Announcement

**Udog** · 11-20-2017, 07:36 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks for Week 11 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) Denver Broncos -2.5 (583)- L

5) New Orleans Saints -7.5 (586)- L

4) Minnesota Vikings -2 (749)- W

3) Detroit Lions -2.5 (928)- W

2) New England Patriots -6.5 (1,086)- W

1) Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (1,306)- W

Season record of top 6 picks: 27-39

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Saints 34, Redskins 31 OT— Washington led 31-16 with 3:10 left to play, but then gave up two TD’s in 1:48, and screwed up a chance to win game at the end of regulation, getting intentional grounding called on them when they were in Saints territory.

Saints have now won eight games in a row (6-2 vs spread); Redskins were first team since Week 2 to pass for more than 5.0 yds/pass attempt against them (8.2). New Orleans has run ball for 150+ yards in five of their last six games. Over is 5-1 in Washington’s last six games.

Vikings 24, Rams 7— Rams scored on their first drive of the game, never scored again; they lost a fumble on 1-yard line when game was 7-7 in 2nd quarter- they’ve done that in two of their three losses. LA is -6 in turnovers in their three losses, +12 in their wins.

Minnesota has won six games in row, covered last five; they were held to 9-7 points in their two losses. Vikings only went 3/out once in this game, which helped their field position.

Giants 12, Chiefs 9 OT— KC has now lost four of its last five games after a 5-0 start, this one in dismal fashion- they didn’t score a TD against a Giant team that had given up 13 TD’s on its opponents’ last 32 drives. 6-4 Chiefs are still in first place in AFC West, but only because their division stinks this year.

Alex Smith threw three INTs, which led to Giants having an 8-yard advantage in field position; there will now be murmurs about Patrick Mahomes taking over at QB next year, when Smith is a free agent— the rumor mill thinks Kansas City will let Smith walk.

Texans 31, Cardinals 21— Houston’s 2nd-string QB beats Arizona’s 3rd-string QB; Cardinals scored three TD’s, but on drives of 17-15-51 yards, all set up by the Arizona defense. Redbirds lost despite a 13-yard edge in field position, which doesn’t happen much- they’re 1-6 when they allow more than 15 points.

Jaguars 19, Browns 7— Three NFL teams turned ball over five times Sunday; all of them played at home, including the God-awful Browns, who are now 0-10, 2-8 vs spread.

If you were optimistic (dumb) enough to bet on the Browns in this game, you were on the wrong side of the Bad Beat of the Week. Jaguars were sleep-walking their way to a 13-7 win— Cleveland had the ball on its own 20 with 1:24 left, but Kizer was sacked/fumbled and Jacksonville covered the 8-point spread on a defensive TD with 1:14 left.

Jacksonville has won four games in a row and is in first place in the AFC South.

Lions 27, Bears 24— Prater kicked a 52-yard FG with 1:35 left as Detroit won its third game in a row, scoring 31.7 ppg in those games; they’re 3-1 on the road. Having a kicker who makes long FG’s outdoors in November is a huge plus. Lions are 8-1 in their last nine games with Chicago, which had ball up 10-0 in 2nd quarter, before Detroit scored a defensive TD on a fumble return that helped turn the tide in their favor. Bears lost their last three games, are now 3-7.

7) UCLA fired football coach Jim Mora Jr on his birthday Sunday, which was the bad news. Good news for Mora? He gets an $11M severance package. Birthday cake is on him!!!!

Rumor mill has UCLA going heavy after former Eagles/Oregon coach Chip Kelly.

Buccaneers 30, Dolphins 20— Miami is awful; they turned ball over five times, were called for 17 (accepted) penalties for 133 yards- they threw an INT on three of their first four drives.

Down 20-7, Dolphins battled back to tie game 20-all, before Bucs won it on a FG with 0:04 left; Tampa Bay had an 11-yard edge in field position- their two TD drives were only 5-37 yards, as Miami’s turnovers were their undoing. Dolphins have now lost four games in a row.

Ravens 23, Packers 0— You know it could be a long day for a team when a score graphic comes on at 1:25 and that team’s QB already has two INT’s. Baltimore had a ridiculous 27-yard edge in field position in this game- five of their 13 drives started in Green Bay territory.

Packers have lost four of their last five games; Ravens are 13-3 in last 16 post-bye games. Four of Baltimore’s five wins have come against backup QB’s, Andy Dalton being the exception.

Chargers 54, Bills 24— Buffalo benched QB Tyrod Taylor despite a 5-4 record and started rookie Nathan Peterman in this game, who then threw four INT’s on his first nine passes, as Chargers jogged to a ridiculously easy win.

Bills have lost three games in a row; coach McDermott has to be careful he doesn’t lose his locker room, putting in an incompetent rookie QB when Buffalo was 5-4 and in possession of the last playoff spot. Taylor played the second half of this game, figures to start going forward.

Patriots 33, Raiders 8— New England won its last six games (5-1 vs spread); they outscored last four opponents 76-16 in first half. Oakland lost six of its last eight games, as AFC West suffers thru one of its worst seasons ever. Raiders have only two takeaways (-9) in their last seven games- they allowed 121 points in their last four games.

In college basketball Sunday, Ohio U beat Indiana State 96-94 in four OT’s; must’ve been a fun game to watch.

Bengals 20, Broncos 17— Denver lost its last six games (0-6 vs spread), thanks to a -14 turnover ratio in those games; they lost last three home games. Cincy ends a 10-game losing streak in the Mile High City, but in their last three games, Bengals have run 140 plays, their opponents 241- the Cincinnati offense needs to give the defense a break now and then.

Cincinnati had a 100-yard INT return in this game that wasn’t a TD— the guy dropped the ball while he was running and fell on it, on the 1-yard line.

I’m guessing its not a lot of fun being around John Elway these days.

Eagles 37, Cowboys 9— Dallas led this game 9-7 at the half; in second half, Eagles had ball four times before they ran clock out the last time they had ball- Philly ran 29 plays for 271 yards three TD’s, just in the second half. Eagles have a three-game lead in NFC East with six weeks left to play.

**Udog** · 11-20-2017, 08:13 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, November 20

Arizona @ Toronto

Game 51-52
November 20, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
10.161
Toronto
12.669
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-230
6
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-230); Under

Calgary @ Washington

Game 53-54
November 20, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
10.369
Washington
11.830
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-140); Over

Columbus @ Buffalo

Game 55-56
November 20, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
9.312
Buffalo
11.399
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-155
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+135); Under

Winnipeg @ Nashville

Game 57-58
November 20, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
13.188
Nashville
11.219
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+120); Over

New Jersey @ Minnesota

Game 59-60
November 20, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Jersey
10.829
Minnesota
12.383
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-165); Over

Anaheim @ San Jose

Game 61-62
November 20, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
9.314
San Jose
11.959
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 2 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
N/A

**Udog** · 11-20-2017, 08:15 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 20

Arizona won five of last six games with Toronto; road team won four of those six games. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games. Coyotes won consecutive games for first time this year, but they are still 3-11 on road. Seven of their last eight games stayed under the total. Maple Leafs won their last six games, posting shutouts in last two; under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Toronto won its last four home games.

Calgary-Washington split their last eight games; road team won five of last seven meetings. Flames lost four of last six games in this building. Three of last four series games stayed under the total. Calgary won six of its last eight games; they’re 5-3 on road. Flames’ last six games went over the total. Caps won their last five home games, are 6-3 in last nine overall; under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Columbus won four of last five games with Buffalo; they split last four visits to western New York. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Blue Jackets won their last three games overall, split their last six road tilts, 2-0/2-1/2-1; their last five games stayed under. Sabres lost their last five games, scoring eight goals; under is 5-1 in their last six games. Buffalo lost three of its last four home games.

Predators won four of last six games with Winnipeg; over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Jets lost three of last five visits to Nashville. Winnipeg won its last four games, allowing six goals; they won three of last four road games. Under is 3-1 in Jets’ last four games. Nashville won six of last seven games overall, three in row at home; six of their last seven games went over the total.

Devils won six of their last seven games with Minnesota; they won 4-3/2-1 in last two visits to the Twin Cities. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games. New Jersey lost six of last eight games overall, four of last five on road; four of their last six games stayed under. Minnesota won four of last five games overall, three of last four at home; four of their last five games stayed under the total.

Ducks won six of their last games with San Jose; they split last six games in the Shark Tank. Under is 6-0-4 in last ten series games. Anaheim won three of its last four games, all at home; they’re 3-3 on the road. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. San Jose lost 3-1/2-0 in their last two games; they lost three of last four home games. Under is 9-1 in their last ten games overall.

**Udog** · 11-20-2017, 08:19 AM

NHL

Monday, November 20

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Trend Report
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COLUMBUS @ BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games

ARIZONA @ TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Arizona

CALGARY @ WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games at home

NEW JERSEY @ MINNESOTA
New Jersey is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
New Jersey is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

WINNIPEG @ NASHVILLE
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nashville's last 7 games

ANAHEIM @ SAN JOSE
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Jose's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games at home

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**Udog** · 11-20-2017, 08:50 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, November 20

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ARIZONA (4-15-0-3, 11 pts.) at TORONTO (14-7-0-0, 28 pts.) - 11/20/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 4-18 ATS (+29.3 Units) in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 4-18 ATS (+29.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
ARIZONA is 21-59 ATS (+119.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 132-142 ATS (-79.6 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
TORONTO is 63-96 ATS (-46.7 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
TORONTO is 363-386 ATS (-78.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-1 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 3-1-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

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CALGARY (11-8-0-0, 22 pts.) at WASHINGTON (11-9-0-1, 23 pts.) - 11/20/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 22-5 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 92-62 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 182-215 ATS (-72.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

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COLUMBUS (12-7-0-1, 25 pts.) at BUFFALO (5-11-0-4, 14 pts.) - 11/20/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 38-17 ATS (+55.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 19-5 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 16-6 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 37-18 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 20-7 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 18-38 ATS (+69.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 2-12 ATS (+16.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 4-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

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WINNIPEG (12-4-0-3, 27 pts.) at NASHVILLE (11-6-0-2, 24 pts.) - 11/20/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 18-5 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 42-25 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 156-161 ATS (+365.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 23-10 ATS (+34.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 5-4-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.5 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (11-5-0-3, 25 pts.) at MINNESOTA (9-8-0-2, 20 pts.) - 11/20/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 17-4 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-18 ATS (-10.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 4-0 (+5.8 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 4-0-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

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ANAHEIM (9-7-0-3, 21 pts.) at SAN JOSE (10-8-0-0, 20 pts.) - 11/20/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 6-4 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 6-4-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.3 Units)

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Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/20

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/20

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