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The Bum's 2017 NHL Playoffs Trends-Stats-Picks-News !

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  • #16
    NHL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, April 12

    Montreal won six of last seven games with the Rangers; road team won five of those seven games. New York lost three of last four games in the Bell Centre. Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Rangers were outscored 16-8 in losing last four road games; they’re 2-5 in last seven games overall- their last three games stayed under. Canadiens won six of last eight games, three of last four at home. Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten. Rangers won their last four first round series; Montreal missed playoffs LY- they split last six first round series, over last eight years.

    Home side won six of last seven Columbus-Pittsburgh games; Blue Jackets lost four of last five games in Steel City. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Jackets lost six of last seven games overall, five of last six on road- under is 7-2-1 in their last ten. Pittsburgh is 4-6 in its last ten games but won last two at home. Penguins won Stanley Cup LY, won first round series three of last four years- this is their 10th year in row in playoffs. Columbus is in playoffs for just third time, first time since 2014; their coach won Stanley Cup with Tampa Bay in 2004.

    St Louis won five of last seven games with Minnesota; teams split last four series games played in Twin Cities. Over is 3-2-1 in last six series games. Blues won six of last eight games, three of last four on road- over is 3-1 in their last four. Minnesota won its last four games by a combined 17-9; they won last three home tilts. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Blues are in playoffs for 6th straight year; they lost first round series three of last four years. Minnesota is in playoffs for 5th year in row; they’re 4-3 overall in first round series.

    Boston lost its last six games with Ottawa, including last five played in this building. Three of last four series games stayed under total. Bruins won six of last eight games, including last two road games. Under is 7-1 in their last eight. Senators won three of last four games; they won last three home games. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. Bruins missed playoffs last two years, which is part of why they changed coaches during season; they won five of last six first round series. Ottawa lost four of last five first round series- they missed playoffs two of last three years.

    Edmonton is in playoffs for first time since 2006, when they lost Cup final; they’ve lost four of last five first round series. San Jose lost Stanley Cup final LY; they’re 9-3 in last 12 first round series. Oilers won last three games with San Jose- they also won three of last four visits here; road side won five of last seven series games. Over is 3-1-2 in last six series games. Sharks lost five of last six road games, but won three of last four overall (under 3-1). Edmonton won its last nine home games; they’ve won eight of last nine overall- over is 3-0-1 in its last four.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #17
      NHL

      Wednesday, April 12


      Heading into NHL playoffs, 2016-17 regular season produced 529-549-152 Over/Under record (50.93% Under) with average of 5.54 goals per game.


      Western Conference has produced more Overs than East in first round of NHL playoffs since 2013: 46-31-18 O/U (60% Over). 39-22-12 O/U L3Y.


      Eastern Conference producing more Unders than West in opening round of NHL playoffs since 2013: 38-40-16 O/U. 14-26-7 O/U L2Y (65% Unders).
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #18
        NHL

        Wednesday, April 12


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Wednesday's NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Preview and Odds
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        The Edmonton Oilers end their 11 year playoff drought when they host the Sharks Wednesday in their first round matchup.

        The Stanley Cup Playoffs begin Wednesday with several intriguing series on the schedule, including Connor McDavid bringing the Oilers back to the postseason for a first round showdown with the Western Conference defending champion Sharks. We break down the betting angles for each and every matchup.

        New York Rangers at Montreal Canadiens (-150, 5)

        ABOUT THE RANGERS (48-28-6, 40-36-6 O/U): New York ranked among the top five teams in scoring and had four players record at least 22 goals, led by Kreider, who establish career highs with 53 points and a team-leading 28 goals. In his fifth season, Chris Kreider has registered 20 goals in 65 postseason games and vowed not to let the incident with Carey Price alter his style. “For me to be effective, I need to get to the crease. That’s where I’m going to score goals,” Kreider said. “It’s the playoffs. I think everyone’s going to try to lift their physical play a little bit."

        ABOUT THE CANADIENS (47-26-9, 29-38-15 O/U): Price emerged from a midseason funk and allowed seven goals while winning all three matchups against New York, but Montreal's other indispensable player, Max Pacioretty, provided a waiting-to-exhale moment at Tuesday's practice. The team's leading goal scorer by far with 35 tallies, Pacioretty was forced to leave the ice when he was inadvertently high-sticked in the left side of the face by teammate Michael McCarron. He will be re-evaluated Wednesday, but coach Claude Julien said: "We're very optimistic he'll be OK."

        LINE HISTORY: The Habs opened the game listed as -130 home favorites and they have since been bet up to -147. The total is on the board at 5.

        INJURY REPORT:

        Rangers - RW J. Fast (Questionable Wednesday, undisclosed), G A. Raanta (Questionable Wednesday, knee).

        Canadiens - LW M. Pacioretty (Probable Wednesday, face), D J. Benn (Probable Wednesday, upper body), D S. Weber (Probable Wednesday, lower body), D B. Davidson (Questionable Wednesday, Flu), D. A Emelin (Out Wednesday, lower body).

        TRENDS:

        * Rangers are 0-5 in their last five games following a win.
        * Rangers are 1-6 in the last seven meetings.
        * Under is 5-1-1 in Rangers last seven games playing on two days rest.
        * Under is 5-1-1 in Canadiens last seven games following a win.


        Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators (+110, 5)

        ABOUT THE BRUINS (44-31-7, 37-37-8 O/U): Brad Marchand, who has a team-high 39 goals and scored 22 times in 41 games on the road, will return to the lineup after serving a two-game suspension for spearing Tampa Bay's Jake Dotchin, but Boston has some major health worries. Defensemen Torey Krug (lower body) and Brandon Carlo (upper body) and rookie forward Noel Acciari have been ruled out of the series opener while third-leading goal scorer David Krejci and Dominic Moore missed Tuesday's practice. That puts more of an onus on Tuukka Rask, who set career highs this season with 37 wins and eight shutouts.

        ABOUT THE SENATORS (44-28-10, 32-47-3 O/U): Ottawa, unlike the Bruins, is as healthy as it has been for much of the season, with the lone exception being defenseman Marc Methot, who is dealing with a finger injury resulting in a slash from Sidney Crosby. Coach Guy Boucher shuffled his lines at Tuesday's practice by moving Zack Smith (sidelined the past six games) to center on the fourth line while pairing Jean-Gabriel Pageau with forwards Mike Hoffman and slumping Mark Stone. Goaltender Craig Anderson, who took a leave from the team while his wife battled cancer, won all four starts against Boston this season.

        LINE HISTORY: The Senators opened this game as home underdogs at +109 and have been faded to +115. The total is on the board at 5.

        INJURY REPORT:

        Bruins - G A. Khudobin (Probable Wednesday, illness), C D. Moore (Probable Wednesday, undisclosed), C D. Krejci (Probable Wednesday, undisclosed), RW J. Hayes (Questionable Wednesday, lower body), D T. Krug (Out indefinitely, lower body), C N. Acciari (Out Wednesday, upper body), D B. Carlo (Out Wednesday, upper body).

        Senators - C Z. Smith (Probable Wednesday, upper body), D E Karlsson (Probable Wednesday, heel), D M. Methot (Questionable Wednesday, finger.)

        TRENDS:

        * Bruins are 4-0 in their last four first round playoff games.
        * Senators are 6-0 in the last six meetings.
        * Under is 4-0 in the Bruins last four games overall.
        * Under is 5-0 in Senators last five games playing on two days rest.


        Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins (-155, 5.5)

        ABOUT THE BLUE JACKETS (50-24-8, 32-44-6 O/U): Rookie Zach Werenski (upper body) returned to practice Tuesday and is expected to end a four-game absence by suiting up against Pittsburgh. "That's huge for us he's back, just with his ability on the ice and what he does on the back end," captain Nick Foligno said of the 19-year-old offensive-minded defenseman, who rejoined Seth Jones on the first pair Tuesday. Werenski recorded 21 (four goals, 17 assists) of his 47 points on the power play and his return could provide a spark for Columbus, which led the league by going 32-for-124 with the man advantage in its first 41 games before converting on just 10-of-87 opportunities the rest of the way.

        ABOUT THE PENGUINS (50-21-11, 47-30-5 O/U): Pittsburgh's postseason success could greatly hinge on the health of former Hart Trophy winner Evgeni Malkin (33 goals, 39 assists), who is expected to return Wednesday from a 13-game absence due to an upper-body injury. "I will play tomorrow, for sure. A couple extra days for me. ... I'm ready to play," the 30-year-old Malkin said Tuesday after taking part in a full-contact practice while skating between Bryan Rust and Phil Kessel (team-high 47 assists). While Malkin is set to return, fellow forwards Carl Hagelin (lower body) and Chris Kunitz (lower body) as well as defenseman Chad Ruhwedel (upper body) are expected to be spectators after sitting out practice on Tuesday.

        LINE HISTORY: The Penguins open their defense of the Stanley Cup as hefty -167 faves against the Blue Jackets, but they have been faded slightly to the current number of -155. The total is on the board at 5.5.

        INJURY REPORT:

        Blue Jackets - D Z. Werenski (Probable Wednesday, shoulder).

        Penguins - C E. Malkin (Probable Wednesday, shoulder), D C. Ruhwedel (Doubtful Wednesday, upper body), LW C. Kunitz (Out indefinitely, lower body), LW C. Hagelin (Late April, lower body).

        TRENDS:

        * Blue Jackets are 1-6 in their last seven games overall.
        * Home team is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
        * Under is 6-1-1 in Blue Jackets last eight road games.
        * Under is 7-1-1 in Penguins last nine homes games vs. a team with a winning road record.


        St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild (-160, 5)

        ABOUT THE BLUES (46-29-7, 34-35-13 O/U): St. Louis won’t have veteran center Paul Stastny (foot) to start the series and rookie Ivan Barbashev is expected to take the top-line center role between Tarasenko (75 points) and Jaden Schwartz (55). Vladimir Sobotka, who was signed to a three-year deal late in the regular season after a three-year stay in Russia, reportedly will play with Jori Lehtera and Alex Steen on another line while Patrik Berglund centers a third unit. Defenseman Alex Pietrangelo was solid down the stretch while recording two goals and four assists in his last four games.

        ABOUT THE WILD (49-25-8, 42-31-9 O/U): Devan Dubnyk, who struggled through the month of March with an .889 save percentage, has won all three of his starts this month to finish with a career-high 40 wins. Reportedly, Erik Haula is expected to play on the wing with captain Mikko Koivu and leading scorer Mikael Granlund (69 points) as coach Bruce Boudreau tries to even out his lines while 20-year-old rookie Joel Eriksson Ek likely will be in the lineup for Game 1. Defenseman Jared Spurgeon (lower body) missed the last two regular-season games but hopes to play Wednesday.

        LINE HISTORY: The Wild opened this matchup as moderate -143 faves and have seen the majority of support since then, with bettors moving the line to Minnesota -160. The total is on the board at 5. Check out the complete line history here.

        INJURY REPORT:

        Blues - D R. Bortuzzo (Questionable Wednesday, upper body), RW N. Yakkupov (Questionable Wednesday, undisclosed), C P. Stasny (Doubtful Wednesday, foot).

        Wild - D J. Spurgeon (Questionable Wednesday, lower body), D V. Bartley (Out indefinitely, tricep).

        TRENDS:

        * Blues are 6-1 in their last seven road games.
        * Wild are 6-0 in their last six games playing on three or more days rest.
        * Under is 12-3-3 in the Blues last 18 games vs. Western Conference opponents.
        * Over is 5-0-1 in Wild's last six days playing on three or more days rest.


        San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers (-150, 5)

        ABOUT THE SHARKS (46-29-7, 22-37-23 O/U): Couture and Thornton both have practiced each of the last two days but are not guaranteed to rejoin the lineup Wednesday. "Both those guys are day-to-day," coach Peter DeBoer told reporters on Tuesday. "They both looked good today at practice, but that will be a game-time decision." More will be expected from Joe Pavelski should Couture and Thornton not play as the captain shared the team lead with 29 goals during the regular season and has scored 40 in 105 career playoff games, including 14 during the team's run to the Final in 2016.

        ABOUT THE OILERS (47-26-9, 32-42-8 O/U): McDavid, who also led the league with 70 assists, joined Wayne Gretzky as the only Oilers to win the regular-season scoring title and was the first member of the franchise to reach the 100-point plateau since Doug Weight in 1995-96. He became the third-youngest player in NHL history - behind Sidney Crosby and Gretzky - to capture the Art Ross Trophy at 20 years, 86 days as Edmonton made the largest increase in points (33) in the league after placing 29th last season. Leon Draisaitl finished second on the team in both goals (29) and points (77) and ended the campaign nearly as hot as McDavid, landing on the scoresheet in 12 of the final 14 games (six goals, 15 assists).

        LINE HISTORY: It may be the Oilers first playoff game in 11 years, but bettors like them in Game 1. Since opening at -131 Edmonton has moved to -150.

        INJURY REPORT:

        Sharks - C L. Couture (Questionable Wednesday, teeth), C J. Thornton (Questionable Wednesday, knee).

        Oilers - No injuries to report.

        TRENDS:

        * Sharks are 1-6 in their last seven road games.
        * Oilers are 9-0 in their last nine home games.
        * Over is 9-3-3 in Sharks last 15 first round playoff games.
        * Under is 8-2 in Oilers last 10 games playing on two days rest.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #19
          NHL Betting Cheat Sheet: Which top seeds will get stunned this year?

          After another long yet exciting season, the Stanley Cup Playoffs are finally here and the first round is full of intriguing story-lines and matchups. Have no fear, Monty Andrews is here to help you handicap all of the opening matchup like a seasoned pro.

          Habs Have the Upper Hand

          The Montreal Canadiens may be the Atlantic Division champions, but they're in for the fight of their lives as they enter as a slim -125 favorite in their first-round Stanley Cup playoff series with the New York Rangers. Montreal topped the Atlantic with 47 victories and 103 points, while the Rangers (+105) had to settle for the first Eastern Conference wild card spot despite recording a whopping 102 points themselves. Montreal may have the psychological upper hand after sweeping the three-game regular-season series; the teams went 1-1-1 O/U in those games.

          Is the Pen Mightier than the Jacket?

          The Pittsburgh Penguins (-170) open defense of their Stanley Cup title as strong favorites against relative postseason newcomer Columbus (+150). Both teams had sensational seasons, finishing second and fourth, respectively, in points; they both won 50 games, and each team finished at least +48 in goal differential. The Blue Jackets went 2-1-1 against the Penguins in the regular season, including a stunning 7-1 drubbing back on Dec. 22; Pittsburgh will need to be wary of Columbus forwards Brandon Dubinsky and Scott Hartnell, who combined to score six goals in the season series.

          Leafs Facing Capital Punishment

          Toronto Maple Leafs fans are thrilled that the team is returning to the playoffs for just the second time since the 2005-06 lockout, but their stay in the postseason might be a short one as the Maple Leafs (+270) get the Presidents Trophy-winning Washington Capitals (-330) in the opening round. These odds are the longest of any first-round matchup, and with good reason: the Capitals recorded a league-best 55 wins and 118 points while Toronto came out of nowhere after finishing dead last in the league in 2015-16. Washington won two of three in the season series, with the teams going 2-1-0 O/U.

          Is an Upset Bruin?

          The Boston Bruins (-190) are expected to cruise into the second round of the playoffs as they prepare to face off against the Ottawa Senators (+170). While Ottawa actually finished three points ahead of the Bruins in the Atlantic Division - thereby securing the home-ice edge - the Senators have stumbled into the postseason with losses in 10 of their last 15 games and finished the regular season with a negative goal differential. That said, the Senators swept the four-game season series with the Bruins, including a 2-1 shootout triumph on April 6; three of the four games played to the under.

          Sharks Must Beware of Oil Spill

          The Edmonton Oilers not only return to the Stanley Cup playoffs for the first time in 11 years - they're actually modest -130 favorites as they kick off their first-round series with the San Jose Sharks on Wednesday night. Behind a sensational 100-point season from phenom Connor McDavid and elite-level goaltending from Cam Talbot, the Oilers racked up 103 points to finish second in the competitive Pacific Division - four points clear of the Sharks, who were by far the worst over play in the league (22-37-23 O/U). The Oilers finished with a 3-1-1 edge in the season series, with the teams going 2-1-2 O/U.

          Blackhawks Down? Not Likely

          The biggest odds edge among Western Conference teams belongs to the Chicago Blackhawks, who open as -190 favorites to advance to the second round at the expense of the Central Division-rival Nashville Predators (+170). Chicago was the class of the conference, leading all teams with 50 victories and 109 points - but the Blackhawks come into the postseason riding an ugly four-game losing skid during which they scored just seven goals. Chicago does, however, have the Predators' number, winning four of five regular season meetings; the teams went 3-0-2 O/U in those contests.

          Flames Facing 11-Year Duck Drought

          If the Calgary Flames (+140) hope to reach the second round of the Stanley Cup playoffs, they'll need to do something they haven't done in nearly 11 years: win a road game in Anaheim. The Ducks (-160) have been positively dominant against the Flames in their own arena, winning the last 27 home meetings between the teams dating back to their first-round playoff matchup in 2006. Needless to say, Anaheim is in the driver's seat if past history is any indication - and their overall head-to-head series has been almost as one-sided, with the Ducks winning 11 of the last 12 encounters.

          Into the Wild-Blues Yonder

          Two of the hottest teams in the league coming into the postseason will square off in another Central Division showdown as the Minnesota Wild (-150) take on the St. Louis Blues (+130). Minnesota held on to second place in the division by fashioning a four-game season-ending winning streak, while the Blues' three-game winning run to end the campaign was for naught. St. Louis, however, earned seven of a possible 10 points in the reguar-season series - the final victory coming at the start of their season-closing 15-2-2 stretch. The teams split the totals down the middle, going 2-2-1 O/U.

          Injury Updates

          * The Bruins are down a pair of defensemen to open their series with the Senators. Torey Krug is nursing a lower-body injury that will sideline him for the entire first-round encounter, while Brandon Carlo is dealing with an upper-body ailment suffered in the regular-season finale that will keep him out of Game 1.

          * The Predators' infirmary might be uncomfortably full for their series-opening tilt with the Blackhawks. Six players are considered questionable for Game 1 on Thursday night in Chicago, including forwards Mike Fisher (lower body) and Colin Wilson (lower body) and defensemen Roman Josi (lower body) and Yannick Weber (upper body).

          Player Notes

          * The Sharks might wish their first-round series with Edmonton opened on a different day of the week. McDavid recorded five goals and 11 assists in eight Wednesday games during the regular season, easily his highest points-per-game average of any day of the week; he also had four goals and four assists in five games against San Jose.

          * As for Canadiens netminder Carey Price, Saturday night's all right for dominating - he has a magnificent 15-2-2 mark with a 1.98 goals-against average and a .934 save percentage on Saturdays this season. But Montreal isn't playing a Saturday game early in the first round - Game 2 is on Friday, where Price is 0-3 with an ugly 4.20 GAA in three starts.

          Stanley Cup Futures

          * The Capitals enter the Stanley Cup playoffs as the top pick to win it all, coming in at +450 according to Sports Interaction. The Penguins (+550) and Blackhawks (+550) are next in line, with the Wild (+700) and Blue Jackets (+700) rounding out the top five. The top odds for a Canadian team belong to the Canadiens, who are at +1,100.

          * The Bruins might be favored in their first-round series with Ottawa, but they're one of the biggest long shots to go all the way in 2017. Sports Interaction has Boston installed as a +2,500 underdog to hoist the Stanley Cup, even with the Blues and Predators for the longest odds. The Canadian team with the longest shot? The Calgary Flames, at +2,200.

          Over/Under Trends

          * No team rewarded over bettors more than the Penguins, who come into the postseason having gone 47-30-5 O/U for the season - including a 26-11-4 mark at home. By comparison, Columbus finished tied with Ottawa for the second-fewest overs among Eastern Conference playoff teams (32).

          * Look for some low-scoring Pacific Division action, as that seven-team group produced the only three teams with fewer than 30 overs on the season - Anaheim (28), Los Angeles (24) and San Jose (22). In fact, all seven teams in the division finished with more unders than overs, while six of the seven teams in the Central had more overs than unders
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #20
            WEDNESDAY, APRIL 12

            GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

            NYR at MON 07:00 PM

            MON -152

            U 5.0

            BOS at OTT 07:00 PM

            BOS -132

            O 5.0


            CLB at PIT 07:30 PM

            CLB +135

            O 5.5


            STL at MIN 09:30 PM

            STL +145

            U 5.0


            SJ at EDM 10:00 PM

            EDM -161

            U 5.0
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment

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