Announcement

**Udog** · 11-13-2017, 08:41 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks for Week 10 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 (657)- W

5) New Jersey Jets -2.5 (666)- L

4) Los Angeles Rams -12 (697)- W

3) Washington Redskins +1 (703)- L

2) Jacksonville Jaguars -3.5 (719)- L

1) Buffalo Bills +3 (1,182)- L

Season record of top 6 picks: 23-37

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Vikings 38, Redskins 30— Minnesota won its last five games, covered its last four; Case Keenum was 21-29/304 passing with four TD’s. Keenum played for the Rams LY; LA was 4-5 in his starts before Jared Goff became the starter— Goff and the Rams visit the Twin Cities next Sunday.

Jaguars 20, Chargers 17 OT— If you had the Chargers +3.5, take a big sigh of relief; LA had ball in last 2:00, up 17-14- they fumbled and Jaguars ran ball back for an apparent TD, but replay said the defender was down when he picked the ball up, so the TD was nullified, Jax kicked a FG and the game went to overtime.

Chargers have four losses by 3 or less points; they had 15 drives in this game, ran 67 plays, but never got into the red zone- they were only 3-15 on 3rd down.

Seahawks 22, Cardinals 16— When Russell Wilson gets inducted into the Hall of Fame, they’ll show the 54-yard pass he completed to Doug Baldwin in the 4th quarter of this game, after a scramble that looked a lot like Fran Tarkenton in his early Viking days.

Arizona QB Stanton sprained his knee, may miss next week’s game, which could mean a QB showdown between Blaine Gabbert/TJ Yates. Seahawks were penalized 12 more times for 108 yards, but did enough to stay a game behind the Rams in the NFC West.

Saints 47, Bills 10— New Orleans ran ball for 298 yards, had 32 first downs, also had an 18-yard edge in field position as they won their 7th straight game. Saints allowed 17 or less points in six of last seven games, and in the 7th game, their defense SCORED three TD’s, vs Detroit.

Saints became the first team since 1941 to run for six touchdowns and not punt in that game.

Packers 23, Bears 16— Worst replay challenge ever? In 2nd quarter, Bears would’ve had a first down around the Green Bay 2-yard line, but they challenged that the ball carrier had scored a TD, when in fact, he fumbled and the correct call was a touchback. Whoops.

Hundley wins his first NFL road start but also tweaked his hamstring- they play Baltimore next.

Titans 24, Bengals 20— Tennessee outgained Bengals 416-308, as once again Cincy ran only 50 plays- they’ve run 87 plays total the last two games.

Score should’ve been more one-sided; Titan WR Matthews dropped a sure TD in 2nd quarter, followed by Succop having his streak of 56 consecutive FG’s under 50 yards end with a miss. Later on, rookie WR Davis fumbled on the 1-yard line for a touchback when the Titans were threatening to pull away for good. Bengals aren’t a good team.

Buccaneers 15, Jets 10— Tampa Bay had a 17-yard edge in field position, as Fitzpatrick beat the team he started for the last two years. Jets still haven’t trailed at halftime since Week 2, but they are 4-6 heading into their bye week. Jets were held to 3 or 7 2nd half points in four of their last five games.

Steelers 20, Colts 17— Indy scored two TD’s, on 60-61 yard pass plays; they led 10-3 at half but let this slip away at end. Steelers tied game with a 10-yard TD drive after an INT, then won game with a FG at the gun. Pittsburgh won its last four games, three by 6 or less points. Four of last six TD’s Steelers allowed came on plays of 57+ yards.

Lions 38, Browns 24— Cleveland led 10-0 early, then 24-17 with 2:23 left in 3rd quarter, but if you took the Browns +13:
a) Don’t bet on the Browns and…….
b) they didn’t cover the spread, despite outgaining Lions 413-345.

Right now, Cleveland has the #1 pick and the Giants #2 pick— will they both take QB’s? Will Giants trade Eli Manning to Denver or Jacksonville?

Rams 33, Texans 7— Houston turned ball over four times (-4), once in red zone when Texans led 7-6 just before halftime. From that point on, it was all Rams, who gained 205 yards in the third quarter and dominated the second half.

Houston won’t make the playoffs this year, but if Deshaun Watson rehabs well, they’re going to be very optimistic about 2018. As for the rest of this year, wouldn’t be surprised if TJ Yates gets the nod under center for their next game, against Arizona.

Falcons 27, Cowboys 7— Atlanta sacked Dak Prescott eight times; turns out Ezekiel Elliott’s absence wasn’t the big deal Sunday, it was LT Tyron Smith- his replacement allowed six of the eight sacks. Cowboys’ only TD drive was 21 yards. Both teams are now 5-4 and Elliott is out for another five games- could be that neither one of these teams makes the playoffs.

49ers 31, Giants 21— Three of SF’s four TD’s came on plays of 33+ yards; only 2 of their 13 TD’s coming into this game were on plays of 20+ yards. 49ers were 8-12 on third down- they gained 474 yards, averaged 11.5 yards/pass attempt.

At this point, you wonder if Giant ownership has begun the search for a new coach/GM, and if so, how far along are they in the process. Losing this game puts the Giants ahead of SF on the draft list for next April; they’d have the #2 pick behind Cleveland right now.

Patriots 41, Broncos 16— Has a special teams coach ever been fired at halftime of a game? In the first 19:40 Sunday night, Denver lost a fumbled punt, had a punt blocked and allowed a TD on a kick return. In the second half, they had 12 men on the field for a punt, giving New England a first down. No bueno.

Sunday was Al Michaels’ 73rd birthday; I hope I’m as sharp as he is when I’m 73.

**Udog** · 11-13-2017, 09:38 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 13

Dallas Stars won their last six games with Carolina; they won four of last five visits to Raleigh. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Dallas won four of last six games overall; they split their last six road games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Carolina lost five of last seven games, four of last five at home. Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

Blues won seven of last ten games with Calgary; they won three of last four games in the Saddledome. Over is 4-1-2 in last seven series games. St Louis won seven of last nine games; they won 2-1/3-1 in last two road games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Calgary won four of its last five games, all at home, last three of which went over the total.

NHL

Monday, November 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS @ CAROLINA
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

ST. LOUIS @ CALGARY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-13-2017, 11:19 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, November 13

Dallas @ Carolina

Game 1-2
November 13, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
11.895
Carolina
10.734
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+105); Under

St. Louis @ Calgary

Game 3-4
November 13, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
9.882
Calgary
11.390
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(+105); Under

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, November 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (9-7-0-0, 18 pts.) at CAROLINA (6-5-0-4, 16 pts.) - 11/13/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 4-17 ATS (-17.5 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 51-35 ATS (+86.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 194-165 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
CAROLINA is 24-41 ATS (+67.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 11-21 ATS (+33.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-0 (+5.5 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-0-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (13-4-0-1, 27 pts.) at CALGARY (9-7-0-0, 18 pts.) - 11/13/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 29-19 ATS (+52.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 169-161 ATS (+347.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 113-92 ATS (+206.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 66-48 ATS (+14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 3-13 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-4 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 4-3-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.5 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/13

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/13

Comment

Comment

Comment