Announcement

**Udog** · 10-15-2018, 08:24 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top 6 picks in Week 6 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

1) Steelers +2.5 (1,092)- W

2) Patriots -3.5 (1,004)- L

3) Jaguars -3 (838)- L

4) Bears -3 (799)- L

5) Colts +2.5 (773)- L

6) Falcons -3.5 (766)- W

Season record: 15-19-2

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Patriots 43, Chiefs 40— This was 37th game in NFL history where losing team scored 40+ points; three of those games have been this year. Kansas City scored 31 points in the second half and still lost. Chiefs covered seven of last 10 games as road underdogs; they’re 6-0 vs spread this season. New England scored 38-38-43 points in its last three games.

Steelers 28, Bengals 21— Marvin Lewis has coached the Bengals for 16 years; Pittsburgh is 16-2 in Cincinnati during that time (two playoff games). Antonio Brown scored the winning TD with 0:10 left on a 31-yard pass from Roethlisberger, who threw for 369 yards. Steelers are 10-6-1 vs spread in last 16 games as road dogs. Bengals play in Kansas City Sunday; they’ve lost their last five Sunday night games.

Dolphins 31, Bears 28 OT— Chicago’s three road games were decided by total of six points; Miami’s backup QB Brock Osweiler emerged from obscurity to throw for 380 yards as Dolphins survived a goal line fumble in OT to improve to 4-2. Osweiler is a surprising 4-0 in OT games; his overall career record is 14-12.

Bears turned ball over twice in the red zone, missed a 52-yard FG in OT.

Chase Daniel is the Bears’ backup QB; he’s 32 and has been in the NFL for nine years- the guy has started two NFL games, but has banked $28,304,317. He’s completed 51 of 78 passes, with one TD, one INT in his career, and he’s made $28M+. Its good to be him.

Falcons 34, Buccaneers 29— Tampa Bay outgained Atlanta 512-416 but lost its third game in a row, allowing 38 ppg. Reality for Bucs’ coach Dirk Koetter is that he’s probably going to get fired unless his team turns things around soon— the face of the franchise is a QB who was suspended three games for groping a Uber driver, and they went 2-1 while he was out. No bueno.

Here is a breakdown of Atlanta’s offense:
2 road games, both on grass fields: 22 drives, three TD’s, 14.5 ppg
4 home games, all indoors on turf: 40 drives, 17 TD’s, 34.5 ppg

Texans 20, Bills 13— Buffalo backup QB Nathan Peterman is the worst NFL QB I’ve seen since Jerry Golsteyn played for four teams from 1977-83, going 2-7 as a starter. Golsteyn threw two career TD passes, 13 INT’s, but Peterman may be worse— he threw a pick-6 in this game with 1:30 left as Texans have now won consecutive games by 3-3-7 points after an 0-3 start.

Both teams scored one offensive TD in this game, on drives of 32-29 yards. Buffalo threw for 129 yards, giving them a total of 295 PY in their last three games. Deshaun Watson got sacked seven times; if the Texans don’t improve their pass blocking, Watson won’t last much longer.

Redskins 23, Panthers 17— Since 2015, Redskins are now 16-7 vs spread coming off a loss; they had a 14-yard edge in field position in this game, converted on 7-16 3rd down plays, compared to 3-9 for Carolina. Washington allowed 9-14-17 points in its wins, 24-31 in its losses. Panthers are 3-0 at home, 0-2 on the road; they threw 40 passes, ran ball only 18 times in this game.

Rams 23, Broncos 20— Denver is first team since the ’78 Buffalo Bills to give up 270+ rushing yards in consecutive games; in today’s pass-happy era, thats terrible. This was a hard-hitting game; lot of players limped off on both sides.

On a cold day in Denver where the snow mostly stopped before the game, Rams ran the ball down the Broncos’ throats when it mattered most, on a 13-play, 72-yard drive that took 5:39 off the clock and ended with a FG that gave LA an insurmountable 23-13 lead.

Jared Goff celebrated his 24th birthday with a win, but looked uncomfortable in sub-freezing temps; Rams play in Chicago December 9.

Minnesota 27, Arizona 17— Cardinals are 3-0-1 vs spread in their last four games; they scored six TDs in last two games, but two of them are scored by their defense. Minnesota ran ball for 185 yards here and outgained Arizona, 411-269. Redbirds lost last nine visits to the Twin Cities; their last win here was in 1977, the Don Coryell era.

NFL has seven new head coaches this year; they’re a combined 12-28 so far- three of those seven teams were .500 or better LY- Tennessee was in the damn playoffs, and they fired their coach.

Chargers 38, Browns 14— Quietly, the Chargers are 4-2, with losses to Rams/Chiefs, who are a combined 11-1. Bolts ran ball for 246 yards and averaged 9.2 yds/pass attempt- they had seven plays of 20+ yards, five of them on first down.

Chargers are 2-0 outside California, winning/covering in Buffalo/Cleveland- they like Lake Erie, but coach Anthony Lynn mustn’t like kickers- Sunday he used his 7th different kicker in his 22 games as a head coach.

Jets 42, Colts 34— Gang Green scored 48-34-42 points in their two wins, 12-17-12 in their losses; Jet fans have to be fired up that they’ve scored 34+ points three times already with a rookie QB under center. Under Bowles, Jets are 17-9-1 vs spread at home.

Andrew Luck threw for 301 yards and four TD’s, but he doesn’t get much help; on their second offensive play, Indy tried a screen pass that any high school team could execute, but instead it bounced off the Colts’ receiver and the Jets had an easy pick-6 to start their day with.

Seahawks 27, Raiders 3— If I owned an NFL team and was paying my coach $100M over the next 10 years (yikes!!!), I’d expect more than the sorry performances the Raiders have been producing, especially since the last coach was 12-4 two years ago.

Seattle ran ball for 171-190-155 yards in its last three games; they’ve won three of last four games and evened their record at 3-3. Oakland is 1-6-1 vs spread in its last eight pre-bye games.

The last six NFL games in England/Mexico were won by an average of 26 points (32-6).

Cowboys 40, Jaguars 7— Jacksonville’s uniforms looked like the old Memphis Maniax from the XFL; thats not a compliment, and their play was uglier than their uniforms. In their last three games, Jaguars are minus-8 in turnover ratio- not good.

Dallas is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on the road; they scored four TD’s on 11 drives, after scoring total of three TD’s on 31 drives in previous three games. Cowboys had a 12-yard advantage in field position. Jaguars never had a snap in the Dallas red zone.

Ravens 21, Titans 0— Not often an NFL team gets 11 sacks in a game, but Baltimore did here. while Tennessee had zero sacks. Total yardage in this ugly game was 361-106; Tennessee had only seven first downs, was 1-10 on 3rd down and ran only 40 plays- Baltimore ran 72.

Only once in six games has Tennessee scored more than six points in the first half; 12-20-2 in last 34 games where spread was three or fewer points.

**Udog** · 10-15-2018, 08:29 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, October 15

Dallas @ Ottawa

Game 51-52
October 15, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
9.697
Ottawa
12.310
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-160
6
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+140); Over

Detroit @ Montreal

Game 53-54
October 15, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
11.012
Montreal
8.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
N/A

Los Angeles @ Toronto

Game 55-56
October 15, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
10.109
Toronto
13.370
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-200
6
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-200); Over

Minnesota @ Nashville

Game 57-58
October 15, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
11.971
Nashville
10.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
N/A

**Udog** · 10-15-2018, 08:30 AM

NHL

Monday, October 15

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Trend Report
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Detroit Red Wings
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 13 games
Detroit is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Detroit is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Montreal is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Montreal is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games at home
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Montreal is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit

Dallas Stars
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 9 games at home
Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Los Angeles is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games on the road
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 12 games when playing Toronto
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing Los Angeles

Minnesota Wild
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Nashville
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville Predators
Nashville is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Nashville is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Nashville's last 13 games at home
Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Nashville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

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**Udog** · 10-15-2018, 08:58 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, October 15

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DALLAS (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) at OTTAWA (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/15/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 15-29 ATS (-20.1 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 21-30 ATS (-16.8 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 52-51 ATS (+116.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 55-39 ATS (+94.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
OTTAWA is 2-11 ATS (+15.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 14-28 ATS (-16.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 101-112 ATS (-75.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
OTTAWA is 5-13 ATS (-9.8 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 165-149 ATS (-118.6 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 4-0 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 4-0-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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DETROIT (0-3-0-2, 2 pts.) at MONTREAL (2-1-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/15/2018, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 7-2 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 7-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) at TORONTO (5-1-0-0, 10 pts.) - 10/15/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 200-246 ATS (-83.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 16-29 ATS (-16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 4-13 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 69-102 ATS (-45.2 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
TORONTO is 384-398 ATS (-72.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 3-1-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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MINNESOTA (1-1-0-2, 4 pts.) at NASHVILLE (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/15/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-4 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-4-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

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Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/15

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/15

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