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Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/9

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  • Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/9

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, October 9

    Good Luck on day #281 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Six most popular picks for Week 5 in the Westgate Super Contest:

    6) Kansas City Chiefs even, 615- W

    5) Buffalo Bills +3, 650- L

    4) Los Angeles Rams -1, 725- L

    3) Houston Texans even, 778- L

    2) Cincinnati Bengals -3, 847- W

    1) Detroit Lions -2.5, 1,053- L

    Season record of top 6 picks: 13-17


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

    Patriots 19, Buccaneers 14— Tampa Bay missed three FG’s; they’ll have a new kicker next week. Bucs had ball on Patriots’ 15-yard line when game ended, but ran out of time. Both teams gained 400+ yards, but combined to score only 27 points on seven red zone drives. Big improvement for New England defense, but they still allowed 409 yards.

    Chargers 27, Giants 22— Manning was sacked/fumbled on his own 11 with 3:46 left, Chargers scored three plays later for their first win of the year. Giants are 0-5 and head to Denver next week without WR Beckham, who broke his ankle. Four of Chargers’ five games were decided by 5 or less points. Giants never got in red zone in this game; their TD’s were on plays of 23-29-48 yards. Chargers are 23-11-1 in last 35 games as a road underdog.

    Bengals 20, Bills 16— Cincy outgained Bills 388-221, but turned ball over three times (-2); they held Buffalo to 3.8 ypa. Both teams scored 13 points on three red zone drives. Buffalo is now +8 in turnovers for the year, but they need their passing game to drive the bus now and then. For the week, individual team over/unders are 14-12 Under heading to Monday night.

    Jets 17, Browns 14— Cleveland changed QB’s at halftime, trailing 3-0; Hogan went 16-19 for 194 yards in two TD’s in 2nd half, would think he is now the #1 guy. Browns had ball in red zone three times, scored zero points, turning ball over twice in red zone in first half, then losing ball on downs in 3rd quarter. Suddenly Jets have won three games in row and tied for first in AFC East with Bills/Patriots. Browns are 4-11 vs spread in last 15 games when favored.

    Jaguars 30, Steelers 9— While the Giants are 0-5, Tom Coughlin’s Jaguars are 3-2- they picked Roethlisberger off five times in this game (+4), with pair of pick-6’s 2:30 apart in third quarter when Steelers led 9-7. Jaguars are +10 in turnovers already. Steelers lost two of last three games; they didn’t score a TD in this game. Jax ran ball for 231 yards; they’ve run ball for 155+ yards in 4 of their 5 games.

    Dolphins 16, Titans 10— Awful offense on both sides; they averaged 3.1, 2.8 ypa- these are NFL teams!!! Dolphins have three TD’s on 42 drives this season- why are they paying Cutler $10M? Backup QB Cassel was 21-32/119 passing for Titans, who lost 57-14 LW. Titans are 8-34 on 3rd down the last three games- they went 3/out on 16 of last 26 drives. Longest play from scrimmage in this game was 17 yards- very rare there is a game with no plays of 20+ yards.

    Colts 26, 49ers 23 (OT)— All three Indy home games have been decided by 3 points; Brissett threw an awful INT in red zone on Colts’ first possession of OT, but Vinatieri bailed them out on next possession, bitting 51-yard FG to send everyone home happy. Colts had 7 plays of 20+ yards, most of any NFL team this week; they had 11-yard edge in field position, but scored only 13 points on four red zone drives. At 2-3, Colts are still alive with QB Luck expected back soon.

    Eagles 34, Cardinals 7— Philly won this game easily, holding Cardinals to 31 rushing yards- they averaged 9.6 ypa. Eagles are 39-73 on 3rd down this year- they’re up 1.5 games in NFC East. Arizona gave up 12 TD’s in their three losses, one each in their wins, by a FG each over Colts/49ers. Cardinals have run ball for only 51.8 yards a game this year- they lost field position by 15 yards in this game. Hard to win that way.

    Panthers (3-1) @ Lions (3-1)— Carolina is now 3-0 on the road, scoring 23-33-27 points. Cam Newton lit Detroit up; he was 26-33/334 passing, averaging over 9.0 ypa for 2nd week in row. Newton lost his Dannon yogurt commercial because of his comment to a woman reporter last week- Dak Prescott takes his place. Detroit was +9 in turnovers coming in; they were -1 here, and lost field position for first time this year.

    Seahawks 16, Rams 10— Los Angeles in the red zone Sunday:
    1st quarter: Lost fumble on 1-yard line
    2nd quarter: Kicked a 34-yard field goal
    3rd quarter: Missed a 35-yard field goal
    3rd quarter: Threw INT on a screen pass
    4th quarter: Lost ball on downs as game ended.

    Thats five trips to red zone, 3 points, a total of five turnovers (-3). Can’t win that way.

    Ram opponents are 24-49 on 3rd down the last three games.

    Ravens 30, Raiders 17— Baltimore’s season so far:
    First two games: +7 turnovers, won 20-0/24-10. Led 17-0/21-7 at half.
    Second two games: -5 turnovers, lost 44-7/26-9. Trailed 23-0/19-0 at half.
    Sunday at Oakland: 8.5 ypa, no turnovers, led 21-3.

    Raiders lost their last three games; their QB has a broken back, and his backup lost his last six NFL starts. Not good.

    Packers 35, Cowboys 31— Aaron Rodgers drove Green Bay 75 yards on nine plays for the winning TD with 0:11 left, after Dallas had taken the lead with 1:13 left. Cowboys led 21-6 at one point, but Rodgers is a great QB- Packers are 4-1 now. Green Bay is now 7-1 in last eight games against the Cowboys, winning last three visits to Dallas, 37-36/34-31/35-31.

    Chiefs 42, Texans 34— JJ Watt broke his leg, which took the air out of the building early on; Kansas City won/covered its first five games, scoring 17 TD’s on 52 drives. Chiefs are 13-2 as a road favorite under Reid. Rookie QB Watson threw five TD passes in a losing cause; in last two years, Cleveland has passed on Wentz, Prescott and Watson- their QB now is Kevin Hogan. Good thing guy that runs their franchise went to an Ivy League school- an educated imbecile.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-09-2017, 12:45 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Dunkel

      Monday, October 9



      Colorado @ Boston

      Game 51-52
      October 9, 2017 @ 1:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Colorado
      11.803
      Boston
      9.411
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Colorado
      by 2 1/2
      6
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Boston
      -210
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Colorado
      (+175); Over

      St. Louis @ NY Islanders


      Game 53-54
      October 9, 2017 @ 1:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      St. Louis
      10.222
      NY Islanders
      12.735
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      NY Islanders
      by 2 1/2
      6
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      NY Islanders
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      NY Islanders
      N/A

      New Jersey @ Buffalo


      Game 55-56
      October 9, 2017 @ 3:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      New Jersey
      8.844
      Buffalo
      11.447
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Buffalo
      by 2 1/2
      4
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Buffalo
      -130
      5
      Dunkel Pick:
      Buffalo
      (-130); Under

      Chicago @ Toronto


      Game 57-58
      October 9, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Chicago
      13.394
      Toronto
      11.827
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Chicago
      by 1 1/2
      5
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Chicago
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      Chicago
      N/A

      Washington @ Tampa Bay


      Game 59-60
      October 9, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Washington
      10.094
      Tampa Bay
      13.562
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Tampa Bay
      by 3 1/2
      7
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Tampa Bay
      -120
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Tampa Bay
      (-120); Over

      Winnipeg @ Edmonton


      Game 61-62
      October 9, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Winnipeg
      9.602
      Edmonton
      11.493
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Edmonton
      by 2
      6
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Edmonton
      -170
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Edmonton
      (-170); Over

      Calgary @ Anaheim


      Game 63-64
      October 9, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Calgary
      9.044
      Anaheim
      12.654
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Anaheim
      by 3 1/2
      4
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Anaheim
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      Anaheim
      N/A
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-09-2017, 12:46 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Monday, October 9


        Road team won 9 of last 10 Colorado-Boston games; Avalanche won four of last six, winning last five visits to Beantown. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games. Colorado split its first two games this season, both on road (over 1-0-1). Bruins won their opener 4-3 over Nashville at home Thursday.

        Home side won 7 of last 10 St Louis-Islander games; New York won three of last four meetings (under 3-1). Blues lost 2-1/3-2 in their last two visits here. St Louis won its first two games this season, scoring nine goals (over 2-0). Islanders split their first two games (over 1-1), beating Buffalo 6-3 at home Saturday.

        Devils won eight of last nine games with Buffalo, winning last four visits to western NY by a combined score of 11-5. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games. New Jersey won its opener 4-1 at home over Colorado. Sabres lost their first two games 6-3/3-2so (over 1-0-1).

        Chicago won its last five games with Toronto; last two went OT/SO. Blackhawks won 4-1/2-1ot in their last two visits here. Under is 4-2 in last six series games. Chicago scored 15 goals in winning its first two games, both at home (over 2-0). Maple Leafs also scored 15 goals in winning their first two games (over 2-0), one at home, one on road.

        Washington won 7 of its last 8 games with Tampa Bay, winning three of last four visits here. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Caps scored 11 goals in winning their first two games, including a SO win in Ottawa (over 2-0). Lightning split a pair of games with Florida to open their season (over 2-0)- home team won both games.

        Edmonton won its last four games with Winnipeg; road team won four of last five meetings. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games. Teams split last four series games played here. Jets lost 6-3/7-2 in their first two games this season (over 2-0). Oilers split their first two games, with home team winning both (under 2-0).

        Anaheim won its last seven games with Calgary; they swept the Flames out of the playoffs last spring. Calgary lost its last five visits to Orange County by combined score of 21-9 (under is 2-0-2 in last four). Flames split their first two games (over 1-1), with home team winning both. Ducks split their first two games, both of which were at home (over 1-1).
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-09-2017, 12:47 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL

          Monday, October 9


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          2:00 PM
          COLORADO vs. BOSTON
          Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
          The total has gone OVER in 11 of Colorado's last 15 games
          Boston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
          Boston is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games at home

          2:00 PM
          ST. LOUIS vs. NY ISLANDERS
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 11 of St. Louis's last 15 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Islanders last 8 games at home
          NY Islanders are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games at home

          4:00 PM
          NEW JERSEY vs. BUFFALO
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
          New Jersey is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
          Buffalo is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing New Jersey
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing New Jersey

          8:00 PM
          CHICAGO vs. TORONTO
          Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
          Chicago is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games
          Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago

          8:30 PM
          WASHINGTON vs. TAMPA BAY
          Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
          The total has gone OVER in 13 of Washington's last 17 games when playing Tampa Bay
          Tampa Bay is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing at home against Washington

          10:00 PM
          WINNIPEG vs. EDMONTON
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing Edmonton
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
          Edmonton is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home

          11:00 PM
          CALGARY vs. ANAHEIM
          Calgary is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          Calgary is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
          Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
          Anaheim is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-09-2017, 12:49 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NHL
            Long Sheet

            Monday, October 9


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            COLORADO (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at BOSTON (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/9/2017, 1:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            COLORADO is 23-61 ATS (+105.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            COLORADO is 7-26 ATS (+42.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
            COLORADO is 117-93 ATS (+217.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
            COLORADO is 185-218 ATS (+471.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
            COLORADO is 12-7 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
            BOSTON is 12-17 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            COLORADO is 2-2 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
            BOSTON is 2-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ST LOUIS (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/9/2017, 1:05 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NY ISLANDERS is 3-1 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
            NY ISLANDERS is 3-1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NEW JERSEY (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at BUFFALO (0-1-0-1, 1 pts.) - 10/9/2017, 3:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            BUFFALO is 19-11 ATS (+31.5 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NEW JERSEY is 5-1 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
            NEW JERSEY is 5-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.4 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CHICAGO (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) at TORONTO (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/9/2017, 7:05 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            CHICAGO is 4-0 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
            CHICAGO is 4-0-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            WASHINGTON (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/9/2017, 7:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            WASHINGTON is 126-65 ATS (+19.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            TAMPA BAY is 13-25 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            WASHINGTON is 5-1 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
            WASHINGTON is 5-1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            WINNIPEG (0-2-0-0, 0 pts.) at EDMONTON (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/9/2017, 9:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            EDMONTON is 182-174 ATS (-34.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
            EDMONTON is 78-89 ATS (-65.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            EDMONTON is 5-1 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
            EDMONTON is 5-1-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
            5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.0 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CALGARY (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at ANAHEIM (1-0-0-1, 3 pts.) - 10/9/2017, 10:05 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            ANAHEIM is 13-1 (+12.5 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
            ANAHEIM is 13-1-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
            7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-09-2017, 12:50 PM.

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