowler complained about being held after a 3rd-and-11 pass that fell incomplete. Fowler was walking away but the referee wouldn’t walk away and threw a flag that amounted to a turnover in Rams’ territory at a key point in the second half.

    Titans 34, Patriots 10— When your division rivals are three of the worst organizations in the NFL, you can afford to lay an egg now and then. Tennessee DC Dean Pees spent six years with New England— his defense was brilliant, holding Patriots to one TD and only 284 yards. New England ran ball for only 40 yards, was just 3-15 on third down.

    Right now, looks like the Patriots might be battling Pittsburgh for the #2 seed in the AFC and a first-round bye in the playoffs. Tennessee is a game behind Houston in the AFC South.

    Browns 28, Falcons 16— Rookie QB Mayfield completed his first 13 passes, finished 17 of 20 for 216 yards, as Cleveland played their best game in a long time, ending Atlanta winning streak at three. Rookie RB Chubb ran 92 yards for a Cleveland TD; Browns ran ball for 211 yards, had three TD drives of 80+ yards.

    Bills 41, Jets 10— Matt Barkley started his first NFL game in two years, got his 2nd career win (2-5) as a starter, as Buffalo crushed the Jets, outgaining them 163-1 in the first quarter. Jets now have two TD’s on their last 35 drives.

    Friends of mine who are Jets fans were clamoring for Todd Bowles to be fired during the Jets’ bye week (this week). Buffalo outgained them here 451-199, playing with a QB they signed off the street a few weeks ago.

    Saints 51, Bengals 14— New Orleans won its last eight games and they scored 40 points in the game they lost; this was a total ass-kicking, as New Orleans ran for 244 yards, threw for 265 more and led 35-7 at halftime.

    Bengals/Titans are tied for the second Wild Card spot in the AFC, but this was a discouraging game, a total no-show; Cincinnati has lost three of its last four games- good teams don’t lose this badly at home. New Orleans covered its last seven games.

    Redskins 16, Buccaneers 3— A very unusual boxscore:
    — Tampa Bay outgained the Redskins 501-286
    — Fitzpatrick threw for 406 yards, but Tampa Bay scored 3 points.
    — Bucs had ball in red zone on five different drives; they turned ball over twice, missed two FG’s and kicked a FG.
    — Tampa Bay was -4 (0-4) in turnovers, usually a recipe for disaster.
    — Washington has allowed 17 or fewer points in all six of its wins; they’re 0-3 allowing more than 20 points, but have a 2-game lead in the NFC East.

    When Dirk Koetter is applying for his next coaching job this winter, he’ll have to explain how his offense gained 501 yards but scored only three points. In their last seven games, Buccaneers are an incredibly bad minus-21 in turnovers- thats only seven games!!!

    Steelers 52, Panthers 21— Home teams are 8-2 on Thursday night games; think it is a big advantage to be at home with the short week.

    Steelers won/covered their last five games; they scored on a 75-yard pass with their first play of the game, after Carolina had taken a 7-0 lead. Panthers are two games behind New Orleans in the NFC South, but they play the Saints twice in the last seven weeks. Carolina +11 in TO’s in their wins, -5 in losses- they were -2 in this game.

    Packers 31, Dolphins 12— Miami was in red zone three times, kicked two FG’s; they didn’t score an offensive TD for second week in a row (20 drives). Dolphins lost their last four road games, by 31-10-19-19 points- they’re 3-9 vs spread in last 12 games as road underdogs. Green Bay was in red zone four times, scored four TD’s. Packers are now 19-12-2 in their last 32 games as HF.

    Colts 29, Jaguars 26— Indy scored 37-42-29 points in winning last three games, after a 1-5 start; Colts didn’t score in second half here, holding on for dear life after leading 29-13 a minute before halftime. Vinatieri missed a 52-yard FG that would’ve covered the spread with 2:53 left. Over is 5-1 in the Colts’ last six games.

    Jacksonville’s offense showed some life, but they’ve lost five games in a row, and were outscored 97-23 in the first half of those games.

    Bears 34, Lions 22— Chicago threw for 348 yards, was +3 (3-0) in turnovers; they’re 4-1 at home this year, 4-0 as HF. Bears averaged 11.2 yards per pass attempt- their defense sacked Stafford six times. Chicago kicker Parkey missed two FG’s, two PAT’s; last guy to do that (Cleveland’s K in Week 2) got cut after that game.

    Lions fired their special teams coach Monday, so they’ve got issues in their building; Detroit ran ball for only 76-66-34 yards in their last three games; they allowed 16 sacks in their last two games- maybe the OL coach should’ve been canned instead of the special teams guy.

    Chiefs 28, Cardinals 16— Since 2000, Chiefs were 23rd NFL team to be favored by 17+ points; those teams went 8-13-2 vs spread (they all won SU). KC was +2 in turnovers, won field position by 12 yards; Arizona holding them to 26 points seemed like a win for Arizona.

    Chargers 20, Raiders 6— Chargers won their last six games; they’re 5-0 outside LA, holding Oakland without a TD here. Raiders had ball on 2-yard line on their first drive after faking a punt for a first down, but they went for it on 4th down and got stuffed.

    Under Lynn, LA is 4-1-1 as road favorites, 3-0 this year- they held last five opponents under 20 points. Raiders lost last four games; they’re 3-7-1 vs spread in last 11 games as home underdogs.

    When you get to the red zone three times and score only three points, that not good.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-12-2018, 12:53 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Monday, November 12


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      VANCOUVER (10-6-0-2, 22 pts.) at NY RANGERS (8-7-0-2, 18 pts.) - 11/12/2018, 7:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      VANCOUVER is 382-365 ATS (-118.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
      NY RANGERS are 13-4 ATS (+7.5 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
      VANCOUVER is 10-8 ATS (+23.5 Units) in all games this season.
      VANCOUVER is 10-8 ATS (+23.5 Units) first half of the season this season.
      VANCOUVER is 6-3 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
      VANCOUVER is 15-9 ATS (+29.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
      NY RANGERS are 85-104 ATS (-37.4 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
      NY RANGERS are 159-153 ATS (-76.5 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
      NY RANGERS are 112-143 ATS (-97.1 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
      NY RANGERS are 141-138 ATS (-61.5 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
      NY RANGERS are 204-239 ATS (-185.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      NY RANGERS is 3-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.3 Units)

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      CHICAGO (6-8-0-3, 15 pts.) at CAROLINA (7-7-0-3, 17 pts.) - 11/12/2018, 7:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CHICAGO is 39-61 ATS (-33.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 19-37 ATS (-18.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 8-19 ATS (-12.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 360-362 ATS (-146.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
      CAROLINA is 43-56 ATS (-31.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      CAROLINA is 7-12 ATS (-6.4 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 3 seasons.
      CAROLINA is 16-23 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CAROLINA is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      CAROLINA is 3-2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      COLUMBUS (9-6-0-2, 20 pts.) at DALLAS (9-6-0-2, 20 pts.) - 11/12/2018, 8:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DALLAS is 15-2 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
      COLUMBUS is 57-35 ATS (+13.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
      COLUMBUS is 174-160 ATS (+348.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
      DALLAS is 23-34 ATS (-13.8 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      COLUMBUS is 5-0 (+6.0 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
      COLUMBUS is 5-0-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.0 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NASHVILLE (13-3-0-0, 26 pts.) at ANAHEIM (7-8-0-3, 17 pts.) - 11/12/2018, 10:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ANAHEIM is 30-17 ATS (+10.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
      ANAHEIM is 443-446 ATS (-18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
      NASHVILLE is 13-3 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
      NASHVILLE is 14-4 ATS (+8.7 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
      NASHVILLE is 13-3 ATS (+8.4 Units) first half of the season this season.
      NASHVILLE is 20-6 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      NASHVILLE is 8-4 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
      NASHVILLE is 8-4-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.5 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NHL

      Monday, November 12


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Chicago Blackhawks
      Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
      Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 13 of Chicago's last 19 games on the road
      Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
      Chicago is 3-8-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Carolina
      Carolina Hurricanes
      Carolina is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
      Carolina is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Carolina's last 12 games
      Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
      Carolina is 8-3-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Chicago


      Vancouver Canucks
      Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
      Vancouver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games
      Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vancouver's last 9 games on the road
      Vancouver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
      Vancouver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
      Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
      New York Rangers
      NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
      NY Rangers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
      NY Rangers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
      NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 8 games at home
      NY Rangers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
      NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
      NY Rangers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vancouver
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver


      Columbus Blue Jackets
      Columbus is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games
      Columbus is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Columbus is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 16 of Columbus's last 21 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games on the road
      Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
      Columbus is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Dallas
      Columbus is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Columbus's last 12 games when playing on the road against Dallas
      Dallas Stars
      Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
      Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      Dallas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
      Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
      Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Columbus
      Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Columbus
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing at home against Columbus


      Nashville Predators
      Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games
      Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Nashville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
      Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
      Nashville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
      Anaheim Ducks
      Anaheim is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
      Anaheim is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 6 games
      Anaheim is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      Anaheim is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games at home
      Anaheim is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
      Anaheim is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
      Anaheim is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-12-2018, 01:03 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Dunkel

        Monday, November 12



        Vancouver @ NY Rangers

        Game 51-52
        November 12, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Vancouver
        11.893
        NY Rangers
        10.656
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Vancouver
        by 1
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        NY Rangers
        -130
        6
        Dunkel Pick:
        Vancouver
        (+110); Over

        Chicago @ Carolina


        Game 53-54
        November 12, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Chicago
        11.077
        Carolina
        8.010
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Chicago
        by 3
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Carolina
        -160
        6
        Dunkel Pick:
        Chicago
        (+140); Over

        Columbus @ Dallas


        Game 55-56
        November 12, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Columbus
        11.942
        Dallas
        10.681
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Columbus
        by 1 1/2
        9
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Dallas
        -115
        6
        Dunkel Pick:
        Columbus
        (-105); Over

        Nashville @ Anaheim


        Game 57-58
        November 12, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Nashville
        12.639
        Anaheim
        9.435
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Nashville
        by 3
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Nashville
        -160
        5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Nashville
        (-160); Over
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-12-2018, 01:03 PM.

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