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Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/17

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  • Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/17

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, March 17

    Good Luck on day #76 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    — Kind of cheesy of Indiana to fire Tom Crean about 90 seconds after the NCAA tournament started. Will they go after native son Steve Alford?

    — Clippers actually gave Blake Griffin his birthday off; he didn’t go to Denver for LA’s game last night. Oy.

    — North Dakota hoop coach Brian Jones makes $100,000 a year. Not a lot for a D-I coach.

    — Dwayne Wade is out for the year with a fractured elbow.

    — Friend of mine who works at a sports book in Las Vegas wrote 867 betting tickets in just over nine hours Wednesday night. This is a great week to be in the desert.

    — Virginia is only team in NCAA tournament with only one player averaging double figures.

    **********

    Armadillo: Wrapping up the first real day of March Madness

    Night games
    Xavier 76, Maryland 65— When Xavier’s kids sat down to watch TV at 5:30 Sunday, they had to nervous as to whether they were in the field of 68 or not. Now they’ve advanced to the round of 32. Terrapins won a lot of games with an extremely young nucleus held together by junior PG Trimble; that wasn’t enough here, as Xavier big man O’Mara had a career night, scoring 18 points.

    Villanova 76, Mt St Mary’s 56— Wildcats dozed thru first half, led 30-29, then did what they had to do in second half to advance. Villanova needs to step up its game Saturday. Over last seven years, #1 seeds are 23-5 SU in second round games, but they did lose five times, as favorites of 11.5-8-6.5-4.5.9.5 points. Wildcats were last of those five teams, losing to NC State in 2015.

    Purdue 80, Vermont 70— Game was only 37-36 at half, but Boilermakers win/cover- Vermont didn’t score in last 1:16 as Purdue covered on a FT with 0:28 left America East teams are now 6-7 vs spread in this round the last 13 years- Albany 5-1, rest of the league 1-6.

    St Mary’s 85, VCU 77— Announcer on A-14 tournament last weekend said this: “If VCU plays a team with experienced guards, they could be in trouble in NCAA’s.” That is exactly what went on here. Gaels ran a clinic on half-court offense and move on to play Saturday.

    Florida State 86, Florida Gulf Coast 80— Not often a game starts 2-2 with both baskets on dunks, but this one did. This game was like a fierce playground battle between arch-rivals; teams combined to go 10-41 on the arc, but Seminoles got to foul line 39 times. Bacon had 25 for FSU; you could say he was…..sizzling.

    Wisconsin 84, Virginia Tech 74— Badgers made 13-31 on arc, will next play Villanova, which could be a good game— Wisconsin starts four seniors who’ve played a lot of ball together. Bronson Koenig was 8-17 behind the arc; thats a lot of 3’s for one guy to take.

    Iowa State 84, Nevada 73— Wolf Pack only played six guys in this game; difficult to play as hard as they do and not sub much— their legs go late in game, which shows in their shooting. When Nevada has better depth next year, they’re going to be a handful.

    Good trivia; Nevada player Jordan Caroline’s dad is Simeon Rice, who was a really good player in the NFL. His granddad is JC Caroline, who played 10 years for the Bears and intercepted Johnny Unitas’ first career pass and ran it back for a touchdown.

    Arizona 100, North Dakota 82— Fighting Hawks went right at Arizona and got their butts kicked, but what a year they had, making NCAA’s for first time. In 2018-19 they move to the Summit League, which is a better league, so they’ll need to upgrade their recruiting. Video from this game won’t hurt, at least the offensive part of it.

    Arizona-St Mary’s Saturday will be an interesting game.

    Afternoon games
    Notre Dame 60, Princeton 58— Tigers had a wide-open 3-pointer to take lead with 0:05 but Cannady missed, and Irish survive/advance. Cannady grew up five minutes outside South Bend. Princeton won Ivy title on Sunday; thought noon Thursday game was a tough draw for them, but they played well- too bad they were 8-31 on arc.

    Virginia 76, NC-Wilmington 71— Seahawks led by 14 in first half, but Cavaliers used big run to grab 30-29 lead at half- Virginia held UNCW off in second half. Hard to believe Kevin Keatts will still be Seahawks’ coach next year; he’s done great work there, and the $$$ leagues should come calling this week or next.

    Butler 76, Winthrop 64— Bulldogs outscored Winthrop 20-5 on foul line; Woodson made 6-10 on arc for Butler. Big South is now 2-6 vs spread in this round the last nine years. This was Eagles’ first trip to NCAA’s since 2010, when Gregg Marshall was their coach— terrific year for them.

    Gonzaga 66, South Dakota State 46— Zags were only up 26-22 at half, but they methodically pulled away in second half and won easily- they held Jackrabbits’ star Daum to 17 points. Zags might’ve covered spread had they not gone 8-18 on foul line. There will be pressure on Gonzaga Saturday, when they play Vandy-Northwestern winner to get to Sweet 16.

    West Virginia 86, Bucknell 80— Mountaineers were up 27-12 eight minutes in; there was a few minutes when Bucknell couldn’t get ball over half-court, but then Bison got gritty and hung in there- they got within five points a few times in second half. West Virginia-Notre Dame is a high quality second round game Saturday.

    Florida 80, East Tennessee State 65— Game was 33-32 at half, but Gators outscored ETSU 21-6 on foul line, got lot of run-out hoops after Bucs’ turnovers to pull away in second half. Second round game with Virginia will be a much different style game.

    Middle Tennessee State 81, Minnesota 72— Last two seasons, Blue Raiders are 5-0 vs SEC/Big 14 teams, winning by average of 12.6 pts/game. This was a 12-seed beating a 5-seed, but not an upset. MTSU was favored by a point. Richard Pitino lost his poise, got T’d up near the end when Gophers were down nine- -they were already going to lose, but not his finest moment.

    Northwestern 68, Vanderbilt 66— Vandy scored with 0:17 left to take lead, then one of their best guys screwed up, fouling on purpose— did he think a) they were behind? b) they were up 3? c) they had a foul to give? Whatever, it was a colossal screw-up.

    Northwestern makes their foul shots and advances, so we get 120 more shots of the Seinfeld lady on TV Saturday (her son is a sub on Northwestern).

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Friday, March 17


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      FLORIDA (30-27-0-11, 71 pts.) at NY RANGERS (44-24-0-2, 90 pts.) - 3/17/2017, 7:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      NY RANGERS is 6-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
      NY RANGERS is 6-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.2 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NEW JERSEY (25-31-0-12, 62 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (43-17-0-9, 95 pts.) - 3/17/2017, 7:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NEW JERSEY is 4-17 ATS (+23.9 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW JERSEY is 8-25 ATS (+45.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      PITTSBURGH is 64-36 ATS (-0.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      PITTSBURGH is 42-21 ATS (+12.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      PITTSBURGH is 17-4 ATS (+10.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
      PITTSBURGH is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PITTSBURGH is 8-4 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
      PITTSBURGH is 8-4-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
      8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.2 Units)

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      DALLAS (27-32-0-10, 64 pts.) at CALGARY (39-27-0-4, 82 pts.) - 3/17/2017, 9:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CALGARY is 4-4 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
      CALGARY is 4-4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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      BUFFALO (28-30-0-12, 68 pts.) at ANAHEIM (37-23-0-10, 84 pts.) - 3/17/2017, 10:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ANAHEIM is 512-415 ATS (-99.0 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
      BUFFALO is 209-216 ATS (+464.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ANAHEIM is 4-1 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
      ANAHEIM is 4-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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      NHL
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Friday, March 17


      Rangers won eight of last ten games with Florida; they beat them 5-2 in Miami ten days ago. Panthers lost three of last four visits to Manhattan. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Florida lost nine of last 11 games overall, three in row on road, all of which stayed under the total. Rangers lost their last four home games, are 4-5 in last nine overall. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.

      Devils lost five of last six games with Pittsburgh; they lost three of last four visits to Steel City. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. New Jersey lost 10 of its last 11 games; they lost last six road games. Over is 2-0-1 in their last three games. Penguins won last three home games but lost last two games overall; three of their last four games stayed under the total.

      Road team won last eight Dallas-Calgary games; Dallas Stars won four of last five visits to the Saddledome. Three of last four series games stayed under. Dallas lost three of last four games; their last five games went over total. stars won three of last five road games. Flames had 10-game win streak snapped Wednesday; they’ve won five of last six at home. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

      Ducks won six of last seven games with Buffalo; three of last four series games stayed under. Sabres were outscored 11-3 in losing last three games in Pond. Buffalo lost nine of its last 11 games, six in row on road; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Anaheim won four of its last five games overall, five of last six at home. Over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.




      NHL

      Friday, March 17


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      8:00 PM
      FLORIDA vs. NY RANGERS
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games on the road
      Florida is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Rangers last 6 games at home
      NY Rangers are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games when playing Florida

      8:00 PM
      NEW JERSEY vs. PITTSBURGH
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Jersey's last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh
      New Jersey is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing New Jersey
      Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against New Jersey

      10:00 PM
      DALLAS vs. CALGARY
      Dallas is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
      Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

      11:00 PM
      BUFFALO vs. ANAHEIM
      Buffalo is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Anaheim
      Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      Anaheim is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


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      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-17-2017, 11:42 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Dunkel

        Friday, March 17



        Buffalo @ Anaheim

        Game 7-8
        March 17, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Buffalo
        11.299
        Anaheim
        10.373
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Buffalo
        by 1
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Anaheim
        -215
        5
        Dunkel Pick:
        Buffalo
        (+180); Over

        Dallas @ Calgary


        Game 5-6
        March 17, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Dallas
        11.931
        Calgary
        13.415
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Calgary
        by 1 1/2
        3
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Calgary
        No Line
        N/A
        Dunkel Pick:
        Calgary
        N/A

        New Jersey @ Pittsburgh


        Game 3-4
        March 17, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        New Jersey
        9.227
        Pittsburgh
        12.308
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Pittsburgh
        by 3
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Pittsburgh
        -260
        5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Pittsburgh
        (-260); Over

        Florida @ NY Rangers


        Game 1-2
        March 17, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Florida
        11.921
        NY Rangers
        10.675
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Florida
        by 1
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Florida
        No Line
        N/A
        Dunkel Pick:
        Florida
        N/A
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-17-2017, 11:43 AM.

        Comment

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