Announcement

**Udog** · 12-04-2017, 09:12 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks for Week 13 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) Pittsburgh Steelers -5 (534)

5) New England Patriots -8.5 (605)- W

4) Minnesota Vikings +3 (744)- W

3) New Orleans Saints -4 (829)- W

2) Seattle Seahawks +6 (880)- W

1) Green Bay Packers +1.5 (1,016)- W

Season record of top 6 picks: 37-40

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Saints 31, Panthers 21— New Orleans won its 9th game in last 10 tries, sweeping season series with Panthers; they lead NFC South by a game over Carolina, two over Atlanta- they play Falcons two of next three weeks. Saints scored 30+ points in four of last five games. Carolina ran ball for only 112 yards, after running it for 213 yards/week in previous three games.

Ravens 44, Lions 20— Baltimore is 3-0 since its bye, winning by 23-7-24 points; five of their seven wins are vs backup-type QB’s, but they also KO’d Stafford here with a hand injury. Ravens are now +20 in turnovers in their seven wins, -6 in their five losses. Detroit has run ball for only 65.3 ypg the last three weeks- they’re two games out of the playoff picture now.

49ers 15, Bears 14— Niners’ kicker Robbie Gould is the Bears’ all-time leading scoring leader; he kicked five FG’s here to beat Chicago on an oddly-warm December day in the Windy City. QB Garoppolo wins his first 49ers start; he is 3-0 as an NFL starting QB. Tarik Cohen ran a punt back for a TD for Chicago, a great highlight-film type run. 49ers were one of four teams Sunday not to score an offensive TD; other three lost, by 20-5-36 points.

Vikings 14, Falcons 9— Minnesota won its last eight games, covered last seven; Case Keenum might be MVP of the freakin’ league. Vikings have another tough road game next week, agains the Panthers in Charlotte. Falcons were held to 17 or less points in their five losses- they scored 23+ in all their wins- they scored 27-34-34 points in last three games before this one.

Patriots 23, Bills 3— New England won its last eight games, covered last six; Patriots’ opponents started their last 102 drives in their own territory, the longest-such streak in over a decade. Pats have started 15 drives in enemy territory this season. Tyrod Taylor got hurt late in this game, which means Nathan Peterman probably gets another start against Indy at home next week.

Dolphins 35, Broncos 9— Denver’s offense is so pathetic, they were outscored 9-0 by the Miami defense in this game. Broncos have now lost eight games in a row (0-8 vs spread); they’ve lost field position battle by 11+ yards in five of their last six games, which is really bad. As bad a QB as Geno Smith is, he’s head and shoulders above any of Denver’s QB’s. Broncos are 0-6 on the road, 0-4 as a road underdog. I can picture Eli Manning playing there next season.

Titans 24, Texans 13— Tennessee has won six of its last seven games; they were headed for yet another tight win, leading 17-13 when they stopped Houston in their territory with 1:08 left, but then Derrick Henry broke free for a 75-yard TD with 0:46 left to give Titan backers the cover. Texans are now 1-5 in Savage starts, though Savage did pass for 365 yards in this game.

Jaguars 30, Colts 10— Indy lost six of last seven games; they’re 2-4 as road underdogs, with road losses by 37-28-1-14-20 points, with win at Watson-less Houston. Jaguars were 9-15 on third down in this game, after being 12-50 in their previous three games. Colts lost six of their last seven games; hard to believe they won’t have a new coach next season.

Packers 26, Buccaneers 20— Packers’ RB Aaron Jones ran 20 yards for a walk-off TD in OT, on his first carry of the game. Tampa lost seven of its last eight games; teams really aren’t going to want to do Hard Knocks anymore- Jeff Fisher got fired last year, Bucs are 4-8 this year after their coach/GM did lot of talking this summer about how great Tampa Bay’s talent is. Packers are back at .500 and play Cleveland this week; they’re not dead yet.

Jets 38, Chiefs 31— Kansas City started season 5-0, is now in a 3-way tie atop AFC West at 6-6. Alex Smith threw for 366 yards, four TD’s in a losing cause- not often an NFL team averages over 10 yards per play and loses. Andy Reid gave up play-calling duties for this game, and that helped, but it didn’t help KC’s defense. Chiefs led this game 14-0 after 4:24, but lost in Swamp Stadium for second time in three weeks.

Chargers 19, Browns 10— Josh Gordon caught four balls for 85 yards in his first NFL game in three years, but UNTIL CLEVELAND DRAFTS A QB, they’re still going to be dreadful. Chargers have now won six of their last seven games and are tied for first place with four games left. Bolts are 28-43 on third down in their last three games.

Rams 32, Cardinals 16— Rams’ MLB/defensive QB Alex Ogletree had a pick-6 early in this game, then left game with hyperextended elbow— he didn’t play in second half. Rams’ 16-0 lead had shrunk to 16-13 late in 2nd quarter, but as usual, LA played really well in second half and won going away. Todd Gurley had 158 all-purpose yards and the special teams were terrific.

Raiders 24, Giants 17— Giants made a 52-yard FG with 1:38 left for the backdoor cover; if you wagered on the Giants here, good for you, but it was their first game since 2004 that someone other than Eli Manning started at QB. Have to keep in mind that Raiders played without their top two WR’s (Cooper/Crabtree). Three of Oakland’s last four games are on road, including games at Chiefs/Chargers- they’re tied for first place with both of them.

Seahawks 24, Eagles 10— Win puts Seattle back in playoff picture; they were outgained 425-310 in this game, but Wentz’s fumble near goal line was fatal blow for Eagles here. Philly has 4-game lead in NFC East with four weeks left, so not lot of urgency for them, other than home field/bye in playoffs. This loss snapped 9-game winning streak for Iggles. Seattle was 6-12 on 3rd down in this game, breaking a recent trend of Philly’s defense dominating on third down.

**Udog** · 12-04-2017, 10:12 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, December 4

San Jose @ Washington

Game 1-2
December 4, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
12.133
Washington
11.208
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(+115); Under

NY Islanders @ Florida

Game 3-4
December 4, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
12.763
Florida
10.632
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
-110
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-110); Over

Boston @ Nashville

Game 5-6
December 4, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
10.897
Nashville
11.776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(-135); Under

Philadelphia @ Calgary

Game 7-8
December 4, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
9.433
Calgary
11.908
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-155
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-155); Over

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, December 4

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SAN JOSE (14-9-0-2, 30 pts.) at WASHINGTON (15-11-0-1, 31 pts.) - 12/4/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 2-8 ATS (-7.3 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 94-64 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 208-173 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 122-93 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 210-215 ATS (+463.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 193-144 ATS (+31.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 182-217 ATS (-78.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 38-50 ATS (-41.1 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 4-0 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 4-0-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (15-8-0-2, 32 pts.) at FLORIDA (10-13-0-3, 23 pts.) - 12/4/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 7-1 ATS (+5.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
FLORIDA is 45-63 ATS (-38.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 9-17 ATS (-9.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 6-6-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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BOSTON (12-8-0-4, 28 pts.) at NASHVILLE (16-7-0-3, 35 pts.) - 12/4/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 25-31 ATS (-21.3 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 21-30 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 248-201 ATS (+36.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 30-18 ATS (+48.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 42-27 ATS (+69.9 Units) in road games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 3-2-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.1 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (8-11-0-7, 23 pts.) at CALGARY (14-11-0-1, 29 pts.) - 12/4/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-18 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-18 ATS (-11.7 Units) first half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-13 ATS (-9.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-7 ATS (-8.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
CALGARY is 37-28 ATS (+67.3 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 79-60 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 85-77 ATS (+179.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
CALGARY is 4-13 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-2 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 4

Sharks won their last four games with Washington; road team won seven of last nine series games. Sharks won their last five games in this building. Four of last six series games went over total. San Jose won three of its last four games; they won four of last six road games. Eight of their last ten games stayed under. Washington won four of its last five games; they’re 5-2 in last seven home games. Four of their last five games went over.

Islanders are 6-4 in their last ten games with Florida, 3-2 in last five visits here. Under is 4-1-1 in last six series games. New York won seven of its last nine games; over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games. Islanders won four of their last five road games. Florida is 3-5 in its last eight games; they split last four home tilts. Eight of their last nine games stayed under the total.

Home side won seven of last eight Boston-Nashville games; Bruins lost their last three visits to Music City. Four of last five series games stayed under the total. Boston won six of its last seven games- they won last four road games. Seven of their last ten games stayed under. Predators won six of their last eight games, six of last seven at home. Four of their last six games stayed under the total.

Calgary won five of last seven games with Philadelphia; three of last four series games went over the total. Flyers lost their last three games in the Saddledome. Philly lost its last 10 games; their last three road losses were all in OT/SO. Five of their last seven games went over the total. Flames lost four of their last six games; they split last four home tilts. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total.

NHL

Monday, December 4

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Trend Report
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SAN JOSE @ WASHINGTON
San Jose is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
San Jose is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

NY ISLANDERS @ FLORIDA
NY Islanders is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida's last 9 games
Florida is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

BOSTON @ NASHVILLE
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Nashville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

PHILADELPHIA @ CALGARY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Calgary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia

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**Udog** · 12-04-2017, 06:13 PM

NHL

Monday, December 4

The San Jose Sharks are 24-4-1 in the last 29 meetings with the Capitals, including 12-1 in the last 13 meetings in Washington, D.C.
SJ +106 WAS -117

Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/4

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/4

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