Announcement

**Udog** · 10-12-2017, 08:17 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

College football trends for this weekend:

— UConn is 8-19-1 in its last 28 games as a road underdog.

— Ohio U covered eight of its last ten true road games.

— Northern Illinois covered 7 of its last 9 games with Buffalo.

— Florida State covered its last six games against Duke.

— Minnesota covered 6 of its last 7 games with Michigan State.

— Northwestern is 5-10-1 vs spread in its last 16 games as a road favorite.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Red Sox fired John Farrell Wednesday; he went 432-378 as Boston’s manager, winning the World Series in his first season (2013) but winning only one playoff game (1-6) the last four years. Farrell had a health scare with cancer in 2015, but that is behind him now.

If the Red Sox hire Brad Ausmus, who worked with Boston GM Dave Dombrowski in Detroit, then it figures that the GM just thought that Ausmus is a better manager than Farrell.

This Tweet from writer Peter Abraham:
“Dombrowski said Farrell was fired for reasons he won’t disclose and that no level of team success would have prevented that.”

He would’ve fired Farrell even if the Red Sox won the World Series? Hard to believe.

12) Washington 5, Chicago 0- Game 5 is Thursday night at 8 in Washington.
New York 5, Cleveland 2— Indians lost last seven games when they had a chance to wrap up a series. New York-Houston ALCS starts Friday night.

11) New Jersey Giants suspended CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie Wednesday when he came to practice and then went home without practicing- it apparently relates to something that happened on the sidelines during Sunday’s game with the Chargers.

10) Giants also lost 3 of their top 4 WR’s for the season in last week’s loss; of those four, only Sterling Shepard will be playing in Denver this weekend.

9) Utah Jazz big guy Rudy Gobert wears number 27 because he was the 27th pick in the 2013 NBA Draft. Not that he takes it personally or anything.

8) Butler Bulldogs are on their 4th basketball coach in the last six years, and they usually win. Texas Tech is on its 5th coach in eight years. Coaching can be a nomadic profession.

7) Guy named Tony Ressler owns the Atlanta Hawks; he is or was a minority owner of the Milwaukee Brewers. He has been married to actress Jami Gertz for 29 years— she was in movies like Less Than Zero, Sixteen Candles and Twister.

6) Minnesota Timberwolves have the longest active playoff drought in the NBA- 13 years.

5) Tennessee Vols are changing QB’s for their game with South Carolina this week; redshirt freshman Jarrett Guarantano gets the start over sophomore Quinten Dormady, who may transfer from Tennessee as a result of this.

4) Revenge in the CFL this week? On July 29, Calgary embarrassed Hamilton 60-1; Ti-Cats changed coaches shortly after that, and are now 4-2 in their last six games under new coach June Jones. Stampeders visit Hamilton this week on a serious roll; they’ve won 10 games in a row (8-1-1 vs spread).

3) South Alabama (+18) 19, Troy 8— Troy’s last game was an upset win at LSU, but teams that turn the ball over four times (-3) don’t win a whole lot.

2) Louisville brought in former Nevada/LSU coach Trent Johnson as an assistant, then fired assistant coach Jordan Fair, as fallout from the SneakerGate scandal continues to unfold.

1) If you have NBA TV and I think just about everyone does, Open Court is a good show to watch; there are two hour-long shows that were filmed this summer in Las Vegas, one with five NBA owners, the other with five coaches. Educational stuff if you like the NBA.

**Udog** · 10-12-2017, 08:52 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, October 12

Pittsburgh @ Tampa Bay

Game 1-2
October 12, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
10.576
Tampa Bay
12.095
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
N/A

St. Louis @ Florida

Game 3-4
October 12, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
12.219
Florida
10.848
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-105); Under

Dallas @ Nashville

Game 5-6
October 12, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
8.616
Nashville
12.257
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 3 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(-125); Under

Minnesota @ Chicago

Game 7-8
October 12, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
10.346
Chicago
12.756
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-150); Over

Detroit @ Arizona

Game 9-10
October 12, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
10.462
Arizona
9.475
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-105); Under

Winnipeg @ Vancouver

Game 11-12
October 12, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
9.566
Vancouver
12.324
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(+105); Over

Buffalo @ San Jose

Game 13-14
October 12, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
8.906
San Jose
9.850
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(-165); Under

**Udog** · 10-12-2017, 08:53 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 12

Penguins won their last five games with Tampa Bay; they won three of last four games in this building. Over is 7-1 in last eight series games. Pittsburgh won last night in Washington; they won last two games after losing first two (over 2-2). Lightning won two of first three games (over 3-0), winning both home games, 5-3/4-3ot.

Blues are 4-0 to start season, with three road wins (over 2-2); they allowed five goals in last three games. Panthers split pair with Tampa Bay to start season (over 2-0), winning only home game 5-4. Road team won last five St Louis-Florida games; Blues won their last five visits here (under 3-2).

Nashville won three of last four games with Dallas; all four games went over. Dallas Stars lost three of last four visits to Music City. Stars lost two of first three games (over 2-1); they lost 4-2 in St Louis in their only road game. Predators lost two of first three games (over 2-1); they beat Flyers 6-5 in their only home game.

Chicago won its last three games with Minnesota, scoring 13 goals (over 3-0). Wild lost three of last four visits to Windy City. Minnesota lost its first two games 4-2/5-4so (over 2-0); they still haven’t played a home game. Blackhawks won three of first four games; they’re 2-0 at home, outscoring opponents 15-2 (over 2-0).

Road team won five of last six Detroit-Arizona games; Red Wings won last three visits to Arizona, with last two in SO/OT. Over is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Detroit won two of its first three games (over 2-1), splitting pair on road, scoring 2 goals in both road games. Arizona is 0-3 (over 2-1) with two losses to an expansion team; they lost 2-1ot in only home game.

Winnipeg won six of last seven games with Vancouver; home team won seven of last nine series games. Under is 2-0-2 in last four series games. Jets won two of last three visits here. Winnipeg lost two of first three games (over 3-0), splitting pair of road games. Canucks split their first two games, both 3-2 games, both at home (under 2-0).

Buffalo won 8 of its last ten games with the Sharks; they’ve won five of last six visits to San Jose. Under is 3-1-2 in last six series games. Sabres lost first three games (over 2-0-1) by combined score of 15-7; they lost 6-3 in Brooklyn in their only road game. Sharks lost 5-3/4-1 in their first two games, both at home (over 1-0-1).

**Udog** · 10-12-2017, 08:55 AM

NHL

Thursday, October 12

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Trend Report
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8:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. TAMPA BAY
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

8:30 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of St. Louis's last 11 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida's last 11 games when playing at home against St. Louis

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. NASHVILLE
Dallas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Nashville
Nashville is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Dallas
Nashville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

9:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHICAGO
Minnesota is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
Chicago is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Minnesota

11:00 PM
DETROIT vs. ARIZONA
Detroit is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Arizona
Detroit is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

11:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. VANCOUVER
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Vancouver is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Vancouver is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

11:30 PM
BUFFALO vs. SAN JOSE
Buffalo is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Jose
Buffalo is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
San Jose is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
San Jose is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Buffalo

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-12-2017, 09:43 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 12

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PITTSBURGH (2-1-0-1, 5 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/12/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-7 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 7-6-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
10 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.1 Units)

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ST LOUIS (4-0-0-0, 8 pts.) at FLORIDA (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/12/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 13-6 ATS (+19.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 112-90 ATS (+203.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 13-6 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 20-8 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 169-194 ATS (+384.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
FLORIDA is 151-228 ATS (-79.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-2 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-2-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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DALLAS (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) at NASHVILLE (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/12/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 35-50 ATS (-25.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 7-25 ATS (+33.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-21 ATS (-15.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 2-15 ATS (-16.6 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 6-15 ATS (-13.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 191-161 ATS (+24.2 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 35-42 ATS (-29.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 13-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 17-21 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 14-23 ATS (-22.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-4 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-4-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.6 Units)

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MINNESOTA (0-1-0-1, 1 pts.) at CHICAGO (3-0-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/12/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 46-21 ATS (+17.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 343-340 ATS (-76.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-3 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-3-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.2 Units)

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DETROIT (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) at ARIZONA (0-2-0-1, 1 pts.) - 10/12/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 430-323 ATS (-128.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
DETROIT is 120-80 ATS (+24.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
ARIZONA is 28-87 ATS (+169.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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WINNIPEG (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) at VANCOUVER (1-0-0-1, 3 pts.) - 10/12/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 369-342 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-1 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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BUFFALO (0-2-0-1, 1 pts.) at SAN JOSE (0-2-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/12/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 4-16 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 167-145 ATS (-80.1 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 397-317 ATS (-4.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 91-74 ATS (-66.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-2 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 2-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.3 Units)

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Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/12

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/12

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