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  • Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/16

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, January 16

    Good Luck on day #16 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    SPORTS MATCHUPS

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the 2018 World Series

    9-2— Bronx Bombers

    5-1— Los Angeles Dodgers

    7-1— Cleveland Indians, Houston Astros

    8-1— Chicago Cubs

    10-1— Washington Nationals

    12-1— Boston Red Sox


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

    13) I’ve never coached football, I’m not qualified to analyze play calls or to think I know more than NFL coaches. Guess what? Neither are 99% of writers around the country who are killing the Falcons or Steelers coaches for their play calling this weekend.

    Someone texted me Sunday night: “What did you think of the Pittsburgh play calls?”

    I answered: “They didn’t work.”

    It is easy to criticize the Steelers for running a sweep on 4th and 1, but if the guy runs for a TD on that sweep, then Todd Haley is a play-calling genius.

    12) Sad day for Pittsburgh Pirate fans; Bucs traded Andrew McCutchen for P Kyle Crick, some international pool money and a prospect. The financial realities of small market teams reared their ugly head here; McCuthen will make $14.8M this year, then he’ll be a free agent.

    McCutchen is 31 and is still very productive, but with Gerrit Cole getting dealt to Houston, the Pirates are in a rebuild, and McCutchen wouldn’t re-sign with a losing team anyway, so Pirates got something for him. As an A’s fan, I know days like this suck for the team that deals its star.

    Crick allowed only 22 hits in 32.1 IP (30 games) out of the Giants’ bullpen LY.

    11) Fact that surprised me: Drew Brees is the only QB to start a Super Bowl who went to high school in Texas. That will change Sunday, since Case Keenum/Nick Foles are both from Texas.

    10) Final Four of the NFL: Tom Brady and his five Super Bowl rings, then Blake Bortles, Keenum and Foles, who before this month, were a combined 0-1 in NFL playoff games.

    9) Last four years, favorites are 7-1 vs spread in conference championship games.

    8) James Madison’s basketball team is 17-38 the last two years, 7-17 in CAA games, after they fired Matt Brady, who was 139-127 in eight years at JMU, 68-74 in CAA games.

    Why fire Brady, who was 40-25 his last two years? Are boosters that hungry for an NCAA bid? JMU had only one in Brady’s eight years, but not all change in positive.

    7) There have already been 17 teams in the college basketball top 5 this season, the 2nd-most ever in a season and it is only mid-January.

    6) Golfer Rory McIlroy caught some kind of viral infection in China a while back, and it resulted in his heart having an irregular beat. He says it isn’t a big deal, but that has to be scary. If it was my heart that had an irregular beat, I’d consider it to be a big deal.

    5) South Carolina gave football coach Will Muschamp a 6-year, $28M extension last week.

    4) Duke 83, Miami 75— Blue Devils ended game on a 30-9 run. Solid road win.

    3) Seahawks hired Ken Norton Jr as their new DC; Norton was fired by the Raiders during the season, then hooked up with the 49ers couple weeks ago, but Seattle gave him a coordinator’s job, so he is off to the Seahawks.

    2) Colleges have to end this trend of court storming after big wins, before something terrible happens. You never know if a fan is drunk or just a jerk and says something or instigates a player and the player hauls off and starts a melee.

    Few years ago in a high school game out west, I think in Arizona, kids stormed the court after a game and one of the star players wound up getting knocked down and broke a bone in his neck, which ended his playing career.

    1) Kansas 71, West Virginia 66— Jayhawks trailed by 12 with 8:54 left, rallied for an impressive road win; Mountaineers were only 5-27 on arc. Kansas only turned ball over 13 times- hard for West Virginia to score when they don’t create turnovers.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-16-2018, 12:14 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Tuesday, January 16


      Rangers won six of last seven games with Philly; under is 4-2-2 in last eight series games. Flyers split their last four games in Manhattan. Flyers won their last four games overall; they’re 2-3 in last five road games. Five of their last six games went over total. Rangers were outscored 14-5 in losing their last three games; they’ve lost three of last four home games. Six of their last nine games stayed under total.

      Islanders won seven of last eight games with New Jersey; three of last four series games went over total. Devils lost their last five visits to Brooklyn. New Jersey was outscored 26-17 in losing its last six games; they lost last four road games. Five of last six Devil games went over the total. Islanders won their last three games, scoring 17 goals; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Islanders won three of last five home games.

      Blues won seven of last nine games with Toronto; they’re 3-1 in last four games in this building. Over is 4-2-3 in last nine series games. St Louis lost its last three games, outscored 17-10; they lost four of last five road games. Blues’ last three games went over total. Maple Leafs lost five of their last seven games; they’re 2-3 in last five home games. Four of last five Toronto games went over the total.

      Detroit is 5-3 in its last eight games with Dallas; six of last nine series games went over. Dallas Stars split last four games in the Motor City. Dallas won five of its last seven games; they’re 1-3 in their last four road games. Six of their last nine games went over the total. Red Wings won five of their last seven games overall, three of last four at home. Seven of their last nine games stayed under the total.

      Las Vegas won both its games with Nashville, 3-0/4-3so, winning in the shootout here Dec 8. Knights won eight of last ten games overall, three of last four on road. Seven of their last nine games stayed under the total. Nashville is 4-3 in its last seven games; they split last four home games. Four of their last five games stayed under the total.

      Sharks won their last three games with Arizona; four of last six series games went OT/SO. Sharks won 4-1/3-1 in their last two visits to Arizona. Under is 7-1-2 in last ten series games. San Jose lost four of its last six road games; they’re 6-4 in last ten games overall. Six of their last nine games stayed under total. Coyotes lost five of their last six games; they’re 2-5 in last seven home games. Four of their last six games went over total.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL

        Tuesday, January 16


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
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        NEW JERSEY @ NY ISLANDERS
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Jersey's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
        NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey
        NY Islanders is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing New Jersey

        PHILADELPHIA @ NY RANGERS
        Philadelphia is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
        Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
        NY Rangers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
        NY Rangers is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

        ST. LOUIS @ TORONTO
        St. Louis is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto
        St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games

        DALLAS @ DETROIT
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
        Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
        Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games

        LAS VEGAS @ NASHVILLE
        Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Las Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games
        Nashville is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home

        SAN JOSE @ ARIZONA
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
        San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose
        Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Jose


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-16-2018, 12:31 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Dunkel

          Tuesday, January 16



          Philadelphia @ NY Rangers

          Game 1-2
          January 16, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Philadelphia
          11.512
          NY Rangers
          12.448
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          NY Rangers
          by 1
          7
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          NY Rangers
          -120
          6
          Dunkel Pick:
          NY Rangers
          (-120); Over

          New Jersey @ NY Islanders


          Game 3-4
          January 16, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          New Jersey
          10.213
          NY Islanders
          11.402
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          NY Islanders
          by 1
          7
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          NY Islanders
          -110
          6
          Dunkel Pick:
          NY Islanders
          (-110); Over

          St. Louis @ Toronto


          Game 5-6
          January 16, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          St. Louis
          11.737
          Toronto
          10.813
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          St. Louis
          by 1
          3
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Toronto
          -145
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          St. Louis
          (+125); Under

          Dallas @ Detroit


          Game 7-8
          January 16, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Dallas
          10.504
          Detroit
          12.013
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Detroit
          by 1 1/2
          5
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Dallas
          -125
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Detroit
          (+105); Under

          Vegas @ Nashville


          Game 9-10
          January 16, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Vegas
          11.415
          Nashville
          12.502
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Nashville
          by 1
          7
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Nashville
          -130
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Nashville
          (-130); Over

          San Jose @ Arizona


          Game 11-12
          January 16, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          San Jose
          12.109
          Arizona
          10.225
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          San Jose
          by 2
          6
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          San Jose
          -145
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          San Jose
          (-145); Over
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-16-2018, 12:32 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NHL
            Long Sheet

            Tuesday, January 16


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PHILADELPHIA (20-15-0-8, 48 pts.) at NY RANGERS (22-17-0-5, 49 pts.) - 1/16/2018, 7:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PHILADELPHIA is 249-261 ATS (-91.1 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
            NY RANGERS are 78-95 ATS (-35.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
            NY RANGERS are 1-7 ATS (-9.7 Units) in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
            NY RANGERS are 12-17 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            NY RANGERS are 63-73 ATS (-47.9 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
            NY RANGERS are 144-138 ATS (-62.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
            NY RANGERS are 9-16 ATS (-13.7 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
            NY RANGERS are 106-138 ATS (-104.6 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NY RANGERS is 6-3 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            NY RANGERS is 6-3-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NEW JERSEY (22-12-0-8, 52 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (23-18-0-4, 50 pts.) - 1/16/2018, 7:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NEW JERSEY is 14-35 ATS (+60.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW JERSEY is 2-14 ATS (+24.2 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
            NY ISLANDERS are 25-11 ATS (+13.4 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
            NY ISLANDERS are 7-17 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NY ISLANDERS is 7-2 (+4.6 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
            NY ISLANDERS is 7-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ST LOUIS (26-17-0-3, 55 pts.) at TORONTO (25-17-0-3, 53 pts.) - 1/16/2018, 7:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            ST LOUIS is 174-169 ATS (+360.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
            ST LOUIS is 21-13 ATS (+34.5 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            ST LOUIS is 17-6 ATS (+23.2 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
            ST LOUIS is 113-94 ATS (+208.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
            ST LOUIS is 17-10 ATS (+27.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
            ST LOUIS is 13-4 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
            ST LOUIS is 34-28 ATS (+67.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
            ST LOUIS is 10-6 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            TORONTO is 24-36 ATS (+61.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
            TORONTO is 49-63 ATS (-39.9 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.
            TORONTO is 32-42 ATS (-29.1 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
            TORONTO is 3-11 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            ST LOUIS is 3-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DALLAS (25-17-0-3, 53 pts.) at DETROIT (18-18-0-7, 43 pts.) - 1/16/2018, 7:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            DALLAS is 11-30 ATS (+42.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
            DALLAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
            DETROIT is 114-134 ATS (-112.1 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
            DETROIT is 12-22 ATS (-17.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DALLAS is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
            DALLAS is 3-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            VEGAS (29-10-0-3, 61 pts.) at NASHVILLE (25-11-0-6, 56 pts.) - 1/16/2018, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NASHVILLE is 252-204 ATS (+475.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
            NASHVILLE is 49-30 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
            NASHVILLE is 27-16 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            VEGAS is 29-13 ATS (+43.5 Units) in all games this season.
            VEGAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a division game this season.
            VEGAS is 14-6 ATS (+20.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            VEGAS is 2-0 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
            VEGAS is 2-0-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            SAN JOSE (23-13-0-6, 52 pts.) at ARIZONA (10-28-0-7, 27 pts.) - 1/16/2018, 9:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            SAN JOSE is 411-326 ATS (-116.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
            SAN JOSE is 202-163 ATS (-72.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
            SAN JOSE is 18-5 ATS (+11.4 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
            SAN JOSE is 155-112 ATS (+27.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
            ARIZONA is 10-35 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
            ARIZONA is 4-12 ATS (+21.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
            ARIZONA is 1-11 ATS (+17.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
            ARIZONA is 8-25 ATS (+38.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
            ARIZONA is 26-68 ATS (+128.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SAN JOSE is 8-4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
            9 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.6 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-16-2018, 12:33 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NHL

              Tuesday, January 16


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              NHL Game of the Day: Golden Knights at Predators betting preview and odds
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators (A: +110, H: -130, T: 6)

              The Nashville Predators emerged as the best team in the West a year ago by advancing to the Stanley Cup Final, but they will try to avert a season sweep against the top team in the conference when they return from their league-mandated break. The expansion Golden Knights look to beat the Predators for the third straight time when they visit Nashville on Tuesday night.

              Vegas, the feel-good story of the NHL in its inaugural campaign, returned from its own bye week with a 2-1 overtime home loss to Edmonton on Saturday night. "We weren't sharp. We didn't play our typical game," coach Gerard Gallant said, attributing the team's third setback in 17 games (14-1-2) to the layoff. "The first game is tough to come back, but it will be good for us down the road." Nashville had lost six of eight (2-4-2) before winning its final two before the break, closing out a six-game road trip with a 4-3 win at Los Angeles and edging Edmonton 2-1. The Predators, who dropped a 4-3 decision in a shootout at home to the Golden Knights on Dec. 8 and were blanked at Vegas 3-0 on Jan. 2, have a potential major injury concern when forward Viktor Arvidsson had to be assisted off the ice at Monday's practice.

              TV:
              8 p.m. ET, Sportsnet, AT&T SportsNet-Rocky Mountain (Vegas), FS Tennessee (Nashville)

              LINE HISTORY:
              Nashville opened the betting as -140 moneyline favorites but, as is usually the case, money coming in on the Knights has brought that number down slightly to -130. The total hit betting boards at 5.5 and has been bumped to 6.

              GOALIE SHOWDOWN:


              Marc-Andre Fleury (VGK) vs. Pekka Rinne (NAS)

              GP W L OTL GAA SAVE % SO

              Marc-Andre Fleury
              13 9 2 2 1.83 .942 2

              Pekka Rinne
              32 21 8 3 2.43 .925 3

              INJURY REPORT:


              Golden Knights - C Cody Eakin (Questionable, Undisclosed), LW James Neal (Questionable, Illness), D Jon Merrill (Out Indefinitely, Lower Body), D Luca Sbisa (Early March, Hand), G Oscar Dansk (Out Indefinitely, Lower Body), D Clayton Stoner (Out Indefinitely, Abdominal).

              Predators - LW Viktor Arvidsson (Questionable, Lower Body), LW Filip Forsberg (Mid Feb, Upper Body).

              ABOUT THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS (29-10-3, 23-17 O/U):
              Vegas has converted on only 1 of 23 chances on the power play over the past nine games, but it has killed off 23 straight short-handed situations since yielding a pair of man-advantage tallies on Dec. 19. “When your PK is good, it starts with goaltending,” Gallant said. “We talk about special teams a lot. They can win you a lot of hockey games.” James Neal, left unprotected by the Predators in the expansion draft, has 18 goals and tallied at Nashville on Dec. 8.

              ABOUT THE PREDATORS (25-11-6, 21-21 O/U):
              Leading scorer Filip Forsberg, expected to be sidelined four to six weeks after suffering a reported fractured hand on Dec. 29, resumed skating on his own Monday. However, that news was overshadowed after Arvidsson, the third-leading scorer, exited Monday's practice and appeared unable to put weight on one leg. Arvidsson, who had a breakout season with 31 goals in 2016-17, has 13 goals and 27 points in 41 games, including a goal and an assist in the loss to the Golden Knights last month.

              TRENDS:


              * Golden Knights are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
              * Predators are 36-15 in their last 51 home games.
              * Under is 5-1 in Golden Knights' last 6 vs. Western Conference.
              * Under is 5-1 in Predators' last 6 vs. Pacific.

              CONSENSUS:
              The public is siding with the home favorite Predators at a rate of 60 percent and the Over is getting 58 of the totals action.


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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