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**Udog** · 10-06-2017, 10:08 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

NFL trends to ponder with Week 5 upon us……..

— Cardinals are 3-12 vs spread in their last 15 games.

— Oakland is 11-25 in its last 36 games as a home favorite.

— Kansas City covered eight of its last nine games.

— Packers are 4-11 in last 15 games as an underdog.

— Carolina is 16-6 in its last 22 games as a road underdog.

— Giants covered 7 of last 9 games against AFC opponents.

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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I’m looking for this weekend…….

13) Green Bay won six of last seven games vs Dallas, beating Cowboys in playoffs two of last three years; they won 37-36/34-31 in last two visits to Big D. 4:25 game on FOX will be a big one, mainly because Dallas is 2-2 after going 13-3 last season.

12) Miami-Florida State was rescheduled to here after the hurricanes last month; now there is the threat of more rain. Miami scored 83 points in winning its first two I-A games, but they’ve lost their last seven games with Florida State.

11) Bengals got their first win last week; they led by 2 TD’s at halftime in Green Bay the week before, but lost in overtime. Cincy needs to beat the 3-1 Bills here; they’re 6-2-1 in their last nine pre-bye games. Bills have allowed only 13.5 ppg in their 3-1 start.

10) LSU had some players-only meetings this week after their loss to Troy State; players-only meetings are not a good sign. Neither is the AD meeting with the coaches during the week. Florida lost one of its QB’s for the year LW; Gators won their first three SEC games despite nine their players still under suspensions. This should be a very interesting game.

9) Something has to give in Swamp Stadium, with 0-4 Chargers visiting 0-4 Giants. 14 years ago, the Chargers drafted Eli Manning, but Manning’s family didn’t want Eli playing for San Diego, so the Chargers traded him to New Jersey. Otherwise, Ben Roethlisberger would’ve likely become a Giant instead of a Steeler.

8) Utah is 4-0, but three of their next four games are against Stanford, USC, Oregon, so we’ll know everything we need to know about the Utes after that stretch.

7) Jets will be a surprising 3-2 if they can beat the winless Browns in Cleveland this week. Jets ran ball for 256 yards last week. Browns are -6 in turnovers already; they allowed 9.0/8.0 ypa in their last two games.

6) Michigan State is 7-2 in its last nine games with Michigan (9-0 vs spread); Wolverines’ defense has allowed 13.5 ppg, and they’ve played a decent schedule so far. This is first road game for the Spartans, who are 3-1— both teams are really young.

5) Seahawks-Rams is suddenly a big game with playoff implications in the NFC West. If the good guy— I mean, if the Rams win, they’ll be two games ahead of Seattle.

4) It’ll likely be a somber crowd in Las Vegas for the San Diego State-UNLV game, the first big outdoor event in Vegas since the shootings Sunday night. Aztecs are 5-0 and on a serious roll. UNLV is 2-2; this will be a great test for them.

3) Arizona won five of last six games with Philly, winning 40-17 in last visit here two years ago, but Cardinals are only 2-2 this year, with FG wins over Colts/49ers- shaky. Eagles won their last two games by a total of five points- this should be a good game.

2) Washington State won its last two games with Oregon, 52-33/45-38; they’ve covered their last seven games against the Ducks. This is Wazzu’s first true road game, coming off their emotional win over USC last week.

1) Chiefs are the only unbeaten team left in the NFL; short week for them here. KC won/covered their first four games, scoring 14 TD’s on 42 drives- they haven’t turned ball over in their last 3 games. Houston found itself a QB with rookie Watson- they scored 90 points in last two games.

**Udog** · 10-06-2017, 10:15 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Friday, October 6

NY Islanders @ Columbus

Game 1-2
October 6, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
9.835
Columbus
12.311
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-145
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(-145); Over

Florida @ Tampa Bay

Game 3-4
October 6, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
12.684
Tampa Bay
10.926
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-160
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+140); Over

Vegas @ Dallas

Game 5-6
October 6, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
9.000
Dallas
10.576
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-240
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-240); Over

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, October 6

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NY ISLANDERS (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) at COLUMBUS (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/6/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 26-9 ATS (+14.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 11-3 ATS (+14.3 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 6-3 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 6-3-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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FLORIDA (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/6/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 6-3 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 6-3-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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VEGAS (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) at DALLAS (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/6/2017, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 6

Columbus won three of last four games against the Islanders; home team won four of last five series games. Islanders lost 7-0/6-2 in last two visits here. Four of last five series games went over. This is season opener for both teams.

Florida won six of last nine games with Tampa Bay; home team won seven of last eight series games. Panthers lost their last two visits to Tampa Bay, both by a goal. Last three series games stayed under the total. This is season opener for both sides.

First-ever game for the Vegas Knights, so nothing to write here. Dallas Stars missed the playoffs last year. This is season opener for both sides.

NHL

Friday, October 6

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. COLUMBUS
NY Islanders are 5-11-1 SU in their last 17 games ,when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Islanders last 5 games when playing Columbus
Columbus is 11-5 SU in their last 16 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing NY Islanders

8:30 PM
FLORIDA vs. TAMPA BAY
Florida is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Tampa Bay's last 16 games when playing at home against Florida
Tampa Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Florida

9:30 PM
LAS VEGAS vs. DALLAS
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Dallas's last 17 games at home
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 10-06-2017, 10:18 AM

NHL

Friday, October 6

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NHL Game of the Day: Golden Knights at Stars
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Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars (-260, 5.5)

The NHL's 31st team drops the puck on its inaugural season Friday as the expansion Vegas Golden Knights pay a visit to American Airlines Center to face the Dallas Stars. Three-time Stanley Cup champion Marc-Andre Fleury joins a host of others selected in June's expansion draft as the Golden Knights vie to give their home city a reason to smile as it deals with the aftermath of an unspeakable tragedy.

"I still get those butterflies and still get nervous every once in a while. To be a part of a historic game like that will be pretty amazing. I'm looking forward to it," the 32-year-old Fleury told Las Vegas Weekly. While Fleury backstopped Pittsburgh to at least 30 wins in eight of his 13 seasons, Dallas has been aching for stability in net for quite some time. The Stars, who posted the fourth-highest goals-against average (2.98) last season, addressed their longtime weakness by trading for the rights to Ben Bishop and signing the two-time Vezina Trophy finalist to a six-year, $29.5 million contract. Dallas added several new faces in the offseason but welcomed back a familiar one as coach Lindy Ruff was replaced by Ken Hitchcock, who guided the team to the 1999 Stanley Cup.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ROOT (Vegas), FSN Southwest (Dallas)

LINE HISTORY: The Golden Knights face long odds in the first game in franchise history as Sports Interaction opened the Stars as -250 favorites and they have since moved up to the current number of -260. The total hit the board at 5.5.

GOALIE SHOWDOWN:

Marc-Andre Fleury (VEG) vs. Ben Bishop (DAL)

GP
W
L
OTL
GAA
SAVE%
SO
FLEURY (2016-17)
38
18
10
7
3.02
.909
1
BISHOP (2016-17)
39
18
15
5
2.54
.910
1

INJURY REPORT:

Golden Knights - LW James Neal (Questionable Friday, hand), D Clayton Stoner (Mid October, undisclosed)

Stars - C Martin Hanzal (Questionable Friday, ankle)

ABOUT THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS: The true X-factor on a team full of questions may very well be top-line center Vadim Shipachyov, who Vegas is betting on translating his considerable success in the Kontinental Hockey League to the NHL. The Russian import recorded a KHL third-best 76 points last season for SKA St. Petersburg and joins former 40-goal scorer James Neal on an offense that is expected to struggle out of the gate. The focus of general manager George McPhee and respected coach Gerard Gallant at the expansion draft was on stockpiling draft picks as well as stacking the defense, notably Shea Theodore (Anaheim), Nate Schmidt (Washington) and Jason Garrison (Tampa Bay).

ABOUT THE STARS (2016-17: 34-37-11, 6th in Central Division): Dallas was quite active with the checkbook this offseason as it inked Alexander Radulov to a five-year, $31.25 million deal to add extra firepower to an offense that features Tyler Seguin (team co-leading 26 goals, 72 points) and former Hart Trophy winner Jamie Benn (26 goals). Towering 6-foot-6 center Martin Hanzal signed a three-year, $14.25 million deal and can contribute at both ends of the ice, which likely will bring a smile to the face of the defensive-minded Hitchcock. Blue-liner John Klingberg's offensive numbers dipped last season, but the addition of Marc Methot should aid in helping a Stars' defense that finished 29th in goals against.

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Announcement

Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/6

Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/6

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