Announcement

**Udog** · 11-01-2017, 08:34 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

NFL trends with Week 9 approaching…….

— Carolina covered twice in its last ten home games.

— Buffalo is 5-1-1 vs spread in its last seven games.

— Colts are 3-7-1 in last 11 games as a divisional road underdog.

— Bengals covered once in last six tries as a road underdog.

— Arizona is 4-14 vs spread in its last 18 games.

— Denver is 9-17 as a non-divisional road underdog.

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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) First of all, our thoughts/prayers to the people who lost friends/family in New York City Tuesday afternoon, in another act of senseless violence.

Not sure what to say really, other than appreciate every day and hug the people you love and tell them you love them.

12) I’m not usually fond of beating a dead horse, but five minutes before the trade deadline Tuesday, Bengals/Browns agreed on a trade, with Cleveland sending 2nd/3rd round draft picks to Cincinnati for Cincy’s backup QB, AJ McCarron. Cleveland desperately needs a better QB

Cincinnati sent approval of the trade into the NFL office, but for whatever reason, the Browns sent their approval in late, and alas, the NFL wouldn’t approve the trade. There were murmurs on Twitter that the geniuses in Cleveland’s front office were celebrating the trade and simply neglected to do their job and send their approval into the NFL before 4pm, as the league’s rules require them to. Oy.

11) Like I said the other day, they should just fire all of them, the whole Browns’ front office. Their coaching staff and players deserve some help, don’t you think?

10) Miami Dolphins are 4-3 and are a playoff contender- they’re tied with Jacksonville for the second AFC Wild Card right now, but they traded their best RB Jay Ajayi to the Eagles Tuesday for a 4th-round draft pick.

9) Carolina Panthers sent WR Kelvin Benjamin to the Bills for 3rd and 7th-round picks.

8) Georgia-Alabama-Notre Dame-Clemson are the top four college football teams right now, as the countdown to the end of the regular season begins. Oklahoma/Ohio State are #5 and #6.

7) Denver Broncos turned the ball over 11 times in their last three games; you cannot win that way. Turnovers are a variable that makes picking NFL games so tough; Buffalo isn’t that good a team, but they’re +14 in turnovers, so they’re 5-2. Denver is -9 in its last three games, so they lost all three games.

Sometimes a QB is called “a game manager” and it sounds like an insult, but what it really means is that he doesn’t screw the game up by turning the ball over, and that is important.

6) The average lifespan of a $10 bill? 4.5 years, according to the TV show Pawn Stars.

5) It is interesting to watch TV and listen to political historians talk about current events and what will happen going forward, as far as investigations, witnesses flipping and then maybe charges being brought upon other people targeted by the prosecution.

If you watch Billions on Showtime, lot of the stuff that happened this week sounds familiar.

Hollywood scriptwriters must be smiling, as their future scripts get written for them.

4) If you’re ever having trouble sleeping late at night, NBA TV usually replays one of the better games of the night at 3am, a good way to kill some time while you’re heating up some milk or counting sheep until you can go back to sleep.

3) Phoenix Suns lost their first three games in embarrassing fashion, so they fired their coach and told Eric Bledsoe to go away until they could trade him- Bledsoe is/was one of their best players. A week later, and Bledsoe still hasn’t been traded- Suns are 3-1 since they changed coaches, but Bledsoe is still sitting there, collecting his $14,500,000 salary while working out, waiting to find out who his next employer will be.

2) Dodgers 3, Astros 1– I read this week where 15,000 Dodger season tickets are held by ticket brokers; this Game 7 means a possible total of $20M in income from selling those 15,000 tickets for tonight’s Game 7. Big business.

Game 7 will last a long time if it close, since managers will be panic mongers and there will be tons of pitching changes. Unusual World Series, entertaining, good for the sport.

1) Antonio Cromartie played cornerback for 11 years in the NFL, for four teams, mostly the Jets and Chargers. He has six children with his wife; he has also fathered eight other children, by seven different women. He has fathered three children since having a vasectomy and re-defines the term “productive player”.

So of course, in this day and age, Cromartie and family will soon star in a reality TV show that begins on the USA Network November 9. Back when I was a kid, the Brady Bunch was a big TV show, husband/wife remarrying— she had three daughters, he had three sons. This is the 2017 version of that. Wonder who will reprise Ann B Davis’ role as the maid.

Cromartie pays $330,000 a year in child support, so maybe he needs the money. I guess it’ll be interesting to see how many of the seven other women get included in the show.

**Udog** · 11-01-2017, 08:45 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday,November 1

Philadelphia @ Chicago

Game 1-2
November 1, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
10.840
Chicago
9.202
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+120); Over

Pittsburgh @ Edmonton

Game 3-4
November 1, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
10.808
Edmonton
9.295
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-115
6
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-105); Under

New Jersey @ Vancouver

Game 5-6
November 1, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Jersey
10.628
Vancouver
12.267
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(-115); Under

Toronto @ Anaheim

Game 7-8
November 1, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
9.692
Anaheim
12.287
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
N/A

Nashville @ San Jose

Game 9-10
November 1, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nashville
9.970
San Jose
11.105
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(-125); Under

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday,November 1

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PHILADELPHIA (6-5-0-1, 13 pts.) at CHICAGO (5-5-0-2, 12 pts.) - 11/1/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-48 ATS (-21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 1-7 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (7-5-0-1, 15 pts.) at EDMONTON (3-6-0-1, 7 pts.) - 11/1/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 97-86 ATS (+190.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 43-17 ATS (+19.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 35-12 ATS (+18.3 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 42-63 ATS (-37.6 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
EDMONTON is 36-54 ATS (-32.9 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
EDMONTON is 0-5 ATS (-5.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (8-2-0-0, 16 pts.) at VANCOUVER (6-3-0-2, 14 pts.) - 11/1/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 8-2 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 8-2 ATS (+10.1 Units) first half of the season this season.
VANCOUVER is 3-16 ATS (+21.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 4-0 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 4-0-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

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TORONTO (7-5-0-0, 14 pts.) at ANAHEIM (6-4-0-1, 13 pts.) - 11/1/2017, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 2-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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NASHVILLE (5-4-0-2, 12 pts.) at SAN JOSE (6-5-0-0, 12 pts.) - 11/1/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 39-46 ATS (-22.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 38-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 56-57 ATS (-38.1 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 401-320 ATS (-43.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 93-75 ATS (-66.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 7-6 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 7-6-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday,November 1

Home side won eight of last nine Philly-Chicago games; under is 4-1-2 in last seven series games. Flyers lost three of last four visits to the Windy City. Philly lost three of last four games, both overall and on road. Over is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Blackhawks lost five of their last six games, three of their last four at home; their last three home games stayed under.

Penguins won six of last seven games with Edmonton; under is 4-1 in last five series games. Pittsburgh won its last three visits to Edmonton. Penguins were outscored 16-3 in losing their last three road games; under is 3-1 in their last four games. Edmonton lost seven of its last nine games, including four of last five home games, all of which went over the total.

Devils won their last five games with Vancouver; under is 5-2-3 in last ten series games. Devils won 3-2/2-1 in their last two games in this building. New Jersey won eight of last ten games; they’re 4-0 on road, scoring 20 goals- over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Canucks won four of last five games; they’re 2-4 at home. Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

Ducks won last two games with Toronto, after losing 7 of previous 8 meetings; Maple Leafs are 3-2 in last five games in the Pond (under 3-2). Toronto were outscored 13-7 in losing their last three games; over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Anaheim won four of its last five games; they split their six home games. Four of Ducks’ last five games went over the total.

Home side won nine of last ten Nashville-San Jose games; Predators lost five of their last six games in this building. Over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Nashville lost three of last four games; they’re 2-4 on the road. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Sharks won five of last seven games; under is 7-2 in their last nine games. San Jose won three of last four at home.

NHL

Wednesday,November 1

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Trend Report
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PHILADELPHIA @ CHICAGO
No trends to report

PITTSBURGH @ EDMONTON
No trends to report

TORONTO @ ANAHEIM
No trends to report

NEW JERSEY @ VANCOUVER
No trends to report

NASHVILLE @ SAN JOSE
No trends to report

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Announcement

Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/1

Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/1

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