Announcement

**Udog** · 12-11-2017, 09:21 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top 6 picks in Week 14 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) San Francisco 49ers +3 (572)- W

5) Baltimore Ravens +5 (583)- W

4) Green Bay Packers -3 (619)- W

3) Seattle Seahawks +2.5 (700)- L

2) Minnesota Vikings, -2.5 (757)- L

1) Philadelphia Eagles, +2 (782)- W

Record of top 6 picks each week: 42-42

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 14: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Steelers 39, Ravens 38— Roethlisberger is now first NFL QB with three 500+-yard passing games; Steelers converted 12-18 on 3rd down, overcame 31-20 deficit in 4th quarter, kicking GW FG with 0:42 left. Pitt won its last eight games; five of their last six wins were by 5 or less points. Ravens are +20 in turnovers in their wins, -7 in losses. Antonio Brown caught 11 balls for 213 yards for the Steelers, who host New England next week.

Steelers led this game 14-0 early; in their history, Pittsburgh is 216-0-2 at home when they lead by 14+ points in the first half.

Eagles 43, Rams 35— Both teams lost here; Rams lost the game, Eagles fear they lost QB Wentz with a torn ACL. Backup QB Foles led three drives for Eagles; two of them ended in FG’s, but he is no Wentz. Philly led 21-7 early, but LA blocked a punt for a TD to take a 28-24 lead. Rams are only 11 of last 43 on 3rd down; they lost both starting CB’s to injury.

Pet Peeve Department: This was a really good game between two really good teams; there were 130 plays in this game, plus 15 kickoffs— can you imagine the amount of trash talking going on, in a game with over 67,000 fans, many of whom were Eagle fans?

Yet only one taunting penalty was called the whole game, a huge penalty on Rams’ CB Trumaine Johnson after an incomplete pass on a 3rd-and-10 with 5:56 left in third quarter, that turned an Eagles’ FG attempt into an Eagles’ TD. You call a taunting penalty in that spot, you’re determining who wins the game.

Panthers 31, Vikings 24— Cam Newton threw an INT on a tipped ball with 4:36 left that gave Minnesota great field position for tying FG, but then he led Carolina 75 yards on five plays for the game-winning TD with 1:47 left, snapping Minnesota’s 8-game win streak. In their last five games, Minnesota is 34-66 (51.5%) on 3rd down, their opponents 17-61 (27.9%). Panthers won five of last six games, are tied with Saints for first place in NFC South.

Jaguars 30, Seahawks 24— Game was 3-0 at the half; if you bet the under, yikes. Seattle scored three TD’s in this game, on drives of 2-1-2 plays, on plays of 26-61-74 yards, but Wilson threw three INTs and Jaguars had TD drives of 42-1-75 yards, and averaged 9.9 yards/pass attempt.

With three games left, Jacksonville leads AFC South by a game; Seattle trails the Rams by a game in NFC West, but they host LA this coming week.

Bills 13, Colts 7 OT— Game was played during a blizzard; as much as a foot of snow fell during the game. Carts couldn’t come on the field to take injured players off the field, because they’d get stuck in the snow. Colts tied game with 1:16 left, but then Buffalo scored on a 21-yard run by McCoy to improve to 7-6. Buffalo somehow converted 10-18 on 3rd down, with 3rd-string QB Webb playing second half after rookie starter Peterman got hurt.

Cardinals 12, Titans 7— Arizona won without scoring a TD; NFL teams are 5-26 this season when they don’t score an offensive TD- in three of other four wins, the losing team didn’t score an offensive TD either, making that stat effectively 2-23.

Tennessee was -2 in turnovers; this week, teams that were -2 or worse in turnovers are 2-9. Titans are game behind Jacksonville in AFC South but are still in Wild Card race too.

Lions 24, Buccaneers 21— Matthew Stafford is making around $28M a year now, so when you make $28M and you hurt your hand, you play anyway, and you go 36-44/381 passing, and lead the team to the game-winning FG with 0:20 left.

This was an ugly game; Bucs turned ball over five times. Detroit three, but there are no ugly wins and the Lions are now 7-6 and have life in the Wild Card chase.

Packers 27, Browns 21 OT— Cleveland led 21-7 after three quarters; Packers tied game with 0:17 left, then won it in OT and are now 7-6, with Rodgers expected at QB in next week or two. Last three weeks, Green Bay opponents converted 24 of 42 third down plays.

Browns are now 3-10 vs spread; if you bet Cleveland +3, this was a brutal beat, but if you bet on the Browns +3, you deserve a brutal beat or two. Don’t wager on terrible teams.

Chiefs 26, Raiders 15— KC and Chargers are now tied atop AFC West after this surprisingly easy win by the Chiefs over their longtime rivals, just their second win in last eight games overall.

Dismal effort by the Raiders, who ran the ball only 11 times, threw it 41- they were outgained 408-268.

Chargers 30, Redskins 13— Washington went 3/out on five of 11 drives; they were outgunned 488-201. This is a small point, but with 2:34 left in game, Jay Gruden committed coaching malpractice- here’s how:

Chargers led 30-6 in last 3:00, but Redskins scored on a pick-6 to make it 30-12 with 2:34 left. This is a about a 1,000-1 shot, but if Washington gets a 2-point conversion, then it is 30-14 and a two-score game. You try the onside kick and who knows?

To me it is inexcusable not to at least TRY the 2-point conversion; it is called giving up.

Bears 33, Bengals 7— Cincy had a hangover from blowing a 17-0 lead to their rival Steelers Monday night; Chicago outgained them 482-234 with a rookie QB playing on the road. Since 2005, Cincy is 5-10-1 vs spread in game the week following a loss to Pittsburgh.

Cowboys 30, Giants 10— Game was tied 10-10 with 8:00 left, but then Dallas scored three TD’s in a 4:41 span to win going away. Giants scored TD/FG on their first three drives, but for rest of the game, they ran 48 plays for 176 yards, as they dropped to 1-5 at home.

49ers 26, Texans 16— Houston QB Savage got knocked goofy, 3rd-stringer TJ Yates finished up for Texan squad that lost six of its last seven games. 49ers won three of last four games after a 0-9 start; Garoppolo is now 4-0 as an NFL starter.

Broncos 23, Jets 0— Denver snaps an 8-game skid by blanking Jets squad that lost QB McCown to injury; Gang Green didn’t any plays longer than 14 yards, was held to 100 total yards for the game. Jets are 1-5 on the road and the only win was in Cleveland.

**Udog** · 12-11-2017, 09:52 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, December 11

Dallas @ NY Rangers

Game 51-52
December 11, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
11.544
NY Rangers
12.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Rangers
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
N/A

Colorado @ Pittsburgh

Game 53-54
December 11, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
10.223
Pittsburgh
12.314
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
N/A

Washington @ NY Islanders

Game 55-56
December 11, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
12.102
NY Islanders
10.769
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+100); Under

Florida @ Detroit

Game 57-58
December 11, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
11.643
Detroit
10.505
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+105); Over

Vancouver @ Winnipeg

Game 59-60
December 11, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
9.866
Winnipeg
12.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-180
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-180); Over

Carolina @ Anaheim

Game 61-62
December 11, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
10.213
Anaheim
11.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
-110
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
(-110); Under

**Udog** · 12-11-2017, 09:54 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, December 11

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DALLAS (16-13-0-1, 33 pts.) at NY RANGERS (16-11-0-2, 34 pts.) - 12/11/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 10-27 ATS (+38.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-34 ATS (+51.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 26-11 ATS (+12.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 40-20 ATS (+15.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-1 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 154-149 ATS (-77.8 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 39-52 ATS (-38.6 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 122-121 ATS (-72.4 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 138-135 ATS (-82.6 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 198-229 ATS (-178.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 3-1 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 3-1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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COLORADO (13-13-0-2, 28 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (16-12-0-3, 35 pts.) - 12/11/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

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WASHINGTON (18-11-0-1, 37 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (16-10-0-3, 35 pts.) - 12/11/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 30-17 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 142-77 ATS (+19.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 15-4 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-6 ATS (+10.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 38-20 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 31-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 81-120 ATS (-48.8 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-4-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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FLORIDA (11-14-0-4, 26 pts.) at DETROIT (11-13-0-5, 27 pts.) - 12/11/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 46-65 ATS (-25.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 27-40 ATS (-14.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 1-9 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
FLORIDA is 1-9 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 28-18 ATS (+47.5 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-23 ATS (+36.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-23 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 11-29 ATS (-18.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 2-9 ATS (+12.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
DETROIT is 10-17 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-20 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 5-4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

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VANCOUVER (14-12-0-4, 32 pts.) at WINNIPEG (17-8-0-5, 39 pts.) - 12/11/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 42-34 ATS (+5.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 112-100 ATS (+222.7 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 196-214 ATS (+475.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-1 (+4.7 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 6-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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CAROLINA (11-10-0-7, 29 pts.) at ANAHEIM (12-11-0-7, 31 pts.) - 12/11/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 47-63 ATS (+110.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 10-26 ATS (+42.4 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 4-10 ATS (-7.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CAROLINA is 66-128 ATS (+221.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 4-1 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 4-1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-11-2017, 09:55 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 11

Rangers won three of last four games with Dallas; road team is 7-3 in last ten series games. Stars won three of last five visits to Manhattan. Dallas Stars lost their last three games, outscored 13-5; three of their last four games went over the total. Dallas won three of its last four road games. Rangers won seven of last nine games overall- they’re 9-1 in last ten home games- over is 5-0-1 in their las six games.

Washington is 6-4 in its last 10 games with the Islanders; over is 3-1 in last four series games. Capitals won three of last five visits to Brooklyn. Washington won four in row, seven of last eight games; they won their last four home games. Five of their last six games went over the total. Islanders lost their last three games, outscored 13-6; they’re 4-2 in last six home games. Over is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games.

Penguins won seven of last ten games with Colorado; three of last four series games went over total. Avalanche are are 2-3 in their last five visits to Steel City. Colorado lost six of last eight games overall, 2-5 in last seven road games- their last four games went over the total. Pittsburgh won five of its last seven games overall; they’re 4-2 in last six home games. Over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

Florida is 6-4 in its last ten games with Detroit, but Red Wings won last two, in SO’s. Panthers won three of last four visits to the Motor City. Florida lost four of its last five games overall; they’re 4-6 in last ten road games. Panthers’ last three games went over the total. Detroit lost eight of its last nine games; they’ve lost six of last seven home games. Seven of Red Wings’ last nine games went over total.

Jets won seven of last eight games with Vancouver; last three series games played here stayed under total. Canucks lost their last four visits to Manitoba. Vancouver is 3-5 in its last eight games overall, 1-4 in last five road games. Three of their last four games stayed under total. Winnipeg lost its last three games, outscored 15-8, but they won their last six home games. Four of Jets’ last five games went over total.

Ducks won eight of last ten games with Carolina; over is 6-1-1 in last eight series games. Hurricanes lost three of last four games in the Pond. Anaheim lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 1-3 in last four home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Carolina lost seven of its last nine games; three of their last four games stayed under Hurricanes lost their last five road games.

**Udog** · 12-11-2017, 09:57 AM

NHL

Monday, December 11

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Trend Report
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DALLAS @ NY RANGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games on the road
NY Rangers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games

WASHINGTON @ NY ISLANDERS
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Islanders's last 9 games at home
NY Islanders is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington

COLORADO @ PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games

FLORIDA @ DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida's last 9 games on the road
Florida is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games

VANCOUVER @ WINNIPEG
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Vancouver

CAROLINA @ ANAHEIM
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
Anaheim is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina

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Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/11

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/11

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