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  • Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/4

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, October 4

    Good Luck on day #276 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    — To football/TV guys: Please show number of plays run instead of time of possession– that is the better stat.

    — NFL reduced Chicago LB Danny Trevathan’s suspension from 2 games to 1, for his hit on a Packers’ WR last Thursday.

    — Indy QB Andrew Luck is back at practice with the Colts this week; not full-tilt, but his return to game action might not be too far away.

    — Big 14 hasn’t won a national title in basketball since Michigan State in 2000.

    — Buffalo Sabres signed star Jack Eichel to an 8-year, $80M contract extension.

    — NBA All-Star Game this winter will have teams chosen by the two players who get the most votes. NFL tried that with the Pro Bowl; it didn’t go well.


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……

    13) I’ll apologize up front if the first part of today’s Den is preachy or overly political, but I’m pretty sad about all the shootings in our country recently. This shouldn’t be happening.

    The 2nd Amendment was written in 1791, 226 years ago. Bicycles hadn’t been invented yet, so some of the laws passed then are obsolete now.

    Our gun laws are outdated; we need to ban automatic weapons and assault rifles and any guns that are only useful in wars. 58 people died for no reason Sunday night; little kids died a few years ago in a school shooting. This isn’t acceptable.

    If you’re a hunter, you’re not killing a deer or a rabbit with a freakin’ assault rifle- they are used by people who are involved in a war. They should be illegal in our country.

    12) The National Rifle Association (NRA) is really powerful; they’ve got lot of politicians in their pockets, which is why our gun laws are stupid.

    At some point when the mourning is over in Las Vegas, our politicians have to do their jobs and put a lid on the horrible weapons that are killing our own citizens. Please?!?!?!?

    11) It takes onions to be a policeman or a fireman, seriously. You have to have a lot of guts to to walk into the line of fire when everyone else is running away from it, so credit to the police in Las Vegas who saved a lot of people Sunday night.

    No one is perfect; not all cops are perfect, but dammit, they do a hell of a job protecting us and deserve our thanks. So….thank you!!!

    10) Something I learned this week; When you donate blood, it expires after 42 days. So many people donated blood in Las Vegas this week, but six weeks from now, they’re going to need more. Giving blood doesn’t cost us anything and it is badly needed, so we should do that.

    On to some of the fun things in life…….
    9) Los Angeles Rams are first NFL team since the 1954 Giants to lead the NFL in scoring thru four games, when they finished last in scoring the year before.

    8) JD Martinez is the first big leaguer since Johnny Bench in 1970 to hit 45+ homers in a season and not get hit by a pitch that season.

    7) Detroit Lions are +9 in turnovers already, with 11 takeaways in four games; thats a lot.

    6) San Antonio Spurs star Kawhi Leonard will sit out the whole preseason as he recovers from a quad injury. Regular season starts in two weeks.

    5) NFL stashes a lot of its less attractive games in Weeks 5-7, during the baseball playoffs. Wth 256 games in an NFL season, they’re all not great games. How they make the schedule is a very interesting subject- their marquee games are in primetime or later on in the season.

    4) Kermit Davis is the basketball coach at Middle Tennessee State, a very good mid-major team but not like they’re Gonzaga or VCU. Coach Davis makes $750,000 a year— that surprised me. MTSU must have some very well-heeled boosters who love basketball.

    3) I enjoyed watching the Miami Marlins this season; with Stanton-Ozuna-Urena on my fantasy team, I watched just about all their games. Not the best team, but they seemed like a bunch of good guys who genuinely like each other and enjoyed playing ball together. Was fun to see.

    2) One thing about baseball on TV; if you want to learn about your team, watch the first game of a series, with the OTHER TEAM’s ANNOUNCERS. TV/radio people talk before each series, to clue each other in on their teams, so all the broadcasts are more informed.

    If Team B’s announcers say something that is critical of a player on Team A, chances are 95% it came from one of Team A’s announcers. Team B’s TV guys are slow to criticize the home team, but not so much when it comes to criticizing Team A and as a viewer, you can learn that way.

    1) Russell Westbrook and Stephen Curry both signed 5-year, $205M contracts; with an 82-game regular season, that means those two are both making $500,000 a game!!!!

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Dunkel

      Wednesday, October 4


      Toronto @ Winnipeg

      Game 1-2
      October 4, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Toronto
      12.658
      Winnipeg
      10.158
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Toronto
      by 2 1/2
      4
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Toronto
      -115
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Toronto
      (-115); Under

      St. Louis @ Pittsburgh


      Game 3-4
      October 4, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      St. Louis
      11.337
      Pittsburgh
      13.522
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Pittsburgh
      by 2
      4
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Pittsburgh
      -185
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Pittsburgh
      (-185); Under

      Calgary @ Edmonton


      Game 5-6
      October 4, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Calgary
      10.941
      Edmonton
      12.322
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Edmonton
      by 1 1/2
      5
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Edmonton
      -175
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Edmonton
      (-175); Under

      Philadelphia @ San Jose


      Game 7-8
      October 4, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Philadelphia
      10.689
      San Jose
      11.959
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      San Jose
      by 1 1/2
      5
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Jose
      -160
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      San Jose
      (-160); Under





      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Wednesday, October 4


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TORONTO (42-28-0-18, 102 pts.) at WINNIPEG (40-35-0-7, 87 pts.) - 10/4/2017, 7:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WINNIPEG is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      WINNIPEG is 3-1-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.1 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ST LOUIS (52-34-0-7, 111 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (66-28-0-13, 145 pts.) - 10/4/2017, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ST LOUIS is 163-158 ATS (+338.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
      ST LOUIS is 121-86 ATS (+34.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ST LOUIS is 2-2 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
      PITTSBURGH is 2-2-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CALGARY (45-36-0-5, 95 pts.) at EDMONTON (54-30-0-11, 119 pts.) - 10/4/2017, 10:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      EDMONTON is 6-3 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
      EDMONTON is 6-3-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.1 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PHILADELPHIA (39-33-0-10, 88 pts.) at SAN JOSE (48-32-0-8, 104 pts.) - 10/4/2017, 10:35 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SAN JOSE is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
      SAN JOSE is 3-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NHL
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Wednesday, October 4


      Not much to go on in the NHL until a few games are played, but I’ll give you what I’ve got.

      Series records
      Jets are 8-2 in last ten games with Toronto; both Toronto wins were in OT. Leafs lost last five visits to Manitoba. Last ten series games all went over the total. Five of last nine series games were decided in OT or SO. Jets won their last seven games LY but missed playoffs. Toronto lost a playoff series to Washington in six games, five of which went to OT.

      Blues are 6-4 in last ten games with Pittsburgh; road team was 7-3 in those games. St Louis won four of last five visits to Steel City (under 3-1-1). Blues were ousted from playoffs in six games by Nashville last spring; Penguins won another Stanley Cup.

      Edmonton won its last four games with rival Calgary, scoring 19 goals; over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Oilers won three of last four games in the Saddledome. Calgary lost seven of its last eight games LY. Edmonton lost a 7-game series to Anaheim, after winning first two games the road.

      Sharks won 8 of last 10 games with Philly; 3 of last 5 series games went to OT. Flyers were outscored 7-3 in losing their last three visits to the Shark Tank. Under is 5-1 in last six series games. Philly lost three of its last four games LY. San Jose lost to Edmonton in six games in last spring’s playoffs.




      NHL

      Wednesday, October 4


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      8:00 PM
      TORONTO vs. WINNIPEG
      Toronto is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Winnipeg
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
      Winnipeg is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
      Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

      9:00 PM
      ST. LOUIS vs. PITTSBURGH
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
      St. Louis is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games on the road
      Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
      Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

      11:00 PM
      CALGARY vs. EDMONTON
      Calgary is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Calgary's last 13 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
      Edmonton is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Calgary
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Edmonton's last 13 games when playing at home against Calgary

      11:30 PM
      PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN JOSE
      Philadelphia is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
      Philadelphia is 2-17-2 SU in its last 21 games ,when playing San Jose
      San Jose is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing Philadelphia
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia


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