Announcement

**Udog** · 10-26-2017, 07:28 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— Astros 7, Dodgers 6 (11)— First game in MLB history with five extra-inning homers.

— If Alabama played Penn State for the national title today, they’d be a 9-point favorite.

— Tom Thibodeau went 255-139 as coach of the Bulls; why did they fire him? Bulls are 83-84 since they let him go.

— Rockets 105, 76ers 104— Eric Gordon hit a 3-pointer at buzzer.

— Warriors 117, Raptors 112— Golden State outscored Toronto 10-0 in last 2:00

— 34-year old Dustin Pedroia had knee surgery this week, is expected to be out seven months, meaning he’ll miss the start of next season.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

13) Nick Saban is making $11M this season, including $4M for what amounts to “a signing bonus”, making him the highest-paid college coach in America. Wow.

12) Most surprising thing to me on the list is that Arizona’s Rich Rodriguez is 5th-highest paid college football coach in the country, earning $5.6M this year.

Arizona is 41-31 under Rodriguez, 5-2 this year- they were 2-10 last year.

11) Chiefs’ RB Kareem Hunt lost a fumble on his first carry of the season in Foxboro; KC hasn’t turned the ball over since- they’re +7 in turnovers right now.

10) Atlanta Falcons led NFL in scoring LY, were #2 in yards gained- they won the NFC.

This year, Falcons are #16 in scoring, #7 in yards gained- they’re 3-3.

SI.com‘s Robert Klemko points this out: through six games in 2016, Matt Ryan was 14-of-23 on passes traveling more than 20 yards downfield. Through six games this season, he’s 4-of-21.

9) Courtney Lee plays for the Knicks; Tuesday, he said some players on the Knicks don’t know the plays and they need to pay attention more in practice.

This is professional basketball, the second week of a 6-month season. Oy.

8) Game 1 of the World Series took 2:28 to play, the shortest World Series game since 1992. I’d prefer a longer game with more action, but thats just me.

Game 2 was more what I had in mind…….

7) Who made USC’s football schedule? They don’t have any bye weeks- they have a week off after their last regular season game and before the Pac-12 championship game, but they have to get there for that to be relevant.

Trojans are in a 3-way tie with Arizona/ASU in the Pac-12 South- their game at Arizona State this weekend is a big one. USC looked like a tired team last week at Notre Dame.

6) Wake Forest no longer allows guests into their football practices, because LY one of their own radio announcers was found out to be giving Wake’s plays out to future opponents, after the radio guy wasn’t retained as an assistant coach the year before.

Problem with that is this: often times, some of the guests at practices are people who donate a lot of money to the athletic department. Ticking them off isn’t good for the bottom line, but if an opponents gets part of your playbook, thats an even worse problem.

5) Mentioned yesterday how North Carolina’s senior PG Joel Berry broke his hand this week and will miss the start of the season. Turns out Berry punched a door after losing a video game he was playing with teammate Theo Pinson and a student manager. Not good.

4) Steelers’ WR JuJu Smith-Schuster had his bike stolen recently; I’m just amazed that an NFL player doesn’t have his driver’s license yet— he is taking the driver’s test soon.

If I ran the Steelers, wouldn’t want one of my players driving his bike on city streets— I’d take Smith-Schuster to DMV myself to get him his license, then get him an endorsement deal with a local car dealer, to get hm a safe ride to work every day.

3) MVP of the World Series gets the “Willie Mays Award” as MLB honors Mays, one of the best baseball players ever. Pretty cool award to win.

Some jackass wrote an article this week questioning if MLB did the right thing naming the award after Mays, who played in four World Series but didn’t hit that well in any of them, though his catch in CF in the ’54 Series is one of the best in WS history.

Mays hit 660 major league home runs, had a career on-base % of .384, led the NL in stolen bases four times. He was a great freakin’ player; he deserves to have an award named after him.

2) Former NBA commissioner David Stern spoke up for the NBA allowing “medical marijuana”, which means that marijuana basically will be legalized in the NBA, since every player has a sore knee or a sore back or SOMETHING that would allow him to smoke weed for medical reasons.

Stern was commissioner of the NBA for 30 years; his voice carries a lot of weight.

1) This is a somewhat small sample, but thru four games, Lonzo Ball’s plus/minus is -24; the Lakers are +6 when Lonzo is on the bench.

Plus/minus is the score of the game when that player is on the floor, so over long term, it is a telling stat. It can be misleading in small samples, so we’ll follow this as the year goes on.

**Udog** · 10-26-2017, 07:40 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, October 26

San Jose @ Boston

Game 1-2
October 26, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
10.193
Boston
12.077
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
N/A

Arizona @ NY Rangers

Game 3-4
October 26, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
8.797
NY Rangers
10.247
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Rangers
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
N/A

Winnipeg @ Pittsburgh

Game 5-6
October 26, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
11.546
Pittsburgh
10.178
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-180
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+160); Under

Carolina @ Toronto

Game 7-8
October 26, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
12.424
Toronto
9.668
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 3
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-155
6
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+135); Under

Detroit @ Tampa Bay

Game 9-10
October 26, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
11.872
Tampa Bay
10.829
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-220
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+180); Over

Philadelphia @ Ottawa

Game 11-12
October 26, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
12.047
Ottawa
9.589
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+100); Over

Los Angeles @ Montreal

Game 13-14
October 26, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
10.176
Montreal
12.153
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(-120); Over

Anaheim @ Florida

Game 15-16
October 26, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
10.002
Florida
12.014
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-115); Over

NY Islanders @ Minnesota

Game 17-18
October 26, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
11.412
Minnesota
10.080
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(+120); Under

Dallas @ Edmonton

Game 19-20
October 26, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
11.265
Edmonton
9.266
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+100); Under

Washington @ Vancouver

Game 21-22
October 26, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
10.495
Vancouver
11.635
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(+130); Over

**Udog** · 10-26-2017, 07:42 AM

Thursday’s NHL games

San Jose is 3-5 in its last eight games with the Bruins, 1-3 in last four visits to Benton. Over is 4-2 in last six series games. Sharks won three of their last four games; they’re 2-1 on road. Under is 4-2 in their last six games. Boston lost four of their last six games; they’ve split four home games. Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Rangers won their last seven games with Arizona (over 4-1-2); Coyotes lost their last five visits to Manhattan. Arizona is 0-9 to start the season; they were outscored 18-10 n losing their four road games. Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. New York lost six of their last seven games; they’re 2-6 at home. Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

Penguins won nine of last ten games with Winnipeg; over is 6-2 in last eight series games. Jets lost their last five games in the Steel City. Winnipeg won four of its last five games; over is 6-1 in their games this month. Jets are 2-1 on the road. Pittsburgh won six of last eight games; over is 5-1 in their last six games. Penguins are 3-1 at home this season.

Toronto won three of last four games with Carolina; road team won five of last six series games. Hurricanes won three of last four games in this building. Last nine series games stayed under the total. Carolina lost four of last six games; over is 3-1 in their last four games. Hurricanes split their four road games. Leafs won seven of first nine games (over 7-2); they’re 4-1 at home.

Tampa Bay won its last eight games with Detroit; they won last four visits to the Motor City. Under is 2-1-1 in last four series games. Red Wings lost their last five games; over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Detroit is 2-3 on the road. Lightning won seven of last eight games; they’re 5-0 at home this season. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Flyers won four of last five games with Ottawa; they’re 2-3 in last five visits to Ottawa. Under is 7-1-1 in last nine series games. Philly are 3-2 in last five games; they split their four road games. Over is 4-2 in their last six games. Senators lost three of their last four games, all at home; over is 4-2 in their last six games. Ottawa is 1-5 at home, with four losses in OT/SO.

Kings won six of last nine games with Montreal; over is 4-1-2 in last seven series games. LA split its last four games in this building. Kings won five of their last six games; they’re 3-1 on road. Over is 4-3 in their last seven games. Montreal lost seven of last eight games, last five of which went over total. Canadiens are 1-2 at home this season.

Panthers won four of last six games with Anaheim; under is 2-0-2 in last four series games. Ducks lost three of last four games in the building. Anaheim are 3-4 in its last seven games (under 5-2); they split their two road games. Florida lost four of its last five games; over is 7-1 in their last eight games. Panthers are 2-1 at home this season.

Islanders won three of last four games with Minnesota; over is 6-2 in last eight series games. Isles won three of last five visits to the Twin Cities. New York won its last three games, scoring 14 goals (over 3-0); they’re 2-3 on the road. Minnesota lost three of its last four games; they’re 0-2 at home, losing 5-4ot/1-0. Over is 5-1-1 in their games this season.

Dallas is 6-4 in last 10 games with Edmonton but lost last two; Stars lost three of last four games in Edmonton (under 3-1). Dallas Stars won four of last five games but they’re 1-3 on road- their last three games went over the total. Edmonton lost six of its last seven games; they’re 1-3 at home. Oilers’ last three games stayed under the total.

Washington won its last four games with Vancouver; over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Capitals are 2-3 in last five visits here, but won last two. Washington lost five of last seven games; they’re 3-2 on road. Over is 6-3 in their games this season. Canucks are back from a 4-1 road trip; they’re 1-3 at home this season (over 2-2).

**Udog** · 10-26-2017, 08:55 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 26

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SAN JOSE (4-4-0-0, 8 pts.) at BOSTON (3-3-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/26/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 1-7 ATS (-7.2 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 400-319 ATS (-117.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 39-24 ATS (+12.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 89-65 ATS (+20.6 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 119-91 ATS (+20.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
BOSTON is 23-26 ATS (-12.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 7-11 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-18 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 5-9 ATS (-9.7 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)

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ARIZONA (0-8-0-1, 1 pts.) at NY RANGERS (2-6-0-2, 6 pts.) - 10/26/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 4-0-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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WINNIPEG (4-3-0-0, 8 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (6-3-0-1, 13 pts.) - 10/26/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 10-6 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-1-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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CAROLINA (3-3-0-1, 7 pts.) at TORONTO (7-2-0-0, 14 pts.) - 10/26/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 4-19 ATS (+32.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 83-100 ATS (-58.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.
TORONTO is 359-385 ATS (-28.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-2 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.1 Units)

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DETROIT (4-5-0-1, 9 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (8-1-0-1, 17 pts.) - 10/26/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 9-25 ATS (+34.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 362-409 ATS (-163.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 162-201 ATS (-77.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 12-3 (+8.8 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 12-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.3 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (5-4-0-0, 10 pts.) at OTTAWA (4-1-0-4, 12 pts.) - 10/26/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-28 ATS (+43.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 59-51 ATS (+4.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 34-24 ATS (+59.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 0-5 ATS (-5.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-2 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.0 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (7-1-0-1, 15 pts.) at MONTREAL (2-6-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/26/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 189-228 ATS (-74.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
MONTREAL is 22-38 ATS (-23.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 3-2-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

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ANAHEIM (4-3-0-1, 9 pts.) at FLORIDA (3-5-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/26/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 232-183 ATS (+32.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
FLORIDA is 170-194 ATS (+385.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
FLORIDA is 152-228 ATS (-78.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.2 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (5-3-0-1, 11 pts.) at MINNESOTA (2-3-0-2, 6 pts.) - 10/26/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 6-14 ATS (-11.2 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-17 ATS (-11.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 3-1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

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DALLAS (5-4-0-0, 10 pts.) at EDMONTON (2-5-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/26/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 50-33 ATS (+83.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 192-163 ATS (+22.8 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 36-16 ATS (+16.3 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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WASHINGTON (4-4-0-1, 9 pts.) at VANCOUVER (5-3-0-1, 11 pts.) - 10/26/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 1-7 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 178-211 ATS (-74.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 371-344 ATS (-94.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-0-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)

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Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/26

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/26

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