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**Udog** · 10-23-2017, 07:50 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks for Week 7 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) Washington Redskins, +5 (681)

5) San Francisco 49ers, +6.5 (687)- L

4) Denver Broncos, +1.5 (729)- L

3) Carolina Panthers, -3 (+750)- L

2) Green Bay Packers, +5.5 (803)- L

1) Cincinnati Bengals, +5.5 (810)- L

Season record of top 6 picks: 15-26. No bueno

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Titans 12, Browns 9 OT— Not a great week for offense; seven teams failed to score an offensive TD, five others scored only one TD on offense. Total yardage in this game: 284-269 Browns, but they threw three INTs and Kizer was benched again, this time for Cody Kessler. At one point, Cleveland declined a face mask penalty on the Titans, leaving Tennessee with a 4th-and-1, but then the Browns jumped offside, which led to a Titan FG, which was the margin of victory.

Memo to the Ivy League nitwit who runs the Browns: Draft a bleeping quarterback!!!!

Jaguars 27, Colts 0— Total yardage was 518-232 Jaguars- they were -2 in turnovers and still jogged to an easy win, running ball for 188 yards. Colts have been outscored 134-44 in second half of game; now that Andrew Luck has had a setback and may not return this year, hard to imagine Chuck Pagano won’t get fired. Jaguars averaged 11.8 yards per pass attempt.

Steelers 29, Bengals 14— Game was 14-14 with 7:12 left in the half; from that point on, Steelers had ball seven times, kicked five FGs and won going away. Pittsburgh ran a really cool fake punt, snapping ball to the up-back, who passed the ball to the gunner on the right sideline— never saw that play before. Steelers scored only 38 points on their last 11 red zone drives, a red flag. Cincy is 1-6 vs spread in last seven games as a road underdog.

Vikings 24, Ravens 16—- Baltimore lost 4 of its last 5 games after a 2-0 start; they scored total of five TDs on 56 drives in those games. Stuff I read on the Internet this week from knowledgeable NFL writers blamed the Raven WR’s, not Flacco— I blame whoever hired Marty Mornhinweg as offensive coordinator— the guy is awful. Vikings are now 15-5 as a home favorite under Zimmer. Will Vikings turn to Teddy Bridgewater or stick with Case Keenum at QB?

Dolphins 31, Jets 28— Second week in row Jets had 14-point lead but lost; second week in a row Dolphins trailed by 14+ points but won. Cutler got hurt; backup QB Matt Moore was 13-21/188 and led Miami to a comeback win. Jets’ QB McCown threw an awful INT with 0:39 left, giving Dolphins the ball on the Jets’ 27- they kicked winning FG with 0:22 left, ending a 6-game skid against their AFC East rivals.

Bills 30, Buccaneers 27— Buffalo blew 17-6 3rd quarter lead, but recovered a fumble on the Bucs’ 33-yard line with 2:20 left- they kicked winning FG with 0:14 left. Winston threw for 378 yards but Tampa Bay turned ball over three times— Buffalo is +10 in turnovers this season and is 4-2. Rookie TE Howard has 6 catches for 98 yards on 6 targets for Tampa Bay

Bears 17, Panthers 3— One of strangest boxscores I’ve ever seen; rookie safety Eddie Jackson became first player ever to score two defensive TDs of 75+ yards in a game, scoring on a fumble return and an INT return off a tipped ball. Chicago then sat on the lead; Trubisky was 2-5/94 yards passing the first half, threw only 7 passes in whole game. Total yardage was 293-153 Carolina; Bears had only five first downs the whole game, but won by two TD’s. Go figure.

Saints 26, Packers 17— Line moved roughly nine points because of Rodgers’ injury; Hundley was 12-25/87 passing in his first NFL start. Brees was picked off on his first two drives, but Saints scored two TD’s, two FG’s on their last four drives. Packers ran 21 play for 65 yards and only 3 points in second half. New Orleans scored 13 TD’s on their last 43 drives.

Rams 33, Cardinals 0— Arizona missed a short FG on first drive, things got much worse from there; Carson Palmer broke his left arm, could be out for year. Stanton/Gabbert are Arizona’s backup QB’s.

One of the unexpected perks of writing in this space every day is the chance to meet some great people. Made couple of new friends from Canada this weekend; they stopped in Albany on their way to Foxwoods Casino in Connecticut. Had a meal and lot of fun conversation— I’ve made new friends in Indiana, New Jersey, Las Vegas and now Canada from this site. Good stuff.

Cowboys 40, 49ers 10— Dallas ran ball for 265 yards, had 14-yard edge in field position, as they pounded the 49ers coming off their bye. Third straight game Cowboys scored 30+ points; they recovered three SF fumbles, are now 8-3 vs spread in last 11 games as a road favorite.

49ers are 0-7, but 5-2 vs spread; they’ve got a rookie QB starting now, were outgained 501-290 in this game- four of their last five games went over the total.

Seahawks 24, Giants 7— Seattle had 11-yard edge in field position, held Giants to 46 yards on ground in game Big Blue led 7-3 at the half. Giants’ only TD drive was 17 yards after a turnover; they missed a 47-yard FG when Seahawks led 10-7.

Seahawks’ offensive players were screaming at each other on sideline in first half; Doug Baldwin pushed an assistant coach who tried to intervene, but all of that was probably forgotten when a trick play resulted in a 38-yard TD pass that put Seattle up 17-7 with 9:34 left to play.

Chargers 21, Broncos 0— Chargers won their third game in a row after an 0-4 start; they ran a punt back for a TD for their first score, then had three takeaways in a game where total yardage was 251-242, Denver. Broncos are 0-2 on road, scoring one TD on 23 drives in games against Bills/Chargers; this was only Bolts’ third win in last 14 games against Denver.

Patriots 23, Falcons 7— Atlanta had ball in red zone four times, scored only once, on a TD that made score 23-7 with 4:09 left- they had a short FG blocked, clanked a shorter FG off upright. Falcons lost their last three games after a 3-0 start; luckily for them, there had been only one divisional game played in NFC South so far, so the division race is still up for grabs.

This turned into a fog game in second half, as if the Falcons playing under the cloud of last year’s Super Bowl wasn’t bad enough.

**Udog** · 10-23-2017, 08:06 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, October 23

San Jose @ NY Rangers

Game 51-52
October 23, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
12.139
NY Rangers
10.301
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Rangers
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(-105); Over

Los Angeles @ Toronto

Game 53-54
October 23, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
12.312
Toronto
11.120
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-150
6
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+130); Over

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 23

Kings won four of last five games with Toronto; under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. LA is 3-2 in last five games in this building. Kings won six of their first seven games; over is 4-1 in their last five. LA won both its road games, at San Jose/Columbus. Maple Leafs won six of their first eight games (over 7-1); they’re 3-1 at home, with only loss to the Devils.

Home side won last four Shark-Ranger games; over is 2-0-1 in last three. San Jose lost four of its last five visits to Manhattan. Sharks are 3-4 to start season (over 3-3-1), splitting their only two road games. New York lost seven of their first nine games, with last three going over total. Rangers out five of their seven home games.

NHL

Monday, October 23

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Trend Report
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SAN JOSE @ NY RANGERS
San Jose is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Jose is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose
NY Rangers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose

LOS ANGELES @ TORONTO
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games at home

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**Udog** · 10-23-2017, 08:50 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, October 23

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SAN JOSE (3-4-0-0, 6 pts.) at NY RANGERS (2-5-0-2, 6 pts.) - 10/23/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 399-319 ATS (-119.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 30-14 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 37-51 ATS (-38.9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 119-120 ATS (-74.8 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 132-133 ATS (-85.9 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 2-2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (6-0-0-1, 13 pts.) at TORONTO (6-2-0-0, 12 pts.) - 10/23/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 188-227 ATS (-74.9 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 22-8 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 3-1-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/23

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/23

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