Da Bum's 2018 NHL Picks/News/Trends/Best Bets - Thru The Stanley Cup !

[Udog]

79Ny Islanders -80 Carolina
CAROLINA is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive division games in the current season.

81Dallas -82 St Louis
ST LOUIS are 18-8 ATS (10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season in the current season.




NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, May 3

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NY ISLANDERS (52-29-0-8, 112 pts.) at CAROLINA (53-31-0-8, 114 pts.) - 5/3/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 37-17 ATS (+9.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
CAROLINA is 26-11 ATS (+12.0 Units) after a division game this season.
CAROLINA is 15-6 ATS (+8.5 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 52-37 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 22-13 ATS (+35.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 22-12 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a division game this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 12-8 ATS (+22.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 9-7-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.8 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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DALLAS (49-35-0-8, 106 pts.) at ST LOUIS (51-31-0-10, 112 pts.) - 5/3/2019, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 28-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 33-46 ATS (-22.4 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 36-19 ATS (+7.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 30-20 ATS (+2.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 18-8 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 11-7 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
DALLAS is 221-242 ATS (+514.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 9-8 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 9-8-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.2 Units)

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NHL

Friday, May 3

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Trend Report
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New York Islanders
NY Islanders is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games
NY Islanders is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Islanders is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
NY Islanders is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 7 games when playing Carolina
NY Islanders is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina
NY Islanders is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Carolina is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

Dallas Stars
Dallas is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Dallas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis Blues
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
St. Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home
St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
St. Louis is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Dallas
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas


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NHL
Dunkel

Friday, May 3


NY Islanders @ Carolina

Game 79-80
May 3, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
12.792
Carolina
11.479
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-140
5
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(+120); Over

Dallas @ St. Louis

Game 81-82
May 3, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
12.579
St. Louis
11.077
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-145
5
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+125); Over

[Udog]

NHL Stanley Cup playoffs best bets and prop predictions: Sportsbooks keep low total for Blues, Stars
Monty Andrews

The Stars and Blues series has gone 3-0-1 to the Over so far, but that hasn't deterred oddsmakers from setting the O/U for tonight's game at just 5.

The Carolina Hurricanes are in cruise control, while the New York Islanders are scrambling for answers as the teams prepare to do battle Friday night in Game 4 of their Stanley Cup second-round series in Raleigh. Big changes could be in the offing for the Isles, and it's hard to know how they'll look coming out of the gate. Meanwhile, Dallas and St. Louis are now playing a best-of-three series that continues to surprise in the goal-scoring department. Here are the top betting tips for Friday's playoff games:

NEW YORK ISLANDERS AT CAROLINA HURRICANES

Moneyline Odds: New York +120/Carolina -140
Over/Under: 5 goals
Series Price: Carolina -3334/New York +1400

Start Time: 7 p.m. ET, PNC Arena, Raleigh, N.C.

Carolina's recipe for success in the postseason has closely mirrored what the Hurricanes did so well in the regular season; namely, dominating the shot attempt game. Carolina finished with a league-best +750 shot attempts differential in 2018-19, and is sitting at +25 through the first three games of this series. And while the Hurricanes could be doing a much better job with their shot attempts (they've have 48 missed shots compared to the Islanders' 34), they're doing a sensational job of limiting New York's high-danger attempts. Look for the Hurricanes to do just enough to wrap things up at home Friday night.

Having said that, neither team looked particularly strong on offense in the first two games of the series, but did generate more chances in Carolina's 5-2 triumph in Game 3. The Hurricanes appear to have solved their offensive woes – and with Thomas Greiss a possibility in goal for the Isles despite not having played since April 4, Carolina could find itself shooting on a rusty netminder. On the other side, New York has posted a pitiful 1.6 percent shooting rate at 5-on-5 in the series, and positive regression could be in the works. The O5 is a strong option here at +100.


DALLAS STARS AT ST. LOUIS BLUES

Moneyline Odds: Dallas +120/St. Louis -140
Over/Under: 5 goals
Series Price: St. Louis -167/Dallas +125

Start Time: 9:30 p.m. ET, Enterprise Center, St. Louis, Mo.

Oddsmakers remain stubborn on the total for Game 5, despite the fact that these teams have going 3-0-1 O/U against that number through the first four games. And the teams have wasted little time getting the offense going for the majority of this series, having produced nine first-period goals in their last three meetings. The game's first goal has come inside the opening 7 1/2 minutes in every game this series, as well. Banking on the continuation of these trends could mean big profit for those taking the first goal to be scored within the first 9:30 (-120), as well as the Over on the 1.5-goal first-period total.

The team scoring first has won three of the first four games in the best-of-seven – but you could do worse than wagering on that not being the case in Game 5. St. Louis struck first Wednesday night, only to see the Stars score four consecutive goals and put the game away. It's also worth considering that, while both teams finished seventh and eighth in the league in winning percentage when scoring first during the regular season, they also had 20 victories between them when allowing the first goal, while Dallas is a -68 in shot attempts when leading during the playoffs. Consider the No on the team scoring first to win the game at +195.

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, MAY 3
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NYI at CAR 07:00 PM
NYI +119
O 5.0

DAL at STL 09:30 PM
STL -150
O 5.0

[StarDust Bum]

Hurricanes sweep Islanders with 5-2 victory in Game 4
May 3, 2019
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RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) Teuvo Teravainen scored a quick goal, and moments later, so did Greg McKegg. Just that quickly, the Carolina Hurricanes chased New York's goalie out of the game - and the Islanders right out of the playoffs.

Carolina earned a second-round sweep of the Islanders on Friday night, beating them 5-2 after Teravainen and McKegg scored 66 seconds apart in the second period.

Teravainen and Sebastian Aho each finished with a goal and an assist, captain Justin Williams and rookie star Andrei Svechnikov each added insurance goals, and goalie Curtis McElhinney made 26 saves in his second career playoff start.

The Hurricanes - who went a decade between playoff berths - earned the first four-game sweep in franchise history and have reached the Eastern Conference final in each of their last four postseason appearances since 2002. They're also unbeaten in five home playoff games.

''Imposing your will on a team and giving them doubt is the key to winning a series, whenever that may be,'' Williams said. ''We pushed and we pushed, we got a couple goals, we got a good lead, and that's how you win a series. You tell a team it's too hard for them, and it was.''

Now the Hurricanes - after winning six straight and eight of nine - have some time to heal before they face the Columbus-Boston winner.

''I don't have a favorite,'' defenseman Justin Faulk said. ''We're sitting here, we're ready for whoever we've got next.''

Mathew Barzal scored a power-play goal and Brock Nelson added a late goal for the Islanders, who managed just five goals in the series and were swept for the first time since the Rangers did it in the first round in 1994.

Coach Barry Trotz kept the identity of his starting goalie a secret until warmups - when Robin Lehner led them onto the ice for the fourth straight game in the series.

He didn't last long.

Trotz pulled him in favor of backup Thomas Greiss after the bang-bang goals by Teravainen and McKegg early in the second period.

''We just got punched in the nose, and I was looking for a spark,'' Trotz said. ''I knew that goals had been pretty hard to come by in the series. ... We just couldn't get close enough in the end.''

Teravainen put the Hurricanes ahead to stay after some slick passes from Aho and Warren Foegele set up his sixth goal of the postseason. And McKegg chased Lehner when the goalie couldn't keep hold of the rebound of Brett Pesce's shot and the Carolina rookie stuffed it in for his first playoff goal.

''Our backs were against the wall. Once again, they found a way to pop a goal on us, then they popped another one,'' captain Anders Lee said. ''You've seen in this series, these guys are relentless when they get a lead. They're relentless when they're defending. You saw it again tonight.''

Greiss wasn't much better against the high-energy Hurricanes, with Williams scoring their third goal of the period off a give-and-go from Nino Niederreiter at 8:51 and Svechnikov riling up the rowdy Caniacs with his goal with 4:47 left.

Lehner and Greiss each finished with eight saves for the Islanders. Their counterpart - McElhinney - wouldn't let them make this a game again, stopping Josh Bailey from point-blank range with about 10 1/2 minutes remaining.

With elimination looming over his team, Trotz declared this game as a Game 7 and they approached it with the urgency of one, taking full advantage of a high-sticking penalty to Svechnikov 73 seconds in. Barzal slipped behind Jaccob Slavin and poked the rebound of Devon Towes' shot past McElhinney for his second goal in three games.

From there, though, it was all Hurricanes - who got some help from an Islanders defenseman to end their lengthy power-play drought.

Carolina was 3 of 34 with the man advantage during this postseason and had no power-play goals since Game 3 of the Washington series, but when Adam Pelech accidentally shoveled the puck into his own net during a scrum in front of Lehner - for a goal credited to Aho - that dry spell was over.

NOTES: Faulk added two assists. ... Toews had two assists for New York. ... Three of the Islanders' five goals during the series came on the power play. ... Niederreiter rang the left post with a first-period backhand. ... Williams' goal was his 100th career point in the playoffs. ... Foegele tied Erik Cole's franchise record for rookies with nine points (five goals, four assists) in the postseason. ... The announced crowd of 19,495 was a PNC Arena record for hockey.

UP NEXT

The Hurricanes have some extended time to rest before the Eastern Conference final.

[StarDust Bum]

Goalie drama: Lehner out, Greiss in for Islanders
May 3, 2019
By The Associated Press

RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) New York Islanders coach Barry Trotz mulled whether to change goaltenders with his team facing elimination before deciding to stick with the reliable Robin Lehner as the starter.

By the time he made the switch, the Islanders were down two goals and on their way being swept out of the playoffs.

The Carolina Hurricanes chased Lehner with a pair of goals in 66 seconds early in the second period in Friday night's 5-2 win in Game 4 of the second-round Eastern Conference series, though the switch came more out of Trotz's desperation to find something - anything - that could extend their season a little longer.

''It was a real tough decision because in this series, goaltending really wasn't the problem,'' Trotz said of mulling the switch before the game. ''It was more the goal scoring.''

Lehner allowed three goals in 11 shots before Trotz went to Thomas Greiss. But Greiss - appearing in his first playoff game since 2016 - gave up one of his own to Justin Williams midway through the second to put the Islanders in a 4-1 hole, turning the third period into a formality in a building filled with rowdy fans breaking into multiple chants of ''Sweep! Sweep!'' over the final minutes.

Lehner and Greiss had paired to form a reliable duo all season for the Islanders, who allowed a league-low 196 goals this season and combined for a franchise-record 11 shutouts.

Lehner had a single-season franchise record .930 save percentage, good for second in the NHL, to go with a 2.13 goals-against average that ranked third in the league among qualifying goaltenders who played at least 21 games.

Lehner allowed six goals in a four-game sweep of Pittsburgh in the first round, only to find himself on the losing end of three close games to start the series with Carolina - leaving him winless in seven career games against the Hurricanes.

This time, after a 1-1 first period, the Hurricanes went ahead on a perfectly executed bang-bang-bang play that ended with Teuvo Teravainen alone on the right side for the score at 2:11.

A little more than a minute later, Greg McKegg stuffed a loose rebound under Lehner and into the net for the 3-1 lead to end the netminder's night.

''We just got punched in the nose, and I was looking for a spark,'' Trotz said, adding he was trying to find a way to ''quiet it down.''

Lehner said he felt good and expected to start despite Trotz declining to announce a starter beforehand, with Trotz saying he didn't want to give the Hurricanes a chance to prepare. But Lehner didn't resent Trotz for the decision to pull him, saying the Hurricanes ''came out flying'' in the second period and called Trotz ''the best coach in the league.''

''It's hockey, I don't take that personal,'' Lehner said. ''I think they came out really hot (in the second). I think the first period, I saw six shots, but they were all right in front of me. I felt like I made some really good saves at the beginning of the second, but they scored two pretty good goals.''

[StarDust Bum]

Spezza, Lindell score as Stars edge for 3-2 series lead
May 3, 2019
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ST. LOUIS (AP) Jason Spezza scored and Ben Bishop made 38 saves as the Dallas Stars beat the St. Louis Blues 2-1 Friday night to take a 3-2 lead int heir Western Conference semifinal series.

Esa Lindell also scored for the Stars, who can advance with a win in Game 6 at home on Sunday.

Jaden Schwartz scored and Jordan Binnington made 25 saves for the Blues, including stops on three breakaways in the first 4:08 of the second period to keep it a one-goal game at the time.

Spezza gave the Stars a 1-0 lead at 2:42 of the first, burying a one-timer from Tyler Seguin. The goal extended Spezza's points streak to three games and he's scored in the last two.

Lindell made it 2-0 with a backhand from the high slot at 6:13 of the second. It was Lindell's first goal of the postseason.

Bishop made a couple of saves during a Blues power play in the second and stopped quality chances from Brayden Schenn and Robert Thomas in the first. But Bishop's giveaway at 8:26 of the third put the puck right on Schwartz's stick, setting him up for a one-timer that pulled the Blues within one.

Bishop redeemed himself late in the third, stretching to get his pad on a point-blank chance for Oskar Sundqvist.

The Blues went 0 for 4 on the power play, giving up several quality short-handed chances to the Stars. The third power play at the end of the second was so futile that it drew hearty boos from the 18,542 at Enterprise Center.

NOTES: The Blues' defense entered the game with 26 points, third in the league behind Carolina and San Jose (27 points each). ... Stars F Mats Zuccarello snapped a career-high four-game postseason points streak. ... Blues D Alex Pietrangelo had points in four of his previous five games and is fourth on the franchise list for career points for a defenseman with 35.

UP NEXT

Game 6 is Sunday at Dallas.

[StarDust Bum]

SCHEDULE FOR SATURDAY MAY 4, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:18 PM Columbus Blue Jackets Boston Bruins TD Garden
10:08 PM Colorado Avalanche San Jose Sharks SAP Center at San Jose

SCHEDULE FOR SUNDAY MAY 5, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
3:08 PM St. Louis Blues Dallas Stars American Airlines Center
7:08 PM Carolina Hurricanes New York Islanders Barclays Center


*********************************


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

05/03/2019 1-3-0 25.00% -13.00
05/02/2019 2-2-0 50.00% +0.35
05/01/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00

Totals...............5-7-0 41.55% -13.65


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BEST BETS:


DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS

05/03/2019..............0 - 0.....................+0.00..................1 - 1..................-0.50...............-0.50
05/02/2019..............1 - 1.....................+0.85..................1 - 1..................-0.50 ..............+0.35
05/01/2019..............0 - 0.....................+0.00..................0 - 2.................-11.00.............-11.00


Totals..................... 1 - 1.....................+0.85...................2 - 4.................-12.00.............-11.15


*************************************


APRIL'S NHL BEST BETS


Totals....................10 - 12.................+3.00..................30 - 19.............+45.50...............+48.50

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday’s 6-pack

More spreads on some random NFL games this fall:

— Week 10: Seahawks @ San Francisco (-2.5)

— Week 11: Steelers @ Cleveland (-3)

— Week 12: Cowboys @ New England (-6.5)

— Week 13: Bears (-3) @ Detroit

— Week 14: Giants @ Philadelphia (-8.5)

— Week 15: Jets @ Baltimore (-6)


Tweet of the Day
“That was like a rat down a drain pipe!!!”
Golf commentator late Thursday night, after a long putt went in on the European Tour

Saturday’s quiz
Who was the Arizona Diamondbacks’ manager the year they won the World Series?

Friday’s quiz
British Columbia is the western-most province in Canada.

Thursday’s quiz
In the basketball movie Hoosiers, Gene Hackman coached at Hickory HS.

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Saturday’s List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

13) A 14-year old kid named Yang Kuang played in the European Tour event in China this week; he made the cut by a stroke, making a 15-foot putt on the last hole to finish the two days -1.

They show the kid get up and down from the bunker; he isn’t very big, but what a future he has, to be able to hold his own against pros when he is just starting high school.

12) So I’m having lunch at Denny’s Friday, and the couple in the next booth is having a fairly big argument; they’re newlyweds, and the Mrs is “stressed out”, but they can’t agree on why she is stressed out, which stresses her out even further. Neither person is happy.

This goes on for a while, then they mercifully ask for the check, take their argument elsewhere. Hopefully they have a comfortable couch in their home, seeing how the Mr figured to be sleeping there Friday night. Oy.

11) The dictionary defines “scapegoat” this way:

“a person who is blamed for the wrongdoings, mistakes, or faults of others, especially for reasons of expediency.”

Or in the case of the Washington Nationals, pitching coach Derek Lilliquist, who got told to take a hike Thursday after Washington stumbled to a 13-17 start.

Not his fault Bryce Harper signed in Philly.

10) Braves 7, Marlins 2— Last year, when Ronald Acuna was batting leadoff and hitting lot of homers, Jose Urena of Miami drilled him with the first pitch of a game and got tossed. Lot of words were exchanged since then. This game was the first time since then that Urena faced Atlanta.

Bottom of 2nd inning, Urena comes to bat and the first pitch is behind him, which wasn’t very subtle- Urena actually did a good job to avoid the pitch. Home plate ump immediately tosses Braves’ P Kevin Gausman out of the game, which didn’t go over well with the Atlanta dugout.

9) You know the home team is pretty sad when their TV people send the roving reporter out to promote the stadium’s concession stands in the 2nd inning, and during her report, there is no one else in the shot. No one. Zero. Bupkis.

Marlins’ home games are like the old joke, that if you’re an escaped convict, that would be a good place to hide out, since no one would think to look for anyone there.

8) With more strikeouts/home runs in baseball, that means fewer balls in play; does that lead to teams play worse fielders, since they’re going to get less action?

Milwaukee is playing Mike Moustakas at 2B, Travis Shaw at 3B; I’m guessing they have to have a 2B with better range than Moustakas somewhere in their system.

7) NFL and FOX agreed to fewer, but longer commercial breaks during next year’s Super Bowl. Four commercial breaks per quarter instead of five, with each running for 2.5 minutes instead of two minutes. Overall, same amount of commercials will be shown.

6) Detroit Lions’ trainer quit this week, to pursue “other opportunities”; the guy had spent 25 years in the NFL, the last five in Detroit. He was replaced by somebody from U of Michigan, who had previously spent time with the Patriots, Giants. Go figure. Matt Patricia spent a long time with the Patriots.

I may be a conspiracy theorist here, but guys don’t quit jobs like that, not when they’ve spent 25 years in the league. New head coach comes in, and after one season the trainer “quits”. It will read that he jumped ship, but the suspicion here is that he got pushed.

5) Hope for New Jersey Jets’ fans this season:

Since 2000, Jets head coaches, 1st year and then after……

2000 Al Groh First year: 9-7 Only lasted one year
2001 Herm Edwards: First year: 10-6 Rest of time: 29-35
2006: Eric Mangini: First year: 10-6 Rest of time: 13-19
2008: Rex Ryan: First year: 9-7 Rest of time: 37-43
2015: Todd Bowles: First year: 10-6 Rest of time: 14-33
2019 will be Adam Gase’s first year as Jets’ coach.

4) Cincinnati Reds scored total of nine runs in Tyler Mahle’s first six starts, which explains why they lost five of those games. Mahle is 0-4, 4.09 with a 1.30 WHIP; he hasn’t been terrible, just hasn’t gotten any support whatsoever.

3) Cubs 4, Cardinals 0– Kyle Hendricks threw an 81-pitch complete game, the fewest pitches in a complete game since Aaron Cook in 2012.

2) Giants 12, Reds 11 (11)— Cincinnati led 8-0 in 3rd inning, 11-7 in 8th inning but lost, day after splitting pair of 1-0 games in New York. Stephen Vogt went 3-3 with three runs scored for SF, in a game he didn’t enter until the fifth inning.

1) The governor of Montana signed a sports betting bill this week, the first state this year to pass a sports betting bill. Tennessee will also have sports betting soon; governors in Iowa, Indiana have similar bills on their desks.

Montana expects to have their system up for the NFL season.

[StarDust Bum]

[StarDust Bum]

1Columbus -2 Boston
COLUMBUS are 22-11 ATS (15.1 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

3Colorado -4 San Jose
COLORADO is 25-32 ATS (-16.5 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.


NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, May 4

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COLUMBUS (53-32-0-5, 111 pts.) at BOSTON (55-29-0-9, 119 pts.) - 5/4/2019, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 53-37 ATS (+4.9 Units) in all games this season.
COLUMBUS is 34-15 ATS (+14.9 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 293-247 ATS (-107.4 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-6 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-6-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.4 Units)

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COLORADO (44-33-0-14, 102 pts.) at SAN JOSE (52-32-0-9, 113 pts.) - 5/4/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 19-54 ATS (+106.3 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 230-165 ATS (-35.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 8-4 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 8-4-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.8 Units)

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NHL

Saturday, May 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Columbus is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Columbus is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Columbus's last 17 games on the road
Columbus is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing Boston
Columbus is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Columbus is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Bruins
Boston is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Boston is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games at home
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Columbus
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Columbus

Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Colorado is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 12 games on the road
Colorado is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Colorado's last 17 games when playing San Jose
Colorado is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose Sharks
San Jose is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 games
San Jose is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Jose's last 12 games
San Jose is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games at home
San Jose is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games at home
San Jose is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Jose's last 17 games when playing Colorado
San Jose is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, May 4


Columbus @ Boston

Game 1-2
May 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
13.360
Boston
11.807
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(+115); Under

Colorado @ San Jose

Game 3-4
May 4, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
11.279
San Jose
10.390
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+115); Under

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, MAY 4
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CLB at BOS 07:15 PM
BOS -130
U 5.5

COL at SJ 10:00 PM
SJ -120
O 5.5

[StarDust Bum]

Hertl scores 2 to lead Sharks past Avalanche 2-1 in Game 5
May 4, 2019
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SAN JOSE, Calif. (AP) Tomas Hertl scored his second goal of the game with 13:34 remaining in the third period and the San Jose Sharks went on to beat the Colorado Avalanche 2-1 in Game 5 on Saturday night to take a 3-2 lead in their Western Conference semifinal series.


Hertl tied the game with a power-play goal in the final minute of the second period and then delivered the go-ahead score early in the third for his first two goals of the series after recording six in the first round.


Martin Jones made 21 saves as San Jose held Colorado star Nathan MacKinnon to one shot on goal and ended his points streak at eight games.


The Sharks will look to clinch the series in Game 6 on Monday night in Colorado.


Tyson Jost scored the lone goal for the Avalanche, who were on their heels for most of the night. Philipp Grubauer made 37 saves.


Hertl was the beneficiary of sustained offensive pressure for his tiebreaking goal early in the third. Joonas Donskoi made a deft stickhandling move to get the puck to Marc-Edouard Vlasic, who put a shot on net. Hertl was parked in front and was able to knock in the rebounds to the delight of the home fans.


The cheers only grew louder at the next break in play when injured captain Joe Pavelski came out to the tunnel to wave a towel for the appreciative fans. Pavelski hadn't been seen at the Shark Tank since his bloody concussion in Game 7 of the first round against Vegas that helped spark an epic third-period rally from three goals down.


Pavelski resumed skating earlier this week and the Sharks are hopeful of getting him back on the ice if they can remain alive for a bit longer.


Jones did his best to make that possible when he preserved the one-goal lead with strong play in the net, stopping Tyson Barrie twice at point-blank range.


The Sharks came out with far more energy than they had in the Game 4 loss in Colorado, putting eight of the first nine shots on net and appearing to take a 1-0 lead on Kevin Labanc's shot from the slot. But trailing referee Tim Peel was signaling for a high stick on Timo Meier before the puck went in the net, negating the goal.


Both goalies then came up with big saves late in a physical period that featured plenty of hits and a few scrums. Jones robbed Matt Nieto on one end and Grubauer made two tough stops on the power play against Hertl.


The Sharks didn't let up in the second and were outshooting the Avalanche 27-13 just after killing back-to-back penalties only to give up the first goal of the game on an unfortunate bounce. Jones stopped J.T. Compher off the rush and Brent Burns tried to clear the rebound from in front but knocked it off Jost and into the net for a goal instead.


That sapped some energy out of the crowd that was brought back a couple of minutes later when Hertl deflected Logan Couture's shot from the top circle for a power-play goal with 19.4 seconds left. That ended a scoring drought of 100:10 for San Jose in the series.


NOTES: Donskoi returned to San Jose's lineup after missing the past five games with an undisclosed injury. Lukas Radil was scratched. ... Avalanche F Matt Calvert (upper body) was scratched for the second time in three games. Sven Andrighetto returned to the lineup. ...

[StarDust Bum]

Pastrnak, Bruins beat Blue Jackets 4-3 for 3-2 series lead
May 4, 2019
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BOSTON (AP) David Pastrnak took control of the game, and then he took over the postgame news conference from linemate and Game 5 co-star Brad Marchand.

After scoring twice, including the tiebreaking goal with 1:28 left, Pastrnak noticed that the man known as a ''Little Ball of Hate'' was getting a little salty about the questions surrounding their line's lack of production earlier in the playoffs.

''I'll take this,'' Pastrnak said with a smile, ''Marchy's a bit crispy tonight.''

One game after the Bruins' top line combined for five points, Pastrnak, Marchand and Patrice Bergeron scored three goals and totaled six points in Game 5 on Saturday night to beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-3 and give Boston a 3-2 lead in the Eastern Conference semifinal series.

Pastrnak flipped a cross-ice pass from Marchand into the goal to cap a wild third period, and Tuukka Rask stopped 33 shots for the Bruins. Marchand had a goal and two assists, and David Krejci also scored for Boston.

''They break through the other night and now they're feeling good about themselves,'' Bruins coach Bruce Cassidy said. ''They're dominant when they're on. And when they're feeling it, it's a tall task for the other team.''

Sergei Bobrovsky made 32 saves for the Blue Jackets, who need a win in Game 6 on Monday night back in Columbus to force the series back to Boston for a decisive seventh game on Wednesday.

The winner will advance to the Eastern Conference finals to face the Carolina Hurricanes, who swept the New York Islanders in their series.

''Things happen for a reason. I truly believe that,'' Blue Jackets coach John Tortorella said. ''We'll be back here for Game 7.''

Asked what gives him that confidence, he said: ''Because we will.''

When the comments were relayed to Marchand and Pastrnak, they declined to take the bait.

With Hall of Famer Bobby Orr greeting the team before the game and then watching from a box, Rask got some help from the post when Matt Duchene stretched out to try to tip the tying goal in with less than a minute remaining and Columbus goalie Sergei Bobrovsky off for an extra skater.

In all, six goals were scored in the third, four during a 3 1/2-minute span that turned Boston's 2-0 lead into a 3-3 tie.

SECOND EFFORT

The Bruins led 1-0 after one period and took a 2-0 lead early in the third when Connor Clifton's crossing pass came through the crease to Marchand and he one-timed it toward the upper right corner. Bobrovsky stretched out his glove to block it, but the effort caused him to fall forward onto the ice.

Before he could right himself Marchand had corralled the rebound and shot again at the same spot - this time finding the net.

TORTS BEING TORTS

Blue Jackets coach John Tortorella was short with his answers in the postgame news conference, cutting one reporter off by saying: ''Don't ask stupid questions right now, guys. Ask me some questions that mean something.''

After praising his players' energy, he said, ''We have to make plays, too.''

GOAL BARRAGE

With about 10 minutes left in the third, Jones flipped one toward the crease and it deflected off Matt Grzelcyk's stick and Rask's pads to sneak inside the post. It took more than three minutes to review - and no view of the puck crossing the line was shown to the TD Garden crowd - but the goal was confirmed.

Just 43 seconds later, Pastrnak wristed the puck in from the left circle to restore Boston's 2-goal lead. Fifty-one seconds after that, the Blue Jackets cut it to 3-2 on Ryan Dzingel's goal and less than two minutes after that they tied it on a slapshot from the high slot by Dean Kukan.

''I thought we bounced back well from that call. Scored then next goal. Thought we had it under control,'' Cassidy said. ''Clearly we didn't.''

NOTES: Krejci needs five more points in the postseason to reach 100 in his career. He would be the fifth Bruins player to reach the milestone. ... Bruins forward Noel Acciari was scratched with an undisclosed injury. He was a game-time decision and was replaced by Chris Wagner. ... Columbus was without Riley Nash, who also missed Game 4. ... Columbus signed third-round draft pick goalie Daniil Tarasov to a three-year, entry level contract.

UP NEXT

The Blue Jackets return home for Game 6. They are 3-1 there so far in the postseason. Boston is 3-2 on the road in the 2019 playoffs.

[StarDust Bum]

SCHEDULE FOR SUNDAY MAY 5, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
3:08 PM St. Louis Blues Dallas Stars American Airlines Center
7:08 PM Carolina Hurricanes New York Islanders Barclays Center


*****************************


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

05/04/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
05/03/2019 1-3-0 25.00% -13.00
05/02/2019 2-2-0 50.00% +0.35
05/01/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00

Totals...............7-9-0 ......43.75% -14.65


******************************


BEST BETS:


DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS

05/04/2019..............0 - 0.....................+0.00..................0 - 2.................-11.00.............-11.00
05/03/2019..............0 - 0.....................+0.00..................1 - 1..................-0.50...............-0.50
05/02/2019..............1 - 1.....................+0.85..................1 - 1..................-0.50 ..............+0.35
05/01/2019..............0 - 0.....................+0.00..................0 - 2.................-11.00.............-11.00


Totals..................... 1 - 1.....................+0.85...................2 - 6.................-23.00.............-22.15


*************************************


APRIL'S NHL BEST BETS


Totals....................10 - 12.................+3.00..................30 - 19.............+45.50...............+48.50

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Since 2001, the longest on-base streaks in MLB:

63— Orlando Cabrera

57— Barry Bonds

56— Ryan Klesko

53— Alex Rodriguez

52— Shin-Soo Choo, Kevin Millar

50— Gary Sheffield


**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

13) Rockets 126, Warriors 121 OT— Houston’s bench was +29 in 62:00; starting guards Harden/Gordon were 12-27 on the arc, combined for 71 points. Rockets were +20 on the boards.

Durant scored 46 in a losing cause; Curry was 7-23 from floor. Golden State’s bench took a total of six shots the whole game. Warriors still lead series, 2-1.

12) Portland 140, Denver 137, 4OT’s (Friday night)

— Will Barton scored 22 points for Denver; he didn’t score in the first half.
— Nikola Jokic played 65:00, the most ever by a 7-footer in a playoff game.
— Kanter played 56:00, Lillard 58:00, McCollum 60:00 for Portland.
— Portland was 24-28 on the foul line; Denver 14-20.
— Denver’s bench was -21 in 84:00; Portland’s was -2 in 75:00.
— Rodney Hood’s 3-pointer with 0:17.8 left was the game-winner.
— Game 4 is Sunday night, fairly quick turnaround in the playoffs.

11) Miami Marlins fired president of business operations Chip Bowers this week, because it is his fault that Derek Jeter is doing a cruddy job running the franchise.

No one goes to the games, because the team is dreadful; not that many people went when they had the best outfield in baseball (Jeter traded them all away).

10) Friday night in Cincinnati, Giants trailed 8-0 after three innings; from 1957 to 2018, teams trailing by exactly eight runs entering the 4th inning were 6-412.

Giants won 12-11 in 11 innings, so make that 7-412.

9) Dodgers 7, Padres 6— LA wins for second night in a row in last inning; since the start of the 2011 season, Dodgers are 101-51 against San Diego.

8) Brewers 4, Mets 3 (18)— Mets scored a run in top of 18th, then they walked three batters in row in bottom of 18th, and Ryan Braun’s 6th hit of the game sent the locals home happy.

7) Baseball stuff:
— New York put P James Paxton (knee) on the IL.
— Pirates put P Jameson Taillon (elbow) on IL.
— Nationals put OF Juan Soto (back) on IL.
— Reds cut OF Matt Kemp, ate $15.5M in salary they owe him.
— Phillies DFA’d OF Aaron Altherr.

6) From Elias: Colorado’s Tyler Anderson is the first pitcher in 100+ years to give up 5+ earned runs while pitching five or fewer innings in each of his first five starts of the season. He also got sent to AAA Saturday.

5) Good news/bad news week for Monty Williams:
Good news: He got hired this week as head coach of the Phoenix Suns.

Bad news: Phoenix Suns are owned by Robert Sarver, a meddling owner whose team has made the playoffs once in 11 years (2010) since they stupidly let Mike D’Antoni leave town.

4) Chicago Bears had eight kickers in for tryouts this week; at the end of practice, with the whole team watching, each kicker tried a 43-yard FG, the length of the FG Chicago missed in their loss to the Eagles in the playoffs in January.

The eight kickers combined to go 2-8 on their FG tries. No bueno.

3) NBA shooters get fouled on only 1.66% of their 3-point shots; James Harden gets fouled on 11.5% of his 3-point shots. Big difference.

2) Red Sox 15, White Sox 2— Boston had 10 consecutive hits in third inning, one short of the MLB record (Colorado in 2010).

1) Congrats to KL Wheat, who cleaned up big-time with the Kentucky Derby Saturday; he turned a five-figure profit for the day, which is damn impressive.