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Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/5

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  • Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, October 5

    Good Luck on day #277 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo:Thursday's six-pack

    — Titans’ QB Marcus Mariota is day-to-day with a hamstring injury.

    — Minnesota’s Taj Gibson will be the first NBA player EVER to wear uniform #67.

    — UTEP football coach Sean Kugler resigned this week, replaced by former Washington State coach Mike Price, who was also UTEP’s coach from 2004-12.

    — Atlanta’s Ersan Ilyasova led the NBA in charges drawn last year, with 36.

    — Texas Rangers fired their bullpen coach; obviously this season was all his fault.

    — Arizona 11, Colorado 8— Diamondbacks move on to face the Dodgers in next round.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……..

    13) With Giants playing the Chargers this weekend, Eli Manning faces the team that drafted him; Manning then forced a trade to the Giants by saying he didn’t want to play in San Diego.

    Ben Roethlisberger was also drafted in the first round that year: career playoff records of the three QB’s who are linked together in history:

    Roethlisberger (last of the 3 taken) 13-7, Manning 8-4, Rivers 4-5.

    Some NFL notes looking at how teams do on the first drive of each half:
    12) Jaguars/Packers are the only NFL teams who scored on the first drive of all their games; three FG’s and a TD for both teams.

    11) Bills-Bears-Colts are the three teams who haven’t scored on the first drive of a half; Falcons-Broncos-Giants are the three teams that haven’t allowed a point on the first drive of a half.

    10) On the first drive of their 8 halves this season, Detroit Lions have run 41 plays for 109 yards, 3 points; they’ve been outgained 298-109, outscored 17-3 by their opponents on 1st drives.

    9) NFL defines “explosive plays” as running plays longer than 11 yards, passing plays longer than 15 yards. Teams with the most this year: Patriots 48, Rams 43, Cardinals 39, Falcons 38

    Teams with fewest explosive plays: Dolphins 13 (in 3 games), Ravens 17, Bengals 23.

    8) From Gil Brandt: Since 1990, 28 of 196 NFL teams that started season 1-3 made the playoffs, with 2001 Patriots the only one of those 28 teams to win the Super Bowl.

    Elsewhere…….
    7) Toronto declined Jose Bautista’s option; he will be 37 in a couple weeks- he hit .203 this year. Will be interesting to see what kind of a contract he gets for next year.

    6) According to ***********, under has hit 55.1% of October NHL games the last four years.

    5) 8 guys from last year’s NBA All-Star Game changed teams in the off-season; that seems like a lot.

    4) Nevada Wolf Pack has 11 transfers on its roster; five are sitting out this season, six will be playing. Eric Musselman hasn’t recruited many freshmen in his tenure at Reno.

    3) Former Purdue hooper Robbie Hummel retired from playing, will be an analyst for the Big Ten Network and ESPN.

    2) Willie Reed signed a 3-year, $15M contract with the Miami Heat that was voided because he was represented by an agent who wasn’t certified by the NBA. Now he is on the Clippers, with a one-year deal for the minimum salary. Lot of leeches in the world, when there is money involved.

    1) If you had the Chiefs as the last unbeaten team in the NFL, you’re a hell of a lot smarter than I am.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Dunkel

      Thursday, October 5


      Montreal @ Buffalo

      Game 51-52
      October 5, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Montreal
      8.718
      Buffalo
      12.324
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Buffalo
      by 3 1/2
      4
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Montreal
      -130
      5
      Dunkel Pick:
      Buffalo
      (+110); Under

      Nashville @ Boston


      Game 53-54
      October 5, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Nashville
      11.467
      Boston
      10.059
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Nashville
      by 1 1/2
      5
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Boston
      -130
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Nashville
      (+110); Under

      Colorado @ NY Rangers


      Game 55-56
      October 5, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Colorado
      9.828
      NY Rangers
      10.840
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      NY Rangers
      by 1
      7
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      NY Rangers
      -200
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      NY Rangers
      (-200); Over

      Washington @ Ottawa


      Game 57-58
      October 5, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Washington
      12.792
      Ottawa
      9.452
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Washington
      by 3 1/2
      7
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Washington
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      Washington
      N/A

      Minnesota @ Detroit


      Game 59-60
      October 5, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Minnesota
      9.130
      Detroit
      12.632
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Detroit
      by 3 1/2
      5
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Minnesota
      -140
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Detroit
      (+120); Under

      Pittsburgh @ Chicago


      Game 61-62
      October 5, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Pittsburgh
      12.460
      Chicago
      10.046
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Pittsburgh
      by 2 1/2
      4
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Pittsburgh
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      Pittsburgh
      N/A

      Philadelphia @ Los Angeles


      Game 63-64
      October 5, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Philadelphia
      9.445
      Los Angeles
      12.771
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Los Angeles
      by 3 1/2
      6
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Los Angeles
      -165
      5
      Dunkel Pick:
      Los Angeles
      (-165); Over

      Arizona @ Anaheim


      Game 65-66
      October 5, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Arizona
      10.572
      Anaheim
      11.997
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Anaheim
      by 1 1/2
      7
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Anaheim
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      Anaheim
      N/A

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Thursday, October 5


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MONTREAL (49-29-0-10, 108 pts.) at BUFFALO (33-37-0-12, 78 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BUFFALO is 277-247 ATS (+19.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MONTREAL is 5-4-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NASHVILLE (55-36-0-13, 123 pts.) at BOSTON (46-32-0-10, 102 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NASHVILLE is 34-40 ATS (-20.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        BOSTON is 11-17 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NASHVILLE is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
        NASHVILLE is 3-1-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.1 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        COLORADO (22-56-0-4, 48 pts.) at NY RANGERS (54-32-0-8, 116 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        COLORADO is 22-60 ATS (+103.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        NY RANGERS are 21-7 ATS (+11.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
        COLORADO is 116-92 ATS (+215.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NY RANGERS is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        NY RANGERS is 3-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WASHINGTON (62-24-0-9, 133 pts.) at OTTAWA (55-36-0-10, 120 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 7:35 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WASHINGTON is 5-1 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
        WASHINGTON is 5-1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.3 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MINNESOTA (50-27-0-10, 110 pts.) at DETROIT (33-36-0-13, 79 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 7:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        DETROIT is 18-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DETROIT is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        DETROIT is 2-2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PITTSBURGH (66-28-0-13, 145 pts.) at CHICAGO (50-26-0-10, 110 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 8:35 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CHICAGO is 4-0 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
        CHICAGO is 4-0-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PHILADELPHIA (39-33-0-10, 88 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (39-35-0-8, 86 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 10:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PHILADELPHIA is 241-255 ATS (-91.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
        LOS ANGELES is 39-43 ATS (-5.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        LOS ANGELES is 16-18 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LOS ANGELES is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        LOS ANGELES is 3-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARIZONA (30-42-0-10, 70 pts.) at ANAHEIM (56-29-0-14, 126 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 10:05 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ARIZONA is 4-5 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
        ANAHEIM is 5-4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Thursday, October 5


          Montreal won four of its last six games with Buffalo; visitors are 6-4 in last ten series games. Canadiens won three of last five visits here. Over is 4-2-3 in last nine series games. Montreal lost in six games to the Rangers in LY’s playoffs, scoring total of 4 goals in losing last three games. Sabres didn’t make the playoffs; they lost five of their last six games.

          Home side won 8 of last 10 Nashville-Boston games; Predators lost four of last five visits to Boston. Last four series games stayed under the total. Nashville lost Stanley Cup final LY; they got shut out in last two games. Bruins lost in six games to Ottawa LY; four of last five games in series went overtime.

          Colorado lost four of last five games with the Rangers; road team won five of last six series tilts. Avalanche are 3-2 in last five visits to Manhattan- they missed the playoffs LY; losing 8 of their last ten games. Rangers lost to Ottawa in six games in LY’s playoffs.

          Washington won 7 of its last 9 games with Ottawa; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Caps are 3-2 in last five visits to Ottawa. Washington lost in 7 games to the Penguins in the playoffs LY- they won four of last five road games. Senators also lost to Pittsburgh in seven games, losing Game 7 of the Eastern Conference final in OT.

          Minnesota lost four of last six games with Detroit; home side won last four series games. Over is 4-2-3 in last nine series games. Wild lost last three visits to Motor City, all by one goal- they lost to St Louis in five games in playoffs LY. Red Wings didn’t make playoffs LY, which is rare; they lost five of their last seven games.

          Pittsburgh won the last two Stanley Cups, but they’ve lost six games in a row to Chicago, losing last five visits to Windy City, scoring one goal in each of last four. Penguins raised Stanley Cup banner at home last night, before they lost in OT to St Louis. Blackhawks lost their last four regular season games, then got swept out of playoffs by Nashville in four straight.

          Philadelphia lost three of its last four games with Los Angeles; road team lost 8 of last 10 series games. Flyers won three of last four visits to Staples Center. Under is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Philly won 5-3 in San Jose last night. Kings didn’t make playoffs LY; they were 4-5 in their last nine games.

          Arizona lost five of last six games with Anaheim; they were outscored 13-5 in losing last three visits to the Pond. Over is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Coyotes didn’t make playoffs LY; they lost four of their last five road games. Ducks lost in six games in the playoffs to Nashville last spring.

          Comment


          • #6
            NHL

            Thursday, October 5


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            8:00 PM
            COLORADO vs. NY RANGERS
            Colorado is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Rangers last 6 games when playing Colorado
            NY Rangers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Colorado

            8:00 PM
            MONTREAL vs. BUFFALO
            Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home

            8:00 PM
            NASHVILLE vs. BOSTON
            Nashville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 12 games at home
            Boston is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games

            8:30 PM
            MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
            Minnesota is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
            Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
            The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota

            8:30 PM
            WASHINGTON vs. OTTAWA
            Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Washington's last 23 games when playing Ottawa
            Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington

            9:30 PM
            PITTSBURGH vs. CHICAGO
            Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing on the road against Chicago
            Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chicago's last 11 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

            11:00 PM
            ARIZONA vs. ANAHEIM
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games
            Anaheim is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
            Anaheim is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home

            11:00 PM
            PHILADELPHIA vs. LOS ANGELES
            Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
            Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Los Angeles's last 15 games when playing Philadelphia


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            Comment

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