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Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/29

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  • Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/29

    We've had terrible storms all night and all day. I just got power back. I'll try to catch up as quickly as possible.


    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, April 29

    Good Luck on day #118 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Matchup Links

    NHL Matchups

    NHL Injuries

    NHL Hot and Not


    NASCAR Schedule

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo:Saturday's six-pack

    — Clippers 98, Jazz 93— Game 7 is in Staples Center Sunday afternoon.

    — Boston eliminated the Bulls, Wizards ousted the Hawks, both on the road.

    — Blues 2, Predators 1— Nashville’s first loss in six playoff games this spring.

    — Oilers 2, Ducks 1— Edmonton wins first two series games, both on the road.

    — Arizona P Shelby Miller tore his UCL, is done for the year.

    — Larry Bird stepped down from running the Pacers Friday; playing the game and running a franchise are two different skills.

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

    13) Apparently our politicians make a boatload of money; I’ve heard of three groups involved with buying the Miami Marlins— one includes Jeb Bush, one includes Ivanka Trump’s brother-in-law and another one involving Mitt Romney’s son.

    Must be nice to be rich.

    12) Florida State’s Dalvin Cook finally got drafted by the Vikings with the #41 pick; apparently there are concerns about some of his friends, who he hangs out with.

    With lot of players, the concerns aren’t about during the season, it is about the off-season, when their free time combined with having a lot of money can turn into problems. Hopefully things will work out of the best for Cook— he’s an excellent player.

    From watching the Showtime show on Florida State football last fall, Cook also seemed like a good kid.

    11) With the #48 pick, the Bengals took Oklahoma RB Joe Mixon, who dropped in the draft because he broke his girlfriend’s jaw (on camera) three years ago. It was reported Friday nite that only four teams considered drafting Mixon.

    10) Chicago Bears beat the 49ers 26-6 last December, which is why they had the #3 pick, not the #2 pick in the draft. That win cost them two draft picks, the picks they sent to SF to switch spots Thursday night.

    9) Bronx 14, Baltimore 11 (10)— Orioles led 11-4 in the middle of the 7th inning. These teams are now tied for first place in the AL East.

    8) It is April 29 and the White Sox are in first place in the AL Central. Surprising.

    7) Mets are 9-13; Syndergaard is hurt, Cespedes is hurt. Been a rough month.

    6) There are 2.5 games separating first and last place in the NL Central.

    5) Jason Terry is a substitute guard for the Bucks; he’s played 17 years in the NBA. Last summer, he interviewed for the vacant UAB head coaching job. I’m guessing he would’ve had to take a pay cut if UAB hired him.

    4) If I ever write a book, one of the chapters will be “Baseball players get hurt a lot.”

    3) I have a team in a 16-team fantasy baseball league; 25 guys on a team, can have minor leaguers on the roster.

    As I type this this, there are 42 players on the DL, only 3.5 weeks into the season, and thats not counting the guys who got cut because they might be out for the year or most of the year.

    2) Was watching the Toronto-Milwaukee NBA game Thursday night; was cool to see players from the Milwaukee Brewers watching the game together in a suite in the arena. Players live together for 7-8 months; bonding events like this one must make the season more fun.

    1— This is old news, but bears reporting: St Peter’s went 10-0 vs spread in their MAAC road games this past winter. Very hard to do that; they didn’t cover either of their games in the MAAC tournament, but they finished the season 23-13 with the #34 experience team in the country.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Dunkel

      Saturday, April 29



      Pittsburgh @ Washington

      Game 57-58
      April 29, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Pittsburgh
      12.359
      Washington
      10.995
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Pittsburgh
      by 1 1/2
      7
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Washington
      -145
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Pittsburgh
      (+125); Over

      NY Rangers @ Ottawa

      Game 55-56
      April 29, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      NY Rangers
      13.314
      Ottawa
      9.631
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      NY Rangers
      by 3 1/2
      4
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      NY Rangers
      -120
      5
      Dunkel Pick:
      NY Rangers
      (-120); Under






      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Saturday, April 29


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NY RANGERS (52-30-0-7, 111 pts.) at OTTAWA (49-30-0-10, 108 pts.) - 4/29/2017, 3:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NY RANGERS are 16-30 ATS (+46.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
      OTTAWA is 49-40 ATS (+91.1 Units) in all games this season.
      OTTAWA is 29-24 ATS (+54.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
      OTTAWA is 25-15 ATS (+43.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      OTTAWA is 13-8 ATS (+22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
      NY RANGERS are 52-37 ATS (+4.4 Units) in all games this season.
      NY RANGERS are 16-10 ATS (+27.2 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
      NY RANGERS are 12-4 ATS (+7.4 Units) on Saturday games this season.
      NY RANGERS are 25-13 ATS (+9.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
      NY RANGERS are 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      OTTAWA is 5-5 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
      OTTAWA is 5-5-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.9 Units)




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      PITTSBURGH (55-22-0-11, 121 pts.) at WASHINGTON (59-21-0-9, 127 pts.) - 4/29/2017, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PITTSBURGH is 29-39 ATS (-22.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 121-62 ATS (+48.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 38-16 ATS (+10.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
      WASHINGTON is 71-38 ATS (+22.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 15-3 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      PITTSBURGH is 119-75 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      PITTSBURGH is 17-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
      PITTSBURGH is 76-43 ATS (+12.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      PITTSBURGH is 25-11 ATS (+8.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
      PITTSBURGH is 50-26 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
      PITTSBURGH is 39-24 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      PITTSBURGH is 11-9 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      PITTSBURGH is 11-9-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-1.0 Units)




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------







      NHL
      Short Sheet

      Saturday, April 29


      Eastern Conference Semifinals – Best of 7 – Game 2 – OTT Leads 1-0

      NY Rangers at Ottawa, 3:00 PM ET
      New York: 24-12 SU after 1 or more consecutive losses
      Ottawa: 25-19 SU after playing a home game

      Eastern Conference Semifinals – Best of 7 – Game 2 – PIT Leads 1-0

      Pittsburgh at Washington, 3:00 PM ET
      Pittsburgh: 11-18 SU in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6
      Washington: 66-23 SU as a home favorite




      NHL
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Saturday, April 29


      Ottawa scored with 4:11 left to win Game 1 of his series; Senators won four of their last five games with the Rangers; they’re 3-2 vs NY in last five games played in this building. Under is 8-3 in last 11 series games. Rangers won five of last eight games but are 2-4 in last six road tilts. Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games overall. Ottawa won five of its last six games- four of those games went to OT. Over is 3-3-2 in their last eight games. New York won three of its last four series in this round; in its franchise history, Ottawa is 2-4 in this round- last time they won second round series was 2007, when they made the Cup Finals.

      Penguins scored with 7:24 left to win Game 1 of series. Home team won eight of last nine Penguin-Cap games; Pittsburgh lost three of its last four games in this building by a combined score of 17-7. Over is 4-0-2 in last five series games. Penguins lost three of last five road games but are 5-1 in the playoffs this month. Washington lost three of its last five home games; three of last four went to OT- five of their six games vs Toronto in last round went OT. Penguins won Stanley Cup LY; they’re 5-2 in last seven second round series. Pittsburgh Washington is 0-5 in its last five second round series; last time they to past this point was 1998, when they lost Cup final to Detroit.

      Second round NHL series
      NY Rangers (-$150) vs Ottawa (+$130)
      Ottawa 2-1
      Pittsburgh (+$110) vs Washington (-$130)
      Pittsburgh 3-2
      St Louis (+$110) vs Nashville (-$130)
      Nashville 4-3
      St Louis 3-2
      Anaheim (-$135) vs Edmonton (+$115)
      Edmonton 5-3
      Edmonton 2-1

      Home: 2-4 (22-26)
      Over: 2-1-1 (15-23-10)

      NHL First round series:
      East
      Washington-Toronto
      Wash 3-2 OT
      Tor 4-3 2OT
      Tor 4-3 OT
      Wash 5-4
      Wash 2-1 OT
      Wash 2-1 OT
      Capitals win series, 4-2
      Pittsburgh-Columbus
      Pitt 3-1
      Pitt 4-1
      Pitt 5-4 OT
      CBJ 5-4
      Pitt 5-2
      Penguins win series, 4-1
      Montreal-NY Rangers
      NYR 2-0
      Mtl 4-3 OT
      Mtl 3-1
      NYR 2-1
      NYR 3-2 OT
      NYR 3-1
      Rangers win series 4-2
      Ottawa-Boston
      Bos 2-1
      Ott 4-3 OT
      Ott 4-3 OT
      Ott 1-0
      Bos 3-2 OT
      Ott 2-1 OT
      Senators win series, 4-2

      West
      Chicago-Nashville
      Nash 1-0
      Nash 5-0
      Nash 3-2 OT
      Nash 4-1
      Predators win series, 4-0
      Minnesota-St Louis
      StL 2-1 ot
      StL 2-1
      StL 3-1
      Minn 2-0
      StL 4-2 OT
      Blues win series, 4-1
      Anaheim-Calgary
      Ana, 3-2
      Ana 3-2
      Ana 5-4 OT
      Ana 3-1
      Ducks win series, 4-0
      Edmonton-San Jose
      SJ 3-2 ot
      Edmonton 2-0
      Edmonton 1-0
      SJ 7-0
      Edmonton 4-3 OT
      Edmonton 3-1
      Oilers win series, 4-2

      Home teams: 20-22
      Over: 13-21-8




      NHL

      Saturday, April 29


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      3:00 PM
      NY RANGERS vs. OTTAWA
      NY Rangers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Ottawa
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Rangers last 6 games on the road
      Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Ottawa's last 17 games at home

      See more trends!
      APRIL 29, 8:00 PM
      PITTSBURGH vs. WASHINGTON
      Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Washington
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games
      Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        Saturday's NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Preview and Odds



        Sidney Crosby scored two goals in the first 1:04 of the second period to steal a Game 1 victory and home ice advantage away from the Capitals.


        New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators (-105, 5)

        Senators lead series 1-0

        ABOUT THE RANGERS: New York needs to focus on a better start in Game 2 after Ottawa forced netminder Henrik Lundqvist to make 21 of his 43 saves in the first 20 minutes -- his highest save total ever for one period in the postseason. “Obviously we want to play fast, but we can’t rush it up with one guy trying to break through, give it away and have them come back and shove it up our (butt),” forward Mats Zuccarello told the New York Post. “It’s important for us to be patient with the puck against their trap." Leading goal scorer Chris Kreider remains stuck on one assist through seven playoff games.

        ABOUT THE SENATORS: Karlsson missed five games down the stretch because of a pair of stress fractures in his heel, but he once again delivered with his first goal of this postseason to go along with his six assists, leaving Boucher grasping for superlatives. "I think our fans have to appreciate what we have here," Boucher marveled. "It's more than a star right now. That's what I think is unbelievable. He's a skilled player that became a star and now he's a winner." That also applies to goaltender Craig Anderson, who has won his last four against New York with a staggering .984 save percentage.

        LINE HISTORY: The Senators opened Game 2 as very slight -109 homes favorites (must be the lack of fans), but they have since been moved to -105, making the Rangers now the -115 favorites. The total has been set at 5, but 4.5 can be found at a few shops. Check out the complete line history here.

        INJURY REPORT:

        Rangers - No injuries to report.

        Senators - D M. Borowiecki (Out Saturday, lower body), LW T. Pyatt (Out Saturday).

        TRENDS:

        * Senators are 5-1 in their last six overall.
        * Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last five overall.
        * Under is 2-0-2 in Senators last four overall.
        * Home team is 5-1 in the last six meetings.

        CONSENSUS: The public is backing the road team in Game 2 with 60 percent of wagers on the Rangers. When it comes to the total, bettors like the Under with 55 percent of wagers on it.



        Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals (-145, 5.5)

        Penguins lead series 1-0

        ABOUT THE PENGUINS: Nick Bonino continues to be a thorn in the side of Washington, ending last year's second-round series with the overtime winner in Game 6 and scoring and setting up a goal during the regular season before converting on a breakaway with 7:24 remaining in the third period on Thursday. "'Bones' is a guy that's a high-stakes player," coach Mike Sullivan said of the 29-year-old Connecticut native. "He brings his best game when the games are most important, and we've got a lot of guys on our roster that we can say that about." Marc-Andre Fleury falls into that category after making 15 of his 33 saves in the third period Thursday to improve to 5-1 in the playoffs with an impressive .934 save percentage.

        ABOUT THE CAPITALS: Alex Ovechkin used some colorful language to express his displeasure with the officials failing to call any penalties against Pittsburgh in Game 1, while fellow teammate and former Penguin defenseman Matt Niskanen offered the more politically correct take of "no comment." While several members of Washington were pointing the finger at the officials, Braden Holtby had his directed at himself - with Crosby's first goal 12 seconds into the middle session as a sticking point. "I thought I got there in plenty of time," the reigning Vezina Trophy winner told the Washington Post. "... I just didn't keep my glove in the right position. It's just you leave that one little space and it goes right there. It's one that I'm capable of stopping and will next time."


        LINE HISTORY: The Capitals opened Game 2 as -129 favorites and bettors like them to even up the series, moving the line to Washington -145. Oddsmakers set the total at 5.5.

        INJURY REPORT:

        Penguins - D C. Ruhwedel (Questionable Saturday, upper body), G M. Murray (Questionable Saturday, lower body), LW C. Hagelin (Questionable Saturday, lower body), D K. Letang (Out for Season, neck).

        Capitals - D K. Alzner (Questionable Saturday, upper body).

        TRENDS:

        * Capitals are 1-5 in their last six Conference Semifinals games.
        * Under is 8-0-3 in Capitals last 11 vs. games Metropolitan Division opponents.
        * Home team is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.
        * Over is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.

        CONSENSUS: Bettors are on the Capitals to even the series at one in a high scoring affair. Sixty-two percent of side bets are on Washington, while 66 percent of total bets are on the Over.

        Comment

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