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**Udog** · 05-07-2017, 10:15 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Odds to win the Big 14 football title this coming fall:
9-5 Ohio State
12-5: Michigan
13-5: Wisconsin, Penn State
15-1: Northwestern Nebraska
7-1: West Virginia
16-1: Michigan State
20-1: Iowa
40-1: Minnesota
60-1: Indiana
125-1: Illinois, Maryland, Purdue
200-1: Rutgers

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Random stuff for a soggy Sunday……

13) Busy day today; finally had enough with the keyboard on my MacBook Pro, took it back to the Apple Store and it is in the shop for a week or so—we’ll make do with our backup laptop until then.

It is nice to be able to type the letter “t” without wanting to throw something.

12) Should go buy Apple stock; when are their stores not crowded? They make a ton of money and their products aren’t even that durable.

11) One of the guys who owns Always Dreaming, the horse who won the Kentucky Derby, also owns the NHL’s Florida Panthers.

10) Adrian Gonzalez has played in 1,833 major league games over 14 years; this is the first time he has gone on the disabled list.

9) Michael Ynoa threw six scoreless innings of relief for the Orioles Friday, the first pitcher to throw 100+ pitches in relief and not allow a run since Randy Johnson in 2001- the Big Unit struck 17 batters that day.

8) Way of the world now: 67 players will attend the NBA Draft Combine; only 18 of them are college seniors.

7) Matt Albers got a save for Washington Friday in his 461st major league game, the 103rd one he has finished- that was the 2nd most games finished without ever saving a game. Now he has one.

6) Quick Albers story: April 2011, I’m in Las Vegas and Albers is on the Red Sox. He comes into a game in Kansas City in relief of Daniel Bard, who Bobby Valentine was trying to make into a starter—I had added Bard on my fantasy team.

This was one of Bard’s best starts for Boston (he didn’t have many); I’m supposed to be across the street at Battista’s meeting friends for dinner, but I wait to see if Albers can get out of this inning- I needed Bard to become a decent starter.

Nope. Billy Butler hit a ball off Albers that might still be going; by the time it landed over the fountains, I was already halfway across the street, headed to dinner. Totally unsure how Albers is still in the big leagues, but there he is and on a good team.

5) Texas Rangers TV analyst Tom Grieve was saying this weekend that the quality of the wood in bats has to be much worse now than when he played in the 70’s. Couple of bats in the Texas-Seattle game Friday splintered into pieces, making Grieve laugh.

4) 30 Cuban players played in the major leagues last year; so far in five weeks this year, 20 Cubans have already appeared in the big leagues.

3) Miami Marlins’ pitching staff is in shambles; they’re starting a reliever Sunday- their spot starter Saturday, Odrisamer Despaigne, allowed six runs in the first inning and Miami never even had a reliever warming up.

2) I’m curious as to how many people have played the President of the United States in a movie; has to be a pretty high number.

1) A 5-star recruit named Kevin Knox chose Kentucky Saturday over a bunch of schools, including Florida State, his father’s alma mater. You can make the argument that John Calipari is the best recruiter………ever.

**Udog** · 05-07-2017, 10:46 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, May 7

Anaheim @ Edmonton

Game 65-66
May 7, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
12.388
Edmonton
11.323
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-130
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
(+110); Over

St. Louis @ Nashville

Game 63-64
May 7, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
10.874
Nashville
12.725
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-165
5
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(-165); Under

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, May 7

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ST LOUIS (52-33-0-7, 111 pts.) at NASHVILLE (48-31-0-12, 108 pts.) - 5/7/2017, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 238-193 ATS (+447.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 197-170 ATS (+13.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 28-17 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NASHVILLE is 20-10 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 111-83 ATS (+0.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 43-32 ATS (+10.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 33-22 ATS (+7.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 59-45 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 15-11 ATS (+28.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 10-10 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 10-10-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)

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ANAHEIM (53-25-0-13, 119 pts.) at EDMONTON (53-29-0-11, 117 pts.) - 5/7/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 17-10 ATS (+29.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 53-38 ATS (+4.7 Units) in all games this season.
ANAHEIM is 35-18 ATS (+11.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
ANAHEIM is 53-37 ATS (+95.1 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 25-13 ATS (+8.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
ANAHEIM is 61-34 ATS (+14.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 28-17 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ANAHEIM is 18-9 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
EDMONTON is 2-7 ATS (-9.8 Units) in home games on Sunday games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 13-6 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 13-6-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, May 7

Home team won last four St Louis-Nashville games; Blues need road win here to keep series going- last three series games stayed under total. St Louis lost its last four games in Music City, by combined score of 14-6. Predators are 4-13 on power play in series, St Louis 1-14. Under is 7-2-1 in Blues’ last ten games overall; they scored total of four goals in last three games. Predators are 7-2 in playoffs; they were held to 1-2 goals in the two losses.

Edmonton led 3-0 with 3:30 left Friday, ready to take 3-2 series lead; then they blew the lead and lost in OT- they need home win to keep series going. Ducks won 26:57 into OT to keep home ice edge- they outshot Oilers 42-21 in 3rd period and OT’s. This will be tough for Edmonton to bounce back from. Road team won four of five series games; over is 5-1-1 in last seven series games. Anaheim is 2-19 on power play in series, Oilers 5-18. Anaheim is 4-0 on road in playoffs.

Second round NHL series
NY Rangers (-$150) vs Ottawa (+$130)
Ottawa 2-1
Ottawa 6-5 OT
NYR 4-1
NYR 4-1
Ottawa 5-4 OT

Pittsburgh (+$110) vs Washington (-$130)
Penguins 3-2
Penguins 6-2
Wash 3-2 OT
Penguins 3-2
Wash 4-2

St Louis (+$110) vs Nashville (-$130)
Nashville 4-3
St Louis 2-1
Nashville 3-1
Nashville 2-1
St Louis 2-1

Anaheim (-$135) vs Edmonton (+$115)
Edmonton 5-3
Edmonton 3-2
Anaheim 6-3
Anaheim 4-3 OT
Anaheim 4-3 2OT

Home: 10-10 (30-32)
Over: 9-9-2 (22-30-10)

NHL

Sunday, May 7

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Trend Report
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3:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. NASHVILLE
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
Nashville is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
ANAHEIM vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games on the road
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Anaheim

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**Udog** · 05-07-2017, 10:55 AM

Sunday’s NHL Stanley Cup Betting Preview and Odds

The Ducks seized a 3-2 edge in the set after becoming the first team in NHL history to win a playoff game by overcoming a three-goal deficit with less than final four minutes remaining in regulation.

There are a pair of second round games on the ice Sunday, with the Predators and Ducks looking to punch their tickets to the Western conference finals. We break down all the betting angles to help you handicap the day's puck action.

St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators (-165, 5)

Predators lead series 3-2

ABOUT THE BLUES (52-33-5-2 SU, 39-53 ATS, 36-42 O/U): Alexander Steen has been ailing throughout the playoffs, unable to practice, and was a late scratch before Friday, opening the door for Dmitrij Jaskin to make his first appearance in this postseason. Jaskin made the most of his opportunity, not only opening the scoring with a second-period goal but registering a game-high eight shots on goal. "We felt confident that he would go in and play a really good game," Yeo said of Jaskin, who had only one goal during the reason season. "I thought he was a force along the walls on both ends and a difference maker."

ABOUT THE PREDATORS (48-31-8-4 SU, 47-44 ATS, 42-39 O/U): Nashville's No. 1 line of Ryan Johansen and 31-goal scorers Viktor Arvidsson and Filip Forsberg were dominant in a first-round sweep of top-seeded Chicago, combining for 15 points in the stunning upset. The unit has pretty much been kept in check by St. Louis, managing a total of three points and getting zero production from Arvidsson and one point from Johansen. “We’ve got to play faster, my line specifically," said Johansen, who is scoreless in the past four games. "We’ve got to find ways to make plays, use our speed more and our size and hold onto pucks.”

LINE HISTORY: The Predators opened as -160 moneyline favorites for Game 6 and appears fine with bettors as it hasn’t budged. The total hit the betting board at 5 and has yet to move off the opening number.

INJURY REPORT:

Blues - LW Alexander Steen (Questionable, lower body), C Robby Fabbri (Out For Season, knee).

Predators - RW Craig Smith (Questionable, lower body), LW Pontus Aberg (Questionable, undisclosed), LW Kevin Fiala (Out For Season, leg)

TRENDS:

* Predators are 4-0 in their last four home games.
* Under is 6-1 in Blues last seven games following a win.
* Under is 9-2-5 in Predators last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 36-9-6 in the last 51 meetings in Nashville.
* Blues are 0-5 in the last five meetings in Nashville.

Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers (-125, 5.5)

Ducks lead series 3-2

ABOUT THE DUCKS (53-25-10-3, 48-43 ATS, 33-38 O/U): Captain Ryan Getzlaf has enjoyed a blistering postseason and fellow forwards Rickard Rakell and Jakob Silfverberg have been heating up as well. Getzlaf scored and set up a goal in Game 5 to give the him 15 points (eight goals, seven assists) in nine playoff games while Rakell celebrated his 24th birthday with a goal with 15 seconds left in regulation and an assist on Perry's tally to up his total to nine points (five goals, four assists). Silfverberg notched a pair of assists, extending his point streak to five games (five goals, three assists) while pushing his playoff total to 11 (seven goals, four assists).

ABOUT THE OILERS (53-28-7-5, 50-43 ATS, 38-46 O/U): General manager Peter Chiarelli hasn't been pleased to see Edmonton fall behind in the series in what can be construed as questionable officiating, especially since the end results, well, have gone against his team. "There is a frustration level building," Chiarelli said on Saturday. "But it's not really not because of anything the NHL hockey ops does. It is not because of the process. It is because the calls have gone against us." Milan Lucic took particular issue with the actions of Anaheim's Ryan Kesler on Rickard's game-tying goal, telling TSN: "I don’t even know what goalie interference is anymore. It's a joke. If someone knows what goalie interference is anymore, please call me and tell me."

LINE HISTORY: The Oilers opened as -119 moneyline favorites for Game 6 and that number has yet to move. The total hit the board at 5.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Ducks - RW Patrick Eaves (Questionable, lower body), RW Ondrej Kase (Questionable, lower body), D Clayton Stoner (Out Indefinitely, abdominal), D Kevin Bieksa (Out Indefinitely, lower body), D Simon Despres (Out Indefinitely, concussion)

Oilers - D Andrej Sekera (Questionable, undisclosed), D Andrew Ference (Out For Season, hip), RW Tyler Pitlick (Out For Season, knee)

TRENDS:

* Ducks are 14-3 in their last 17 games following a win.
* Over is 4-1 in Ducks last five overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Oilers last five overall.
* Over is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings.
* Road team is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

Announcement

Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/7

Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/7

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