Announcement

**Udog** · 11-05-2018, 09:12 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top 6 picks in Week 9 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

1) Vikings, -4.5 (1,262)- W

2) Steelers, +3 (1,138)- W

3) Titans, +6.5 (1,093)

4) Chiefs, -8 (977)- W

5) Texans, +1 (782)- W

6) Seahawks, -2 (773)- L

Season record: 29-21-3 (10-1 last two weeks)

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Armadillo: Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

Saints 45, Rams 35— New Orleans had 18 first downs, three TD’s on its first 32 plays in this game; then they blew a 35-14 lead- wild game, but they pulled away late. Saints have won their last seven games; average total in their four home games is 67.3.

Former NFL ref Gene Steratore posted this Sunday morning:

“Through Week 8, the average number of penalties accepted per game is 13.4- that is the fewest since 2013. Despite what most may think, the refs are letting them play this season.”

Vikings 24, Lions 9— Minnesota is now 10-0 vs spread (9-1 SU) in its last nine pre-bye games; they’ve won four of last five games. Yardage in this game was just 283-209, and game was indoors. Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 21-7 as home favorites, 3-2 this year.

Vikings sacked Stafford 10 times; in its last two games, Detroit has run ball for 34-66 yards. Obviously, they’ve got some issues on the offensive line.

Chiefs 37, Browns 21— Cleveland looked better on offense with Kitchens calling plays, but Kansas City has it rolling right now- KC averaged 10.6 yards/pass attempt, had an 11-yard edge in field position. Chiefs had a 499-388 edge in yardage.

Chiefs won/covered 8 of their last 9 games; they’re 10-3 in last 13 games as road favorites. Cleveland is 6-16-1 in its last 23 games as a home dog; they lost last four games, giving up an average of 33.5 ppg.

Steelers 23, Ravens 16— One of key plays in this game was a 22-yard pass by backup QB Dobbs to Smith-Schuster when Steelers were backed up on own 5-yard line with 20-13 lead and 12:35 left to play- drive ended in a clinching FG. It was Dobbs’ only play of the game. This was just second win for Steelers in their last six visits here.

Pittsburgh converted 10-16 on third down, outgained Baltimore 395-268 in a game with no turnovers. Ravens lost their last three games, are 4-5 heading into their bye week.

Panthers 42, Buccaneers 28— Three of Carolina’s six TD’s came on drives of 42 or fewer yards; Panthers ran ball for 179 yards, are looking strong- they’re a game behind New Orleans in NFC South- teams have two meetings coming up.

In their last six games, Bucs are an astounding minus-17 in turnovers. Over is 7-1 in Tampa Bay games; hard to believe the Bucs won’t be cleaning house again when this season ends- they allowed 30+ points in five of their last six games.

Dolphins 13, Jets 6— This was an unusual boxscore:
— Jets’ offense ran 64 plays; they were outscored on those 7-6 by Miami’s defense.
— Neither team scored an offensive touchdown.
— Total yardage was 282-168, Jets- Miami had only 7 first downs.
— Teams combined to convert only five of 29 third down plays.
— There was only one play the whole game inside either team’s red zone.
— Not many team go +4 in turnovers and score only 13 points.

Bears 41, Bills 9— This was an even more unusual boxscore:
— Chicago led 28-0 at the half; their defense scored two of the TD’s.
— The other two first half TD’s came on drives of only 37-23 yards.
— Total yardage was 264-190 Bills, and they lost by 32 points.
— Bills turned ball over four times (-3); Bears had 18-yard edge in field position, and thats not counting their two defensive TD’s.
— What Buffalo has done this year is just astoundingly bad; they made the playoffs LY for first time in 19 years, but quickly traded LY’s QB and are now the worst team in the NFL.
— New England’s three AFC East rivals scored a total of 28 points Sunday.

Falcons 38, Redskins 14— Atlanta was 10-13 on third down in this game; they’ve converted 42 of last 68 third down plays- this was their first win in three outdoor games this season.

NFC East teams are 1-8 vs spread as non-divisional favorites this season. Washington leads that division with an unimpressive 5-3 record.

Texans 19, Broncos 17— Houston is first team since the 1970 New York Giants to start a season 0-3, then win their next six games. Broncos missed a 51-yard FG wide right in the last minute.

Denver lost six of its last seven games, appears headed to its first consecutive losing seasons since the mid-70’s- they’re 2-5-2 in last nine games as home favorites. Under is 4-1 in last five Houston games, 6-2 in last eight Denver games.

Chargers 25, Seahawks 17— Seattle is now 1-8 vs spread in last nine games as home favorites. Chargers won their last five games overall- they won here despite converting on only 2-9 third down plays, and missing three of four PAT’s. Bolts are now 4-0 outside Los Angeles.

Patriots 31, Packers 17— Game was tied after three quarters; Green Bay had the ball on the New England 28-yard line- they were driving. First play of the fourth quarter, Aaron Jones loses a fumble, and that ended that- Green Bay was useless the rest of the game.

New England won its last six games, is 5-0 at home (4-1 as HF)- they’re 26-12-3 vs spread in last 41 games as a home favorite.

Mike McCarthy played college football (TE) at Baker University in Kansas; his dad was a fireman and bar owner in Pittsburgh. He is 134-82-2 as an NFL head coach, but he’s had Favre/Rodgers as his starting quarterbacks during that time. Pretty good gig.

Hell, what would Jeff Fisher’s record be if he had Favre/Rodgers? Fisher went 178-171-1 as an NFL head coach, with no one near as good as Favre/Rodgers at QB.

**Udog** · 11-05-2018, 09:24 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, November 5

New Jersey @ Pittsburgh

Game 1-2
November 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Jersey
10.769
Pittsburgh
9.989
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Jersey
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-160
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Jersey
(+140); Over

Edmonton @ Washington

Game 3-4
November 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
11.933
Washington
10.394
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-155
6
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+135); Over

Montreal @ NY Islanders

Game 5-6
November 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
10.623
NY Islanders
14.360
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 3 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-115); Under

Dallas @ Boston

Game 7-8
November 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
11.518
Boston
12.469
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-155
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-155); Under

Philadelphia @ Arizona

Game 9-10
November 5, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
11.398
Arizona
10.137
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+105); Over

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, November 5

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NEW JERSEY (5-5-0-1, 11 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (6-3-0-3, 15 pts.) - 11/5/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 55-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 18-5 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 51-48 ATS (+107.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 6-3 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 6-3-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.1 Units)

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EDMONTON (8-4-0-1, 17 pts.) at WASHINGTON (5-4-0-3, 13 pts.) - 11/5/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 71-48 ATS (+4.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-4 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 30-15 ATS (+8.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 43-27 ATS (+4.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 98-66 ATS (+16.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
EDMONTON is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
WASHINGTON is 42-53 ATS (-41.2 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

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MONTREAL (7-4-0-2, 16 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (8-4-0-1, 17 pts.) - 11/5/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 36-60 ATS (-29.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 2-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 13-36 ATS (+53.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 21-12 ATS (+33.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 46-81 ATS (+138.7 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 3-3 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 3-3-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.4 Units)

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DALLAS (8-5-0-0, 16 pts.) at BOSTON (7-4-0-2, 16 pts.) - 11/5/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 17-41 ATS (+63.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 14-24 ATS (-13.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 23-32 ATS (-17.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 146-140 ATS (-55.5 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
BOSTON is 104-104 ATS (-71.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
BOSTON is 44-54 ATS (-27.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (6-7-0-1, 13 pts.) at ARIZONA (7-5-0-0, 14 pts.) - 11/5/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-12 ATS (-9.4 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 87-81 ATS (+186.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
ARIZONA is 16-37 ATS (+70.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-1 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 3-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)

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NHL

Monday, November 5

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Trend Report
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Dallas Stars
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Bruins
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

Montreal Canadiens
Montreal is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Montreal is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing NY Islanders
Montreal is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
New York Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 7 games
NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Islanders is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games at home
NY Islanders is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Montreal
NY Islanders is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Montreal

New Jersey Devils
New Jersey is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
New Jersey is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
New Jersey is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games
New Jersey is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Jersey is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 8 games on the road
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
New Jersey is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
New Jersey is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Pittsburgh is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Edmonton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Washington
Edmonton is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Capitals
Washington is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Washington is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton

Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 15 games
Philadelphia is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing Arizona
Philadelphia is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona Coyotes
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona's last 13 games
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
Arizona is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

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Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/5

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/5

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