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Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/15

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  • Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/15

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, March 15

    Good Luck on day #74 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Over/under on wins by conference in NCAA’s:

    ACC: 14.5, over -$120

    Big X: 8.5, over -$150

    Big East: 7.5, 0ver -$130

    SEC: 5.5, 0ver -$130

    Big 14: 6.5, under -$120

    Pac-12: 7.5, under -$150

    WCC: 3.5, over -$145

    AAC: 1.5, over -$220

    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……..

    13) K-State 95, Wake Forest 88— Wildcats were 25-31 (80.6%) inside arc; Deacons didn’t play whole lot of defense. Big X teams are now 5-1 vs ACC teams this year, with one win North Carolina crowning Oklahoma State in Maui Classic.

    12) Mt St Mary’s 67, New Orleans 66— Mount was 10-19 on arc, UNO 1-9; plus, with 6:41 left, the Privateers’ big guy tried to strangle his teammate (the point guard) as they went into a TV timeout- the big guy was yanked from game and never returned. Have feeling the better team lost. Mt St Mary’s advances to play Villanova next.

    11) How play-in teams who advance make out in round of 64: “JV (16-seed)” play-in winners are 5-7 vs spread when facing a #1 seed…….”Varsity (11-12 seed)” play-in winners are 7-5 vs spread in round of 64- those 12 teams have gone 1-1 SU in round of 64 all six years they’ve had it.

    10) Venezuela played its play-in game in the WBC Monday with Jose Altuve on the bench; interesting decision by manager Omaz Vizquel, who used Rougned Odor instead. Now that they’ve advanced to San Diego, will be curious to see who they start at 2B in the next round.

    9) Is there anyone who thinks Magic Johnson will do a better job than Mitch Kupchak did as the Lakers GM? Magic was a great, great player; wasn’t a very good coach- these are all different skills.

    8) Of the eight 15-seeds who won first round NCAA tourney games, only Florida Gulf Coast in 2013 won its second round game- those teams are 2-5-1 vs spread in their second round games.

    7) Coaching carousel; George Washington named interim coach Maurice Joseph its full time coach; South Florida named former Dayton/Ga Tech coach Brian Gregory its new coach, after Akron’s Keith Dambrot (Lebron James’ HS coach) turned them down.

    6) Thank the Lord for spring training baseball on TV; Tuesday afternoon, I could barely see the house across the street from mine, thats how hard it was snowing. Watched Phillies-Braves, then Giants-Indians and was warm vicariously thru those broadcasts.

    5) Atlanta Braves are leaving Disney’s Wide World of Sports for the Sarasota area next spring, as they reduce travel time to/from spring training games. Used to go to WWOS in July to watch AAU games; Tampa Bay Bucs had training camp there then- remember seeing Tom Crean (then at Marquette) watching the Bucs practice with his young son sitting on his shoulders.

    4) No team lost its first conference tournament game, then won a national title that year. This year; Kansas, Louisville, Baylor, Purdue fall into that group this year.

    3) If you care about such things, Kansas State was the last at-large team to make the NCAA tournament.

    2) What exactly does Joe Lunardi do for the next ten months?

    1— Here is my Final Four; North Carolina-Arizona-Villanova-Oregon. I’ll pick the Wildcats to repeat as national champs. Enjoy the games!!!

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Wednesday, March 15


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      PITTSBURGH (43-16-0-9, 95 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (31-29-0-8, 70 pts.) - 3/15/2017, 7:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PITTSBURGH is 25-36 ATS (-22.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 12-5 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
      PITTSBURGH is 107-67 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      PITTSBURGH is 64-35 ATS (+12.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      PITTSBURGH is 42-20 ATS (+13.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      PITTSBURGH is 17-3 ATS (+12.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHILADELPHIA is 5-5 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
      PHILADELPHIA is 5-5-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      BOSTON (37-26-0-6, 80 pts.) at CALGARY (39-26-0-4, 82 pts.) - 3/15/2017, 9:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      BOSTON is 35-44 ATS (-23.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      BOSTON is 14-19 ATS (-10.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
      BOSTON is 20-26 ATS (-18.5 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
      CALGARY is 39-30 ATS (+1.5 Units) in all games this season.
      CALGARY is 18-12 ATS (+30.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
      CALGARY is 10-3 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
      BOSTON is 23-13 ATS (+9.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CALGARY is 4-1 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
      CALGARY is 4-1-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

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      ST LOUIS (36-27-0-5, 77 pts.) at ANAHEIM (36-23-0-10, 82 pts.) - 3/15/2017, 10:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ANAHEIM is 511-415 ATS (-100.0 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
      ANAHEIM is 227-181 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
      ANAHEIM is 244-223 ATS (+505.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
      ST LOUIS is 12-6 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
      ST LOUIS is 15-3 ATS (+10.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
      ST LOUIS is 15-6 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
      ST LOUIS is 51-39 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      ST LOUIS is 6-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
      ANAHEIM is 5-13 ATS (-10.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ST LOUIS is 5-3 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
      ST LOUIS is 5-3-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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      DETROIT (26-30-0-11, 63 pts.) at COLORADO (19-46-0-3, 41 pts.) - 3/15/2017, 10:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DETROIT is 12-23 ATS (-16.9 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
      DETROIT is 17-30 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
      DETROIT is 425-316 ATS (-125.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
      COLORADO is 22-22 ATS (+47.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
      DETROIT is 24-16 ATS (+44.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      COLORADO is 19-49 ATS (+77.3 Units) in all games this season.
      COLORADO is 141-139 ATS (-45.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
      COLORADO is 10-25 ATS (+51.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      COLORADO is 2-2 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
      COLORADO is 2-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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      NHL
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Wednesday, March 15


      Penguins won five of last six games with Philly, splitting last four games in this building; over is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Pittsburgh won five of its last six games, three of last four on road. Four of their last six games went over total. Flyers were outscored 11-6 in losing last three games; they split last four home games. Three of their last four games went over.

      Flames won four of last five games with Boston, which lost 5-4/4-3 in last two games here, with both losses in OT. Last two series games stayed under. Boston won seven of last nine games, three of last four on road. Three of their last four games went over. Calgary won its last 10 games, winning last five in Saddledome by combined score of 19-8 (over 2-1-2).

      Home side won eight of last nine St Louis-Anaheim games, with Blues winning five of last seven series games. St Louis lost four of last five games in the Pond. Three of last four series games went over total. Blues won their last five games, allowing total of 8 goals; they won last three at home- under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Ducks won three of last four games- they won five of last six at home. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.

      Road team won last seven Detroit-Colorado games; Red Wings won their last four visits to Denver. Under is 6-2-1 in last nine series games. Detroit lost four in row on road, five of last six games overall; over is 3-2 in their last five games. Avalanche lost six of their last eight games; they split last four home games. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games overall.




      NHL

      Wednesday, March 15


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      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      8:30 PM
      PITTSBURGH vs. PHILADELPHIA
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
      Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 10 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

      9:30 PM
      DETROIT vs. COLORADO
      Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
      Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
      Colorado is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games

      10:00 PM
      BOSTON vs. CALGARY
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
      Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
      Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

      11:00 PM
      ST. LOUIS vs. ANAHEIM
      St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Anaheim
      Anaheim is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against St. Louis
      The total has gone OVER in 10 of Anaheim's last 15 games when playing at home against St. Louis


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      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Dunkel

        Wednesday, March 15



        Detroit @ Colorado

        Game 7-8
        March 15, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Detroit
        9.629
        Colorado
        8.563
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Detroit
        by 1
        3
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Detroit
        -135
        5
        Dunkel Pick:
        Detroit
        (-135); Under

        St. Louis @ Anaheim


        Game 5-6
        March 15, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        St. Louis
        10.389
        Anaheim
        9.382
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        St. Louis
        by 1
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Anaheim
        -135
        5
        Dunkel Pick:
        St. Louis
        (+115); Over

        Boston @ Calgary


        Game 3-4
        March 15, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Boston
        12.204
        Calgary
        13.412
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Calgary
        by 1
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Calgary
        -115
        5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Calgary
        (-115); Over

        Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia


        Game 1-2
        March 15, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Pittsburgh
        11.019
        Philadelphia
        11.913
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Philadelphia
        by 1
        5
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Pittsburgh
        -130
        5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Philadelphia
        (+110); Under

        Comment

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