Announcement

**Udog** · 10-08-2018, 08:31 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top 6 picks in Week 5 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

1) Ravens, -3 (1,014)- L

2) Rams -7 (873)- L

3) Titans -3.5 (811)- L

4) Cardinals +4 (759)- W

5) Redskins +6.5 (757)

6) Broncos +1 (712)- L

Season record: 13-14-2

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

Browns 12, Ravens 9 OT— Cleveland is 2-2-1, with all five games decided by 4 or fewer points; Browns have 15 takeaways, are +7 in turnovers. There was only one TD in this game; Browns missed PAT after that one. Ravens are now 6-10-1 in last 17 games as road favorites; they’re 3-0 when scoring 26+ points, 0-2 when they don’t. Under is 4-1 in Cleveland games

Lions 31, Packers 23— Brutal day for Green Bay K Crosby, who missed four FGs and a PAT; in first half, Packers had ball five times- three missed FG’s, two fumbles. Green Bay outgained Lions 521-264, but Detroit had huge 25-yard edge in field position. Lions covered their last four games; four of their five games went over. Detroit was perfect (28 pts/4 trips) in red zzone.

Panthers 33, Giants 31— Graham Gano kicked a 63-yard FG at the gun and Carolina recovered a muffed punt in end zone for a TD as they improved to 3-1. What were odds that Odell Beckham would throw a TD pass before he caught one this year? He did both in this game. Giants scored 31 points without converting on 3rd down (0-7); they had three turnovers (-1).

Chiefs 30, Jaguars 14— Jacksonville threw 61 passes, ran ball 17 times; I’m sure Tom Coughlin loved that. Jaguars had ball in red zone five times, scored only one TD— four empty trips to red zone in one game!!! Chiefs covered nine of last 11 as a home favorite; they had five takeaways (+3), two more than they had in first four games combined. Chiefs play Patriots next week.

Bengals 27, Dolphins 17— Miami led 17-3 after third quarter; Cincy scored three TD’s in fourth quarter, two of them by defense- an 18-yard fumble return with 2:37 left covered the spread. Miami is now 10-18 in last 28 games as road underdogs. There were five TD’s in this game, one for each offense- Miami ran a punt back for a TD. Cincy’s offense is suspect without TE Eifert.

Vikings 23, Eagles 21— Game was 3-3 when a sack/fumble was run back 64 yards for a TD that put Minnesota ahead to stay; Vikings scored only one offensive TD, tried five FG’s (two missed), but they hung on for win, avenging loss in LY’s playoffs. Eagles scored TD down 20-6 with 12:05 left; for whatever reason, they went for 2, which NEVER happens, but they made it. All five Eagle games this season were decided by 6 or fewer points.

Steelers 41, Falcons 17— Roethlisberger tried really, really hard to get ball to Antonio Brown in this game; he targeted Brown 13 times, completed only six, but for 101 yards. Big Ben threw an awful INT in end zone at end of first half, but Steelers dominated second half. Falcons allowed 43-37-41 points in their last three games.

Here is a breakdown of Atlanta’s offense:
2 road games, both on grass fields: 22 drives, three TD’s
3 road games, all indoors on turf: 30 drives, 13 TD’s

Rams 33, Seahawks 31— LA receivers Cooks/Kupp were both KO’d in first half (concussions) but Rams scored 16 points in second half anyway, gaining 194 yards on 23 plays on three scoring drives on first three 2nd half drives, then killing clock for final 3:28 on last drive. Gurley scored three TD’s for Rams. Seattle ran ball for 190 yards, gave it their very best shot here. Seahawks are 8-2 vs spread in last ten games as home underdogs.

Bills 13, Titans 12— Only one TD in this game, and that was on a 47-yard drive by Bills; Buffalo has one TD on 20 drives in its last two games- when was last time an NFL team won a game with only 79 passing yards? Tennessee’s last four games were decided by total of 10 points; Titans turned ball over six times (-3) in their two losses, one time (+1) in their three wins.

Jets 34, Broncos 16— Jets ran ball for 323 yards, which doesn’t happen much in NFL games; they had TD plays of 77,76 yards in first 5:00 of second quarter. Gang Green is now 7-2-1 in last ten games as home underdogs; Denver is 7-11-2 in last 20 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Jets led 24-10 at half; they had total of 31 first half points in first four games.

Chargers 26, Raiders 10— With 1:05 left in third quarter and down 20-3, Carr threw an awful INT in end zone, ending Oakland’s day. Team that won field position won all five Raider games. Chargers averaged 11.9 yards/pass play; they won field position in last two games by 19-14 yards. Bolts are +5 in turnovers in last four games; they had 14-yard edge in field position here.

Cardinals 28, 49ers 18— Cardinals are 12-4 vs spread in last 16 NFC West road games; they’ve won last seven games vs 49ers, but these were Arizona’s four TD’s Sunday:

— Arizona’s first offensive play was a 75-yard TD pass.
— 18 yards, four plays after a 49er fumble.
— Defensive touchdown
— 26 yards, five plays after a 49er INT.

San Francisco was -5 (0-5) in turnovers; hard to win that way.

Texans 19, Cowboys 16 OT— Houston outgained Cowboys 462-292, but scored only one TD on six red zone drives. Dallas is 19-60 on third down this year; they’ve scored only seven TD’s on 49 drives, 33 points on last eight red zone drives. Cowboys are desperate for an explosive WR; other than RB Elliott (7 targets), no other Cowboy had more than four targets.

**Udog** · 10-08-2018, 08:41 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, October 8

Anaheim @ NY Islanders

Game 51-52
October 8, 2018 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
11.875
NY Islanders
10.900
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
-155
6
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
(-155); Over

Ottawa @ Boston

Game 53-54
October 8, 2018 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
10.156
Boston
11.696
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-230
6
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-230); Over

Vegas @ Buffalo

Game 55-56
October 8, 2018 @ 3:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
11.029
Buffalo
9.457
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-145
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-145); Under

Detroit @ Anaheim

Game 57-58
October 8, 2018 @ 10:05 am

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
9.330
Anaheim
12.875
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 3 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
N/A

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, October 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/8/2018, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 91-68 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 11-24 ATS (+36.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 21-37 ATS (-16.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 2-2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (1-0-0-1, 3 pts.) at BOSTON (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/8/2018, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 13-26 ATS (+40.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-7 ATS (+22.0 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 8-6 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 8-6-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VEGAS (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at BUFFALO (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/8/2018, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 66-39 ATS (+19.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 16-9 ATS (+25.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 27-12 ATS (+40.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 26-59 ATS (-48.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 10-26 ATS (+45.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 11-29 ATS (+43.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 2-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 2-0-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (0-1-0-1, 1 pts.) at ANAHEIM (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/8/2018, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 2-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NHL

Monday, October 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ottawa Senators
Ottawa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Ottawa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Ottawa is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Boston
Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Ottawa is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Ottawa is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Bruins
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Ottawa
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Boston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Ottawa

San Jose Sharks
San Jose is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
San Jose is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Jose is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
New York Islanders
NY Islanders is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
NY Islanders is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
NY Islanders is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 8 games
NY Islanders is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
NY Islanders is 8-14-1 SU in its last 23 games when playing San Jose
NY Islanders is 4-8-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose

Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Vegas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games

Detroit Red Wings
Detroit is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Detroit is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Anaheim
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Anaheim is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
Anaheim is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Anaheim is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Anaheim is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Anaheim is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Anaheim is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/8

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/8

Comment

Comment