Announcement

**Udog** · 03-19-2017, 08:31 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

— Ole Miss won their NIT game at Syracuse, 85-80.

— North Carolina PG Joel Berry (ankle) is questionable for UNC today against Arkansas.

— Lebron James had to “rest” last night; looked like he was drinking coffee on the Cavs’ bench.

— Arizona Cardinals lost six defensive players from LY to free agency; those six guys played a total of 4,657 snaps LY. Not good.

— Americans beat Dominican Republic 6-3 to move on the semi-finals of the WBC in Dodger Stadium this coming week. Adam Jones made a great catch in CF, robbing his Oriole teammate Manny Machado of a home run. Great catch.

— RIP Chuck Berry, a great musician who passed away this weekend at age 90.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a basketball Saturday…….

13) Wisconsin 65, Villanova 62— Wildcats won national title LY, but since 2010, they’re now 1-4 in 2nd round games- they were favored by 4.5-4.5-9.5-5.5 points in the losses. Wisconsin has a lot of big-game experience- they were down 57-50 in this game, finished strong- they shot 64.5% inside arc, surviving 7-16 shooting on foul line.

12) West Virginia 83, Notre Dame 71— Mountaineers put relentless pressure on you and it tires teams out. West Virginia was 8-14 on arc, which doesn’t happen much (first time since Dec 10 they made more than half their 3’s)- when they shoot well, they can pressure the ball more and then they’re very hard to beat.

Notre Dame took 28 3-pointers, 26 2-pointers in this game, not usually a winning formula.

11) Gonzaga 79, Northwestern 73— I’m glad Zags won, but this game clearly swung on a blown goaltending call the refs missed, when Wildcats were making huge run, after trailing by 20 at one point. Collins got T’d up because of the missed call, which happened with 4:57 left and Gonzaga up by 5— goaltending would’ve made it a 3-point game.

Gonzaga moves on; Northwestern goes home after a historic season for them, making NCAA’s for first time. A Big 14 school near Chicago should never have been this bad for so long, but now Evanston should become a more fashionable destination for good players.

10) Xavier 91, Florida State 66— I think Steve Lavin is a great game analyst, so fun to listen to, much better than in studio, where he can only say so much. Lavin was at his best in this game with Ian Eagle, throwing in movie/pop culture references. Good stuff.

As for the game, Chris Mack can really coach; he is playing with a freshman backup PG (who has no backup), yet his team won this game easily, leading by 10 at the half. Disappointing end to the season for FSU, a young team that often struggled away from home.

9) Butler 74, Middle Tennessee 65— Three of Blue Raiders’ starters didn’t score, which makes it hard to win- their leading scorer Potts was averaging 15.6 pts/game- he didn’t score, but this was still a 5-point game late. Last four years, 12-seeds are 1-5 vs spread in second round when facing a 4-seed. Butler gets monkey off its back; they lost in second round last two years.

8) Arizona 69, St Mary’s 60— Gaels led 30-29 at the half, but superior athleticism took over in the second half as Arizona wore St Mary’s down and pulled away late. Sean Miller faces his old team Xavier in the next round out in San Jose.

7) Florida 65, Virginia 39— Horrendous exhibition by the Cavaliers, shooting 1-15 on the arc in a non-competitive performance. Florida won/covered its last five second round games, though they did miss tournament the last two years. This was just an awful game.

6) Purdue 80, Iowa State 76— Cyclones were incredibly bad for the first 22:00, then they made an epic comeback, rallying back from 19 down to take a 73-71 lead, but Purdue won this game in the last 3:00 and moves on and will play the Kansas-Michigan State winner in Kansas City. Cyclones were 7-23 on arc, their worst mark in any game since Jan 21st.

5) When John Chaney was coaching at Temple, it basically became expected that once a player got his second foul in the first half, he was done until the second half. Now all of a sudden this year, some TV people are criticizing that strategy, including some guys who coached against Chaney and did it themselves when they coached.

4) Brad Underwood bolts Oklahoma State after one year for Illinois; apparently the AD at OSU told Underwood he would re-negotiate his contract if the Cowboys won, which they did. But then the AD reneged on his word and Underwood bolted, quickly.

The term “carpet-bagger” comes to mind, but Underwood gets a huge pay upgrade for going to Illinois, and this is a capitalist society, so good for him.

This, by the way, is why some college players get annoyed— coaches jump ship for big bucks, while kids get in trouble with the NCAA for taking extra benefits. It is called “how the real world works”, but I can also see their point.

3) Since 1987, Villanova is 16th 1-seed to lose in 2nd round; of previous 15 teams to upset the 1-seed, those teams went 8-7 SU in regional semi-finals, 1-2 vs spread as a favorite, 7-5 as the underdog. Surprisingly, North Carolina has twice upset a 1-seed in 2nd round, in ’90 and 2000.

2) Looking at the eight teams who pulled those 2nd round upsets, then won again in regional semis, they went 5-3 SU if they got to the regional final- they were underdog in four of five wins.

1— Since 2001, Florida (’07) is only defending national champ that made it to a regional final the next year- they won back/back titles, in ’06/‘07. Villanova’s loss drops defending champs to 8-2 in last ten second round games (since ’01).

**Udog** · 03-19-2017, 09:16 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 19

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COLUMBUS (46-18-0-6, 98 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (26-32-0-12, 64 pts.) - 3/19/2017, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 46-24 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all games this season.
COLUMBUS is 19-12 ATS (+34.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 14-4 ATS (+9.0 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
COLUMBUS is 32-24 ATS (+59.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 16-8 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 5-13 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 8-26 ATS (+36.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW JERSEY is 0-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 8-4 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 8-4-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.2 Units)

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FLORIDA (31-28-0-11, 73 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (44-17-0-9, 97 pts.) - 3/19/2017, 1:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 6-2 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 6-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

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MINNESOTA (43-21-0-6, 92 pts.) at WINNIPEG (31-33-0-7, 69 pts.) - 3/19/2017, 5:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 7-7 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 7-7-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)

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COLORADO (20-47-0-3, 43 pts.) at CHICAGO (46-20-0-5, 97 pts.) - 3/19/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 5-7 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-5-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.3 Units)

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OTTAWA (39-23-0-8, 86 pts.) at MONTREAL (40-23-0-8, 88 pts.) - 3/19/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 9-8 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 9-8-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

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CAROLINA (30-27-0-12, 72 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (32-30-0-8, 72 pts.) - 3/19/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 12-18 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CAROLINA is 3-10 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 74-84 ATS (-69.4 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-66 ATS (-22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-31 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-6 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-6-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (34-29-0-7, 75 pts.) at CALGARY (40-27-0-4, 84 pts.) - 3/19/2017, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 34-36 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 43-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 41-42 ATS (-25.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 42-41 ATS (-24.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 27-35 ATS (-20.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 40-31 ATS (+5.2 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 29-14 ATS (+43.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-7 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 70-59 ATS (+137.4 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-6 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 6-5-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.1 Units)

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**Udog** · 03-19-2017, 09:17 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 19

Blue Jackets won eight of last ten games with New Jersey; they won four of last five games in the Garden State. Three of last four series games stayed under total. Columbus won six of last seven games, three of last four on road. Seven of last ten series games stayed under the total. Devils lost 11 of last 12 games, including three of last four at home; their last three games went over the total.

Florida lost six of last eight games, three of last four on road; four of their last six games went over total. Penguins won five of last six games with Florida; over is 5-2-3 in last ten series games. Panthers lost last four games in Steel City, outscored 14-6. Pittsburgh won six of its last eight games overall; they won last three home games, outscoring foes 15-9. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games, 3-0 in last three at home.

Minnesota won its last four games with Winnipeg; teams split last four series games played in Manitoba. Four of last five series games went over total. Wild lost six of last seven games overall, four of last five on road- six of their last nine games stayed under the total. Jets lost four of their last five games, dropping three in row at home. Over is 5-5 in their last ten games overall.

Chicago won five of last six games with Colorado; three of last four series games stayed under the total. Avalanche won four of last six games in the Windy City. Colorado lost its last five road games and seven of last ten overall; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Chicago won four in row, eight of last ten games; they won four of last five at home. Three of their last four home games stayed under total.

Senators won three of last four games with Montreal, losing in SO at home to Habs yesterday; Ottawa won three of last four games in Molson Centre. Last three series games went over total. Ottawa lost its last three games, all by one goal, two in OT/SO; they won last three road games. Three of their last four road games went over. Montreal won eight of last ten games, two of last three at home; their last two games went over total.

Flyers won five of last seven games with Carolina; four of last five series games went over total. Hurricanes lost their last three games in this building. Carolina won three of its last four games; they split last four road games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Philly lost four of last five games; they won three of last four at home. Four of their last six games went over the total.

Kings won five of last six games with Calgary; teams split last four series games played in the Saddledome. Eight of last ten series games stayed under total. Los Angeles is on road for first time in three weeks; they’re 4-5 in last nine games- they lost three of last four road games. Flames won 11 of last 12 games, six of last seven at home. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five home games.

**Udog** · 03-19-2017, 09:20 AM

NHL

Sunday, March 19

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Trend Report
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2:00 PM
COLUMBUS vs. NEW JERSEY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games on the road
New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

2:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. PITTSBURGH
Florida is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

6:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. WINNIPEG
Minnesota is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Winnipeg's last 15 games at home

7:30 PM
CAROLINA vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 11 games at home

8:00 PM
COLORADO vs. CHICAGO
Colorado is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado

8:30 PM
OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
Ottawa is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. CALGARY
Los Angeles is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Los Angeles's last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Los Angeles

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**Udog** · 03-19-2017, 10:56 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, March 19

Los Angeles @ Calgary

Game 13-14
March 19, 2017 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
12.026
Calgary
10.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1 1/2
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-125
5
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+105); Under

Carolina @ Philadelphia

Game 11-12
March 19, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
9.703
Philadelphia
11.497
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-140); Over

Ottawa @ Montreal

Game 9-10
March 19, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
11.993
Montreal
10.141
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
N/A

Colorado @ Chicago

Game 7-8
March 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
10.338
Chicago
9.239
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
N/A

Minnesota @ Winnipeg

Game 5-6
March 19, 2017 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
12.671
Winnipeg
9.230
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
N/A

Florida @ Pittsburgh

Game 3-4
March 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
9.571
Pittsburgh
11.497
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
N/A

Columbus @ New Jersey

Game 1-2
March 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
10.230
New Jersey
12.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Jersey
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-165
5
Dunkel Pick:
New Jersey
(+145); Under

Announcement

Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/19

Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/19

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