Announcement

**Udog** · 10-18-2017, 07:25 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

More NBA over/under win totals for the coming season:

Minnesota Timberwolves 48.5

Miami Heat 43.5

Philadelphia 76ers 42.5

New York Knicks 30.5

Brooklyn Nets 28.5

Atlanta Hawks 25.5

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……..

13) 5:15 into the Boston Celtics’ season, Gordon Hayward severely injured his leg/ankle when he came down on an attempted alley-oop. It was a gruesome injury, reminiscent of Jason Kendall or Joe Theismann’s grotesque leg injuries.

12) Damn, this is Lebron James’ 15th year in the NBA? Time flies. I remember sitting in a bar having dinner, watching his high school game that ESPN showed. Think Bill Walton was the TV analyst that night; people were excited that Lebron scored 31 points.

Hell, I thought, if he’s going to be in the NBA next year, he SHOULD score 31 points in a high school game, shouldn’t he?

Obviously, Lebron has outperformed those huge expectations; good for him.

11) By the way, sounds like pretty soon, kids will able to go straight from high school to the NBA once again, which helps everyone, except veterans trying to hang on in the G-League.

10) Indianapolis Colts in the fourth quarter this season: they’ve been outscored 85-22, allowing 1,034 yards on 139 plays, an average of 7.4 yards per play.

Colts are 2-4, but they haven’t trailed at halftime since Week 1 against the Rams.

9) Tennessee Titans have 7 takeaways in six games, but they’re the only team in NFL that hasn’t scored a touchdown after one of their takeaways.

Titans-Colts game Monday night had no punts in the first half, the first game in NFL this season without a first half punt.

8) Injured Vikings’ QB Teddy Bridgewater is practicing this week, as he comes back from his severe knee injury; Minnesota has three weeks to decide whether to activate Bridgewater or IR him for the rest of the season. Bridgewater and Sam Bradford are both in the last year of their contracts; Vikings have some interesting decisions ahead of them.

7) Chicago Bulls Bobby Portis and Nikola Mirotic got into a fight today at practice and Mirotic wound up with broken bones in his face; he’s going to be out for a few weeks, at least.

Curious how the analytics geniuses take this into account when they measure Portis, Mirotic as players. There is a human element to sports that can never be quantified— these guys live and travel together for months at a time. Part of being a good teammate is staying out of fights that send yourself or teammates to the hospital.

6) Best red zone offenses in NFL:
Packers 5.68 pts/possession, Eagles 5.56, Cowboys 5.33, Texans 5.25— Aaron Rodgers is gone for the year, so going forward, Green Bay’s numbers figure to drop dramatically.

5) Best offenses on drives starting 75+ yards from end zone:
Saints 2.47, Chiefs 2.46, Titans 2.37, Patriots 2.16

Worst offenses on drives starting 75+ yards from end zone (includes points lost on TD”s scored by the opposing defense):
Colts 0.42, Bengals 0.51, Buccaneers 0.91, Lions 0.97

4) Most plays of 20+ yards this season:
Rams 31, Vikings 30, Patriots/Cardinals 29, Chiefs 27

3) Most TD’s on plays of 20+ yards:
Raiders 8 (out of 13 total TD’s), Chiefs 7 (18 total TD’s), Titans 7 (13 total TD’s), Jets 6 (11 total TD’s), Lions 6 (14 total TD’s)

2) Baseball update:
AL: New York 6, Houston 4— Astros’ bullpen imploded; series is tied 2-2.
NL: Dodgers 6, Cubs 1– Chicago is going down meekly.

1) One of the best days of the year for me is when the Blue Ribbon Yearbook arrives at my door every October; the bible of college basketball, Blue Ribbon has a ton of useful information in it, and it got here Monday. If you like college basketball, it is well worth your time.

**Udog** · 10-18-2017, 07:31 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (4-2-0-0, 8 pts.) at TORONTO (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/18/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 9-23 ATS (-14.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-8 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 21-34 ATS (+59.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 9-20 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-3 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (4-1-0-1, 9 pts.) at ST LOUIS (4-2-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/18/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 434-424 ATS (+879.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 9-8 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 9-8-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.5 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTREAL (1-3-0-1, 3 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (4-0-0-1, 9 pts.) - 10/18/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 2-2-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 18

Toronto won its last four games with Detroit; under is 8-2 in last ten series games. Red Wings are 2-3 in last five games in this building. Detroit won four of its first six games; they’re 3-1 on road- three of their last four games went over. Maple Leafs won five of their first six games (over 5-1); they’re 2-1 at home (over 3-0).

Road team is 6-4 in last ten Chicago-St Louis games; Blackhawks won 3 of last 4 games- they are 3-2 in last five visits to St Louis. Chicago won four of its first six games (over 4-2); they split their two road games. St Louis lost 2-1/5-2 in its last two games after winning their first four; they beat Dallas Stars 4-2 in their only home game. Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Kings are 5-3 in last 8 games with Montreal; home team won five of last seven series games. Over is 3-1-2 in last six series games. Canadiens lost 3 of last 4 games in Staples Center; they lost their last five games overall, outscored 20-7. Over is 3-2 in their last five games. Kings won 4 of their first 5 games (over 2-2-1), winning three of four home games.

NHL

Wednesday, October 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT @ TORONTO
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toronto's last 13 games when playing Detroit

CHICAGO @ ST. LOUIS
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

MONTREAL @ LOS ANGELES
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 11 games on the road
Montreal is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-18-2017, 08:36 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 18

Detroit @ Toronto

Game 1-2
October 18, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
11.599
Toronto
12.695
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
N/A

Chicago @ St. Louis

Game 3-4
October 18, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
11.258
St. Louis
12.343
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-115); Over

Montreal @ Los Angeles

Game 5-6
October 18, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
9.080
Los Angeles
11.532
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 2 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
N/A

Announcement

Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/18

Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/18

Comment

Comment

Comment